Modelling herd immunity requirements in Queensland: impact of vaccination effectiveness, hesitancy and variants of SARS-CoV-2.

Long-term control of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks depends on the widespread coverage of effective vaccines. In Australia, two-dose vaccination coverage of above 90% of the adult population was achieved. However, between August 2020 and August 2021, hesitancy fluctuated dramatically. This raised the question of whether settings with low naturally derived immunity, such as Queensland where less than [Formula: see text] of the population is known to have been infected in 2020, could have achieved herd immunity against 2021's variants of concern. To address this question, we used the agent-based model Covasim. We simulated outbreak scenarios (with the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants) and assumed ongoing interventions (testing, tracing, isolation and quarantine). We modelled vaccination using two approaches with different levels of realism. Hesitancy was modelled using Australian survey data. We found that with a vaccine effectiveness against infection of 80%, it was possible to control outbreaks of Alpha, but not Delta or Omicron. With 90% effectiveness, Delta outbreaks may have been preventable, but not Omicron outbreaks. We also estimated that a decrease in hesitancy from 20% to 14% reduced the number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths by over 30%. Overall, we demonstrate that while herd immunity may not be attainable, modest reductions in hesitancy and increases in vaccine uptake may greatly improve health outcomes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

Sensory augmentation to aid training with retinal prostheses.

OBJECTIVE: Retinal prosthesis recipients require rehabilitative training to learn the non-intuitive nature of prosthetic 'phosphene vision'. This study investigated whether the addition of auditory cues, using The vOICe sensory substitution device (SSD), could improve functional performance with simulated phosphene vision. APPROACH: Forty normally sighted subjects completed two visual tasks under three conditions. The phosphene condition converted the image to simulated phosphenes displayed on a virtual reality headset. The SSD condition provided auditory information via stereo headphones, translating the image into sound. Horizontal information was encoded as stereo timing differences between ears, vertical information as pitch, and pixel intensity as audio intensity. The third condition combined phosphenes and SSD. Tasks comprised light localisation from the Basic Assessment of Light and Motion (BaLM) and the Tumbling-E from the Freiburg Acuity and Contrast Test (FrACT). To examine learning effects, twenty of the forty subjects received SSD training prior to assessment. MAIN RESULTS: Combining phosphenes with auditory SSD provided better light localisation accuracy than either phosphenes or SSD alone, suggesting a compound benefit of integrating modalities. Although response times for SSD-only were significantly longer than all other conditions, combined condition response times were as fast as phosphene-only, highlighting that audio-visual integration provided both response time and accuracy benefits. Prior SSD training provided a benefit to localisation accuracy and speed in SSD-only (as expected) and Combined conditions compared to untrained SSD-only. Integration of the two modalities did not improve spatial resolution task performance, with resolution limited to that of the higher resolution modality (SSD). SIGNIFICANCE: Combining phosphene (visual) and SSD (auditory) modalities was effective even without SSD training and led to an improvement in light localisation accuracy and response times. Spatial resolution performance was dominated by auditory SSD. The results suggest there may be a benefit to including auditory cues when training vision prosthesis recipients.