Early life exposure to cold weather shocks and growth stunting: Evidence from Tanzania.

This study examines the effects of early life and in utero exposure to cold weather shocks on the incidence of growth stunting for children under age five in Tanzania. We find that an increase of 10 percentage points in the proportion of days with temperatures below 15 degrees Celsius (one standard deviation below the long-term average) is associated with an increase in the probability of stunting and severe stunting by 2.0 and 1.4 percentage points (equivalent to 5.5 and 9.7 percent of the mean stunting and severe stunting), respectively. The results also show strong effects of in utero exposure during the second trimester of pregnancy on child stunting and wasting. In terms of the mechanisms, we find that the effects on disease environment, food insecurity, and reduced agricultural productivity are the possible channels driving the results.

Explaining Variations in Long-term Care Use and Expenditures Under the Public Long-term Care Insurance Systems: A Case Study Comparison of Korea and Japan.

BACKGROUND: Establishing universal coverage of formal long-term care (LTC) services is an urgent policy need for aging populations that requires efficient management of quality and financing. Although current variation in LTC service use between and within countries suggests the potential for improvement by efficient management, this topic remains underexamined. We aimed to identify the sources of variance in LTC use and expenditures through a unique cross-country comparison of Japan and South Korea, which have formal public LTC insurance (LTCI) schemes that are analogous but have unique operational and demographic structures. METHODS: Taking administrative regions as the unit of analysis, we assembled data on the LTC utilization rate of people aged ≥65 years, and expenditures per recipient from 2013 to 2015 as the outcome variables. Explanatory variables included demand-related factors, such as regional demographic and economic conditions, and supply characteristics derived from existing public databases. We conducted weighted least squares regression with fixed effects for the pooled data and used Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition to identify sources of outcome variance between the two countries. RESULTS: The average LTC utilization rate was 6.8% in Korea and 18.2% in Japan. Expenditures per recipient were approximately 1.4 times higher in Japan than in Korea. The difference in the utilization rate was mostly explained by between-country differences in supply- and demand-related factors, whereas the difference in expenditures per recipient was largely attributed to unobserved country-specific factors. CONCLUSION: The current findings suggest that LTC utilization is determined largely by the demographic and functional characteristics of older people, whereas expenditures are more likely affected by institutional factors such as the insurance governance scheme and the policy choice of the target population segment and coverage. The results suggest that strategic choice of LTC institutional schemes is required to ensure financial sustainability to meet changing demands caused by population aging.

The impact of opioid analgesic prescription uptake on the costs of recovery from injury: Evidence from compensable orthopaedic road trauma patients.

Long-term opioid prescribing after compensable orthopaedic injury may contribute to the 'long right tail' in the cost of recovery. The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of prescription opioid uptake on injury compensation cost, using orthopaedic road traffic injury claims data from Victoria, Australia. We used a maximum likelihood estimation that accounts for potential endogeneity associated with opioid uptake, utilizing information on the doctor's differential propensity to prescribe opioids when treating other compensable injury patients. Our results suggest that opioid recipients incurred significantly greater hospital costs, income compensation payments, and medical and paramedical expenses. Overall, income compensation was the primary driver of the claim cost difference between opioid recipients and non-recipients. The findings imply that there is scope to impose restrictions on long-term opioid usage, and to encourage the use of alternative pain relief medicines.

The effect of pre-existing health conditions on the cost of recovery from road traffic injury: insights from data linkage of medicare and compensable injury claims in Victoria, Australia.

BACKGROUND: Comorbidity is known to affect length of hospital stay and mortality after trauma but less is known about its impact on recovery beyond the immediate post-accident care period. The aim of this study was to investigate the role of pre-existing health conditions in the cost of recovery from road traffic injury using health service use records for 1 year before and after the injury. METHODS: Individuals who claimed Transport Accident Commission (TAC) compensation for a non-catastrophic injury that occurred between 2010 and 2012 in Victoria, Australia and who provided consent for Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) and Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) linkage were included (n = 738) in the analysis. PBS and MBS records dating from 12 months prior to injury were provided by the Department of Human Services (Canberra, Australia). Pre-injury use of health service items and pharmaceuticals were considered to indicate pre-existing health condition. Bayesian Model Averaging techniques were used to identify the items that were most strongly correlated with recovery cost. Multivariate regression models were used to determine the impact of these items on the cost of injury recovery in terms of compensated ambulance, hospital, medical, and overall claim cost. RESULTS: Out of the 738 study participants, 688 used at least one medical item (total of 15,625 items) and 427 used at least one pharmaceutical item (total of 9846). The total health service cost of recovery was $10,115,714. The results show that while pre-existing conditions did not have any significant impact on the total cost of recovery, categorical costs were affected: e.g. on average, for every anaesthetic in the year before the accident, hospital cost of recovery increased by 24 % [95 % CI: 13, 36 %] and for each pathological test related to established diabetes, hospital cost increased by $10,407 [5466.78, 15346.28]. For medical costs, each anaesthetic led to $258 higher cost [174.16, 341.16] and every prescription of drugs used in diabetes increased the cost by 8 % [5, 11 %]. CONCLUSIONS: Services related to pre-existing conditions, mainly chronic and surgery-related, are likely to increase certain components of cost of recovery after road traffic trauma but pre-existing physical health has little impact on the overall recovery costs.

The effect of Medicaid physician fees on take-up of public health insurance among children in poverty.

I investigate how changes in fees paid to Medicaid physicians affect take-up among children in low-income families. The existing literature suggests that the low level of Medicaid fee payments to physicians reduces their willingness to see Medicaid patients, thus creating an access-to-care problem for these patients. For the identical service, current Medicaid reimbursement rates are only about 65 percent of those covered by Medicare. Increasing the relative payments of Medicaid would increase its perceived value, as it would provide better access to health care for Medicaid beneficiaries. Using variation in the timing of the changes in Medicaid payment across states, I find that increasing Medicaid generosity is associated with both an increase in take-up and a reduction in uninsured rate. These results provide a partial answer to the puzzling question of why many low-income children who are eligible for Medicaid remain uninsured.