Preoperative and postoperative predictive models of early recurrence for colorectal liver metastases following chemotherapy and curative-intent one-stage hepatectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate prediction of patients at risk for early recurrence (ER) among patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) following preoperative chemotherapy and hepatectomy remains limited. METHODS: Patients with CRLM who received chemotherapy prior to undergoing curative-intent resection between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to assess clinicopathological factors associated with ER, and an online calculator was developed and validated. RESULTS: Among 768 patients undergoing preoperative chemotherapy and curative-intent resection, 128 (16.7 %) patients had ER. Multivariable Cox analysis demonstrated that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance status ≥1 (HR 2.09, 95%CI 1.46-2.98), rectal cancer (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.35-2.83), lymph node metastases (HR 2.39, 95%CI 1.60-3.56), mutated Kirsten rat sarcoma oncogene status (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.25-3.02), increase in tumor burden score during chemotherapy (HR 1.51, 95%CI 1.03-2.24), and bilateral metastases (HR 1.94, 95%CI 1.35-2.79) were independent predictors of ER in the preoperative setting. In the postoperative model, in addition to the aforementioned factors, tumor regression grade was associated with higher hazards of ER (HR 1.91, 95%CI 1.32-2.75), while receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with lower likelihood of ER (HR 0.44, 95%CI 0.30-0.63). The discriminative accuracy of the preoperative (training: c-index: 0.77, 95%CI 0.72-0.81; internal validation: c-index: 0.79, 95%CI 0.75-0.82) and postoperative (training: c-index: 0.79, 95%CI 0.75-0.83; internal validation: c-index: 0.81, 95%CI 0.77-0.84) models was favorable (https://junkawashima.shinyapps.io/CRLMfollwingchemotherapy/). CONCLUSIONS: Patient-, tumor- and treatment-related characteristics in the preoperative and postoperative setting were utilized to develop an online, easy-to-use risk calculator for ER following resection of CRLM.

Prognostic significance of postoperative complications for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma relative to alpha-feto protein and tumor burden score.

BACKGROUND: We sought to elucidate the impact of postoperative complications on patient outcomes relative to differences in alpha-fetoprotein-tumor burden score (ATS) among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international database. Moderate/severe complications were defined using the optimal cut-off value of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) based on the log-rank test. RESULTS: A total of 1124 patients was included. CCI cut-off value of 16.6 was identified as the optimal prognostic threshold. Patients who experienced moderate/severe complications were more likely to have worse recurrence free survival [RFS] versus individuals who had no/mild complications (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: 55.9% vs. moderate/severe complication: 38.1% p < 0.001). Of note, low and medium ATS patients who experienced moderate/severe complications had a higher risk of recurrence (2-year RFS; no/mild complication: postoperative complications 70.0% vs. moderate/severe complication: 51.1%, p = 0.006; medium: no/mild complication: 50.8% vs moderate/severe complication: 56.7%, p = 0.01); however, postoperative complications were not associated with worse outcomes among patients with high ATS (no/mild complication: 39.1% vs. moderate/severe complication: 29.2%, p = 0.20). CONCLUSION: These data serve to emphasize how reduction in postoperative complications may be crucial to improve prognosis, particularly among patients with favorable HCC characteristics.

Impact of an artificial intelligence based model to predict non-transplantable recurrence among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop Artificial Intelligence (AI) based models to predict non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection (HR). METHODS: HCC patients who underwent HR between 2000-2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. NTR was defined as recurrence beyond Milan Criteria. Different machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques were used to develop and validate two prediction models for NTR, one using only preoperative factors and a second using both preoperative and postoperative factors. RESULTS: Overall, 1763 HCC patients were included. Among 877 patients with recurrence, 364 (41.5%) patients developed NTR. An ensemble AI model demonstrated the highest area under ROC curves (AUC) of 0.751 (95% CI: 0.719-0.782) and 0.717 (95% CI:0.653-0.782) in the training and testing cohorts, respectively which improved to 0.858 (95% CI: 0.835-0.884) and 0.764 (95% CI: 0.704-0.826), respectively after incorporation of postoperative pathologic factors. Radiologic tumor burden score and pathological microvascular invasion were the most important preoperative and postoperative factors, respectively to predict NTR. Patients predicted to develop NTR had overall 1- and 5-year survival of 75.6% and 28.2%, versus 93.4% and 55.9%, respectively, among patients predicted to not develop NTR (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: The AI preoperative model may help inform decision of HR versus LT for HCC, while the combined AI model can frame individualized postoperative care (https://altaf-pawlik-hcc-ntr-calculator.streamlit.app/).

Radiomics of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma and Peritumoral Tissue Predicts Postoperative Survival: Development of a CT-Based Clinical-Radiomic Model.

BACKGROUND: For many tumors, radiomics provided a relevant prognostic contribution. This study tested whether the computed tomography (CT)-based textural features of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and peritumoral tissue improve the prediction of survival after resection compared with the standard clinical indices. METHODS: All consecutive patients affected by ICC who underwent hepatectomy at six high-volume centers (2009-2019) were considered for the study. The arterial and portal phases of CT performed fewer than 60 days before surgery were analyzed. A manual segmentation of the tumor was performed (Tumor-VOI). A 5-mm volume expansion then was applied to identify the peritumoral tissue (Margin-VOI). RESULTS: The study enrolled 215 patients. After a median follow-up period of 28 months, the overall survival (OS) rate was 57.0%, and the progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 34.9% at 3 years. The clinical predictive model of OS had a C-index of 0.681. The addition of radiomic features led to a progressive improvement of performances (C-index of 0.71, including the portal Tumor-VOI, C-index of 0.752 including the portal Tumor- and Margin-VOI, C-index of 0.764, including all VOIs of the portal and arterial phases). The latter model combined clinical variables (CA19-9 and tumor pattern), tumor indices (density, homogeneity), margin data (kurtosis, compacity, shape), and GLRLM indices. The model had performance equivalent to that of the postoperative clinical model including the pathology data (C-index of 0.765). The same results were observed for PFS. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomics of ICC and peritumoral tissue extracted from preoperative CT improves the prediction of survival. Both the portal and arterial phases should be considered. Radiomic and clinical data are complementary and achieve a preoperative estimation of prognosis equivalent to that achieved in the postoperative setting.

Textbook outcome in liver surgery: open vs minimally invasive hepatectomy among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: We sought to investigate whether minimally invasive hepatectomy (MIH) was superior to open hepatectomy (OH) in terms of achieving textbook outcome in liver surgery (TOLS) after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international database. TOLS was defined by the absence of intraoperative grade ≥2 events, R1 resection margin, posthepatectomy liver failure, bile leakage, major complications, in-hospital mortality, and readmission. RESULTS: A total of 1039 patients who underwent HCC resection were included in the analysis. Although most patients underwent OH (n = 724 [69.7%]), 30.3% (n = 315) underwent MIH. Patients who underwent MIH had a lower tumor burden score (3.6 [IQR, 2.6-5.2] for MIH vs 6.1 [IQR, 3.9-10.1] for OH) and were more likely to undergo minor hepatectomy (84.1% [MIH] vs 53.6% [OH]) than patients who had an OH (both P < .001). After propensity score matching to control for baseline differences between the 2 cohorts, the incidence of TOLS was comparable among patients who had undergone MIH (56.6%) versus OH (64.8%) (P = .06). However, MIH was associated with a shorter length of hospital stay (6.0 days [IQR, 4.0-8.0] for MIH vs 9.0 days [IQR, 6.0-12.0] for OH). Among patients who had MIH, the odds ratio of achieving TOLS remained stable up to a tumor burden score of 4; after which the chance of TOLS with MIH markedly decreased. CONCLUSION: Patients with HCC who underwent resection with MIH versus OH had a comparable likelihood of TOLS, although MIH was associated with a short length of stay.

Higher Postoperative Mortality and Inferior Survival After Right-Sided Liver Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: Left-Sided Resection is Preferred When Possible.

BACKGROUND: A right- or left-sided liver resection can be considered in about half of patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), depending on tumor location and vascular involvement. This study compared postoperative mortality and long-term survival of right- versus left-sided liver resections for pCCA. METHODS: Patients who underwent major liver resection for pCCA at 25 Western centers were stratified according to the type of hepatectomy-left, extended left, right, and extended right. The primary outcomes were 90-day mortality and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2022, 1701 patients underwent major liver resection for pCCA. The 90-day mortality was 9% after left-sided and 18% after right-sided liver resection (p < 0.001). The 90-day mortality rates were 8% (44/540) after left, 11% (29/276) after extended left, 17% (51/309) after right, and 19% (108/576) after extended right hepatectomy (p < 0.001). Median OS was 30 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 27-34) after left and 23 months (95% CI 20-25) after right liver resection (p < 0.001), and 33 months (95% CI 28-38), 27 months (95% CI 23-32), 25 months (95% CI 21-30), and 21 months (95% CI 18-24) after left, extended left, right, and extended right hepatectomy, respectively (p < 0.001). A left-sided resection was an independent favorable prognostic factor for both 90-day mortality and OS compared with right-sided resection, with similar results after excluding 90-day fatalities. CONCLUSIONS: A left or extended left hepatectomy is associated with a lower 90-day mortality and superior OS compared with an (extended) right hepatectomy for pCCA. When both a left and right liver resection are feasible, a left-sided liver resection is preferred.

Recurrent Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A 10-Point Score to Predict Post-Recurrence Survival and Guide Treatment of Recurrence.

INTRODUCTION: Although up to 50-70% of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) recur following resection, data to predict post-recurrence survival (PRS) and guide treatment of recurrence are limited. METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of ICC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international, multi-institutional database. Data on primary disease as well as laboratory and radiologic data on recurrent disease were collected. Factors associated with PRS were examined and a novel scoring system to predict PRS (PRS score) was developed and internally validated. RESULTS: Among 986 individuals who underwent resection for ICC, 588 (59.6%) patients developed recurrence at a median follow up of 20.3 months. Among patients who experienced a recurrence, 97 (16.5%) underwent re-resection/ablation for recurrent ICC; 88 (15.0%) and 403 (68.5%) patients received intra-arterial treatment or systemic chemotherapy/supportive therapy, respectively. Patient American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class > 2 (1 point), primary tumor N1/Nx status (1 point), primary R1 resection margin (1 point), primary tumor G3/G4 grade (1 point), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 > 37 UI/mL (2 points) at recurrence and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 5 ng/mL (2 points) at recurrence, as well as recurrent bilateral disease (1 point) and early recurrence (1 point) were included in the PRS score. The PRS score successfully stratified patients relative to PRS and demonstrated strong discriminatory ability (C-index 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.72). While a PRS score of 0-3 was associated with a 3-year PRS of 62.5% following resection/ablation for recurrent ICC, a PRS score > 3 was associated with a low 3-year PRS of 35.5% (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The PRS score demonstrated strong discriminatory ability to predict PRS among patients who had developed recurrence following initial resection of ICC. The PRS score may be a useful tool to guide treatment among patients with recurrent ICC.

The Relevance of Radial Margin Status in Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: A State-of-the-Art Narrative Review.

BACKGROUND: Prognosis of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC) is poor, and curative-intent resection is the most effective treatment associated with long-term survival. Surgery is technically demanding since it involves a major hepatectomy with en bloc resection of the caudate lobe and extrahepatic bile duct. Furthermore, to achieve negative margins, it may be necessary to perform concomitant vascular resection or pancreatoduodenectomy. Despite this aggressive approach, recurrence is often observed, considering 5-year recurrence-free survival below 15% and 5-year overall survival that barely exceeds 40%. SUMMARY: The literature reports that survival rates are better in patients with negative margins, and surprisingly, R0 resections range between 19% and 95%. This variability is probably due to different surgical strategies and the pathologist's expertise with specimens. In fact, a proper pathological examination of residual disease should take into consideration both the ductal and the radial margin (RM) status. Currently, detailed pathological reports are lacking, and there is a likelihood of misinterpreting residual disease status due to the missing of RM description and the utilization of various definitions for surgical margins. KEY MESSAGES: The aim of PHCC surgery is to achieve negative margins including RM. More clarity in reporting on RM is needed to define true radical resection and consistent design of oncological studies for adjuvant treatments.

The complication-overall survival (CompOS) risk tool predicts risk of a severe postoperative complications relative to long-term survival among patients with primary liver cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop a tool based on preoperative factors to predict the risk of perioperative complications based on the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) and long-term survival outcomes after liver resection for primary liver cancer. METHODS: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) undergoing curative-intent hepatectomy between 1990 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional international database. RESULTS: Among 1411 patients who underwent curative-intent hepatic resection (HCC: 997, 70.7%; ICC: 414, 29.3%), median patient age was 66.0 years (IQR, 57.0-73.0), and most patients were male (n = 1001, 70.9%). In the postoperative setting, 699 patients (49.5%) experienced a complication; moreover, 112 patients (7.9%) had major complications. Although most patients had a favorable risk complication-overall survival (CompOS) profile (CCI score > 40 risk of <30% and median survival of >5 years: n = 778, 55.1%), 553 patients (39.2%) had an intermediate-risk profile, and 80 patients (5.7%) had a very unfavorable risk profile (CCI score > 40 risk of ≥30% and/or median survival of ≤1.5 years). The areas under the curve of the test and validation cohorts were 0.73 and 0.76, respectively. CONCLUSION: The CompOS risk model accurately stratified patients relative to short- and long-term risks, identifying a subset of patients at a high risk of major complications and poor overall survival.

Perioperative Changes in Serum Transaminase Levels: Impact on Postoperative Morbidity Following Liver Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To define how dynamic changes in pre- versus post-operative serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) levels may impact postoperative morbidity after curative-intent resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). BACKGROUND: Hepatic ischemia/reperfusion can occur at the time of liver resection and may be associated with adverse outcomes following liver resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2010-2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Changes in AST and ALT (CAA) on postoperative day (POD) 3 versus preoperative values () were calculated using the formula: based on a fusion index via Euclidean norm, which was examined relative to the comprehensive complication index (CCI). The impact of CAA on CCI was assessed by the restricted cubic spline regression and Random Forest analyses. RESULTS: A total of 759 patients were included in the analytic cohort. Median CAA was 1.7 (range, 0.9 to 3.25); 431 (56.8%) patients had a CAA<2, 215 (28.3%) patients with CAA 2-5, and 113 (14.9%) patients had CAA ≥5. The incidence of post-operative complications was 65.0% (n=493) with a median CCI of 20.9 (IQR, 20.9-33.5). Spline regression analysis demonstrated a non-linear incremental association between CAA and CCI. The optimal cutoff value of CAA=5 was identified by the recursive partitioning technique. After adjusting for other competing risk factors, CAA≥5 remained strongly associated with risk of post-operative complications (Ref. CAA<5, OR 1.63, 95%CI 1.05-2.55, P=0.03). In fact, the use of CAA to predict post-operative complications was very good in both the derivative (AUC 0.88) and external (ACU 0.86) cohorts (n=1137). CONCLUSIONS: CAA was an independent predictor of CCI after liver resection for HCC. Use of routine labs such as AST and ALT can help identify patients at highest risk of post-operative complications following HCC resection.

Portal vein stenting in recurrent or locally advanced peri-hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent or locally advanced peri-hilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC) usually involves the portal vein (PV) leading to significant stenosis. With disease progression, clinical symptoms such as ascites, bleeding, and hepatic insufficiency are usually observed. Little is know about the benefit of PV stenting in relieving the symptoms associated to portal hypertension and allowing anticancer therapies. The aim of this study is to review our experience in PV stenting for PHCC patients. METHODS: From 2014 to 2022, data from PHCC patients underwent PV stenting at Verona University Hospital, Italy, were reviewed. The indications were: gastrointestinal bleeding from esophagus-gastric varices, ascites not responsive to medical therapy, severe thrombocytopenia, liver insufficiency (hepatic jaundice, coagulopathy, and/or hyperammoniemia), or asymptomatic high-grade PV stenosis. Cavernous transformation and intrahepatic thrombosis in both sides of the liver were considered contraindication. Systematic anticoagulation therapy was not administered. RESULTS: Technical success was achieved in all 16 (100 %) patients. The improvement of clinical symptoms were observed in 12 (75 %) patients. Anticancer therapy was administrated in 11 (69 %) patients. 2 (13 %) complications were observed: 1 biliary injury and 1 recurrent cholangitis that required a percutaneous trans-hepatic biliary drainage placement. Stent occlusion for tumor progression occurred in 1 patient and a re-stenting procedure was successfully performed. No case of thrombotic stent occlusion was observed during follow up. The 1-year stent patency was 86 % and the median patency period was 8 months (IQR, 4-12). CONCLUSION: PV stenting is a feasible and safe palliative treatment that improves clinical condition, allow anticancer therapies, and provide a better quality of life.

The Role of Three-Dimensional Modeling to Improve Comprehension of Liver Anatomy and Tumor Characteristics for Medical Students and Surgical Residents.

OBJECTIVE: Studying liver anatomy can be challenging for medical students and surgical residents due to its complexity. Three-dimensional visualization technology (3DVT) allows for a clearer and more precise view of liver anatomy. We sought to assess how 3DVT can assist students and surgical residents comprehend liver anatomy. DESIGN: Data from 5 patients who underwent liver resection for malignancy at our institution between September 2020 and April 2022 were retrospectively reviewed and selected following consensus among the investigators. Participants were required to complete an online survey to investigate their understanding of tumor characteristics and vascular variations based on patients' computed tomography (CT) and 3DVT. SETTING: The study was carried out at the General and Hepato-Biliary Surgery Department of the University of Verona. PARTICIPANTS: Among 32 participants, 13 (40.6%) were medical students, and 19 (59.4%) were surgical residents. RESULTS: Among 5 patients with intrahepatic lesions, 4 patients (80.0%) had at least 1 vascular variation. Participants identified number and location of lesions more correctly when evaluating the 3DVT (84.6% and 80.9%, respectively) compared with CT scans (61.1% and 64.8%, respectively) (both p ≤ 0.001). The identification of any vascular variations was more challenging using the CT scans, with only 50.6% of correct answers compared with 3DVT (72.2%) (p < 0.001). Compared with CT scans, 3DVT led to a 23.5%, 16.1%, and 21.6% increase in the correct definition of number and location of lesions, and vascular variations, respectively. 3DVT allowed for a decrease of 50.8 seconds (95% CI 23.6-78.0) in the time needed to answer the questions. All participants agreed on the usefulness of 3DVT in hepatobiliary surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The 3DVT facilitated a more precise preoperative understanding of liver anatomy, tumor location and characteristics.

Early Onset Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Clinical Characteristics, Oncological Outcomes, and Genomic/Transcriptomic Features.

INTRODUCTION: Data on clinical characteristics and disease-specific prognosis among patients with early onset intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) are currently limited. METHODS: Patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC between 2000 and 2020 were identified by using a multi-institutional database. The association of early (≤50 years) versus typical onset (>50 years) ICC with recurrence-free (RFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) was assessed in the multi-institutional database and validated in an external cohort. The genomic and transcriptomic profiles of early versus late onset ICC were analyzed by using the Total Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center databases. RESULTS: Among 971 patients undergoing resection for ICC, 22.7% (n = 220) had early-onset ICC. Patients with early-onset ICC had worse 5-year RFS (24.1% vs. 29.7%, p < 0.05) and DSS (36.5% vs. 48.9%, p = 0.03) compared with patients with typical onset ICC despite having earlier T-stage tumors and lower rates of microvascular invasion. In the validation cohort, patients with early-onset ICC had worse 5-year RFS (7.4% vs. 20.5%, p = 0.002) compared with individuals with typical onset ICC. Using the TCGA cohort, 652 and 266 genes were found to be upregulated (including ATP8A2) and downregulated (including UTY and KDM5D) in early versus typical onset ICC, respectively. Genes frequently implicated as oncogenic drivers, including CDKN2A, IDH1, BRAF, and FGFR2 were infrequently mutated in the early-onset ICC patients. CONCLUSIONS: Early-onset ICC has distinct clinical and genomic/transcriptomic features. Morphologic and clinicopathologic characteristics were unable to fully explain differences in outcomes among early versus typical onset ICC patients. The current study offers a preliminary landscape of the molecular features of early-onset ICC.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt followed by splenectomy for complicated hepatosplenic schistosomiasis: a case report and review of the literature.

Hepatosplenic schistosomiasis is a complex clinical condition caused by the complications of chronic infection with Schistosoma species that cause intestinal schistosomiasis. Hepatosplenic schistosomiasis derives from the fibrotic reaction stimulated around parasite eggs that are transported by the mesenteric circulation to the liver, causing periportal fibrosis. Portal hypertension and variceal gastrointestinal bleeding are major complications of hepatosplenic schistosomiasis. The clinical management of hepatosplenic schistosomiasis is not standardised and a parameter that could guide clinical decision making has not yet been identified. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) appears promising for use in hepatosplenic schistosomiasis but is still reported in very few patients. In this Grand Round, we report one patient with hepatosplenic schistosomiasis treated with TIPS, which resulted in regression of oesophageal varices but had to be followed by splenectomy due to persisting severe splenomegaly and thrombocytopenia. We summarise the main challenges in the clinical management of this patient with hepatosplenic schistosomiasis, highlight results of a scoping review of the literature, and evaluate the use of of TIPS in patients with early hepatosplenic schistosomiasis, to improve the prognosis.

Predicting risk of recurrence after resection of stage I intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Early-stage intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is often an indication of curative-intent resection. Although patients with early-stage ICC generally have a better prognosis than individuals with advanced ICC, the incidence and risk factors of recurrence after early-stage ICC remain unclear. METHODS: A multi-institutional database was used to identify patients who underwent surgery between 2000 and 2018 for ICC with pathologically confirmed stage I disease. Cox regression analysis was used to identify clinicopathological factors associated with recurrence, and an online prediction model was developed and validated. RESULTS: Of 430 patients diagnosed with stage I ICC, approximately one-half of patients (n = 221, 51.4%) experienced recurrence after curative-intent resection. Among patients with a recurrence, most (n = 188, 85.1%) experienced it within 12 months. On multivariable analysis, carcinoembryonic antigen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.011; 95% CI, 1.004-1.018), systemic immune-inflammation index (HR, 1.036; 95% CI, 1.019-1.056), no lymph nodes evaluated (HR, 1.851; 95% CI, 1.276-2.683), and tumor size (HR, 1.101; 95% CI, 1.053-1.151) were associated with greater hazards of recurrence. A predictive model that included these weighted risk factors demonstrated excellent prognostic discrimination in the test (12-month recurrence-free survival [RFS]: low risk, 80.1%; intermediate risk, 60.3%; high risk, 37.7%; P = .001) and validation (12-month RFS: low risk, 84.5%; intermediate risk, 63.5%; high risk, 47.1%; P = .036) datasets. The online predictive model was made available at https://ktsahara.shinyapps.io/stageI_icc/. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with stage I ICC without vascular invasion or lymph node metastasis had a relatively high incidence of recurrence. An online tool can risk stratify patients relative to recurrence risk to identify individuals best suited for alternative treatment approaches.

Tissue factor pathway-related biomarkers in liver cancer: activated factor VII-antithrombin complex and tissue factor mRNA levels are associated with mortality.

Background: Tissue factor (TF), the main initiator of the coagulation cascade, plays a role in cancer progression and prognosis. Activated factor VII-antithrombin complex (FVIIa-AT) is considered an indirect marker of TF exposure by reflecting TF-FVIIa interaction. Objectives: To assess the link between FVIIa-AT plasma levels, TF messenger RNA (mRNA) expression, and survival in cancer. Methods: TF pathway-related coagulation biomarkers were assessed in 136 patients with cancer (52 with hepatocellular carcinoma, 41 with cholangiocarcinoma, and 43 with colon cancer) undergoing surgical intervention with curative intent. TF mRNA expression analysis in neoplastic vs nonneoplastic liver tissues was evaluated in a subgroup of 91 patients with primary liver cancer. Results: FVIIa-AT levels were higher in patients with cancer than in 136 sex- and age-matched cancer-free controls. In patients with cancer, high levels of FVIIa-AT and total TF pathway inhibitor were associated with an increased mortality risk after adjustment for confounders, but only FVIIa-AT remained a predictor of mortality by including both FVIIa-AT and total TF pathway inhibitor in Cox regression (hazard ratio, 2.80; 95% CI, 1.23-6.39; the highest vs the lowest quartile). This association remained significant even after adjustment for extracellular vesicle-associated TF-dependent procoagulant activity. In the subgroup of patients with primary liver cancer, patients with high TF mRNA levels had an increased mortality risk compared with that for those with low TF mRNA levels (hazard ratio, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.03-3.57), and there was a consistent correlation among high FVIIa-AT levels, high TF mRNA levels, and increased risk of mortality. Conclusion: High FVIIa-AT levels may allow the identification of patients with cancer involving high TF expression and predict a higher mortality risk in liver cancer.

The aMAP score predicts long-term outcomes after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aMAP score is a proposed model to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among high-risk patients with chronic hepatitis. The role of the aMAP score to predict long-term survival among patients following resection of HCC has not been determined. METHODS: Patients undergoing resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. The impact of the aMAP score on long-term outcomes following HCC resection was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1377 patients undergoing resection for HCC, a total of 972 (70.6 %) patients had a low aMAP score (≤63), whereas 405 (29.4 %) individuals had a high aMAP score (≥64). aMAP score was associated with 5-year OS in the entire cohort (low vs high aMAP score:66.5 % vs. 54.3 %, p < 0.001). aMAP score predicted 5-year OS following resection among patients with HBV-HCC (low vs. high aMAP:68.8 % vs. 55.6 %, p = 0.01) and NASH/other-HCC (64.7 % vs. 53.7, p = 0.04). aMAP score could sub-stratify 5-year OS among patients undergoing HCC resection within (low vs. high aMAP:81.5 % vs. 67.4 %, p < 0.001) and beyond (55.9 % vs. 38.8 %, p < 0.001) Milan criteria. DISCUSSION: The aMAP score predicted postoperative outcomes following resection of HCC within and beyond Milan criteria. Apart from a surveillance tool, the aMAP score can also be used as a prognostic tool among patients undergoing resection of HCC.

Perioperative Lymphopenia is Associated with Increased Risk of Recurrence and Worse Survival Following Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Immune dysregulation may be associated with cancer progression. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of perioperative lymphopenia on short- and long-term outcomes among patients undergoing resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients undergoing resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using an international database. The incidence and impact of perioperative lymphopenia [preoperative, postoperative day (POD) 1/3/5], defined as absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) <1000/µL, on short- and long-term outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: Among 1448 patients, median preoperative ALC was 1593/µL [interquartile range (IQR) 1208-2006]. The incidence of preoperative lymphopenia was 14.0%, and 50.2%, 45.1% and 35.6% on POD1, POD3 and POD5, respectively. Preoperative lymphopenia predicted 5-year overall survival (OS) [lymphopenia vs. no lymphopenia: 49.1% vs. 66.1%] and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) [25.0% vs. 41.5%] (both p < 0.05). Lymphopenia on POD1 (5-year OS: 57.1% vs. 71.2%; 5-year DFS: 30.0% vs. 41.1%), POD3 (5-year OS: 57.3% vs. 68.9%; 5-year DFS: 35.4% vs. 42.7%), and POD5 (5-year OS: 53.1% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 32.8% vs. 42.3%) was associated with worse long-term outcomes (all p < 0.05). Patients with severe lymphopenia (ALC <500/µL) on POD5 had worse 5-year OS and DFS (5-year OS: 44.7% vs. 54.3% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 27.8% vs. 33.3% vs. 42.3%) [both p < 0.05], as well as higher incidence of overall (45.5% vs. 25.3% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.013) and major complications (18.2% vs. 3.4% vs. 4.5%; p < 0.001) versus individuals with moderate (ALC 500-1000/µL) or no lymphopenia following hepatectomy for HCC. After adjusting for competing risk factors, prolonged lymphopenia was independently associated with higher hazards of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72] and recurrence (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.45). CONCLUSION: Perioperative lymphopenia had short- and long-term prognostic implications among individuals undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.