Smoking is associated with progressive disease course and increased progression in clinical disability in a prospective cohort of people with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis has a variable disease course. The contribution of modifiable lifestyle factors to disease course has not been well studied, although one cohort has reported that smoking is associated with conversion to secondary progressive MS course and another that smoking is not. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of people with MS in Southern Tasmania from 2002 to 2004 with 78% (203/259) of eligible participating and 198 with one or more reviews and confirmed MS. The cohort had a high retention rate (90% (183/203)). The median follow-up time was 909 days. Smoking data were collected at baseline and six-monthly reviews. Clinical disability assessments were conducted annually in conjunction with a real time clinical notification system for relapses. A repeated measures analysis and other statistical methods were used. RESULTS: Cumulative pack-years (p-y) smoked after cohort entry was associated with an increase in longitudinal MSSS (p < 0.001). Relative to the 0 pack years (p-y) category (in the year prior to the MSSS measure) those in the 0 to 1 p-y category had an adjusted mean difference in MSSS of 0.34 (95% CI 0.28, 0.66); those in the 1 to 2 p-y category had a 0.41 (95% CI -0.03, 0.85) increase; and those in the 2 or more p-y category had a 0.99 (95% CI 0.41, 1.58) increase in MSSS. Similar results were found using a variety of statistical approaches or EDSS as a clinical outcome. Smoking during the cohort period was not associated with relapse (cumulative pack years smoked after cohort entry, HR 0.94 (0.69, 1.26) per pack year). CONCLUSION: A better understanding of the mechanisms underlying smoking and multiple sclerosis, particularly progressive forms of the disease, may provide new insights for the eventual goal of better treatment and prevention of multiple sclerosis.

Multiple sclerosis: a haplotype association study.

Results are presented from a genomewide haplotype association study on multiple sclerosis (MS) cases from Tasmania, an island state of Australia. Cases were ascertained on strict clinical and radiological grounds and on the fact that they had at least one grandparent born in the state. This enriched for early settler chromosomes among present day Tasmanians with MS and increased the chances of finding common haplotype sharing at disease predisposition loci in distant relatives sharing common ancestral haplotypes. Four-to-five close relatives were also collected for each of 170 cases and 105 population-based controls. All were genotyped at a 5cM resolution, haplotypes reconstructed and sharing estimated using an empirical approach based on sorting haplotypes to find the most common at each locus and then generating a test statistic for excess sharing in the cases based on permutation testing. Five initial loci were found where there was an excess sharing in the cases. These were fine-mapped with 10-12 additional markers. Only loci on chromosomes 6 and 10 remained after fine mapping. These loci demonstrate an increase in sharing of multi-marker haplotypes in MS cases compared to both population control transmitted haplotypes and case non-transmitted haplotypes.

Genetic dissection of the human leukocyte antigen region by use of haplotypes of Tasmanians with multiple sclerosis.

Association of multiple sclerosis (MS) with the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II haplotype DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 is the most consistently replicated finding of genetic studies of the disease. However, the high level of linkage disequilibrium (LD) in the HLA region has hindered the identification of other loci that single-marker tests for association are unlikely to resolve. In order to address this issue, we generated haplotypes spanning 14.754 Mb (5 cM) across the entire HLA region. The haplotypes, which were inferred by genotyping relatives of 152 patients with MS and 105 unaffected control subjects of Tasmanian ancestry, define a genomic segment from D6S276 to D6S291, including 13 microsatellite markers integrated with allele-typing data for DRB1 and DQB1. Association to the DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 haplotype was replicated. In addition, we found that the class I/extended class I region, defined by a genomic segment of approximately 400 kb between MOGCA and D6S265, harbors genes that independently increase risk of, or provide protection from, MS. Log-linear modeling analysis of constituent haplotypes that represent genomic regions containing class I (MOGCA-D6S265), class III (TNFa-TNFd-D6S273), and class II (DRB1-DQB1) genes indicated that having class I and class II susceptibility variants on the same haplotype provides an additive effect on risk. Moreover, we found no evidence for a disease locus in the class III region defined by a 150-kb genomic segment containing the TNF locus and 14 other genes. A global overview of LD performed using GOLD identified two discrete blocks of LD in the HLA region that correspond well with previous findings. We propose that the analysis of haplotypes, by use of the types of approaches outlined in the present article, should make it possible to more accurately define the contribution of the HLA to MS.