Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death With Ultra-Short-Term Heart Rate Fluctuations.

BACKGROUND: Conventional measures of heart rate variability (HRV) have shown only modest associations with sudden cardiac death (SCD). Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), with novel methodological developments to evaluate the short-term scaling exponent, is a potentially superior method compared to conventional HRV tools. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors studied the analysis of the association between DFA and SCD. METHODS: The investigators studied the predictive value of ultra-short-term heart rate fluctuations (1-minute electrocardiogram samples) with DFA at rest and during different stages of physical exertion for incident SCD among 2,794 participants undergoing clinical exercise testing in the prospective FINCAVAS (Finnish Cardiovascular Study). The novel key DFA measure, the short-scale scaling exponent computed with second-order detrending (DFA2 α1), was the main exposure variable. SCDs were defined by American Heart Association/European Society of Cardiology criteria using death certificates with written accounts of the events. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.3 years (Q1-Q3: 6.4-10.5), 83 SCDs occurred. DFA2 α1 measured at rest (but not in exercise) associated highly significantly with the risk of SCD, with 1-SD lower values associating with a 2.4-fold (Q1-Q3: 2.0-3.0) risk (P < 0.001). The results persisted when adjusting for other major risk factors for SCD, including age, cardiovascular morbidities, cardiorespiratory fitness, heart rate reduction, and left ventricular ejection fraction. Associations between conventional HRV parameters (measured at any stage of exercise or at rest) and SCD were substantially weaker and statistically nonsignificant after adjusting for other risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Ultra-short-term DFA2 α1, when measured at rest, is a powerful and independent predictor of SCD. The association between DFA2 α1 and SCD is modified by physical exertion.

The association between GRACE score at admission for myocardial infarction and the incidence of sudden cardiac arrests in long-term follow-up - the MADDEC study.

Background. Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), often also leading to sudden cardiac death (SCD), is a common complication in coronary artery disease. Despite the effort there is a lack of applicable prediction tools to identify those at high risk. We tested the association between the validated GRACE score and the incidence of SCA after myocardial infarction. Material and methods. A retrospective analysis of 1,985 patients treated for myocardial infarction (MI) between January 1st 2015 and December 31st 2018 and followed until the 31st of December of 2021. The main exposure variable was patients' GRACE score at the point of admission and main outcome variable was incident SCA after hospitalization. Their association was analyzed by subdistribution hazard (SDH) model analysis. The secondary endpoints included SCA in patients with no indication to implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) device and incident SCD. Results. A total of 1985 patients were treated for MI. Mean GRACE score at baseline was 118.7 (SD 32.0). During a median follow-up time of 5.3 years (IQR 3.8-6.1 years) 78 SCA events and 52 SCDs occurred. In unadjusted analyses one SD increase in GRACE score associated with over 50% higher risk of SCA (SDH 1.55, 95% CI 1.29-1.85, p < 0.0001) and over 40% higher risk for SCD (1.42, 1.12-1.79, p = 0.0033). The associations between SCA and GRACE remained statistically significant even with patients without indication for ICD device (1.57, 1.30-1.90, p < 0.0001) as well as when adjusting with patients LVEF and omitting the age from the GRACE score to better represent the severity of the cardiac event. The association of GRACE and SCD turned statistically insignificant when adjusting with LVEF. Conclusions. GRACE score measured at admission for MI associates with long-term risk for SCA.

What is already known about this subject?Nearly 50% of cardiac mortality is caused by sudden cardiac death, often due to sudden cardiac arrest.Despite the effort, there is a lack of applicable prediction tools to identify those at high risk.What does this study add?This study shows that GRACE score measured at the point of admission for myocardial infarction can be used to evaluate patients' risk for sudden cardiac arrest in a long-term follow-up.How might this impact on clinical practice?Based on our findings, the GRACE score at the point of admission could significantly affect the patients' need for an ICD device after hospitalization for MI and should be considered as a contributing factor when evaluating the patients' follow-up care.

Ventricular Arrhythmias and Hemodynamic Collapse During Acute Coronary Syndrome- Increased Risk for Sudden Cardiac Death?

AIM: In acute phase of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), ventricular tachycardia (VT) and/or ventricular fibrillation (VF) leading to resuscitation are not considered to be associated with increased long-term sudden cardiac death (SCD) because the cause - acute ischemia - is believed to be reversible.Aim of this study was to investigate whether ventricular arrhythmias leading to sudden cardiac arrest during ACS associate with the risk of incident SCD in patients with normal or mildly impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). METHODS: This study is based on a retrospective analysis of all 8,062 consecutive ACS patients undergoing coronary angiography with baseline LVEF ≥40% between 2007-2018 (follow-up until December 31st, 2021). The primary outcome was SCD equivalent life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (LTVA) composing of true SCDs, aborted SCDs by successful resuscitation or appropriate ICD therapy. The risk of sudden LTVA was estimated with multivariate subdistribution hazard model using other deaths as competing events. RESULTS: Two-hundred and thirteen (n=211, 2.6%) patients suffered acute phase VF/VT leading to resuscitation and survived to discharge and most happened before angiography (80.6%, N=170) and were VF (92.9%, N=196). During a median follow-up of 7.6 years, 3.9% (N=316) of all the patients had LTVA (10.0% in VF/VT group vs 3.8% in other patients). VF/VTs during ACS associated with an increased risk for future SCD (HR 3.07; 95% CI 1.94-4.85, p<0.001). Most LTVAs occurred in patients without ICDs. CONCLUSIONS: VF/VT in ACS associates with remarkably high long-term risk for SCD in patients with LVEF ≥40%.

This retrospective study comprising of over 8,000 patients without significant heart failure after acute coronary syndrome indicates that patients with potentially fatal ventricular arrhythmias during hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome are at 3-fold risk of sudden cardiac death or equivalent events in long-term when compared to those without ventricular arrhythmias Further study is required to confirm our findings and to assess whether electrophysiological examination or implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy could be useful to prevent sudden cardiac death in these patients.

The prognostic significance of single-lead ST-segment resolution in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients treated with primary PCI - A substudy of the randomized TOTAL trial.

BACKGROUND: ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is associated with high morbidity and mortality worldwide. Simple electrocardiogram (ECG) tools, including ST-segment resolution (STR) have been developed to identify high-risk STEMI patients after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We evaluated the prognostic impact of STR in the ECG lead with maximal baseline ST-segment elevation (STE) 30-60 minutes after primary PCI in 7,654 STEMI patients included in the TOTAL trial. Incomplete or no STR was defined as < 70% STR and complete STR as ≥ 70% STR. The primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction (MI), cardiogenic shock, or new or worsening New York Heart Association (NYHA) class IV heart failure at 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Of 7,654 patients, 42.9% had incomplete or no STR and 57.1% had complete STR. The primary outcome occurred in 341 patients (10.4%) in the incomplete or no STR group and in 234 patients (5.4%) in the complete STR group. In Cox regression analysis, adjusted hazard ratio for STR < 70% to predict the primary outcome was 1.56 (95% confidence interval 1.32-1.89; P < .001) (model adjusted for all baseline comorbidities, clinical status during hospitalization, angiographic findings, and procedural techniques). CONCLUSION: In a large international study of STEMI patients, STR < 70% 30-60 minutes post primary PCI in the ECG lead with the greatest STE at admission was associated with an increased rate of the composite of cardiovascular death, recurrent MI, cardiogenic shock, or new or worsening NYHA class IV heart failure at 1-year follow-up. Clinicians should pay attention to this simple ECG finding.

Computed tomography -defined sarcopenia is associated with long-term survival among patients undergoing open thoracic aortic reconstruction.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: As markers of sarcopenia, psoas muscle areas and indexes measured from computed tomography images have been found to predict long-term mortality in cardiothoracic as well as other surgical cohorts. Our objective was to investigate the association between psoas muscle status, taking into account muscle density in addition to area, and survival among patients undergoing open thoracic aortic reconstruction. METHODS: This was a retrospective registry study of a total of 451 patients treated with open surgery for thoracic aortic pathology. Psoas muscle area and density were measured from preoperative computed tomography images at the L3 and L4 lumbar levels. In addition, lean psoas muscle area was calculated by averaging sex-specific values of psoas muscle area and density. The association between mortality and psoas muscle status was analyzed with adjusted Cox-regression analysis. RESULTS: The median age of the study population was 63 (interquartile range (IQR): 53-70) years. The majority were male (74.7%, n = 337) and underwent elective procedures (58.1% n = 262). Surgery of the ascending aorta was carried out in 90% of the patients, and 15% (n = 67) had concomitant coronary artery bypass surgery. Aortic dissection was present in 34.6% (n = 156) patients. Median follow-up time was 4.3 years (IQR: 2.2-7.4). During the follow-up, 106 patients (23.5%) died, with 55.7% of deaths occurring within the first four postoperative weeks. Psoas muscle parameters were not associated with perioperative mortality, but significant independent associations with long-term mortality were observed for psoas muscle area, density, and lean psoas muscle area with hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.63 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.45-0.88), 0.62 (95% CI: 0.46-0.83), and 0.47 (95% CI: 0.32-0.69), respectively (all per 1-SD increase). CONCLUSIONS: Psoas muscle sarcopenia status is associated with long-term mortality after open thoracic aortic surgery.

The incidence of atrial fibrillation, new oral anticoagulation, stroke, and significant bleeds in patients receiving a new dual-chamber pacemaker.

Background and objectives: Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL) can be easily detected in patients who have a dual-chamber pacemaker (PM). This can result in a high detection rate of these arrhythmias especially if patients are monitored remotely and detection limits are sensitive. Materials and methods: A single-center retrospective registry analysis of 1,285 consecutive AF/AFL and anticoagulation naïve patients from a limited geographical area undergoing implantation of a new dual-chamber PM (between 2013 and 2019). Seven-year follow-up data for incident AF/AFL, initiation of new oral anticoagulation and for incident strokes and bleeds was obtained from an in-depth review of all relevant patient records including written medical records and death certificates detailing causes of death. Results: During the follow-up, mortality reached 22.2 % and cumulative incidence of AF/AFL, new anticoagulation, strokes, and bleeds were 52.6 %, 40.4 %, 4.7 % and 10.4 %. In 92.6 % of the cases, AF/AFL was discovered by PM. Remote monitoring was initiated in 67 % (n = 856). Risk factor adjusted mortality in this group was significantly lower when compared to patients in regular out-patient clinic controls (HR 0.45, 95 % CI 0.35-0.57). Despite of their better overall prognosis, the AF/AFL was discovered, and oral anticoagulation was initiated more often in remote monitoring group (HR 1.58, 95 % CI 1.23-1.79 for AF/AFL and HR 1.67, 95 % CI 1.33-2.09 for anticoagulation). There was no significant difference in the incidence of strokes or bleeds. Conclusions: The incidence of new AF/AFL is high in this population. Remote monitoring is associated with higher diagnostic yields of AF/AFL and initiated anticoagulation, but not with stroke and significant bleeds.

Psoas muscle quantified muscle status and long-term mortality after cardiovascular interventions.

RESULTS: In the meta-analysis, psoas muscle measurements were significantly associated with mortality among men (p < 0.05), with high heterogeneity in the associations across all cohorts. There was very little difference in the association between PMA and PMD and mortality (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.69-0.99, p = 0.002; HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.77-0.94, p = 0.041 for one SD increase in PMA and PMD in the random effects model). Combining PMA and PMD into one composite variable by multiplying their values together showed the most robust association in terms of the magnitude of the effect size in men (HR, 0.77; 95% CI 0.73-0.87, p < 0.001). Indexing PMA to body size did not result in any significant differences in this association. Among women, psoas muscle measurements were not associated with long-term mortality in this meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Different psoas muscle measurements were significantly and very similarly associated with mortality among men but not among women. No single measurement stands out, although combining PMA and PMD seems to be a slightly stronger estimate in terms of effect size and should be considered in further studies.

Significant sarcopenia affecting survival in patients undergoing heavy invasive operations may be preoperatively assessed using images of psoas muscle (PM) from routine computerized tomography but the optimal method for evaluation is unclear. A meta-analysis of individual participant data of over two thousand patients undergoing cardiovascular interventions shows that different PM measurements of surface area and density were significantly and very similarly associated with mortality among men but not among women. Combining PM area with PM density to one estimate of lean psoas muscle area seems to provide the strongest hazard estimate among men.

The Association Between Digoxin Use and Long-Term Mortality After Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Digoxin is used to treat atrial fibrillation and heart failure. Previous studies have reported an association between digoxin and higher mortality, but the results have been conflicting. This study assessed the association between digoxin use and all-cause mortality using comprehensive health data of patients treated for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This was a retrospective analysis of 8,388 consecutive ACS patients treated in Tays Heart Hospital between 2007 and 2017, with a follow-up until the end of 2018. The adjusted Cox regression model was used to analyze the association between digoxin treatment and all-cause mortality with and without the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method. IPTW was applied to estimate the residual confounding by the treatment selection. Clinical phenotype data were collected from various sources, including a prospectively updated online database maintained by physicians. The median follow-up time was 6.0 years (interquartile range 3.5 to 9.0 years). During the follow-up, 30.8% (n = 2,580) of the patients died. Altogether, 4.0% (n = 333) of the patients were treated with digoxin during hospitalization. In the Cox regression model, digoxin associated with increased mortality (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.76 [1.51 to 2.05], p <0.001 and in the full risk factor-adjusted HR 1.23 [1.04 to 1.45], p = 0.016). The IPTW Cox analysis average treatment effect HR was 1.71 (1.12 to 2.62, p = 0.013), standardized average treatment effect HR was 1.35 (0.96 to 1.90, p = 0.082), and treatment effect among the treated HR was 1.32 (1.09 to 1.59, p = 0.004). In conclusion, digoxin treatment during ACS associates with increased mortality, despite adjusting for other risk factors and after accounting for factors explaining the residual confounding by selection bias.

Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke After Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Background Stroke incidence is elevated after acute coronary syndromes (ACS). The aim of this study was to characterize risk factors related to ischemic stroke (IS) after ACS. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective registry study based on the data of 8049 consecutive patients treated for ACS between 2007 and 2018 in Tays Heart Hospital with a follow-up until December 31, 2020. Potential risk factors were identified by in-depth review of written hospital records and causes-of-death registry data maintained by Statistics Finland. The association between individual risk factors, early-onset IS (0-30 days after ACS, n=82), and late-onset IS (31 days to 14 years after ACS, n=419) were analyzed using logistic regression and subdistribution hazard analysis. In multivariable analysis, the most substantial risk factors for early- and late-onset IS were previous stroke, atrial fibrillation or flutter, and heart failure status depicted by the Killip classification. Left ventricular ejection fraction and coronary artery disease severity were significant risk factors for early-onset IS; age and peripheral artery disease were significant risk factors for late-onset IS. The risk of early-onset IS with ≥6 CHA2DS2-VASc score points (odds ratio, 6.63 [95% Cl, 3.63-12.09]; P<0.001) was notable compared with patients with 1 to 3 points as well as the risk of late-onset IS with ≥6 points (subdistribution hazard, 6.03 [95% Cl, 3.71-9.81]; P<0.001) in comparison with patients with 1 point. Conclusions Factors related to high thromboembolic risk also predict IS risk after ACS. CHA2DS2-VASc score and its individual components are strong predictors for both early- and late-onset IS.

The 2023 wearable photoplethysmography roadmap.

Photoplethysmography is a key sensing technology which is used in wearable devices such as smartwatches and fitness trackers. Currently, photoplethysmography sensors are used to monitor physiological parameters including heart rate and heart rhythm, and to track activities like sleep and exercise. Yet, wearable photoplethysmography has potential to provide much more information on health and wellbeing, which could inform clinical decision making. This Roadmap outlines directions for research and development to realise the full potential of wearable photoplethysmography. Experts discuss key topics within the areas of sensor design, signal processing, clinical applications, and research directions. Their perspectives provide valuable guidance to researchers developing wearable photoplethysmography technology.

Transformers for cardiac patient mortality risk prediction from heterogeneous electronic health records.

With over 17 million annual deaths, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) dominate the cause of death statistics. CVDs can deteriorate the quality of life drastically and even cause sudden death, all the while inducing massive healthcare costs. This work studied state-of-the-art deep learning techniques to predict increased risk of death in CVD patients, building on the electronic health records (EHR) of over 23,000 cardiac patients. Taking into account the usefulness of the prediction for chronic disease patients, a prediction period of six months was selected. Two major transformer models that rely on learning bidirectional dependencies in sequential data, BERT and XLNet, were trained and compared. To our knowledge, the presented work is the first to apply XLNet on EHR data to predict mortality. The patient histories were formulated as time series consisting of varying types of clinical events, thus enabling the model to learn increasingly complex temporal dependencies. BERT and XLNet achieved an average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 75.5% and 76.0%, respectively. XLNet surpassed BERT in recall by 9.8%, suggesting that it captures more positive cases than BERT, which is the main focus of recent research on EHRs and transformers.

Intraventricular conduction delays as a predictor of mortality in acute coronary syndromes.

AIMS: Initial proof suggests that a non-specific intraventricular conduction delay (NIVCD) is a risk factor for mortality. We explored the prognosis of intraventricular conduction delays (IVCD)-right bundle branch block (RBBB), left bundle branch block (LBBB), and the lesser-known NIVCD-in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a retrospective registry analysis of 9749 consecutive ACS patients undergoing coronary angiography and with an electrocardiographic (ECG) recording available for analysis (2007-18). The primary outcome was cardiac mortality. Mortality and cause of death data (in ICD-10 format) were received from the Finnish national register with no losses to follow-up (until 31 December 2020). The risk associated with IVCDs was analysed by calculating subdistribution hazard estimates (SDH; deaths due to other causes being considered competing events). The mean age of the population was 68.3 years [standard deviation (Sd) 11.8]. The median follow-up time was 6.1 years [interquartile range (IQR) 3.3-9.4], during which 3156 patients died. Cardiac mortality was overrepresented among IVCD patients: 76.9% for NIVCD (n = 113/147), 67.6% for LBBB (n = 96/142), 55.7% for RBBB (n = 146/262), and 50.1% for patients with no IVCD (n = 1275/2545). In an analysis adjusted for age and cardiac comorbidities, the risk of cardiac mortality was significantly higher in all IVCD groups than among patients with no IVCD: SDH 1.37 (1.15-1.64, P < 0.0001) for RBBB, SDH 1.63 (1.31-2.03 P < 0.0001) for LBBB, and SDH 2.68 (2.19-3.27) for NIVCD. After adjusting the analysis with left ventricular ejection fraction, RBBB and NIVCD remained significant risk factors for cardiac mortality. CONCLUSION: RBBB, LBBB, and NIVCD were associated with higher cardiac mortality in ACS patients.

Wrist-worn device combining PPG and ECG can be reliably used for atrial fibrillation detection in an outpatient setting.

Aims: The aim was to validate the performance of a monitoring system consisting of a wrist-worn device and a data management cloud service intended to be used by medical professionals in detecting atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: Thirty adult patients diagnosed with AF alone or AF with concomitant flutter were recruited. Continuous photoplethysmogram (PPG) and intermittent 30 s Lead I electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings were collected over 48 h. The ECG was measured four times a day at prescheduled times, when notified due to irregular rhythm detected by PPG, and when self-initiated based on symptoms. Three-channel Holter ECG was used as the reference. Results: The subjects recorded a total of 1,415 h of continuous PPG data and 3.8 h of intermittent ECG data over the study period. The PPG data were analyzed by the system's algorithm in 5-min segments. The segments containing adequate amounts, at least ~30 s, of adequate quality PPG data for rhythm assessment algorithm, were included. After rejecting 46% of the 5-min segments, the remaining data were compared with annotated Holter ECG yielding AF detection sensitivity and specificity of 95.6 and 99.2%, respectively. The ECG analysis algorithm labeled 10% of the 30-s ECG records as inadequate quality and these were excluded from the analysis. The ECG AF detection sensitivity and specificity were 97.7 and 89.8%, respectively. The usability of the system was found to be good by both the study subjects and the participating cardiologists. Conclusion: The system comprising of a wrist device and a data management service was validated to be suitable for use in patient monitoring and in the detection of AF in an ambulatory setting.Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov/, NCT05008601.

Incidence of sudden cardiac arrest and sudden cardiac death after unstable angina pectoris and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac arrests (SCA) and sudden cardiac deaths (SCD) are believed to account for a large proportion of deaths due to cardiovascular causes. The purpose of this study is to provide comprehensive information on the epidemiology of SCAs and SCDs after acute coronary syndrome. METHODS: The incidence of SCA (including SCDs) was studied retrospectively among 10,316 consecutive patients undergoing invasive evaluation for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) between 2007 and 2018 at Tays Heart Hospital (sole provider of specialized cardiac care for a catchment area of over 0.5 million residents). Baseline and follow-up information was collected by combining information from the hospital's electronic health records, death certificate data, and a full-disclosure review of written patient records and accounts of the circumstances leading to death. RESULTS: During 12 years of follow-up, the cumulative incidence of SCAs (including SCDs) was 9.8% (0.8% annually) and that of SCDs 5.4% (0.5% annually). Cumulative incidence of SCAs in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction and unstable angina pectoris were: 11.9%,10.2% and 5.7% at 12 years. SCAs accounted for 30.5% (n = 528/1,732) of all deaths due to cardiovascular causes. The vast majority of SCAs (95.6%) occurred in patients without implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) devices or among patients with no recurrent hospitalizations for coronary artery disease (89.1%). CONCLUSIONS: SCAs accounted for less than a third of all deaths due to cardiovascular causes among patients with previous ACS. Incidence of SCA is highest among STEMI and NSTEMI patients. After the hospital discharge, most of SCAs happen to NSTEMI patients.

Multivariable Analysis of Pre-operative Brain Atrophy as a Predictor of Long Term Mortality After Carotid Endarterectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Brain atrophy is associated with an increased mortality rate in elderly trauma patients and in patients treated with mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischaemic stroke. In the setting of ischaemic stroke, the association between brain atrophy and death is stronger than that of sarcopenia. It has previously been shown that lower masseter area, as a marker of sarcopenia, is linked to lower survival after carotid endarterectomy (CEA). The aim of this study was to investigate whether brain atrophy is also associated with long term mortality in patients undergoing CEA. METHODS: A cohort of patients treated with CEA between 2004 and 2010 was retrieved from the Tampere University Hospital vascular registry and those with available pre-operative computed tomography (CT) imaging were analysed retrospectively. CT images were evaluated for brain atrophy index (BAI) and masseter muscle surface area and density. The association between BAI and mortality was investigated with Cox regression. RESULTS: Two hundred and thirty-three patients with a median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of 71 years (64.0, 77.0) were included. Most patients were operated on for symptomatic stenosis (n = 203; 87.1%). The median (IQR) duration of follow up was 115.0 months (66.0, 153.0), and 155 patients (66.5%) died during follow up. BAI was statistically significantly correlated with age (r = .489), average masseter density (r = -.202), and smoking (r = -.186; all p <.005). Increased BAI was statistically significantly associated with overall mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25 - 1.68, per one standard deviation [SD] increase) in the univariable analysis, and the association remained (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04 - 1.46, per one SD increase) in the multivariable models. Age, peripheral artery disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were also independently associated with mortality. The optimal cutoff value for BAI was 0.133. CONCLUSION: Brain atrophy independently predicts the long term post-operative mortality rate after CEA in a cohort containing mainly symptomatic patients. Future studies are needed to validate the results in prospective settings and in asymptomatic patients.

Underweight and obesity are related to higher mortality in patients undergoing coronary angiography: The KARDIO invasive cardiology register study.

BACKGROUND: In patients with some cardiovascular disease conditions, slightly elevated body mass index (BMI) is associated with a lower mortality risk (termed "obesity paradox"). It is uncertain, however, if this obesity paradox exists in patients who have had invasive cardiology procedures. We evaluated the association between BMI and mortality in patients who underwent coronary angiography. METHODS: We utilised the KARDIO registry, which comprised data on demographics, prevalent diseases, risk factors, coronary angiographies, and interventions on 42,636 patients. BMI was categorised based on WHO cut-offs or transformed using P-splines. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, 4688 all-cause deaths occurred. BMI was nonlinearly associated with mortality risk: compared to normal weight category (18.5-25 kg/m2 ), the age-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality were 1.90 (1.49, 2.43), 0.96 (0.92, 1.01), 1.04 (0.99, 1.09), 1.08 (0.96, 1.20), and 1.45 (1.22, 1.72) for underweight (<18.5 kg/m2 ), preobesity (25 to <30 kg/m2 ), obesity class I (30 to <35 kg/m2 ), obesity class II (35 to <40 kg/m2 ), and obesity class III (>40 kg/m2 ), respectively. The corresponding multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 2.00 (1.55, 2.58), 0.92 (0.88, 0.97) 1.01 (0.95, 1.06), 1.10 (0.98, 1.23), and 1.49 (1.26, 1,78), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing coronary angiography, underweight and obesity class III are associated with increased mortality risk, and the lowest mortality was observed in the preobesity class. It appears the obesity paradox may be present in patients who undergo invasive coronary procedures.

Incidence of stroke and mortality due to stroke after acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: Stroke is a known complication after myocardial infarction (MI) and it is associated with increased mortality. We aimed to establish the true cumulative incidence of stroke and its subtypes and the associated mortality in a contemporary setting among patients treated for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective registry study based on the data of 8,049 consecutive patients treated for ACS in a sole provider of specialized cardiac and neurologic care for a catchment area of over 0.5 million residents between 2007 and 2018. Incident strokes and their subtypes were identified by in-depth review of written hospital records, hospital discharge registry data and causes of death registry data maintained by Statistics Finland up until December 31st 2020. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.8 years (IQR 3.2-9.0) 570 ACS patients suffered a stroke. The cumulative incidences of stroke for first week, first month, first year and at thirteen years were: 0.8 %, 1.1 %, 2.2 % and 10.3 %. In long-term, patients with different ACS subtypes had similar cumulative incidence of strokes, although the incidence of in-hospital strokes was highest among myocardial infarction patients. Stroke mortality rate was 32.5 % (n=185/570). The majority (88.8 %) of strokes were ischemic with the proportion being most substantial for in-hospital strokes (95.6 %). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of stroke among patients treated for ACS and the related mortality are still notable in a contemporary setting. A distinctive majority of strokes following ACS were ischemic especially early on after ACS.

The S1S2S3 electrocardiographic pattern - Prevalence and relation to cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases in the general population.

BACKGROUND: There is lack of studies exploring the incidence and association with diseases of the S1S2S3 electrocardiogram (ECG) pattern in the general population. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: This population study included 6299 individuals aged 30+, and explored the prevalence and association between S1S2S3 and cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases. Criteria for the S1S2S3-I and S1S2S3-II ECG pattern were fulfilled when there was an S wave in the leads I, II and III, and the S-wave amplitude was greater than the R-wave amplitude in one or two of the leads, respectively. RESULTS: The S1S2S3-I ECG pattern was found in 2332 subjects (36.9%). After age adjustment, hypertension was associated with S1S2S3-I (Odds ratio [OR] 1.25, 95% CI 1.12-1.41, p < 0.001). This age-adjusted association was statistically significant among men but not among women (OR 1.37, 1.16-1.62, p < 0.001 and OR 1.13, 0.97-1.33, p = 0.126, respectively). The S1S2S3-II ECG pattern was present in 193 subjects (3.1%). After age adjustment, heart failure proved to be associated with S1S2S3-II (OR 1.85, 1.18-2.90, p = 0.007). Dividing the population by sex, resulted in a statistically significant age-adjusted association for men but not for women (OR 2.30, 1.22-4.33, p = 0.010 and OR 1.59, 0.83-3.03, p = 0.159, respectively). Interactions with sex were statistically non-significant. CONCLUSION: In the general adult population, the prevalence of the S1S2S3 ECG pattern is markedly affected by the diagnostic ECG criteria. The S1S2S3-I pattern was associated with hypertension, while S1S2S3-II was associated with heart failure, and both associations were enhanced in men. The associations with other studied cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases were minor and not clinically useful for risk stratification.

High-risk ECG patterns in ST elevation myocardial infarction for mortality prediction.

AIM: We explored the pre-intervention (first medical contact) electrocardiographic (ECG) patterns and their relation to survival among patients with acute myocardial infarction, who presented either with ST elevation (ST elevation myocardial infarction, STEMI) or LBBB, and who underwent emergent coronary angiography in a region with a 24/7/365 STEMI network. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 1363 consecutive patients hospitalized for first STEMI between the years 2014 and 2018. We assessed the prognostic significance of a variety of ECG categories, including location of ST elevation, severity of ischemia, intraventricular and atrioventricular conduction disorders, atrial fibrillation or flutter, junctional rhythms, heart rate, left ventricular hypertrophy and Q waves. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality between January 2014 and the end of 2020. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 67.9 (SD 12.8) years. The majority were treated by percutaneous coronary intervention (93.8%, n = 1278). Median follow-up time was 3.7 years (IQR 2.5-5.1 years) during which 22.5% (n = 307) of the patients died. According to Cox regression analysis, adjusted for pre-existing conditions and age, the ECG variables with statistically significant association with survival were elevated heart rate (>100 bpm) (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.75-3.12), atrial fibrillation or flutter (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.41-2.67), left bundle branch block (LBBB) (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.49-4.63) and non-specific intraventricular conduction delay (NIVCD) (HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.22-2.89). CONCLUSION: Higher heart rate, atrial fibrillation or flutter, LBBB and NIVCD are associated with worse outcome in all-comers with STEMI. Ischemia severity was not associated with impaired prognosis.