Impacts and Risk Assessments of Climate Change for the Yields of the Major Grain Crops in China, Japan, and Korea.

Climate change poses a high risk to grain yields. Maize, rice, and wheat are the three major grain crops in China, Japan, and Korea. Assessing the impacts and risks of climate on the yields of these grain cops is crucial. An economy-climate model (C-D-C model) was established to assess the impacts of climate factors on the grain yields in different crop areas. The peaks over threshold model based on the generalized Pareto distribution was used to calculate the value at risk and the expected shortfall, which can evaluate the yield risk of different crops. The impact ratio of climate change was employed to estimate the impacts of climate change under different climate scenarios. The main conclusions can be summarized as follows: the impacts of climate factors on grain yields and the risk vary widely across the different regions and crops. Compared to 1991-2020, climate change from 2021 to 2050 exerts positive impacts on rice and wheat, while the negative impacts on maize in the crop areas are significantly affected by climate factors. The impact ratios of climate change are larger in the SSP1-2.6 and the SSP5-8.5 scenarios than under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. These findings are useful for targeting grain yields in smaller study areas.

Carbon dioxide emission characteristics and peak trend analysis of countries along the Belt and Road.

Under the pressure of global carbon neutrality, it is necessary to study the characteristics of carbon emissions and the trend of "carbon peaking" in countries along the "Belt and Road." Because most of these countries have not yet reached their peak carbon emissions, they still have great potential for growth, and peak carbon emissions are a prerequisite for carbon neutrality. This paper divides the countries along the Belt and Road into 9 country groups according to the level of economic development and industrial structure. Based on the carbon emission panel data of countries along the "Belt and Road" from 1970 to 2018 and environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) theory, a panel model was established for each country group for research. This paper analyzes the characteristics of carbon emissions and the trend of "carbon peaking" in these countries and analyzes the economic growth and carbon emissions in combination with the Tapio decoupling model. The decoupling relationship changes on the time scale as a supplement. The results show that in the study area, some countries have completely passed the "carbon peak." The reasons for this are as follows: first, the carbon peak is achieved through industrial upgrading; second, the "carbon peak" is caused by the drastic changes in Eastern Europe and the disintegration of the Soviet Union and deindustrialization; and third, the carbon peak is caused by poverty and population growth. Most of the remaining countries have not yet achieved the carbon peak. Among them, some countries represented by the Middle East are highly coupled with their economic development and carbon emissions. Middle-income and high-industrial-dependence countries are in the transitional period in terms of the carbon peak. Low-income and medium- and high-industrial-dependence countries are currently still in the stage of barbaric development. From the research on the decoupling situation, the relationship between the economic growth of countries along the "Belt and Road" and their carbon emissions has been improving in recent decades, and it is expected that a more ideal state of decoupling will be achieved in the future.

Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Future Rice Yields in Global Major Rice-Producing Regions.

Under the dual impacts of climate change and COVID-19, there are great risks to the world's food security. Rice is one of the three major food crops of the world. Assessing the impact of climate change on future rice production is very important for ensuring global food security. This article divides the world's main rice-producing regions into four regions and uses a multivariate nonlinear model based on historical economic and climatic data to explore the impacts of historical extreme climatic events and economic factors on rice yield. Based on these historical models, future climatic data, and economic data under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), the yields of four major rice-producing regions of the world under different climate change scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) are predicted. The research results reveal that under different climate change scenarios, extreme high-temperature events (Tx90p) and extreme precipitation events (Rx5day, R99pTOT) in the four major rice-producing regions have an upward trend in the future. Extreme low-temperature events (Tn10p) have a downward trend. In the rice-producing regions of Southeast Asia and South America, extreme precipitation events will increase significantly in the future. The prediction results of this model indicate that the rice output of these four major rice-producing regions will show an upward trend in the future. Although extreme precipitation events will have a negative impact on rice production, future increases in rice planting areas, economic development, and population growth will all contribute to an increase in rice production. The increase in food demand caused by population growth also brings uncertainty to global food security. This research is helpful for further understanding climate change trends and risks to global rice-production areas in the future and provides an important reference for global rice-production planning and risk management.

Effects and mechanisms of glucose-insulin-potassium on post-procedural myocardial injury after percutaneous coronary intervention.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects and mechanisms of glucose-insulin-potassium (GIK) on post-procedural myocardial injury (PMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: A total of 200 non-diabetic patients with documented coronary heart disease (CHD) were divided into the Group GIK and Group G, with 100 patients in each group. Patients in Group G were given intravenous infusion of glucose solution 2 hours before PCI. As compared, patients in Group GIK were given GIK. RESULTS: Both post-procedural creatine phosphokinase isoenzyme MB (CK-MB; 62.1 ± 47.8 vs. 48.8 ± 52.6 U/L, P = 0.007) and cTnI (0.68 ± 0.83 vs. 0.19 ± 0.24 ng/mL, P < 0.001) in Group GIK were significantly higher than those in Group G. In Group G, 9.0% and 4.0% of patients had post-procedural increases in CK-MB 1-3 times and > 3 times, which were significantly lower than those in Group GIK (14.0% and 7.0%, respectively; all P values < 0.01); 13.0% and 7.0% of patients had post-procedural increases in cTnI 1-3 times and > 3 times, which were also significantly lower than those in Group GIK (21.0% and 13.0%, respectively; all P < 0.001). Pre-procedural (10.2 ± 4.5 vs. 5.1 ± 6.3, P < 0.001) and post-procedural rapid blood glucose (RBG) levels (8.9 ± 3.9 vs. 5.3 ± 5.6, P < 0.001) in Group G were higher than those in Group GIK. In adjusted logistic models, usage of GIK (compared with glucose solution) remained significantly and independently associated with higher risk of post-procedural increases in both CK-MB and cTnI levels > 3 times. Furthermore, pre-procedural RBG levels < 5.0mmol/L were significantly associated with higher risk of post-procedural increases in both CK-MB and cTnI levels. CONCLUSIONS: In non-diabetic patients with CHD, the administration of GIK may increase the risk of PMI due to hypoglycemia induced by GIK.

First-degree relatives with similar phenotypic characterisation of acute myocardial infarction: a case report and review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: Genetic susceptibility to the development of coronary artery disease (CAD) and myocardial infarction (MI) is well established. However, lack of replication, and difficulty in the identification of specific genes that underlie impressive linkage peaks remain challenges at the molecular level due to the heterogeneity of phenotype and their associated genotypes. We present two cases of first-degree family members of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) having similar clinical and angiographic features of obstructive coronary lesions at same anatomic locations. CASE PRESENTATION: The father presented with significant chest discomfort and loss of consciousness. The electrocardiogram (ECG) showed an acute anterior ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Coronary angiogram demonstrated a subtotal occlusion in the mid-left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery. One week later, the son presented after an in-hospital cardiac arrest with pulseless electric activity preceded by significant chest pain and loss of consciousness. His ECG also showed an acute anterior STEMI. Catheterization revealed strikingly similar angiographic characteristics with his father: subtotal occlusion in the proximal to mid-LAD coronary artery. CONCLUSIONS: More considerations should be given to patients with similar phenotypic characterization in genetic studies of CAD/MI in the future.