Evidence for maternal transmission of scrapie in naturally affected flocks.

It has been known for many years that the offspring of scrapie affected ewes are at increased risk of developing scrapie but whether this is simply the result of an increased genetic susceptibility or transmission of infection has always been unclear. To contribute to clarify this we analysed the data collected in a detailed study of scrapie occurrence in a number of naturally affected commercial sheep flocks in Great Britain (GB) to investigate the association between PrP genotype and parental scrapie status and the incidence of scrapie. Our analyses confirmed the strong association between PrP genotype and the incidence of scrapie found in previous studies and a low incidence of scrapie in animals carrying the ARR allele and a high risk in homozygous VRQ animals. However, we also demonstrate an increased incidence of scrapie in the offspring of scrapie affected ewes controlling for the confounding effect of PrP genotype, but no increased scrapie incidence in the offspring of scrapie affected sires. Our results suggest that some of the increased incidence of scrapie in the offspring of scrapie affected ewes is the result of transmission of infection from mother to offspring. Our results confirm that a breeding policy aimed at decreasing the genetic susceptibility of the population should decrease the incidence of scrapie and that removing the offspring of scrapie affected animals from affected flocks could contribute to the control of this disease.

Prevalence of scrapie infection in Great Britain: interpreting the results of the 1997-1998 abattoir survey.

An accurate estimate of the prevalence of scrapie infection in the Great Britain (GB) sheep flock is essential when assessing any potential risk to human health through exposure to sheep transmissible spongiform encephalopathies (TSEs). One method for assessing the prevalence is to sample sheep intended for human consumption using a diagnostic test capable of detecting infected animals prior to the onset of clinical signs. An abattoir survey conducted in Great Britain in 1997-1998 tested brain samples from 2809 apparently healthy sheep of which none was found to be positive for scrapie by histopathology or immunohistochemistry (IHC) although 10 were positive for scrapie-associated fibrils (SAF). Subsequently, the tonsils from a subset of the animals sampled were examined using IHC, one of which tested positive. To interpret these results we use a likelihood-based approach, which accounts for the variation in the prevalence of infection with age and test sensitivity and specificity with stage of infection. Combining the results for all of the diagnostic tests yields an estimate of the prevalence of scrapie infection in the GB sheep flock of 0.22% (95% confidence interval: 0.01-0.97%). Moreover, our analysis suggests that all of the diagnostic tests used are very specific (greater than 99%). Indeed, only SAF detection yields a specificity estimate of less than 100%, which helps to account for the high number of samples found to be positive for SAF.