Spatio-temporal analysis of tuberculous infection risk among clients of a homeless shelter during an outbreak.

SETTING: British Columbia (BC) has a low incidence of tuberculosis (TB), with the burden of endogenously acquired disease concentrated among vulnerable populations, including the homeless. In May 2008, a TB outbreak began in a BC homeless shelter, with a single index case seeding multiple secondary cases within the shelter. OBJECTIVE: To use nightly shelter records to quantify the risk of latent tuberculous infection (LTBI) among shelter clients as a function of their sleeping distance from and duration of exposure to the index case. DESIGN: Distance and duration of exposure were visualised and assessed using logistic regression with LTBI status as outcome. We used a novel machine learning approach to establish exposure thresholds that optimally separated infected and non-infected individuals. RESULTS: Of 161 exposed shelter clients, 58 had a recorded outcome of infected (n = 39) or non-infected (n = 19). Only duration of exposure to the index was associated with increased odds of infection (OR 1.26); stays of ⩾ 5 nights put shelter clients at higher odds of infection (OR 4.97). CONCLUSION: The unique data set and analytical approach suggested that, in a shelter environment, long-term clients are at highest risk of LTBI and should be prioritised for screening during an outbreak investigation.

A clonal outbreak of tuberculosis in a homeless population in the interior of British Columbia, Canada, 2008-2015.

A tuberculosis (TB) case was reported May 2008 in Kelowna, British Columbia, leading to a multi-year outbreak in homeless persons. The epidemiological characteristics and social networks of cases are described. Outbreak-related cases were identified from epidemiological information in medical records and from genotyping of TB isolates. Social network information from case interviews were used to identify potential locations of TB transmission, where symptom screening and tuberculin skin testing was conducted. Fifty-two cases that were predominantly male (47/52), Canadian-born (44/50), and were homeless or associated with homeless individuals (42/52) were reported from May 2008 to May 2014. Many isolates (40/49) had partial resistance to isoniazid. Transmission primarily occurred at two homeless shelters, with potential further transmission at sites visited by the general population. TB outbreaks in homeless populations can occur in small, low-incidence cities. Social network information helped prioritize sites for TB screening, thereby improving detection of persons with TB disease or latent infection for treatment.