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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22273825

RESUMO

BackgroundA major goal of COVID-19 vaccination is to prevent severe outcomes (hospitalizations and deaths). We estimated the effectiveness of mRNA and ChAdOx1 COVID-19 vaccines against severe outcomes in four Canadian provinces between December 2020 and September 2021. MethodsWe conducted this multiprovincial retrospective test-negative study among community-dwelling adults aged [≥]18 years in Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia, and Manitoba using linked provincial databases and a common study protocol. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate province-specific vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalization and/or death. Estimates were pooled using random effects models. ResultsWe included 2,508,296 tested subjects, with 31,776 COVID-19 hospitalizations and 5,842 deaths. Vaccine effectiveness was 83% after a first dose, and 98% after a second dose, against both hospitalization and death (separately). Against severe outcomes (hospitalization or death), effectiveness was 87% (95%CI: 71%-94%) [≥]84 days after a first dose of mRNA vaccine, increasing to 98% (95%CI: 96%-99%) [≥]112 days after a second dose. Vaccine effectiveness against severe outcomes for ChAdOx1 was 88% (95%CI: 75%-94%) [≥]56 days after a first dose, increasing to 97% (95%CI: 91%-99%) [≥]56 days after a second dose. Lower one-dose effectiveness was observed for adults aged [≥]80 years and those with comorbidities, but effectiveness became comparable after a second dose. Two doses of vaccines provided very high protection for both homologous and heterologous schedules, and against Alpha, Gamma, and Delta variants. ConclusionsTwo doses of mRNA or ChAdOx1 vaccines provide excellent protection against severe outcomes of hospitalization and death.

2.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21262697

RESUMO

BackgroundThis study identified factors associated with hospital admission among people with laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia. MethodsThis study was performed using the BC COVID-19 Cohort, which integrates data on all COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, medical visits, emergency room visits, prescription drugs, chronic conditions and deaths. The analysis included all laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia as of January 15th, 2021. We evaluated factors associated with hospital admission using multivariable Poisson regression analysis with robust error variance. FindingsFrom 56,874 COVID-19 cases included in the analyses, 2,298 were hospitalized. Models showed significant association of the following factors with increased hospitalization risk: male sex (adjusted risk ratio (aRR)=1.27; 95%CI=1.17-1.37), older age (p-trend <0.0001 across age groups with a graded increase in hospitalization risk with increasing age [aRR 30-39 years=3.06; 95%CI=2.32-4.03, to aRR 80+years=43.68; 95%CI=33.41-57.10 compared to 20-29 years-old]), asthma (aRR=1.15; 95%CI=1.04-1.26), cancer (aRR=1.19; 95%CI=1.09-1.29), chronic kidney disease (aRR=1.32; 95%CI=1.19-1.47), diabetes (treated without insulin aRR=1.13; 95%CI=1.03-1.25, requiring insulin aRR=5.05; 95%CI=4.43-5.76), hypertension (aRR=1.19; 95%CI=1.08-1.31), injection drug use (aRR=2.51; 95%CI=2.14-2.95), intellectual and developmental disabilities (aRR=1.67; 95%CI=1.05-2.66), problematic alcohol use (aRR=1.63; 95%CI=1.43-1.85), immunosuppression (aRR=1.29; 95%CI=1.09-1.53), and schizophrenia and psychotic disorders (aRR=1.49; 95%CI=1.23-1.82). Among women of reproductive age, in addition to age and comorbidities, pregnancy (aRR=2.69; 95%CI=1.42-5.07) was associated with increased risk of hospital admission. InterpretationOlder age, male sex, substance use, intellectual and developmental disability, chronic comorbidities, and pregnancy increase the risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization. FundingBC Centre for Disease Control, Canadian Institutes of Health Research. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSFactors such as older age, social inequities and chronic health conditions have been associated to severe COVID-19 illness. Most of the evidence comes from studies that dont include all COVID-19 diagnoses in a jurisdiction), focusing on in-hospital mortality. In addition, mental illness and substance use were not evaluated in these studies. This study assessed factors associated with hospital admission among people with laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia. Added value of this studyIn this population-based cohort study that included 56,874 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases, older age, male sex, injection drug use, problematic alcohol use, intellectual and developmental disability, schizophrenia and psychotic disorders, chronic comorbidities and pregnancy were associated with the risk of hospitalization. Insulin-dependent diabetes was associated with higher risk of hospitalization, especially in the subpopulation younger than 40 years. To the best of our knowledge this is the first study reporting this finding, (insulin use and increased risk of COVID-19-related death has been described previously). Implications of all the available evidencePrioritization of vaccination in population groups with the above mentioned risk factors could reduce COVID-19 serious outcomes. The findings indicate the presence of the syndemic of substance use, mental illness and COVID-19, which deserve special public health considerations.

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