Virtual Reality Facilitated Exercise Increases Sympathetic Activity and Reduces Pain Perception: A Randomized Crossover Study.

OBJECTIVE: Both virtual reality (VR) and exercise reduce pain while avoiding the risks of traditional pharmacotherapy. The aim of this study was to assess how VR-facilitated exercise modulates sympathetic activity and pain perception. DESIGN: Healthy adult volunteers were randomized by hand dominance and then subjected to a standardized cold pressor test while experiencing a VR application. After a 5-minute washout, participants were crossed-over and repeated the test on their other hand while undergoing a VR-facilitated exercise application. Sympathetic activation, pain sensation, and pain tolerance data were collected identically during both conditions. RESULTS: 110 participants were analyzed. Sympathetic activity increased in both conditions but was higher in the VR-facilitated exercise condition (p < 0.0001). Pain sensation scores were initially higher with VR-facilitated exercise but dropped below the VR-only condition by the end of the intervention (p = 0.0175). There were no differences in pain tolerance between conditions (p = 0.18). CONCLUSION: The decrease in pain perception with VR-facilitated exercise condition compared to VR alone indicates VR-facilitated exercise can be a useful tool for managing pain. Though this effect did not translate into higher pain tolerance, VR-facilitated exercise may be a useful intervention in the setting of physical therapy or for patients with chronic pain.

Prevalence of syphilis among people living with HIV who attend a large urban antiretroviral therapy clinic in Panama: a cross-sectional epidemiological study.

Background: Syphilis is a serious global public health challenge. Despite prior progress in syphilis control, incidence has been increasing in recent years. Syphilis is a common coinfection among people living with HIV (PLHIV). In Panama, few data describe syphilis prevalence among PLHIV. We describe syphilis antibody and high-titer (⩾1:8) active syphilis prevalence and associated factors among individuals who attended an antiretroviral clinic. Methods: A cross-sectional study was undertaken during February-March 2022 and September-October 2022 for adults (⩾18 year) assigned male and female at birth, respectively. Participants provided peripheral blood samples and self-administered a questionnaire. Samples were screened using immunochromatography; antibody-positive samples were tested using rapid plasma regain to 1:512 dilutions. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with syphilis antibody and high-titer active syphilis. Results: In all, 378 participants gave blood samples; 377 individuals participated in the questionnaire (216 self-reported male sex [males], 158 female [females], and three intersex individuals). Median age was 36 years (interquartile range: 28-45 years). Overall, syphilis antibody prevalence was 32.3% (122/378) (males, 50.7% [108/2013]; females, 5.7% [9/158]; intersex individuals, 100.0% (3/3)], p < 0.01. High-titer active syphilis was found among 24.6% (n = 30) of samples with positive antibody test (males 27.8% [n = 30], females 0.0% [0/9], intersex individuals 0.0% [0/3]). Antibody positivity was associated in the multivariable model with males (50.7%, AOR = 24.6, 95%CI: 1.57-384.53). High-titer active syphilis was associated with younger participant age (18-30 years, 13.2%, OR = 4.82, 95%CI: 1.17-19.83); 31-40 years, 7.8%, OR = 4.24, 95%CI: 1.04-17.21 versus 3.2% >40 years), homosexual identity (16.0% OR = 34.2, 95%CI: 4.50-259.27 versus 0.6% among heterosexual identity); in the multivariable model, associated with sexual identity (bisexual 19.1%, AOR = 10.89, 95%CI: 1.00-119.06) compared to heterosexual identity (0.6%) and weakly associated with concurrency (⩾1 ongoing sexual relationships, 15.9%, AOR = 3.09, 95%CI: 0.94-10.14). Conclusion: This study found very high prevalence of syphilis antibodies and high-titer syphilis among PLHIV in Panama. Those most affected are males, younger in age, those who practice concurrent sexual relationships, and those who reported homosexual and bisexual identity. Targeted interventions should include repetitive testing and treatment, especially among individuals who may be at increased infection risk.

Prevalence of syphilis among people living with HIV who attend a large antiretroviral therapy clinic, Panama, 2022 Syphilis is a significant health challenge worldwide. On a global scale, yearly syphilis incidence is increasing, including in Panama. However, there are no current data to explain syphilis prevalence and who is most affected among people living with HIV in Panama. In order to understand syphilis in Panama and create targeted interventions among specific groups of people, it is important to describe how many people are infected, and who is most affected by this infection. Therefore, we conducted a study among 378 people living with HIV at a treatment clinic in Panama City, Panama. Blood samples and demographic data were collected. In all, syphilis antibodies were found in 32.3% of individuals (50.7% of those who self-report as males, 5.7% as females, and 100% of those who self-report as intersex. Of those with positive antibody tests, 24.6% of individuals also had active syphilis. Only individuals who identify as male had active syphilis. Our findings show high syphilis prevalence among people with HIV in Panama City, particularly among males, those who are younger, those who report sexual identity as homosexual or bisexual, and those with ongoing sexual relationships with more than one individual. Targeted interventions are needed among people living with HIV, especially among the groups most affected. These interventions could include testing more often for syphilis and providing timely treatment, especially among individuals who may be at increased risk of infection.

Inhaled endotoxin induces a systemic neutrophil response without affecting cardiovascular measures in a randomized cross-over exposure study.

OBJECTIVE: The gram-negative bacterial cell wall component endotoxin (lipopolysaccharide, LPS) is a key component of particulate matter (PM). PM exposure is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, the contribution of individual components of PM to acute and chronic cardiovascular measures is not clear. This study examines whether systemic inflammation induced by LPS inhalation causes acute changes in cardiovascular physiology measures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this double blinded, placebo-controlled crossover study, fifteen adult volunteers underwent inhalation exposure to 20,000 EU Clinical Center Reference Endotoxin (CCRE). Peripheral blood and induced sputum neutrophils were obtained at baseline and six hours post-exposure. Blood pressure, measures of left ventricular function (ejection fraction (LVEF) and global longitudinal strain (LVGLS)), and indices of endothelial function (flow mediated dilation (FMD) and velocity time integral during hyperemia (VTIhyp)) were measured before and after treatment. Wilcoxon sign-rank tests and linear mixed models were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS: In comparison with normal saline, LPS inhalation resulted in significant increases in peripheral blood and sputum neutrophils but was not associated with significant alterations in blood pressure, LVGLS, LVEF, FMD, or VTIhyp. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: In healthy adults, systemic inflammation after LPS inhalation was not associated with acute changes in cardiovascular physiology. Larger studies are needed to investigate the effects of other PM components on inflammation induced cardiovascular dysfunction.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Grammaticality and Utterance Length in Bilingual Children.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of two measures derived from spontaneous language samples, mean length of utterance in words (MLUw) and percentage of grammatical utterances (PGU), in identifying developmental language disorder (DLD) in Spanish-English bilingual children. We examined two approaches: best language and total language. METHOD: The participants in this study included 74 Spanish-English bilingual children with (n = 36) and without (n = 38) DLD. Language samples were elicited through a story retell and story generation task using Frog wordless picture books in English and Spanish. Stories were transcribed and coded using the Systematic Analysis of Language Samples (Miller & Iglesias, 2020) to extract MLUw and PGU in both languages. RESULTS: Logistic regression analyses suggested that a model that included PGU, MLUw, and age achieved the best diagnostic accuracy in predicting group membership. Both approaches, best language and total language, had fair diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: In combination, PGU and MLUw seem to be useful diagnostic tools to differentiate bilingual children with and without DLD. Clinical implications and usability are discussed.

Prehospital Pediatric Emergency Training Using Augmented Reality Simulation: A Prospective, Mixed Methods Study.

OBJECTIVE: Pediatric emergencies are high-stakes yet low-volume clinical encounters for emergency medical services (EMS) clinicians, necessitating innovative approaches to training. We sought to explore the acceptability, usability, and ergonomics of a novel augmented reality (AR) software for EMS crisis management training. METHODS: This was a prospective, mixed-methods study employing qualitative and quantitative analyses. We enrolled emergency medical technicians (EMTs) and paramedics at a municipal fire service in Northern California. We ran the Chariot Augmented Reality Medical simulation software (Stanford Chariot Program, Stanford University, Stanford, CA) on the ML1 headset (Magic Leap, Inc., Plantation, FL), which enabled participants to view an AR image of a patient overlaid with real-world training objects. Participants completed a simulation of a pediatric hypoglycemia-induced seizure and cardiac arrest. Participants subsequently engaged in structured focus group interviews assessing acceptability, which we coded and thematically analyzed. We evaluated the usability of the AR system and ergonomics of the ML1 headset using previously validated scales, and we analyzed findings with descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Twenty-two EMS clinicians participated. We categorized focus group interview statements into seven domains after an iterative thematic analysis: general appraisal, realism, learning efficacy, mixed reality feasibility, technology acceptance, software optimization, and alternate use cases. Participants valued the realism and the mixed reality functionality of the training simulation. They reported that AR could be effective for practicing pediatric clinical algorithms and task prioritization, building verbal communication skills, and promoting stress indoctrination. However, participants also noted challenges with integrating AR images with real-world objects, the learning curve required to adapt to the technology, and areas for software improvement. Participants favorably evaluated the ease of use of the technology and comfortability of wearing the hardware; however, most participants reported that they would need technical support. CONCLUSION: Participants positively evaluated the acceptability, usability, and ergonomics of an AR simulator for pediatric emergency management training, and participants identified current technological limitations and areas for improvement. AR simulation may serve as an effective training adjunct for prehospital clinicians.

Assessment of Pregnancy-Related Telehealth Interventions in the United States: A 10-Year Scoping Review.

Introduction: Telehealth use in obstetrics has been demonstrated to improve efficiency, access to care, and pregnancy outcomes. Despite reported successful implementation of these programs, information regarding the program variations and its impact on health care costs and outcomes are scarce. Methods: This is a scoping review of pregnancy-related telehealth studies to understand the current landscape of pregnancy-related telehealth interventions as well as to subset those that are used in high-risk pregnancies. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses framework to guide this review. Results: A total of 70 articles were included in this scoping review. Of those, 53 (75.7%) studies included a pregnant population and 17 (24.3%) studies focused on a rural and/or urban population. Most studies (n = 56; 80%) included some form of synchronous interaction between provider and participant. Patient outcomes included maternal/infant health outcomes (n = 41; 44.1%), patient satisfaction (n = 9; 9.7%), and attendance/compliance (n = 5; 5.4%). Provider-level outcomes included knowledge change (n = 11; 11.8%) and self-efficacy (n = 3; 3.2%). Other outcomes included assessment of costs and patient/provider feasibility and acceptability of the intervention. Overall, there has been a growing trend in articles published on pregnancy-related telehealth studies since 2011, with 2018 having the most publications in a single year. Conclusion: This review suggests a steadily growing body of literature on pregnancy-related telehealth interventions; however, more research is needed to better understand outcomes of telehealth for pregnancy-related care, especially related to patient satisfaction, health disparities, and cost-benefit.

Adolescent Asthma Monitoring: A Preliminary Study of Audio and Spirometry Modalities.

Asthma patients' sleep quality is correlated with how well their asthma symptoms are controlled. In this paper, deep learning techniques are explored to improve forecasting of forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) by using audio data from participants and test whether auditory sleep disturbances are correlated with poorer asthma outcomes. These are applied to a representative data set of FEV1 collected from a commercially available sprirometer and audio spectrograms collected overnight using a smartphone. A model for detecting nonverbal vocalizations including coughs, sneezes, sighs, snoring, throat clearing, sniffs, and breathing sounds was trained and used to capture nightly sleep disturbances. Our preliminary analysis found significant improvement in FEV1 forecasting when using overnight nonverbal vocalization detections as an additional feature for regression using XGBoost over using only spirometry data.Clinical relevance- This preliminary study establishes up to 30% improvement of FEV1 forecasting using features generated by deep learning techniques over only spirometry-based features.

Using Cost Conversations to Address Financial Toxicity in Pediatric Asthma Care: Findings From a Survey of Caregivers.

INTRODUCTION: Asthma care teams are well-positioned to help caregivers address financial toxicity in pediatric asthma care, although discussing cost can be challenging. We sought to characterize cost conversations in pediatric asthma specialty care. METHOD: We surveyed 45 caregivers of children aged 4-17 with asthma. Eligible caregivers reported costs concerns and had accompanied their child to a multisite asthma specialty practice in North Carolina. RESULTS: About one-third of caregivers reported a cost conversation (36%). Cost conversations were less common among caregivers whose child had public versus private health insurance (16% vs. 56%), who attended a telehealth versus in-person visit (6% vs. 52%), or who did not versus did want a conversation (19% vs. 77%, all p < .05). Common cost conversation topics were medications and equipment like spacers. DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest cost conversations may be relatively uncommon in pediatric asthma care, particularly for publicly insured patients and telehealth visits.

A pilot randomized clinical trial of γ-tocopherol supplementation on wood smoke-induced neutrophilic and eosinophilic airway inflammation.

Background: Air pollutants, including particulates from wood smoke, are a significant cause of exacerbation of lung disease. γ-Tocopherol is an anti-inflammatory isoform of vitamin E that has been shown to reduce allergen-, ozone-, and endotoxin-induced inflammation. Objective: The objective of this study was to determine whether γ-tocopherol would prevent experimental wood smoke-induced airway inflammation in humans. Methods: This was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial testing the effect of a short course of γ-tocopherol-enriched supplementation on airway inflammation following a controlled exposure to wood smoke particulates. Results: Short-course γ-tocopherol intervention did not reduce wood smoke-induced neutrophilic airway inflammation, but it did prevent wood smoke-induced eosinophilic airway inflammation. Conclusion: γ-Tocopherol is a potential intervention for exacerbation of allergic airway inflammation, but further study examining longer dosing periods is required.

Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Misidentification of Dementia in Medicare Claims: Results from the Washington Heights-Inwood Columbia Aging Project.

BACKGROUND: Misidentification of dementia in Medicare claims is quite common. OBJECTIVE: We examined potential race/ethnic disparities in misidentification of dementia in Medicare claims in a diverse cohort of older adults who underwent careful clinical assessment. METHODS: Participants were enrolled in the Washington Heights-Inwood Columbia Aging Project (WHICAP), a multiethnic, population-based, prospective study of cognitive aging in which dementia status was assessed using a rigorous clinical protocol. ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes in all available Medicare claims (1999-2019) were compared to clinical dementia diagnosis and categorized into three mutually exclusive groups: 1) congruent-, 2) over-, and 3) under- identification during the study period. Multinomial logistic regression model was used to examine the relationship between race (White, African American/Black, other) and ethnicity (Hispanic/Latinx, non-Hispanic/Latinx) and congruency of dementia identification after controlling for clinical (cognition, function, comorbidities) and demographic characteristics (age, sex, education), and inpatient and outpatient utilization. RESULTS: Across all person-years, 88.4% had congruent identification of dementia compared to clinical diagnosis, in 4.1% of the times participants were over-identified with dementia, and 7.5% of the times the participants were under-identified. Rates of misidentification was higher in minority participants than in White, non-Hispanic participants. Multivariable estimation results showed that the probability of over-identification with dementia was 2.2% higher for African American/Black than White (p = 0.05) and 2.7% higher for Hispanic participants than non-Hispanics (p = 0.03) participants. Differences in under-identification by race/ethnicity were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: African American/Black and Hispanic participants were more likely over-identified with dementia in Medicare claims.

Phenotypic and Genomic Characterization of Streptomyces pakalii sp. nov., a Novel Species with Anti-Biofilm and Anti-Quorum Sensing Activity in ESKAPE Bacteria.

The increasing number of infections caused by antimicrobial multi-resistant microorganisms has led to the search for new microorganisms capable of producing novel antibiotics. This work proposes Streptomyces pakalii sp. nov. as a new member of the Streptomycetaceae family. The strain ENCB-J15 was isolated from the jungle soil in Palenque National Park, Chiapas, Mexico. The strain formed pale brown, dry, tough, and buried colonies in the agar with no diffusible pigment in GAE (glucose-asparagine-yeast extract) medium. Scanning electron micrographs showed typical mycelium with long chains of smooth and oval-shaped spores (3-10 m). The strain grew in all of the International Streptomyces Project (ISP)'s media at 28-37 °C with a pH of 6-9 and 0-10% NaCl. S. pakalii ENCB-J15 assimilated diverse carbon as well as organic and inorganic nitrogen sources. The strain also exhibited significant inhibitory activity against the prodigiosin synthesis of Serratia marcescens and the inhibition of the formation and destruction of biofilms of ESKAPE strains of Acinetobacter baumannii and Klebsiella pneumoniae. The draft genome sequencing of ENCB-J15 revealed a 7.6 Mb genome with a high G + C content (71.6%), 6833 total genes, and 6746 genes encoding putative proteins. A total of 26 accessory clusters of proteins associated with carbon sources and amino acid catabolism, DNA modification, and the antibiotic biosynthetic process were annotated. The 16S rRNA gene phylogeny, core-proteome phylogenomic tree, and virtual genome fingerprints support that S. pakalii ENCB-J15 is a new species related to Streptomyces badius and Streptomyces globisporus. Similarly, its average nucleotide identity (ANI) (96.4%), average amino acid identity (AAI) (96.06%), and virtual DNA-DNA hybridization (67.3%) provide evidence to recognize it as a new species. Comparative genomics revealed that S. pakalli and its closest related species maintain a well-conserved genomic synteny. This work proposes Streptomyces pakalii sp. nov. as a novel species that expresses anti-biofilm and anti-quorum sensing activities.

Virtual reality facilitated exercise improves pain perception: A crossover study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Both virtual reality (VR) and exercise are recognized for their analgesic and anxiolytic properties. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the ability of VR-facilitated exercise to modulate pain. DESIGN: Within-subject cross-over clinical trial. SETTING: The Stanford Chariot Program conducted this study at Lucile Packard Children's Hospital Stanford (LCPHS). PATIENTS: Healthy participants meeting inclusion criteria were recruited by volunteer solicitation from LCPHS. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomized by hand dominance and subjected to a standardized cold pressor test with no VR or exercise. After a 5-min wash-out period, participants repeated the test on their other hand while experiencing a VR-facilitated exercise condition. Pain sensitivity, pain tolerance, and sympathetic activation data were collected during both conditions. MEASUREMENTS: Pain sensitivity was scored 0-10 and collected every 30 s. Pain tolerance was recorded as the duration a participant could endure the painful stimuli. Sympathetic activation was measured by skin conductance response density (SCRD) and recorded in 30 s epochs by a biosensor. In all analyses, data were nested by participant. MAIN RESULTS: Forty-one participants completed both interventions. Pain sensitivity was reduced in the VR-facilitated exercise condition (p < 0.0001). There was no difference in pain tolerance between conditions. While both conditions resulted in an increase in sympathetic activity, SCRD was higher at all time points in the VR-facilitated exercise condition. CONCLUSIONS: The reduction in pain sensitivity indicates VR-facilitated exercise results in improved pain perception. VR-facilitated exercise may be especially useful for patients with chronic pain or other conditions requiring physical therapy, where pain may be exacerbated by exercise.

Predicting pediatric healthcare provider use of virtual reality using a technology acceptance model.

Objective: The primary aim of this study was to apply a novel technology acceptance model (TAM) for virtual reality (VR) in healthcare. The secondary aim was to assess reliability of this model to evaluate factors that predict the intentions of pediatric health providers' use of VR as an anxiolytic for hospitalized pediatric patients. Materials and Methods: Healthcare providers that interacted with pediatric patients participated in a VR experience available as anxiolysis for minor procedures and then completed a survey evaluating attitudes, behaviors, and technology factors that influence adoption of new technologies. Results: Reliability for all domain measurements were good, and all confirmatory factor analysis models demonstrated good fit. Usefulness, ease of use, curiosity, and enjoyment of the VR experience all strongly predict intention to use and purchase VR technologies. Age of providers, past use, and cost of technology did not influence future purchase or use, suggesting that VR technologies may be broadly adopted in the pediatric healthcare setting. Discussion: Previous VR-TAM models in non-healthcare consumers formulated that age, past use, price willing to pay, and curiosity impacted perceived ease of use. This study established that age, past use, and cost may not influence use in healthcare. Future studies should be directed at evaluating the social influences and facilitating conditions within healthcare that play a larger influence on technology adoption. Conclusion: The VR-TAM model demonstrated validity and reliability for predicting intent to use VR in a pediatric hospital.

Neuropsychiatric Symptoms and Trajectories of Dependence and Cognition in a Sample of Community-dwelling Older Adults with Dementia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS), including psychotic symptoms (hallucinations, illusions, delusions), agitation/aggression, and depressed mood, are common in individuals with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and predict poorer outcomes, including faster disease progression. We aimed to evaluate associations between NPS and cognition and dependence in a multi-ethnic sample of community-dwelling older adults with AD. METHODS: Predictors 3 (P3) is a cohort study of AD disease courses recruiting older adults aged 65 and above residing in upper Manhattan. A total of 138 of 293 participants had probable AD at the study baseline. We fit linear mixed models to examine longitudinal associations of time-varying NPS (psychotic symptoms, agitation/aggression, and depressed mood) with dependence and cognition, adjusted for race-ethnicity, sex, education, age, clinical dementia rating score, APOE-ε4, and comorbidity burden; separate interaction models were fit for age, Hispanic ethnicity, and sex. RESULTS: Psychotic symptoms were associated with faster rates of increasing dependence and declining cognition over time, agitation/aggression with faster rates of declining cognition, and depressed mood with faster rates of increasing dependence. Among psychotic symptoms, delusions, but not hallucinations or illusions, were associated with worse outcome trajectories. Depressed mood predicted an accelerated increase in dependence in males but not females. CONCLUSION: Our results confirm and extend prior results in clinic-based samples. The presence of NPS was associated with worse trajectories of dependence and cognition in this muti-ethnic sample of older adults with AD. Importantly, sex modified the association between depressed mood and dependence. Our results on NPS as predictors of differential AD progression in a community-dwelling, ethnically diverse sample serve to better inform the clinical care of patients and the future development of AD therapies.

Race-specific spirometry equations may overestimate asthma control in Black children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: A growing body of evidence suggests that use of race terms in spirometry reference equations underestimates disease burden in Black populations, which may lead to disparities in pulmonary disease outcomes. Data on asthma-specific health consequences of using race-adjusted spirometry are lacking. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of 163 children from two observational asthma studies to determine the frequencies of participants with ppFEV1 < 80% (consistent with uncontrolled asthma) or ppFEV1 ≥ 80% using race-specific (GLI-African American or Caucasian) vs. race-neutral (GLI-Global) spirometry and their alignment with indicators of asthma control (Asthma Control Test™, ACT). Comparisons of mean ppFEV1 values were conducted using Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank tests. Two group comparisons were conducted using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. RESULTS: Data from 163 children (100 Black, 63 White) were analyzed. Mean ppFEV1 was 95.4% (SD 15.8) using race-specific spirometry and 90.4% (16.3) using race-neutral spirometry (p < 0.0001). Among 54 Black children with uncontrolled asthma (ACT ≤ 19), 20% had ppFEV1 < 80% using race-specific spirometry compared to 40% using race-neutral spirometry. In Black children with controlled asthma (ACT > 19), 87% had ppFEV1 ≥ 80% using race-specific compared to 67% using race-neutral spirometry. Children whose ppFEV1 changed to ≤ 80% with race-neutral spirometry had lower FEV1/FVC compared to those whose ppFEV1 remained ≥ 80% [0.83 (0.07) vs. 0.77 (0.05), respectively; p = 0.04], suggesting greater airway obstruction. Minimal changes in alignment of ppFEV1 with ACT score were observed for White children. CONCLUSIONS: Use of race-specific reference equations in Black children may increase the risk of inappropriately labeling asthma as controlled.

Validation of a Multivariate Prediction Model of the Clinical Progression of Alzheimer's Disease in a Community-Dwelling Multiethnic Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The major aims of the three Predictors Studies have been to further our understanding of Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression sufficiently to predict the length of time from disease onset to major disease outcomes in individual patients with AD. OBJECTIVES: To validate a longitudinal Grade of Membership (L-GoM) prediction algorithm developed using clinic-based, mainly white patients from the Predictors 2 Study in a statistically representative community-based sample of Hispanic (N = 211) and non-Hispanic (N = 62) older adults (with 60 males and 213 females) from the Predictors 3 Study and extend the algorithm to mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHODS: The L-GoM model was applied to data collected at the initial Predictors 3 visit for 150 subjects with AD and 123 with MCI. Participants were followed annually for up to seven years. Observed rates of survival and need for full-time care (FTC) were compared to those predicted by the algorithm. RESULTS: Initial MCI/AD severity in Predictors 3 was substantially higher than among clinic-based AD patients enrolled at the specialized Alzheimer's centers in Predictors 2. The observed survival and need for FTC followed the L-GoM model trajectories in individuals with MCI or AD, except for N = 32 subjects who were initially diagnosed with AD but reverted to a non-AD diagnosis on follow-up. CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that the L-GoM model is applicable to community-dwelling, multiethnic older adults with AD. They extend the use of the model to the prediction of outcomes for MCI. They also justify release of our L-GoM calculator at this time.

Stressful Life Events and Near-term Suicidal Risk in a Clinical Population.

The present study examined 22 specific stressful life events (SLEs) in relation to recent and prospective suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STBs). The effect of assessment method (self-report vs. chart-based ratings) and inpatient/outpatient status was also investigated. Past 3-month STBs and SLEs were assessed for 1,058 psychiatric patients; 696 completed one-month follow-up assessments. SLEs were common, with 684 participants (64.7%) reporting at least one. Total number of SLEs correlated with recent and prospective STB. A higher incidence of SLE's was found with self-report vs. chart-based measures (on 20 SLEs) and inpatients vs. outpatients (on 7 SLEs). SLEs of interpersonal rejection and loss, homelessness and academic failure offered elevated risk. In sum, SLEs are common and associated with STBs in psychiatric patients. SLEs of interpersonal rejection and loss, homelessness and academic failure may merit increased clinical attention.