Protocol for a multicentre and prospective follow-up cohort study of early detection of atrial fibrillation, silent stroke and cognitive impairment in high-risk primary care patients: the PREFA-TE study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia. Future estimations suggest an increase in global burden of AF greater than 60% by 2050. Numerous studies provide growing evidence that AF is not only associated with stroke but also with cognitive impairment and dementia. AIM: The main goal is to assess the impact of the combined use of cardiac rhythm monitoring devices, echocardiography, biomarkers and neuroimaging on the early diagnosis of AF, silent strokes and cognitive decline, in subjects at high risk of AF. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Two-year follow-up of a cohort of individuals aged 65-85 years at high risk for AF, with no prior diagnosis of either stroke or dementia. The study involves baseline echocardiography, biomarkers, and neuroimaging, yearly cardiac monitoring, and semiannual clinical assessments. Different parameters from these tests will be analysed as independent variables. Throughout the study period, primary outcomes: new diagnoses of AF, stroke and cognitive impairment, along with any clinical and therapeutic changes, will be registered. A first descriptive and bivariate statistical analysis, appropriate to the types of variables, will be done. The information obtained from the data analysis will encompass adjusted risk estimates along with 95% confidence intervals. Event risk predictions will rely on multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. The predictive value of the model will be evaluated through the utilisation of receiver operating characteristic curves for area under the curve calculation. Additionally, time-to-event analysis will be performed using Kaplan-Meier curves. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study protocol has been reviewed and approved by the Independent Ethics Committee of the Foundation University Institute for Primary Health Care Research-IDIAP Jordi Gol (expedient file 22/090-P). The authors plan to disseminate the study results to the general public through various scientific events. Publication in open-access journals and presentations at scientific congresses, seminars and meetings is also foreseen. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05772806.

Echocardiography and Electrocardiography in Detecting Atrial Cardiomyopathy: A Promising Path to Predicting Cardioembolic Strokes and Atrial Fibrillation.

(1) Background: Atrial cardiomyopathy constitutes an intrinsically prothrombotic atrial substrate that may promote atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic events, especially stroke, independently of the arrhythmia. Atrial reservoir strain is the echocardiography marker with the most robust evidence supporting its prognostic utility. The main aim of this study is to identify atrial cardiomyopathy by investigating the association between left atrial dysfunction in echocardiography and P-wave abnormalities in the surface electrocardiogram. (2) Methods: This is a community-based, multicenter, prospective cohort study. A randomized sample of 100 patients at a high risk of developing atrial fibrillation were evaluated using diverse echocardiography imaging techniques, and a standard electrocardiogram. (3) Results: Significant left atrial dysfunction, expressed by a left atrial reservoir strain < 26%, showed a relationship with the dilation of the left atrium (p < 0.001), the left atrial ejection fraction < 50% (p < 0.001), the presence of advanced interatrial block (p = 0.032), P-wave voltage in lead I < 0.1 mV (p = 0.008), and MVP ECG score (p = 0.036). (4) Conclusions: A significant relationship was observed between left atrial dysfunction and the presence of left atrial enlargement and other electrocardiography markers; all of them are non-invasive biomarkers of atrial cardiomyopathy.

Ten simple rules for a mom-friendly Academia.

Women (and all gender-discriminated people) are underrepresented in science, especially in leadership positions and higher stages of the scientific career. One of the main causes of career abandonment by women is maternity, with many women leaving Academia after having their first child because of the career penalties associated with motherhood. Thus, more actions to help scientific moms to balance family and academic work are urgently needed to increase representation of women and other gender discriminated people in Academia. Besides mothers, these rules may also benefit other groups such as mothers-to-be, fathers, caregivers, and women in general. Increasing women representation in science, including mothers, is critical because equality is a fundamental right, and because more diverse working environments are more productive and get to more optimal solutions. Here, we describe 10 simple rules that can be adopted in Academia to halt the abandonment of scientific careers by women after motherhood. We strongly encourage their implementation to increase gender diversity and equality in science.

Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018 / Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017–2018

Objetivo: Analizar la incidencia y letalidad de la neumonía neumocócica (NN) en adultos tras la implementación de la vacunación universal en los niños. Diseño: Estudio de cohortes de base poblacional. Emplazamiento: Atención primaria/hospital, Cataluña. Participantes: 2.059.645 personas≥50 años afiliadas al Institut Català de la Salut, con seguimiento retrospectivo entre 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Mediciones principales: El Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria (SIDIAP) de Cataluña fue usado para establecer las características basales de los miembros de la cohorte, clasificados en 3 estratos de riesgo: bajo (inmunocompetentes sin condiciones de riesgo), medio (inmunocompetentes con alguna condición de riesgo) y alto (inmunocompromiso/asplenia). La ocurrencia de NN entre los miembros de la cohorte fue identificada mediante Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos de los 64 hospitales catalanes de referencia. Resultados: Se registraron 3592 episodios de NN, con una incidencia de 90,7 casos por 100.000 personas-año (IC 95%: 85,2-96,5), siendo 11,9 bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 10,8-13,1) y 78,8 no bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 74,0-83,8). La incidencia aumentó sustancialmente según edad (37,3 en 50-64; 98,3 en 65-79 y 259,8 en ≥80 años) y estrato de riesgo basal (42,1; 120,7 y 238,6 en bajo, medio y alto riesgo, respectivamente). La letalidad global fue del 7,6% (10,8% en casos invasivos vs. 7,1%en no invasivos; p=0,004). En modelos multivariantes, estrato de riesgo alto y edad avanzada (>80 años) fueron los más fuertes predictores para padecer episodios invasivos y no invasivos, respectivamente. Conclusión: La incidencia y letalidad de la NN fue moderada en la población>50 años de Cataluña durante 2017-2018.(AU)

Objective: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. Design: Population-based cohort study. Setting: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. Participants: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. Main outcome measures: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. Results: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. Conclusion: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017–2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).(AU)

Incidence and risk factors of pneumococcal pneumonia in adults: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Infection caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, mainly invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and pneumococcal pneumonia (PP), are a major public health problem worldwide. This study investigated population-based incidence and risk of PP among Catalonian persons ≥ 50 years-old with and without specific underlying conditions/comorbidities, examining the influence of single and multi-comorbidities in the risk of suffering PP. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 2,059,645 persons ≥ 50 years-old in Catalonia, Spain, who were retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. The Catalonian information system for development of research in primary care (SIDIAP) was used to establish baseline characteristics of the cohort (comorbidities/underlying conditions), and PP cases were collected from discharge codes (ICD-10: J13) of the 68 referral Catalonian hospitals. RESULTS: Global incidence rate (IR) was 90.7 PP cases per 100,000 person-years, with a 7.6% (272/3592) case-fatality rate (CFR). Maximum IRs emerged among persons with history of previous IPD or all-cause pneumonia, followed by haematological neoplasia (475.0), HIV-infection (423.7), renal disease (384.9), chronic respiratory disease (314.7), liver disease (232.5), heart disease (221.4), alcoholism (204.8), solid cancer (186.2) and diabetes (159.6). IRs were 42.1, 89.9, 201.1, 350.9, 594.3 and 761.2 in persons with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and ≥ 5 comorbidities, respectively. In multivariable analyses, HIV-infection (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.16; 95% CI: 3.57-7.46), prior all-cause pneumonia (HR: 3.96; 95% CI: 3.45-4.55), haematological neoplasia (HR: 2.71; 95% CI: 2.06-3.57), chronic respiratory disease (HR: 2.66; 95% CI: 2.47-2.86) and prior IPD (HR: 2.56; 95% CI: 2.03-3.24) were major predictors for PP. CONCLUSION: Apart of increasing age and immunocompromising conditions (classically recognised as high-risk conditions), history of prior IPD/pneumonia, presence of chronic pulmonary/respiratory disease and/or co-existing multi-comorbidity (i.e., two or more underlying conditions) are major risk factors for PP in adults, with an excess risk near to immunocompromised subjects. Redefining risk categories for PP, including all the above-mentioned conditions into the high-risk category, could be necessary to improve prevention strategies in middle-aged and older adults.

[Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017-2018]. / Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. PARTICIPANTS: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. RESULTS: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017-2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).

Evaluating clinical effectiveness and impact of anti-pneumococcal vaccination in adults after universal childhood PCV13 implementation in Catalonia, 2017-2018.

Background: At present, because of indirect effects derived from routine childhood immunisation, clinical benefits vaccinating adults with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPsV23) and/or the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) are uncertain. This study investigated clinical effectiveness for both PPsV23/PCV13 in preventing pneumonia among Catalonian adults during an earlier 2-year period post-PCV13 free (publicly funded) approval for infants. Methods: We conducted a Population-based cohort study involving 2,059,645 adults ≥ 50 years in Catalonia, Spain, who were followed between 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Primary outcomes were hospitalisation from pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) or all-cause pneumonia (ACP) and main explanatory variable was PCV13/PPsV23 vaccination status. Cox regression models were used to estimate vaccination effectiveness adjusted by age/sex and underlying-risk conditions. Results: Cohort members were followed for 3,958,528 person-years (32,328 PCV13-vaccinated, 1,532,186 PPsV23-vaccinated), observing 3592 PP (131 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 2476 in PPsV23-vaccinated) and 24,136 ACP (876 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 17,550 in PPsV23-vaccinated). Incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) were 90.7 for PP (394.2 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 161.6 in PPsV23-vaccinated) and 609.7 for ACP (2636.3 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 1145.4 in PPsV23-vaccinated). The PCV13 was associated with an increased risk of PP (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.52; p = 0.046) and ACP (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.28-1.49; p < 0.001) whereas the PPsV23 did not alter the risk of PP (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.98-1.18; p = 0.153) and slightly increased the risk of ACP (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.10-1.18; p < 0.001). In supplementary analyses focused on at-risk individuals (i.e., elderly persons, immunocompromissing and other chronic illnesses) protective effects of vaccination did not emerge either. Conclusions: Data does not support clinical benefits from pneumococcal vaccination (nor PCV13 neither PPsV23) against pneumonia among Catalonian middle-aged and older adults in the current era of universal PCV13 childhood immunisation in our setting. New extended valency PCVs are greatly needed.

Ancient DNA elucidates the lost world of western Indian Ocean giant tortoises and reveals a new extinct species from Madagascar.

Before humans arrived, giant tortoises occurred on many western Indian Ocean islands. We combined ancient DNA, phylogenetic, ancestral range, and molecular clock analyses with radiocarbon and paleogeographic evidence to decipher their diversity and biogeography. Using a mitogenomic time tree, we propose that the ancestor of the extinct Mascarene tortoises spread from Africa in the Eocene to now-sunken islands northeast of Madagascar. From these islands, the Mascarenes were repeatedly colonized. Another out-of-Africa dispersal (latest Eocene/Oligocene) produced on Madagascar giant, large, and small tortoise species. Two giant and one large species disappeared c. 1000 to 600 years ago, the latter described here as new to science using nuclear and mitochondrial DNA. From Madagascar, the Granitic Seychelles were colonized (Early Pliocene) and from there, repeatedly Aldabra (Late Pleistocene). The Granitic Seychelles populations were eradicated and later reintroduced from Aldabra. Our results underline that integrating ancient DNA data into a multi-evidence framework substantially enhances the knowledge of the past diversity of island faunas.

Validity of the Espiro Mobile Application in the Interpretation of Spirometric Patterns: An App Accuracy Study.

Spirometry is a pulmonary function test where correct interpretation of the results is crucial for accurate diagnosis of disease. There are online tools to assist in the interpretation of spirometry results; however, as yet none are validated. We evaluated the interpretation accuracy of the Espiro app using pulmonologist interpretations as the gold standard. This is an observational descriptive study in which 118 spirometry results were interpreted by the Espiro app, two pulmonologists, two primary care physicians, and two residents of a primary care training program. We determined the interpretation accuracy of the Espiro app and the concordance of the pattern and severity interpretation between the Espiro app and each of the observers using Cohen's kappa coefficient (k). We obtained a sensitivity and specificity for the Espiro app of 97.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 86.8-99.9%) and 94.9% (95%CI: 87.4-98.6%) with pulmonologist 1 and 100% (95%CI: 91.6-100%) and 98.7% (95%CI: 92.9-99.9%) with pulmonologist 2. The concordance for the pattern interpretation was greater than k 0.907, representing almost perfect agreement. The concordance of the severity interpretation was greater than k 0.807, representing substantial to almost perfect agreement. We concluded that the Espiro app is a valid tool for spirometry interpretation.

Predation impact on threatened spur-thighed tortoises by golden eagles when main prey is scarce.

A reduction in adult survival in long-living species may compromise population growth rates. The spur-thighed tortoise (Testudo graeca) is a long-lived reptile that is threatened by habitat loss and fragmentation. Golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos), whose breeding habitats overlap that of tortoises, may predate them by dropping them onto rocks and breaking their carapaces. In SE Spain, the number of golden eagles has increased in the last decades and the abundance of their main prey (i.e., rabbits Oryctolagus cuniculus) has decreased. Our aims were to 1) describe the role of tortoises in golden eagles' diet, and 2) estimate the predation impact of golden eagles on tortoises in eagles' territories and in the regional tortoise population. We collected regurgitated pellets and prey remains under eagle nests and roosts, and obtained information on tortoise abundance and population structure and rabbit abundance. We found that tortoises were an alternative prey to rabbits, so that eagles shifted to the former where the latter were scarce. The average predation rate on tortoises was very low at the two studied scales. However, eagles showed a marked selection for adult female tortoises, which led the tortoise sex ratio to be biased towards males in those eagle territories with higher tortoise predation. Whether this may compromise the spur-thighed tortoise long-term population viability locally deserves further attention.

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain.

Objective: To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions. Methods: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. Results: Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98-25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10-1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61-1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51-0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk. Conclusion: In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.

Objetivo: Analizar incidencia y riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19 en adultos según distintas condiciones médicas preexistentes. Métodos: Cohorte de base poblacional que incluyó 79.083 personas ≥50 años en Tarragona. Características basales de la cohorte (edad/sexo, comorbilidades, medicaciones crónicas) se establecieron a 01-03-2020 y se registraron todos los casos de COVID-19 confirmada ocurridos en miembros de la cohorte hasta el 30-06-2020. Para estimación de riesgos se realizó regresión de Cox, con cálculo de hazard ratio (HR) ajustados por edad, sexo y comorbilidad. Resultados: Se observaron 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 (incidencia media: 39,5 casos por 100.000 personas-semana). En análisis multivariante, edad/años (HR: 1,01; IC el 95%: 1,00-1,02; p = 0,050), estar institucionalizado/residencia (HR: 20,19; IC 95%: 15,98-25,51; p<0,001), enfermedad neurológica (HR: 1,35; IC el 95%: 1,03-1,77), diuréticos (HR: 1,39; IC 95%: 1,10-1,75), antiagregantes plaquetarios (HR: 1,36; IC 95%: 1,05-1,76) y benzodiacepinas (HR: 1,24; IC 95%: 1,00-1,53) se asociaron con un riesgo aumentado de la COVID-19 analizando la totalidad de la cohorte; contrariamente, medicación IECA (HR: 0,78; IC el 95%: 0,61-1,00), ARA-II (HR: 0,70; IC el 95%: 0,51-0,96) y estatinas (HR: 0,75; IC el 95%: 0,58-0,96) se asociaron con menor riesgo. Entre personas no institucionalizadas, cáncer, nefropatía y cardiopatía se asociaron con mayor riesgo y vacunación antigripal con menor riesgo. Conclusión: En un área con relativamente baja incidencia de COVID-19, edad, institucionalización y múltiples comorbilidades aumentaron el riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19. Contrariamente, estatinas, inhibidores del sistema renina-angiotensina y vacunación antigripal se asociaron con menor riesgo.

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain / Susceptibilidad y riesgo de infección por SARS-CoV-2 en adultos mayores de 50 años en el área de Tarragona

Objective:To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions.Methods:Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020–30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. Results:Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00–1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98–25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03–1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10–1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05–1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00–1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61–1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51–0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58–0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk.Conclusion:In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.(AU)

Objetivo:Analizar incidencia y riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19 en adultos según distintas condiciones médicas preexistentes. Métodos:Cohorte de base poblacional que incluyó 79.083 personas ≥50 años en Tarragona. Características basales de la cohorte (edad/sexo, comorbilidades, medicaciones crónicas) se establecieron a 01-03-2020 y se registraron todos los casos de COVID-19 confirmada ocurridos en miembros de la cohorte hasta el 30-06-2020. Para estimación de riesgos se realizó regresión de Cox, con cálculo de hazard ratio (HR) ajustados por edad, sexo y comorbilidad.Resultados:Se observaron 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 (incidencia media: 39,5 casos por 100.000 personas-semana). En análisis multivariante, edad/años (HR: 1,01; IC el 95%: 1,00-1,02; p=0,050), estar institucionalizado/residencia (HR: 20,19; IC 95%: 15,98-25,51; p<0,001), enfermedad neurológica (HR: 1,35; IC el 95%: 1,03-1,77), diuréticos (HR: 1,39; IC 95%: 1,10-1,75), antiagregantes plaquetarios (HR: 1,36; IC 95%: 1,05-1,76) y benzodiacepinas (HR: 1,24; IC 95%: 1,00-1,53) se asociaron con un riesgo aumentado de la COVID-19 analizando la totalidad de la cohorte; contrariamente, medicación IECA (HR: 0,78; IC el 95%: 0,61-1,00), ARA-II (HR: 0,70; IC el 95%: 0,51-0,96) y estatinas (HR: 0,75; IC el 95%: 0,58-0,96) se asociaron con menor riesgo. Entre personas no institucionalizadas, cáncer, nefropatía y cardiopatía se asociaron con mayor riesgo y vacunación antigripal con menor riesgo.Conclusión:En un área con relativamente baja incidencia de COVID-19, edad, institucionalización y múltiples comorbilidades aumentaron el riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19. Contrariamente, estatinas, inhibidores del sistema renina-angiotensina y vacunación antigripal se asociaron con menor riesgo. (AU)

Discordant phylogeographic patterns between the tortoise tick Hyalomma aegyptium and their Testudo graeca hosts.

Tortoise ticks, Hyalomma aegyptium, are considered so strongly associated with their hosts that they are even used as indirect indicators for them. In such a case, a robust pattern of congruence between host and parasite could be expected, with phylogeographic breaks within the host being reflected in their parasites. We sequenced two mitochondrial partial gene regions (12S rRNA and Cytochrome Oxidase 1) from ticks across northern Africa and Anatolia, and compared patterns of variation with those identified in its main host, Testudo graeca. Two distinct haplogroups were identified, both of which were found distributed across much of northern Africa. This pattern does not reflect the known variation within the host, which has multiple, geographically disjunct subspecies in this region, but rather the major climatic zones. This relationship can be explained by adaptive processes to environmental conditions influenced by the climate, as well as by the spatial structure of the communities of tick potential hosts in larval and nymphal stages. Extensive anthropogenic movement of tortoises may also obscure congruence patterns between H. aegyptium ticks and their hosts.

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. RESULTS: Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98-25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10-1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61-1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51-0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk. CONCLUSION: In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.

COVID19-related and all-cause mortality risk among middle-aged and older adults across the first epidemic wave of SARS-COV-2 infection: a population-based cohort stuJune 2020.dy in Southern Catalonia, Spain, March-

BACKGROUND: Direct and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated all-cause and COVID19-related deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (those occurred among patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Cohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related deaths). Of the 124 deceased patients with a laboratory-confirmed COVID19, 112 (90.3%) died by (due to) COVID-19, while 12 (9.7%) died with COVID-19 (but likely due to other concomitant causes). All-cause mortality rate among cohort members across study period was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 among healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. Increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.10), sex male (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.24-2.70), nursing-home residence (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 8.07-19.54) and number of pre-existing comorbidities (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01-1.29) were significant predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none specific comorbidity emerged significantly associated with an increased risk in multivariable analysis evaluating it. CONCLUSION: COVID19-related deaths represented more than 20 % of all-cause mortality occurred among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of the pandemic in the region. A considerable proportion (around 10 %) of these COVID19-related deaths could be attributed to other concomitant causes. Theoretically COVID19-excluded subjects (PCR-negative) suffered ten-times greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which points to the existence of considerable number of false negative results in earlier PCR testing and could explain part of the global excess all-cause mortality observed during the pandemic.

Analysis of Patient Safety Incidents in Primary Care Reported in an Electronic Registry Application.

OBJECTIVES: (1) To describe the epidemiology of patient safety (PS) incidents registered in an electronic notification system in primary care (PC) health centres; (2) to define a risk map; and (3) to identify the critical areas where intervention is needed. DESIGN: Descriptive analytical study of incidents reported from 1 January to 31 December 2018, on the TPSC Cloud™ platform (The Patient Safety Company) accessible from the corporate website (Intranet) of the regional public health service. SETTING: 24 Catalan Institute of Health PC health centres of the Tarragona region (Spain). PARTICIPANTS: Professionals from the PC health centres and a Patient Safety Functional Unit. MEASUREMENTS: Data obtained from records voluntarily submitted to an electronic, standardised and anonymised form. Data recorded: healthcare unit, notifier, type of incident, risk matrix, causal and contributing factors, preventability, level of resolution and improvement actions. RESULTS: A total of 1544 reports were reviewed and 1129 PS incidents were analysed: 25.0% of incidents did not reach the patient; 66.5% reached the patient without causing harm, and 8.5% caused adverse events. Nurses provided half of the reports (48.5%), while doctors reported more adverse events (70.8%; p < 0.01). Of the 96 adverse events, 46.9% only required observation, 34.4% caused temporary damage that required treatment, 13.5% required (or prolonged) hospitalization, and 5.2% caused severe permanent damage and/or a situation close to death. Notably, 99.2% were considered preventable. The main critical areas were: communication (27.8%), clinical-administrative management (25.1%), care delivery (23.5%) and medicines (18.4%); few incidents were related to diagnosis (3.6%). CONCLUSIONS: PS incident notification applications are adequate for reporting incidents and adverse events associated with healthcare. Approximately 75% and 10% of incidents reach the patient and cause some damage, respectively, and most cases are considered preventable. Adequate and strengthened risk management of critical areas is required to improve PS.

[Treatment setting, symptomatology, clinical course, severity degree and case-fatality rate in 536 adults over 50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, March-June 2020.] / Lugar de atención, sintomatología y curso clínico, gravedad y letalidad en 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 en adultos mayores de 50 años en el área de Tarragona, marzo-junio de 2020.

OBJECTIVE: Population-based clinical data on COVID-19 is scarce. This study analyzed distinct clinical characteristics of COVID-19 and relationships with lethality among adults. METHODS: Retrospective cohort that included all population ≥50 years with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, during 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Treatment setting (outpatient/hospital/nursing-home), pre-existing comorbidities, signs/symptoms, clinical course, severity and lethality (death from any cause in-hospital or within the first 30-day after the diagnosis) were determined. Chi squared and Fisher's test were used to compare percentages. RESULTS: Of the 536 overall cases (mean age: 74 years; 43.8% male), 150 (28%) were outpatient, 179 (33.4%) were hospitalised and 207 (38.6%) happened in nursing-home/social-health centres. The most prevalent symptoms were fever (57.9%), cough (49.8%), dyspnea (41.5%), general discomfort (36.2%), fatigue (24.4%), diarrhea (19.6%), myalgias (17.3%), headache (14.6%), confusion/lethargy (14.6%), thoracic pain (10%), anosmia (9.8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8.1%) and sore throat (7.7%). Global lethality was 23.1% (1.7% in 50-64 years vs 25.5% in 65-79 years vs 38.7% in ≥80 years, p<0.001; 26.8% in men vs 20.3% in women, p=0.075; 3.3% in outpatient vs 29.6% in hospitalised vs 31.9% in nursing-home/social-health centres, p<0.001). By symptomatology, maximum lethality was observed among patients with confusion/lethargy (77.6%) and minimum among those with ageusia/disgeusia (4.8%), anosmia (3.9%) or myalgias (1.1%). By pre-existing comorbidities, greater lethality happened among patients with neurologic (36.7%), renal (35.4%) and cardiac disease (35.3%). CONCLUSIONS: There was a relatively great lethality of COVID-19 among the general population ≥50 years across the first epidemic wave in the study setting. Increasing age, male sex, nursing-home residence and several signs/symptoms and comorbidities were associated with higher mortality.

OBJETIVO: Los datos clínicos de ámbito poblacional sobre COVID-19 son escasos. Este estudio analizó distintas características de presentación de la enfermedad y su relación con letalidad en adultos de 50 años y más. METODOS: Cohorte retrospectiva que incluyó todas las personas mayores o con 50 años con diagnóstico confirmado de COVID-19 en Tarragona del 01/03/2020 al 30/06/2020 (n=536). Se valoró el lugar de atención/tratamiento (ambulatorio/hospital/residencia), las comorbilidades previas, los signos/síntomas de presentación, el curso clínico, la gravedad y la letalidad (muerte por cualquier causa en 30 días post-diagnóstico). Chi cuadrado y test exacto de Fisher se usaron para la comparación de proporciones. RESULTADOS: De los 536 casos (edad media 74 años, 43,8% varones), 150 (28%) fueron ambulatorios, 179 (33,4%) hospitalizados y 207 (38,6%) ocurrieron en residencias/sociosanitarios. Los síntomas más prevalentes fueron fiebre (57,9%), tos (49,8%), disnea (41,5%, malestar general (36,2%), fatiga (24,4%), diarrea (19,6%), mialgias (17,3%), cefalea (14,6%), confusión/letargia (14,6%), dolor torácico (10%), anosmia (9,8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8,1%) y odinofagia (7,7%). La letalidad global fue 23,1% (1,7% en 50-64 años, 25,5% en 65-79 años y 38,7% en ≥80 años, p<0,001; 26,8% en hombres vs 20,3% en mujeres, p=0,075; 3,3% en ambulatorio/domicilio vs 29,6% en hospitalizados vs 31,9% en residencias/sociosanitarios, p<0,001). Según sintomatología, la máxima letalidad se observó en pacientes con confusión/letargia (77,6%) y la mínima en aquellos con ageusia/disgeusia (4,8%), anosmia (3,9%) o mialgias (1,1%). Según la comorbilidad, la máxima letalidad apareció en pacientes con enfermedad neurológica (36,7%), renal (35,4%) y cardiaca (35,3%). CONCLUSIONES: Se constata una relativamente alta letalidad de la COVID-19 en la población general mayor o de 50 años durante la primera ola epidémica. La edad avanzada, el sexo varón, la institucionalización y la presencia de algunos signos/síntomas y/o comorbilidades se asociaron con mayor mortalidad.

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings / Desarrollo de una escala predictiva simple para la valoración pronóstica de pacientes COVID19 en atención primaria

Objective: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. Design: Community-based retrospective cohort. Setting: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. Participants: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Main outcome measurements: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. Results: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30–150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1–81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.07; p=0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54–18.48; p=0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74–10.69; p<0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10–0.93; p=0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774–0.882).(AU)

Objetivo: Investigar posibles factores pronósticos y escalas predictivas simples en adultos mayores con COVID-19. Diseño: Cohorte retrospectiva de base comunitaria. Emplazamiento: Atención Primaria Tarragona. Participantes: 282 adultos ≥50años no institucionalizados con COVID-19 confirmada (hospitalizada o ambulatoria) ocurrida durante marzo-junio de 2020. Mediciones principales: La relación entre covariables basales (edad, sexo, condiciones/comorbilidades preexistentes y sintomatología inicial) y el riesgo de mala evolución (ingreso en UCI o muerte) se analizó mediante modelos de regresión logística. Resultados: De los 282 casos de COVID-19 (edad media 65,9años; 49,6% varones), 154 (54,6%) fueron hospitalizados (30 ingresados en UCI) y 45 (16%) fallecieron. En total, 64 (22,7%) requirieron UCI o fallecieron. La mediana de tiempo de seguimiento durante el curso clínico fue de 31días (rango: 30-150) en los pacientes que sobrevivieron y de 14días (rango: 1-81) en fallecidos. En análisis crudos, la edad/años, sexo varón, algunas comorbilidades (enfermedad renal, respiratoria o cardiaca, diabetes e hipertensión) y síntomas (confusión/letargia, disnea) se asociaron con mayor riesgo de UCI/muerte, mientras que otros síntomas (rinorrea, mialgias, cefalea, ageusia/anosmia) se asociaron con menor riesgo. En análisis multivariable solo la edad/años (OR: 1,04; IC95%: 1,01-1,07; p=0,004), confusión/letargia (OR: 5,33; IC95%: 1,54-18,48; p=0,008), disnea (OR: 5,41; IC95%: 2,74-10,69; p<0,001) y mialgias (OR: 0,30; IC95%: 0,10-0,93; p=0,038) permanecieron significativamente asociadas con mayor/menor riesgo. Una posible escala pronóstica CD65-M (acrónimo de las 4 variables mencionadas) mostró buena correlación con el riesgo de UCI/muerte (área bajo la curva ROC: 0,828; IC95%: 0,774-0,882).(AU)