Brain metastases in adult patients with melanoma of unknown primary in the Netherlands (2011-2020).

BACKGROUND: Although patients with melanoma of unknown primary (MUP) have a better prognosis than similar-staged melanoma patients with known primary, the occurrence of brain metastases (BM) entails a serious complication. This study provides an overview of the incidence, treatment patterns, and overall survival (OS) of adult patients with BM-MUP in the Netherlands. METHODS: BM-MUP cases were retrieved from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patient, disease and treatment-related characteristics were summarised using descriptive statistics. Overall survival (OS) was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the impact of prognostic factors on OS was assessed using Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. RESULTS: Among 1779 MUP patients, 450 were identified as BM-MUP (25.3%). Of these patients, 381 (84.7%) presented with BM along with other metastases, while 69 (15.3%) had BM only. BM-MUP patients were predominantly male (68.2%), and had a median age of 64 years at diagnosis (interquartile range 54-71 years). Over time, the proportion of BM along other metastatic sites increased, and the occurrence of BM decreased (p = 0.01). 1-Year OS improved for the total population, from 30.0% (95% confidence interval (CI): 19.8-40.9%) in 2011-2012 to 43.6% (95%CI: 34.5-52.3%) in 2019-2020, and median OS more than doubled from 4.2 months (95%CI: 3.3-6.2 months) to 9.8 months (95%CI: 7.0-13.2 months). Patient's age, localisation of BM, presence of synchronous liver metastasis and treatment were identified as independent predictors of OS. CONCLUSION: Notwithstanding the progress made in OS for patients with BM-MUP in the past decade, their overall prognosis remains poor, and further efforts are needed to improve outcomes.

Harmonizing Definitions for Diagnostic Criteria and Prognostic Assessment of Transplantation-Associated Thrombotic Microangiopathy: A Report on Behalf of the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation, American Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy, Asia-Pacific Blood and Marrow Transplantation Group, and Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research.

Transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) is an increasingly recognized complication of hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) associated with significant morbidity and mortality. However, TA-TMA is a clinical diagnosis, and multiple criteria have been proposed without universal application. Although some patients have a self-resolving disease, others progress to multiorgan failure and/or death. Poor prognostic features also are not uniformly accepted. The lack of harmonization of diagnostic and prognostic markers has precluded multi-institutional studies to better understand incidence and outcomes. Even current interventional trials use different criteria, making it challenging to interpret the data. To address this urgent need, the American Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy, Center for International Bone Marrow Transplant Research, Asia-Pacific Blood and Marrow Transplantation, and European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation nominated representatives for an expert panel tasked with reaching consensus on diagnostic and prognostic criteria. The panel reviewed literature, generated consensus statements regarding diagnostic and prognostic features of TA-TMA using the Delphi method, and identified future directions of investigation. Consensus was reached on 4 key concepts: (1) TA-TMA can be diagnosed using clinical and laboratory criteria or tissue biopsy of kidney or gastrointestinal tissue; however, biopsy is not required; (2) consensus diagnostic criteria are proposed using the modified Jodele criteria with additional definitions of anemia and thrombocytopenia. TA-TMA is diagnosed when ≥4 of the following 7 features occur twice within 14 days: anemia, defined as failure to achieve transfusion independence despite neutrophil engraftment; hemoglobin decline by ≥1 g/dL or new-onset transfusion dependence; thrombocytopenia, defined as failure to achieve platelet engraftment, higher-than-expected transfusion needs, refractory to platelet transfusions, or ≥50% reduction in baseline platelet count after full platelet engraftment; lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) exceeding the upper limit of normal (ULN); schistocytes; hypertension; soluble C5b-9 (sC5b-9) exceeding the ULN; and proteinuria (≥1 mg/mg random urine protein-to-creatinine ratio [rUPCR]); (3) patients with any of the following features are at increased risk of nonrelapse mortality and should be stratified as high-risk TA-TMA: elevated sC5b-9, LDH ≥2 times the ULN, rUPCR ≥1 mg/mg, multiorgan dysfunction, concurrent grade II-IV acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), or infection (bacterial or viral); and (4) all allogeneic and pediatric autologous HCT recipients with neuroblastoma should be screened weekly for TA-TMA during the first 100 days post-HCT. Patients diagnosed with TA-TMA should be risk-stratified, and those with high-risk disease should be offered participation in a clinical trial for TA-TMA-directed therapy if available. We propose that these criteria and risk stratification features be used in data registries, prospective studies, and clinical practice across international settings. This harmonization will facilitate the investigation of TA-TMA across populations diverse in race, ethnicity, age, disease indications, and transplantation characteristics. As these criteria are widely used, we expect continued refinement as necessary. Efforts to identify more specific diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers are a top priority of the field. Finally, an investigation of the impact of TA-TMA-directed treatment, particularly in the setting of concurrent highly morbid complications, such as steroid-refractory GVHD and infection, is critically needed.

Performance and usability testing of an automated tool for detection of peripheral artery disease using electronic health records.

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a common cardiovascular disorder that is frequently underdiagnosed, which can lead to poorer outcomes due to lower rates of medical optimization. We aimed to develop an automated tool to identify undiagnosed PAD and evaluate physician acceptance of a dashboard representation of risk assessment. Data were derived from electronic health records (EHR). We developed and compared traditional risk score models to novel machine learning models. For usability testing, primary and specialty care physicians were recruited and interviewed until thematic saturation. Data from 3168 patients with PAD and 16,863 controls were utilized. Results showed a deep learning model that utilized time engineered features outperformed random forest and traditional logistic regression models (average AUCs 0.96, 0.91 and 0.81, respectively), P < 0.0001. Of interviewed physicians, 75% were receptive to an EHR-based automated PAD model. Feedback emphasized workflow optimization, including integrating risk assessments directly into the EHR, using dashboard designs that minimize clicks, and providing risk assessments for clinically complex patients. In conclusion, we demonstrate that EHR-based machine learning models can accurately detect risk of PAD and that physicians are receptive to automated risk detection for PAD. Future research aims to prospectively validate model performance and impact on patient outcomes.

Prognostic factors among patients with brain metastases from cancer of unknown primary site.

PURPOSE: Cancers of an unknown primary site (CUPs) have a dismal prognosis, and the situation is even worse for CUPs patients with brain metastases (BM-CUPs). This study aims to give better insight into the occurrence and survival of BM-CUPs patients. METHODS: Cases were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (1,430 BM-CUPs/17,140 CUPs). Baseline characteristics between CUPs patients with and without BM were tested using chi-square tests and Mann-Whitney U tests. Patients' overall survival (OS) times were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and prognostic factors on OS was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. RESULTS: The proportion of BM-CUPs patients among CUPs increased from 8% in 2009-2010 to 10% in 2017-2018 (p < 0.001). Most patients presented with multiple brain lesions (53%). Survival of BM-CUPs improved over time: one-year OS increased from 10% for patients diagnosed in 2009-2010 to 17% (2017- 2018) (p < 0.01), and median survival times increased from 1.8 months to 2.2 months. Independent predictors of poor survival were multiple (HR 1.25; p < 0.01) or unknown (HR 1.48; p < 0.01) locations of BM, unknown/poorly/undifferentiated carcinoma histology (HR 1.53; p < 0.01), or clinical symptoms of BM (HR 1.74; p < 0.01), accompanying liver metastasis (HR 1.43; p < 0.01) and more than one metastatic site outside the brain compared to none (HR 1.52; p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The incidence of patients with BM-CUPs is steadily increasing over time and overall prognosis remains dismal. Our results, however, show distinct patient subgroups that exhibit comparatively better outcomes, and more predictors may likely still be identified.

Endocrine disruptors: Challenges and future directions in epidemiologic research.

Public concern about the impact of endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) on both humans and the environment is growing steadily. Epidemiologic research provides key information towards our understanding of the relationship between environmental exposures like EDCs and human health outcomes. Intended for researchers in disciplines complementary to epidemiology, this paper highlights the importance and challenges of epidemiologic research in order to present the key elements pertaining to the design and interpretation of an epidemiologic study on EDCs. The conduct of observational studies on EDCs derives from a thoughtful research question, which will help determine the subsequent methodological choices surrounding the careful selection of the study population (including the comparison group), the adequate ascertainment of exposure(s) and outcome(s) of interest, and the application of methodological and statistical concepts more specific to epidemiology. The interpretation of epidemiologic results may be arduous due to the latency occurring between EDC exposure and certain outcome(s), the complexity in capturing EDC exposure(s), and traditional methodological and statistical issues that also deserve consideration (e.g., confounding, effect modification, non-monotonic responses). Moving forward, we strongly advocate for an integrative approach of expertise in the fields of epidemiology, exposure science, risk assessment and toxicology to adequately study the health risks associated with EDCs while tackling their challenges.

Period-Prevalence and Risk Factors for Delirium in a Tertiary Referral ICU: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is common in intensive care and leads to increases in morbidity, mortality, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) length of stay, and hospital length of stay. Certain risk factors predict the appearance of delirium. STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine the rates of delirium, the rate of risk factors, and their relationship to the occurrence of delirium in an adult ICU. METHODS: Single-centre, prospective, observational study. Demographic and treatment data were collected. The Confusion Assessment Method for ICU (CAM-ICU) was performed twice daily to assess for delirium continuously during a 3-week period. Statistical analysis was used to determine the relationship between risk factors and the occurrence of delirium. RESULTS: 86 patients were screened, 44 patients were included, and 260 patient-days were analyzed. The incidence of delirium was 42.9%, the prevalence of delirium in ICU was 50%. Urinary catheters and use of opioids were the most common factors with a positive association for occurrence of delirium. Exposure to daylight and sleeping for more than 4 hours at night were the factors most commonly associated with a lack of delirium. CONCLUSION: The rates of delirium in ICU were high and risk factors occurred frequently. Addressing modifiable risk factors, including the promotion of adequate sleep, could improve outcomes.

Inter-rater reliability of occupational exposure assessment in a case-control study of female breast cancer.

The objective of this paper was to estimate the inter-rater reliability of expert assessments of occupational exposures. An inter-rater reliability sub-study was conducted within a population-based case-control study of postmenopausal breast cancer. Detailed information on lifetime occupational histories was obtained from participants and two industrial hygienists assigned exposures to 185 jobs using a checklist of 293 agents. Experts rated exposure for each job-agent combination according to exposure status (unexposed/exposed), confidence that the exposure occurred (possible/probable/definite), intensity (low/medium/high), and frequency (% time per week). The statistical unit of observation was each job-agent assessment (185 jobs × 293 agents = 54,205 assessments per expert). Crude agreement, Gwet AC1/2 statistics, and Cohen's Kappa were used to estimate inter-rater agreement for confidence and intensity; for frequency, the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) was used. The majority of job-agent combinations were evaluated by the two experts to be not exposed (crude agreement >98% of decisions). The degree of agreement between the experts for the confidence of exposure status was Gwet AC1/2 = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.99-0.99), and for intensity, a Gwet AC2 = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.99-0.99). For frequency, an ICC of 0.31 (95% CI: 0.26-0.35) was found. A sub-analysis restricted to job-agent combinations for which the two experts agreed on exposure status revealed a moderate agreement for confidence of exposure (Gwet AC2 = 0.66) and high agreement for intensity (Gwet AC2 = 0.96). For frequency, the ICC was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.47-0.57). A high level of inter-rater agreement was found for identifying exposures and for coding intensity, but agreement was lower for the coding of frequency of exposure.

Opioids and Injury Deaths: A population-based analysis of the United States from 2006 to 2017.

INTRODUCTION: In the United States, the opioid epidemic claims over 130 lives per day due to overdoses. While the use of opioids in trauma patients has been well-described in the literature, it is unknown whether prescription opioid use is associated with mortality after trauma. We hypothesized that legally obtained prescription opioid consumption would be positively associated with injury-related deaths in the United States. METHODS: Cross-sectional time-series data was compiled using state-level mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Multiple Causes of Death database and prescription opioid shipping data to each state using the US Department of Justice Automated Reports and Consolidated Ordering System Retail Drug Summary reports from 2006 to 2017, with opioids shipped used as a proxy for local opioid consumption. Oxycodone and hydrocodone amounts were converted to morphine equivalent doses (MEDs). Our primary outcome was an association between MEDs and injury mortality rates at the state-level. We analyzed total injury-related deaths and subgroups of unintentional deaths, suicides, and homicides. We modeled the data using fixed effects regression to reduce bias from unmeasured differences between states. RESULTS: Data were available for all states and the District of Columbia. Opioid deliveries increased through 2012 and then declined. Total injury-related mortalities have been increasing steadily since 2012. Opioid MEDs did not show a consistent or statistically significant relationship with injury-related mortality, including with any subgroups of unintentional deaths, suicides, and homicides. CONCLUSION: In every state examined, there was no consistent relationship between the amount of prescription opioids delivered and total injury-related mortality or any subgroups, suggesting that there is not a direct association between prescription opioids and injury-related mortality. This is the first study to combine national mortality and opioid data to investigate the relationship between legally obtained opioids and injury-related mortality. The US opioid epidemic remains a significant challenge that requires ongoing attention from all stakeholders in our medical and public health systems.

An approach to classifying occupational exposures to endocrine disrupting chemicals by sex hormone function using an expert judgment process.

Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) are exogenous substances that interfere with the endocrine system and cause adverse effects. We aimed to classify the effects of 24 known EDCs, prevalent in certain occupations, according to four modes of action (estrogenic, antiestrogenic, androgenic, and/or antiandrogenic). A literature search, stratified into four types of literature was conducted (namely: national and international agency reports; review articles; primary studies; ToxCastTM). The state of the evidence of each EDC on sex hormone function was summarized and reviewed by an expert panel. For each mode of action, the experts evaluated the likelihood of endocrine disruption in five categories: "No", "Unlikely", "Possibly", "Probably", and "Yes". Seven agents were categorized as "Yes," or having strong evidence for their effects on sex hormone function (antiandrogenic: lead, arsenic, butylbenzyl phthalate, dibutyl phthalate, dicyclohexyl phthalate; estrogenic: nonylphenol, bisphenol A). Nine agents were categorized as "Probable," or having probable evidence (antiandrogenic: bis(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate, nonylphenol, toluene, bisphenol A, diisononyl phthalate; androgenic: cadmium; estrogenic: copper, cadmium and; anti-estrogenic: lead). Two agents (arsenic, polychlorinated biphenyls) had opposing conclusions supporting both "probably" estrogenic and antiestrogenic effects. This synthesis will allow researchers to evaluate the health effects of selected EDCs with an added level of precision related to the mode of action.

The effect of topical xylometazoline on Eustachian tube function.

BACKGROUND: Topical nasal decongestants are frequently used as part of the medical management of symptoms related to Eustachian tube dysfunction. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the effect of topical xylometazoline hydrochloride sprayed in the anterior part of the nose on Eustachian tube active and passive opening in healthy ears. METHODS: Active and passive Eustachian tube function was assessed in healthy subjects before and after intranasal administration of xylometazoline spray, using tympanometry, video otoscopy, sonotubometry, tubo-tympano-aerodynamic-graphy and tubomanometry. RESULTS: Resting middle-ear pressures were not significantly different following decongestant application. Eustachian tube opening rate was not significantly different following the intervention, as measured by all function tests used. Sonotubometry data showed a significant increase in the duration of Eustachian tube opening following decongestant application. CONCLUSION: There remains little or no evidence that topical nasal decongestants improve Eustachian tube function. Sonotubometry findings do suggest that further investigation with an obstructive Eustachian tube dysfunction patient cohort is warranted.

Incidence, outcomes and prognostic factors during 25 years of treatment of chondrosarcomas.

BACKGROUND: There are few studies detailing the incidence, patient outcomes and prognostic factors for chondrosarcomas (CS). Those that do exist have small sample sizes and/or use older datasets. The purpose of this study was to determine the incidence, overall survival (OS) and prognostic factors for OS of CS patients, as well as investigate the efficacy of curettage. METHODS: We analyzed data of 2186 patients diagnosed with chondrosarcomas between '89-'13 from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. The effect of risk factors on OS was assessed with a multivariate Cox regression. Median Follow-up was determined with reversed Kaplan-Meier. OS was estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: The relative incidence of CS was 2.88 per million citizens between '89-'96, 4.15 between '96-'04 and 8.78 between '05-'13. Most of the increase in incidence came from atypical cartilaginous tumours/grade I chondrosarcoma (ACT/CS I). The 3-, 5- and 10-years survival were, respectively, 96%, 93% and 88% for ACT/CS I, 82%, 74% and 62% for grade II CS and 38%, 31% and 26% for grade III CS. Prognostics factors significantly associated with OS were age, histological grade, year of diagnosis, tumour location and size. CONCLUSION: The incidence of CS, and especially ACT/CS I, has increased over time, which could be driven by both an ageing population and increased diagnostic imaging. With the increased number of diagnosed ACT/CS I, the number of preventative curettages of this tumour has also increased. Despite the supposed preventative character of this treatment, the incidence of high-grade CS did not decrease.

Monte Carlo ray-trace diffraction based on the Huygens-Fresnel principle.

The goal of this effort is to establish the conditions and limits under which the Huygens-Fresnel principle accurately describes diffraction in the Monte Carlo ray-trace (MCRT) environment. This goal is achieved by systematic intercomparison of dedicated experimental, theoretical, and numerical results. We evaluate the success of the Huygens-Fresnel principle by predicting and carefully measuring the diffraction fringes produced by both single slit and circular apertures. We then compare the results from the analytical and numerical approaches with each other and with dedicated experimental results. We conclude that use of the MCRT method to accurately describe diffraction requires that careful attention be paid to the interplay among the number of aperture points, the number of rays traced per aperture point, and the number of bins on the screen. This conclusion is supported by standard statistical analysis, including the adjusted coefficient of determination, Radj2, the rms deviation, and the reduced chi-square statistic, χv2.

Centralisation of cancer surgery and the impact on patients' travel burden.

Recent years have seen increasing trends towards centralisation of complex medical procedures, including cancer surgery. The impact of these trends on patients' travel burden is often ignored. This study charts the effects of different scenarios of centralising surgery on the travel burden for patients with cancer of the digestive tract, particularly among vulnerable patient groups. Our analyses include all surgically treated Dutch patients with colorectal, stomach or oesophageal cancer diagnosed in 2012-2013. After determining each patient's actual travel burden, simulations explored the impact of continued centralisation of cancer surgery under four hypothetical scenarios. Compared to patients' actual travelling, simulated travel distances under relatively 'conservative' scenarios did not necessarily increase, most likely due to current hospital bypassing. Using multivariable regression analyses, as a first exercise, it is examined whether the potential effects on travel burden differ across patient groups. For some cancer types, under more extreme scenarios increases in travel distances are significantly higher for older patients and those with a low SES. Given the potential impact on vulnerable patients' travel burden, our analysis suggests a thorough consideration of non-clinical effects of centralisation in health policy.

Live birth rate after human chorionic gonadotropin priming in vitro maturation in women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: In vitro maturation (IVM) has some advantages over conventional in vitro fertilization (IVF), particularly in polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) where the risk of ovarian hyperstimulation is high. We studied the live birth rate in a large series of PCOS women undergoing human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG)-priming IVM. METHODS: This retrospective study included women with PCOS aged 18-42 years undergoing IVM with hCG priming. We reported live birth rate after the first embryo transfer and cumulative live birth rate from embryos obtained in the IVM cycle. We also performed logistic regression to assess which factors predicted number of oocytes and live birth. RESULTS: We included 921 women (age 28.9±3.5 years, body mass index 21.8±3.1 kg/m2, infertility duration 3.7±2.6 years, 81% primary infertility, 88% first IVF attempt, 94% ovulation induction failure). Live birth rate after the first embryo transfer was 31.7%, with a cumulative live birth rate from the cycle of 33.7%. High anti-Müllerian hormone levels predicted a high number of oocytes and a high oocyte maturation rate while the opposite was the case when luteinizing hormone levels were high. CONCLUSIONS: In women with PCOS, hCG priming IVM was feasible and resulted in acceptable live birth rates.