Differences in risk of mortality under 1 year of age between rural and urban areas: an ecological study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate differences in risk of categories and causes of death before 1 year of age between rural and urban areas. METHODS: Population-based ecological study using Poisson regression analysis of data from all enumeration districts in Wales. Data included all 243,223 registrable births to women resident in Wales, 809 therapeutic and spontaneous abortions, 1302 stillbirths and 1418 infant deaths occurring between 1993 and 1999. MAIN RESULTS: The relative risk of mortality in rural areas compared with urban areas for all deaths before 1 year of age was 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.82, 0.98, P=0.02). The risk of mortality in rural areas was significantly lower than in urban areas for all categories of deaths occurring after 7 days of life. The relative risk of death due to infection was significantly lower in rural areas compared with urban areas (P=0.04), with similar results for deaths due to sudden infant death syndrome (P=0.03). After adjusting for social deprivation, there were no significant differences in the risk of death between rural and urban areas. CONCLUSIONS: While there were significant differences in crude risk between rural and urban enumeration districts for some causes and age groups before 1 year, after adjusting for social deprivation, these differences were not significant. The lack of significant interaction between rurality and deprivation indicated that the relationship between social deprivation and death before 1 year of age was not significantly different in rural areas compared with urban areas. Collaborative public health programmes to tackle deprivation are necessary in both rural and urban areas.

A scoring system for bruise patterns: a tool for identifying abuse.

AIMS: To determine whether abused and non-abused children differ in the extent and pattern of bruising, and whether any differences which exist are sufficiently great to develop a score to assist in the diagnosis of abuse. METHODS: Total length of bruising in 12 areas of the body was determined in 133 physically abused and 189 control children aged 1-14 years. RESULTS: Our method of recording bruises by site, maximum dimension, and shape was easy to use. There were clear differences between cases and controls in the total length of bruises. These differences were at their greatest in the head and neck and were less notable in the limbs. A scoring system was developed using logistic regression analysis using total lengths of bruising in five regions of the body. Good discrimination between the two sets of children was achieved using this score; by including a variable that indicates whether a bruise had a recognisable shape the discrimination could be made even better. Given a prior probability of abuse the score can be used to give posterior odds of abuse, given a particular bruising pattern. CONCLUSIONS: The scoring system provides a measure that discriminates between abused and non-abused children, which should be straightforward to implement, though the results must be interpreted carefully. We do not see this score as replacing the complex qualitative analysis of the diagnosis of abuse. This clearly includes history as well as examination, but rather as the beginning of the development of an important aid in this process.

The Health Status Questionnaire: achieving concordance with published disability criteria.

AIM: To compare the Health Status Questionnaire with established methods of assessing disability in preterm and very low birthweight infants. METHOD: All survivors of gestational age <31 weeks or birth weight <1500 g, born in 1994 to women resident in Wales were identified. Assessments were by a single observer at a median corrected age of 28.3 months and included the Health Status Questionnaire and a Griffiths developmental test. Outcome was also described according to criteria for disability used in three published studies. RESULTS: There were 297 survivors of which 279 (94%) were assessed. Using the Health Status Questionnaire, severe disability was found in 12.9% of cases compared to 8.2%, 2.9%, and 3.6% using the Northern, Victorian, and Mersey outcome criteria respectively. Following the simple modifications of removing the growth criteria from the Health Status Questionnaire and reclassifying the severe disability group in the Victorian and Mersey criteria, comparable severe disability rates ranging from 7.9% to 9.3% were found. CONCLUSION: The Health Status Questionnaire requires no formal training, is rapid to perform, and with simple modifications provides comparable results to established methods of assessing disability. Its use in the follow up of preterm and very low birthweight infants should be encouraged.

Short report: Is regional paediatric surveillance useful? Experience in Wales.

The Welsh Paediatric Surveillance Unit was established in 1994 to monitor the incidence and prevalence of a number of uncommon disorders of childhood in Wales. Its work complements that of the British Paediatric Surveillance Unit. Information from consultant paediatricians is obtained by means of a monthly card return system; return rate is over 90%.

Social deprivation and the causes of stillbirth and infant mortality.

AIMS: To investigate the relation between social deprivation and causes of stillbirth and infant mortality. METHODS: Stillbirths and infant deaths in 6347 enumeration districts in Wales were linked with the Townsend score of social deprivation. In 1993-98 there were 211 072 live births, 1147 stillbirths, and 1223 infant deaths. Poisson regression analysis was used to estimate the magnitude of effect for associations between the Townsend score and categories of death by age and the causes of death. The relative risk of death between most and least deprived enumeration districts was derived. RESULTS: Relative risk of combined stillbirth and infant death was 1.53 (95% CI 1.35 to 1.74) in the most deprived compared with the least deprived enumeration districts. The early neonatal mortality rate was not significantly associated with deprivation. Sudden infant death syndrome showed a 307% (95% CI 197% to 456%) increase in mortality across the range of deprivation. Deaths caused by specific conditions and infection were also associated with deprivation, but there was no evidence of a significant association with deaths caused by placental abruption, intrapartum asphyxia, and prematurity. CONCLUSIONS: Collaborative public health action at national and local level to target resources in deprived communities and reduce these inequalities in child health is required. Early neonatal mortality rates and deaths from intrapartum asphyxia and prematurity are not significantly associated with deprivation and may be more appropriate quality of clinical care indicators than stillbirth, perinatal, and neonatal mortality rates.