RESUMO
Due to the ultra-low permeability of unconventional reservoirs, transient state prevails for a considerable period. Despite this, fracture interference can cause an apparent no-flow boundary. Consequently, the Duong's model, which was developed for transient-state period, yields unreliable estimates during the late-time period. In this paper, the Duong's model is modified to account for boundary effects caused by fracture interference and/or unstimulated reservoir regions that serve as no-flow boundaries. Specifically, an empirical correction function, which assumes an exponential decline, has been used as a "modifier" to extend the Duong's model to boundary-dominated flow period. The correction function ensures that during boundary-dominated flow period, an exponential-decline behaviour dominates. The proposed rate-decline model encompasses a gamma function, which converges at large times. Results show that a fractured-well production behaviour is characterised by a decaying power-law during early-time period and tends to exponential decline during late-time period. The results also suggest that although the conventional Duong's model gives good estimates during the transient-state period, it yields optimistic estimates during the boundary-dominated flow period. The proposed model gives a good match and estimates not only in the transient-state period, but also in the boundary-dominated flow period. A major advantage of the proposed model is that it converges to estimated ultimate recovery at large times without imposing any rate and time limits. A good agreement of the estimated ultimate recovery with analytical and semi-analytical models was obtained. Also, results suggest that the proposed model gives conservative estimates. The proposed model will be useful for analysing and predicting both the early- and late-time production performance of a multi-fractured well producing from an unconventional reservoir.
