Short-Term Prediction of Preeclampsia in Chinese Women Using the Soluble fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase 1/Placental Growth Factor Ratio: A Sub-Analysis of the PROGNOSIS Asia Study.

The diagnosis of preeclampsia in China currently relies on limited clinical signs and unspecific laboratory findings. These are inadequate predictors of preeclampsia development, limiting early diagnosis and appropriate management. Previously, the Prediction of Short-Term Outcome in Pregnant Women with Suspected Preeclampsia Study (PROGNOSIS) and PROGNOSIS Asia demonstrated that a soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio of ≤38 can be used to rule out preeclampsia within 1 week, with negative predictive values of 99.3 and 98.6%, respectively. This is an exploratory sub-analysis of the Chinese cohort (n = 225) of the PROGNOSIS Asia study. The primary objectives were to assess the predictive performance of using the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio to rule out preeclampsia within 1 week and to rule in preeclampsia within 4 weeks. The sFlt-1/PlGF ratio was also examined for short-term prediction of fetal adverse outcomes, maternal adverse outcomes, and time to delivery. The overall prevalence of preeclampsia was 17.3%. With the use of an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of ≤38, the negative predictive value for ruling out preeclampsia within 1 week was 97.3% [95% confidence interval (CI), 93.8-99.1], with a sensitivity of 64.3% and specificity of 85.3%. With the use of an sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of >38, the positive predictive value for ruling in preeclampsia within 4 weeks was 35.0% (95% CI, 20.6-51.7), with a sensitivity of 50.0% and specificity of 86.8%. In the analyses of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio and fetal adverse outcomes, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 92.8% (95% CI, 83.5-98.7) for ruling out fetal adverse outcomes within 1 week and 79.9% (95% CI, 68.1-90.3) for ruling in fetal adverse outcomes within 4 weeks. An sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of >38 increased the likelihood of imminent delivery 3.3-fold compared with a ratio of ≤38 [hazard ratio, 3.3 (95% CI, 2.1-5.1)]. This sub-analysis confirms the high predictive performance of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cutoff of 38 for short-term prediction of preeclampsia in Chinese women, which may help prevent unnecessary hospitalization of women with low risk of developing preeclampsia.

Short-term prediction of preeclampsia using the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio: a subanalysis of pregnant Japanese women from the PROGNOSIS Asia study.

Two prospective multicenter studies demonstrated that a soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio cutoff of ≤38 can rule out preeclampsia within 1 week with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.3% (PROGNOSIS) and 98.6% (PROGNOSIS Asia). We report a subanalysis of the Japanese cohort from the PROGNOSIS Asia study. Pregnant women with suspected preeclampsia between gestational weeks 18 + 0 days and 36 + 6 days were enrolled at eight Japanese sites. Primary objectives: Assess the performance of the Elecsys® sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cutoff ≤38 to rule out preeclampsia within 1 week and of the cutoff >38 to rule in preeclampsia within 4 weeks. Key secondary objectives: Prediction of maternal and fetal adverse outcomes (MAOs/FAOs) and their relationship with duration of pregnancy. Of 192 women enrolled, 180 (93.8%)/175 (91.1%) were evaluable for primary/combined endpoint analyses. Overall preeclampsia prevalence was 13.3%. A sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of ≤38 provided an NPV of 100% (95% confidence interval [CI], 97.5-100) for ruling out preeclampsia within 1 week, and a ratio of >38 provided a positive predictive value of 32.4% (95% CI, 18.0-49.8) for ruling in preeclampsia within 4 weeks. The area under the curve for the prediction of preeclampsia/maternal/fetal adverse outcomes within 1 week was 94.2% (95% CI, 89.3-97.8). After adjusting for gestational age and final preeclampsia status, Cox regression indicated a 2.8-fold greater risk of imminent delivery for women with a sFlt-1/PlGF ratio >38 versus ≤38. This subanalysis of Japanese women with suspicion of preeclampsia showed high predictive value for a Elecsys sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cutoff of 38 for short-term prediction of preeclampsia.

Short-Term Prediction of Adverse Outcomes Using the sFlt-1 (Soluble fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase 1)/PlGF (Placental Growth Factor) Ratio in Asian Women With Suspected Preeclampsia.

Current diagnostic criteria have limited clinical value for prediction of preeclampsia and fetal adverse outcomes. The prediction of short-term outcome in pregnant women with suspected preeclampsia study in Asia (PROGNOSIS Asia) was a prospective, multicenter study designed to investigate the value of the sFlt-1 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1)/PlGF (placental growth factor) ratio for predicting adverse outcomes in pregnant Asian women with suspected preeclampsia. Seven hundred sixty-four pregnant women at gestational week 20+0 days (18+0 days in Japan) to 36+6 days were enrolled at 25 sites in Asia. The primary objectives were to demonstrate the value of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for ruling out preeclampsia within 1 week and ruling in preeclampsia within 4 weeks. The value of the ratio for predicting fetal adverse outcomes was also assessed. Seven hundred patients were evaluable for primary end point analysis. The prevalence of preeclampsia was 14.4%. An sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of ≤38 had a negative predictive value of 98.6% (95% CI, 97.2%-99.4%) for ruling out preeclampsia within 1 week, with 76.5% sensitivity and 82.1% specificity. The positive predictive value of a ratio of >38 for ruling in preeclampsia within 4 weeks was 30.3% (95% CI, 23.0%-38.5%), with 62.0% sensitivity and 83.9% specificity. An sFlt-1/PlGF ratio of ≤38 had a negative predictive value of 98.9% (95% CI, 97.6%-99.6%) for ruling out fetal adverse outcomes within 1 week and a ratio of >38 had a positive predictive value of 53.5% (95% CI, 45.0%-61.8%) for ruling in fetal adverse outcomes within 4 weeks. The sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cutoff of 38 demonstrated clinical value for the short-term prediction of preeclampsia in Asian women with suspected preeclampsia, potentially helping to prevent unnecessary hospitalization and intervention.

Comparison of approaches for incorporating new information into existing risk prediction models.

We compare the calibration and variability of risk prediction models that were estimated using various approaches for combining information on new predictors, termed 'markers', with parameter information available for other variables from an earlier model, which was estimated from a large data source. We assess the performance of risk prediction models updated based on likelihood ratio (LR) approaches that incorporate dependence between new and old risk factors as well as approaches that assume independence ('naive Bayes' methods). We study the impact of estimating the LR by (i) fitting a single model to cases and non-cases when the distribution of the new markers is in the exponential family or (ii) fitting separate models to cases and non-cases. We also evaluate a new constrained maximum likelihood method. We study updating the risk prediction model when the new data arise from a cohort and extend available methods to accommodate updating when the new data source is a case-control study. To create realistic correlations between predictors, we also based simulations on real data on response to antiviral therapy for hepatitis C. From these studies, we recommend the LR method fit using a single model or constrained maximum likelihood. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Predictors of free flap loss in the head and neck region: A four-year retrospective study with 451 microvascular transplants at a single centre.

INTRODUCTION: Microvascular free flaps have become an essential part of reconstructive surgery following head and neck tumour ablation. The authors' aim was to investigate the influence of cardiovascular risk factors, preoperative irradiation, previous operations and metabolically active medication on free flap loss in order to predict patients at risk and to improve their therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients who underwent reconstructive surgery with microvascular free flaps in the head and neck region between 2009 and 2013 were retrospectively analysed. Uni- and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to determine the association between possible predictor variables for free flap loss. RESULTS: We included 451 patients in our analysis. The overall free flap failure rate was 4.0%. Multivariate regression analysis revealed significantly increased risks of free flap failure depending on prior attempts at microvascular transplants (p < 0.001, OR = 14.21) and length of hospitalisation (p = 0.007, OR = 1.05). CONCLUSIONS: With consistently low rates of flap failure, microvascular reconstruction of defects in the head and neck region has proven to be highly reliable, even in patients with comorbidities. The expertise of the operating team seems to remain the main factor affecting flap success. The only discerned independent predictor was previously failed attempts at microvascular reconstruction.

Finasteride Reduces Risk of Bladder Cancer in a Large Prospective Screening Study.

UNLABELLED: The androgen receptor has been implicated in the development and progression of bladder cancer (BCa), largely based on studies of animal models. We investigated whether finasteride was associated with a reduced incidence of BCa as observed by self-report in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian cancer screening trial. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to determine the association of finasteride use with time to diagnosis of BCa, controlling for age and tobacco use. Of the 72,370 male participants who met inclusion criteria, 6069 (8.4%) had reported the use of finasteride. BCa was diagnosed in 1.07% (65 of 6069) of those who reported finasteride compared with 1.46% (966 of 66,301) of those who reported no use during the trial. In a multiple Cox regression analysis, self-reported use of finasteride was associated with a decreased risk of development of BCa (hazard ratio: 0.634; 95% confidence interval, 0.493-0.816; p=0.0004), controlling for age and smoking. Limitations of this study include that it is observational and not randomized, that many of the confounding variables for BCa, such as alcohol use, were not available for use in the analysis, and that finasteride use was by annual self-report, which is subject to missing values and error. PATIENT SUMMARY: Finasteride is a common medication used to reduce the size of the prostate and to promote hair growth by manipulating testosterone in men. Men are more likely than women to develop bladder cancer (BCa), but our study noted that men using finasteride were less likely to have a BCa diagnosis.

No Detrimental Effect of a Positive Family History on Long-Term Outcomes Following Radical Prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: Overall 1 in 5 patients with prostate cancer has a positive family history. In this report we evaluated the association between family history and long-term outcomes following radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients treated with radical prostatectomy were identified from a German registry, and separated into positive first-degree family history vs negative family history (strictly negative, requiring at least 1 male first-degree relative older than 60 years and no prostate cancer in the family). Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used for association analyses with biochemical recurrence-free and prostate cancer specific survival. RESULTS: Median followup for 7,690 men included in the study was 8.4 years. Of the 754 younger patients less than 55 years old 50.9% (384) had a family history compared to 40.4% of the older patients (2,803; p <0.001). The 10-year biochemical recurrence-free (62.5%) and prostate cancer specific survival (96.1%) rates did not differ between patients with vs without a family history, nor between the younger vs older patient groups (all p >0.05). Prostate specific antigen, pathological stage, node stage and Gleason score were the only significant predictors for biochemical recurrence-free survival, while pathological stage, node stage (all p <0.005) and Gleason score (Gleason 7 vs 6 or less-HR 1.711, 95% CI 1.056-2.774, p = 0.03; Gleason 8 or greater vs 6 or less-HR 4.516, 95% CI 2.776-7.347, p <0.0001) were the only predictors for prostate cancer specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: A family history of prostate cancer has no bearing on long-term outcomes after radical prostatectomy.

A simple-to-use method incorporating genomic markers into prostate cancer risk prediction tools facilitated future validation.

OBJECTIVES: To incorporate single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) into the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial Risk Calculator (PCPTRC). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A multivariate random-effects meta-analysis of likelihood ratios (LRs) for 30 validated SNPs was performed, allowing the incorporation of linkage disequilibrium. LRs for an SNP were defined as the ratio of the probability of observing the SNP in prostate cancer cases relative to controls and estimated by published allele or genotype frequencies. LRs were multiplied by the PCPTRC prior odds of prostate cancer to provide updated posterior odds. RESULTS: In the meta-analysis (prostate cancer cases/controls = 386,538/985,968), all but two of the SNPs had at least one statistically significant allele LR (P < 0.05). The two SNPs with the largest LRs were rs16901979 [LR = 1.575 for one risk allele, 2.552 for two risk alleles (homozygous)] and rs1447295 (LR = 1.307 and 1.887, respectively). CONCLUSION: The substantial investment in genome-wide association studies to discover SNPs associated with prostate cancer risk and the ability to integrate these findings into the PCPTRC allows investigators to validate these observations, to determine the clinical impact, and to ultimately improve clinical practice in the early detection of the most common cancer in men.

Incorporation of detailed family history from the Swedish Family Cancer Database into the PCPT risk calculator.

PURPOSE: A detailed family history provides an inexpensive alternative to genetic profiling for individual risk assessment. We updated the PCPT Risk Calculator to include detailed family histories. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 55,168 prostate cancer cases and 638,218 controls from the Swedish Family Cancer Database who were 55 years old or older in 1999 and had at least 1 male first-degree relative 40 years old or older and 1 female first-degree relative 30 years old or older. Likelihood ratios, calculated as the ratio of risk of observing a specific family history pattern in a prostate cancer case compared to a control, were used to update the PCPT Risk Calculator. RESULTS: Having at least 1 relative with prostate cancer increased the risk of prostate cancer. The likelihood ratio was 1.63 for 1 first-degree relative 60 years old or older at diagnosis (10.1% of cancer cases vs 6.2% of controls), 2.47 if the relative was younger than 60 years (1.5% vs 0.6%), 3.46 for 2 or more relatives 60 years old or older (1.2% vs 0.3%) and 5.68 for 2 or more relatives younger than 60 years (0.05% vs 0.009%). Among men with no diagnosed first-degree relatives the likelihood ratio was 1.09 for 1 or more second-degree relatives diagnosed with prostate cancer (12.7% vs 11.7%). Additional first-degree relatives with breast cancer, or first-degree or second-degree relatives with prostate cancer compounded these risks. CONCLUSIONS: A detailed family history is an independent predictor of prostate cancer compared to commonly used risk factors. It should be incorporated into decision making for biopsy. Compared with other costly biomarkers it is inexpensive and universally available.

Effects of ribosomal proteins S1, S2 and the DeaD/CsdA DEAD-box helicase on translation of leaderless and canonical mRNAs in Escherichia coli.

Leaderless mRNAs beginning with the AUG initiating codon occur in all kingdoms of life. It has been previously reported that translation of the leaderless cI mRNA is stimulated in an Escherichia coli rpsB mutant deficient in ribosomal protein S2. Here, we have studied this phenomenon at the molecular level by making use of an E. coli rpsB(ts) mutant. The analysis of the ribosomes isolated under the non-permissive conditions revealed that in addition to ribosomal protein S2, ribosomal protein S1 was absent, demonstrating that S2 is essential for binding of S1 to the 30S ribosomal subunit. In vitro translation assays and the selective translation of a leaderless mRNA in vivo at the non-permissive temperature corroborate and extend previous in vitro ribosome binding studies in that S1 is indeed dispensable for translation of leaderless mRNAs. The deaD/csdA gene, encoding the "DeaD/CsdA" DEAD-box helicase, has been isolated as a multicopy suppressor of rpsB(ts) mutations. Here, we show that expression of a plasmid-borne DeaD/CsdA gene restores both S1 and S2 on the ribosome at the non-permissive temperature in the rpsB(ts) strain, which in turn leads to suppression of the translational defect affecting canonical mRNSa. These data are discussed in terms of a model, wherein DeaD/CsdA is involved in ribosome biogenesis rather than acting directly on mRNA.

Temperature-dependent translation of leaderless and canonical mRNAs in Escherichia coli.

Leaderless mRNAs beginning with a 5'-terminal start codon occur in all biological systems. In this work, we have studied the comparative translational efficiency of leaderless and leadered mRNAs as a function of temperature by in vitro translation competition assays with Escherichia coli extracts. At low temperature (25 degrees C) leaderless mRNAs were found to be translated comparatively better than mRNAs containing an internal canonical ribosome binding site, whereas at high temperature (42 degrees C) the translational efficiency of canonical mRNAs is by far superior to that of leaderless mRNA. The inverse correlation between temperature and translational efficiency characteristic for the two mRNA classes was attributed to structural features of the mRNA(s) and to the reduced stability of the translation initiation complex formed at a 5'-terminal start codon at elevated temperature.

Leaderless mRNAs in bacteria: surprises in ribosomal recruitment and translational control.

It is commonly believed that the translational efficiency of prokaryotic mRNAs is intrinsically determined by both primary and secondary structures of their translational initiation regions. However, for leaderless mRNAs starting with the AUG initiating codon occurring in bacteria, archaea and eukaryotes, there is no evidence for ribosomal recruitment signals downstream of the 5'-terminal AUG that seems to be the only necessary and constant element. Studies in Escherichia coli have brought to light that the ratio of initiation factors IF2 and IF3 plays a decisive role in translation initiation of leaderless mRNA, indicating that the translational efficiency of this mRNA class can be modulated depending on the availability of components of the translational machinery. Recent data suggested that the start codon of bacterial leaderless mRNAs is recognized by a ribosome-IF2-fMet-tRNA complex, an intermediate equivalent to that obligatorily formed during translation initiation in eukaryotes, which points to a conceptual similarity in all initiation pathways. In fact, the faithful translation of leaderless mRNAs in heterologous systems shows that the ability to translate leaderless mRNAs is an evolutionarily conserved function of the translational apparatus.