End-stage renal disease after renal cancer surgery: risk factors and overall survival.

OBJECTIVE: Several risk factors for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), in patients undergoing surgical treatment for renal cell carcinoma (RCC), have been suggested by others. This study aimed to investigate such risk factors and disclose the effect of developing ESRD, postoperatively, on overall survival. The risk of developing ESRD after RCC diagnosis was also evaluated. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The data of 16,220 patients with RCC and 162,199 controls were extracted from the Renal Cell Cancer Database Sweden, with linkages across multiple national registers between 2005 and 2020. Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier curves and cumulative incidence were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative incidence of ESRD following RCC diagnosis was 2.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1-2.6) and 0.4% (95% CI 0.3-0.4) for the patients with RCC and controls, respectively. Age, chronic kidney disease, higher T-stage and radical nephrectomy (RN) were significant risk factors for ESRD within 1-year of surgery. A total of 104 and 12,152 patients with and without ESRD, respectively, survived 1-year postoperatively. The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with ESRD and those with RCC only were 50% (95% CI 0.40-0.60) and 80% (95% CI 0.80-0.81), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who developed ESRD following renal cancer surgery had significantly poorer survival outcomes. Advanced age, comorbidities, higher-stage tumours and RN were identified as risk factors for developing ESRD. Surgical decisions are crucial. Efforts to spare renal function, including nephron-sparing surgery and active surveillance in appropriate cases, are highly relevant to reduce the development of severe kidney dysfunction.

Has time to chemotherapy from primary debulking surgery in advanced ovarian cancer an impact on survival? - A population-based nationwide SweGCG study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to investigate if time to start chemotherapy (TTC) after primary debulking surgery (PDS) impacted relative survival (RS) in advanced epithelial ovarian/fallopian tube/primary peritoneal cancer (EOC). METHODS: Nationwide population-based study of women with EOC FIGO stages IIIC-IV, registered 2008-2018 in the Swedish Quality Register for Gynecologic Cancer, treated with PDS and chemotherapy. TTC was categorized into; ≤21 days, 22-28 days, 29-35 days, 36-42 days and > 42 days. Relative survival (RS) was estimated using the Pohar-Perme estimate of net survival. Multivariable analyses of excess mortality rate ratios (EMRRs) were estimated by Poisson regression models. RESULTS: In total, 1694 women were included. The median age was 65.0 years. Older age and no residual disease were more common in TTC >42 days than 0-21 days. The RS at 5-years was 37.9% and did not differ between TTC groups. In the R0 (no residual disease) cohort (n = 806), 2-year RS was higher in TTC ≤21 days (91.6%) and 22-28 days (91.4%) than TTC >42 days (79.1%). TTC >42 days (EMRR 2.33, p = 0.026), FIGO stage IV (EMRR 1.83, p = 0.007) and non-serous histology (EMRR 4.20, p < 0.001) were associated with 2-year worse excess mortality compared to TTC 0-21 days, in the R0 cohort. TTC was associated with 2-year survival in the R0 cohort in FIGO stage IV but not in stage IIIC. TTC was not associated with RS in patients with residual disease. CONCLUSIONS: For the entire cohort, stage IV, non-serous morphology and residual disease, but not TTC, influenced 5-year relative survival. However, longer TTC was associated with a poorer 2-year survival for those without residual disease after PDS.

Doses to the right coronary artery and the left anterior descending coronary artery and death from ischemic heart disease after breast cancer radiotherapy: a case-control study in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Doses to the coronary arteries in breast cancer (BC) radiotherapy (RT) have been suggested to be a risk predictor of long-term cardiac toxicity after BC treatment. We investigated the dose-risk relationships between near maximum doses (Dmax) to the right coronary artery (RCA) and left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality after BC RT. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a cohort of 2,813 women diagnosed with BC between 1958 and 1992 with a follow-up of at least 10 years, we identified 134 cases of death due to IHD 10-19 years after BC diagnosis. For each case, one control was selected within the cohort matched for age at diagnosis. 3D-volume and 3D-dose reconstructions were obtained from individual RT charts. We estimated the Dmax to the RCA and the LAD and the mean heart dose (MHD). We performed conditional logistic regression analysis comparing piecewise spline transformation and simple linear modeling for best fit. RESULTS: There was a linear dose-risk relationship for both the Dmax to the RCA (odds ratio [OR]/Gray [Gy] 1.03 [1.01-1.05]) and the LAD (OR/Gy 1.04 [1.02-1.06]) in a multivariable model. For MHD there was a linear dose-risk relationship (1,14 OR/Gy [1.08-1.19]. For all relationships, simple linear modelling was superior to spline transformations. INTERPRETATION: Doses to both the RCA and LAD are independent risk predictors of long-term cardiotoxicity after RT for BC In addition to the LAD, the RCA should be regarded as an organ at risk in RT planning.

Vulvar cancer incidence and net survival in Sweden 1960 to 2019: A population-based national study.

INTRODUCTION: Vulvar cancer is a rare gynecological cancer affecting mostly older women. The aim of this population-based study was to investigate the incidence and net survival of vulvar cancer in Swedish women from 1960 to 2019. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data were retrieved from the mandatory Swedish Cancer Registry consisting of all women diagnosed with vulvar cancer between 1960 and 2019. Only women with a morphologically verified diagnosis of vulvar cancer were included. The individuals were then further matched with the Swedish Death Registry up until May 31, 2020. RESULTS: In total, 8499 women were included with the following morphologies: squamous cell carcinoma 7250 (85.8%), malignant melanoma 539 (6.4%), adenocarcinoma 401 (4.8%) and other: 259 (3.1%). More than 50% of vulvar cancer cases occurred in women aged between 65 and 84 years of age. The 5-year age-standardized net survival increased from 53.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.9-57.5) in 1960 to 72.1% (95% CI 68.8-75.5) in 2019. The proportion of adenocarcinoma among all cases increased from 2.0% to 8.7% between the 1960s and 2010s and an increase in age-standardized 5-year net survival was found for adenocarcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: The age-standardized incidence of vulvar cancer cases in Sweden was stable between 1960 and 2019. During the study period, an increase in adenocarcinoma and a decrease in malignant melanoma cases was found. Five-year net survival increased by 20 percent units during the study period. For squamous cell carcinoma, an increased age-specific 5-year net survival was observed for all age groups, apart for women aged ≥85.

Effect of once-per-day tacrolimus versus twice-per-day ciclosporin on 3-year incidence of chronic lung allograft dysfunction after lung transplantation in Scandinavia (ScanCLAD): a multicentre randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Evidence is low regarding the choice of calcineurin inhibitor for immunosuppression after lung transplantation. We aimed to compare the use of tacrolimus once per day with ciclosporin twice per day according to the current definition of chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) after lung transplantation. METHODS: ScanCLAD is an investigator-initiated, open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled trial in Scandinavia evaluating whether an immunosuppressive protocol based on anti-thymocyte globulin induction followed by tacrolimus (once per day), mycophenolate mofetil, and corticosteroids reduces the incidence of CLAD after de novo lung transplantation compared with a protocol using ciclosporin (twice per day), mycophenolate mofetil, and corticosteroids. Patients aged 18-70 years who were scheduled to undergo double lung transplantation were randomly allocated (1:1) to receive either oral ciclosporin (2-3 mg/kg before transplantation and 3 mg/kg [twice per day] from postoperative day 1) or oral tacrolimus (0·05-0·1 mg/kg before transplantation and 0·1-0·2 mg/kg from postoperative day 1). The primary endpoint was CLAD at 36 months post transplantation, determined by repeated lung function tests and adjudicated by an independent committee, and was assessed with a competing-risks analysis with death and re-transplantation as competing events. The primary outcome was assessed in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population, defined as those who underwent transplantation and received at least one dose of study drug. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02936505) and EudraCT (2015-004137-27). FINDINGS: Between Oct 21, 2016, and July 10, 2019, 383 patients were screened for eligibility. 249 patients underwent double lung transplantation and received at least one dose of study drug, and were thus included in the mITT population: 125 (50%) in the ciclosporin group and 124 (50%) in the tacrolimus group. The mITT population consisted of 138 (55%) men and 111 (45%) women, with a mean age of 55·2 years (SD 10·2), and no patients were lost to follow-up. In the mITT population, CLAD occurred in 48 patients (cumulative incidence 39% [95% CI 31-48]) in the ciclosporin group and 16 patients (13% [8-21]) in the tacrolimus group at 36 months post transplantation (hazard ratio [HR] 0·28 [95% CI 0·15-0·52], log-rank p<0·0001). Overall survival did not differ between groups at 3 years in the mITT population (74% [65-81] for ciclosporin vs 79% [70-85] for tacrolimus; HR 0·72 [95% CI 0·41-1·27], log-rank p=0·25). However, in the per protocol CLAD population (those in the mITT population who also had at least one post-baseline lung function test allowing assessment of CLAD), allograft survival was significantly better in the tacrolimus group (HR 0·49 [95% CI 0·26-0·91], log-rank p=0·021). Adverse events totalled 1516 in the ciclosporin group and 1459 in the tacrolimus group. The most frequent adverse events were infection (453 events), acute rejection (165 events), and anaemia (129 events) in the ciclosporin group, and infection (568 events), anaemia (108 events), and acute rejection (98 events) in the tacrolimus group. 112 (90%) patients in the ciclosporin group and 108 (87%) in the tacrolimus group had at least one serious adverse event. INTERPRETATION: Immunosuppression based on use of tacrolimus once per day significantly reduced the incidence of CLAD compared with use of ciclosporin twice per day. These findings support the use of tacrolimus as the first choice of calcineurin inhibitor after lung transplantation. FUNDING: Astellas, the ALF-agreement, Scandiatransplant Organization, and Heart Centre Research Committee, Rigshospitalet, Denmark.

Evaluation of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and mammographic density as predictors of response to neoadjuvant systemic therapy in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Response rates vary among breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NAST). Thus, there is a need for reliable treatment predictors. Evidence suggests tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) predict NAST response. Still, TILs are seldom used clinically as a treatment determinant. Mammographic density (MD) is another potential marker for NAST benefit and its relationship with TILs is unknown. Our aims were to investigate TILs and MD as predictors of NAST response and to study the unexplored relationship between TILs and MD. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We studied 315 invasive breast carcinomas treated with NAST between 2013 and 2020. Clinicopathological data were retrieved from medical records. The endpoint was defined as pathological complete response (pCR) in the breast. TILs were evaluated in pre-treatment core biopsies and categorized as high (≥10%) or low (<10%). MD was scored (a-d) according to the breast imaging reporting and data system (BI-RADS) fifth edition. Binary logistic regression and Spearman's test of correlation were performed using SPSS. RESULTS: Out of 315 carcinomas, 136 achieved pCR. 94 carcinomas had high TILs and 215 had low TILs. Six carcinomas had no available TIL data. The number of carcinomas in each BI-RADS category were 37, 122, 112, and 44 for a, b, c, and d, respectively. High TILs were independently associated with pCR (OR: 2.95; 95% CI: 1.59-5.46) compared to low TILs. In the univariable analysis, MD (BI-RADS d vs. a) showed a tendency of higher likelihood for pCR (OR: 2.43; 95% CI: 0.99-5.98). However, the association was non-significant, which is consistent with the result of the multivariable analysis (OR: 2.51; 95% CI: 0.78-8.04). We found no correlation between TILs and MD (0.02; p = .80). CONCLUSION: TILs significantly predicted NAST response. We could not define MD as a significant predictor of NAST response. These findings should be further replicated.

Protocol for the T-REX-trial: tailored regional external beam radiotherapy in clinically node-negative breast cancer patients with 1-2 sentinel node macrometastases - an open, multicentre, randomised non-inferiority phase 3 trial.

INTRODUCTION: Modern systemic treatment has reduced incidence of regional recurrences and improved survival in breast cancer (BC). It is thus questionable whether regional radiotherapy (RT) is still beneficial in patients with sentinel lymph node (SLN) macrometastasis. Postoperative regional RT is associated with an increased risk of arm morbidity, pneumonitis, cardiac disease and secondary cancer. Therefore, there is a need to individualise regional RT in relation to the risk of recurrence. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: In this multicentre, prospective randomised trial, clinically node-negative patients with oestrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative BC and 1-2 SLN macrometastases are eligible. Participants are randomly assigned to receive regional RT (standard arm) or not (intervention arm). Regional RT includes the axilla level I-III, the supraclavicular fossa and in selected patients the internal mammary nodes. Both groups receive RT to the remaining breast. Chest-wall RT after mastectomy is given in the standard arm, but in the intervention arm only in cases of widespread multifocality according to national guidelines. RT quality assurance is an integral part of the trial.The trial aims to include 1350 patients between March 2023 and December 2028 in Sweden and Norway. Primary outcome is recurrence-free survival (RFS) at 5 years. Non-inferiority will be declared if outcome in the de-escalation arm is not >4.5 percentage units below that with regional RT, corresponding to an HR of 1.41 assuming 88% 5-year RFS with standard treatment. Secondary outcomes include locoregional recurrence, overall survival, patient-reported arm morbidity and health-related quality of life. Gene expression analysis and tumour tissue-based studies to identify prognostic and predictive markers for benefit of regional RT are included. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The trial protocol is approved by the Swedish Ethics Authority (Dnr-2022-02178-01, 2022-05093-02, 2023-00826-02, 2023-03035-02). Results will be presented at scientific conferences and in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05634889.

Radiation exposure and leukaemia risk among cohorts of persons exposed to low and moderate doses of external ionising radiation in childhood.

BACKGROUND: Many high-dose groups demonstrate increased leukaemia risks, with risk greatest following childhood exposure; risks at low/moderate doses are less clear. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis of the major radiation-associated leukaemias (acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) with/without the inclusion of myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML), acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL)) in ten childhood-exposed groups, including Japanese atomic bomb survivors, four therapeutically irradiated and five diagnostically exposed cohorts, a mixture of incidence and mortality data. Relative/absolute risk Poisson regression models were fitted. RESULTS: Of 365 cases/deaths of leukaemias excluding chronic lymphocytic leukaemia, there were 272 AML/CML/ALL among 310,905 persons (7,641,362 person-years), with mean active bone marrow (ABM) dose of 0.11 Gy (range 0-5.95). We estimated significant (P < 0.005) linear excess relative risks/Gy (ERR/Gy) for: AML (n = 140) = 1.48 (95% CI 0.59-2.85), CML (n = 61) = 1.77 (95% CI 0.38-4.50), and ALL (n = 71) = 6.65 (95% CI 2.79-14.83). There is upward curvature in the dose response for ALL and AML over the full dose range, although at lower doses (<0.5 Gy) curvature for ALL is downwards. DISCUSSION: We found increased ERR/Gy for all major types of radiation-associated leukaemia after childhood exposure to ABM doses that were predominantly (for 99%) <1 Gy, and consistent with our prior analysis focusing on <100 mGy.

Outcome of different radiotherapy strategies after breast conserving surgery in patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS).

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) after breast-conserving surgery for DCIS lowers the relative local recurrence risk by half. To identify a low-risk group with the minimal benefit of RT could avoid side effects and spare costs. In this study, the outcome was compared for different RT-strategies using data from the randomized SweDCIS trial. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Five strategies were compared in a Swedish setting: RT-to-none or all, RT to high-risk women defined by DCISionRT, modified Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 9804 criteria, and Swedish Guidelines. Ten-year recurrence risks and cost including adjuvant RT and local recurrence treatment cost were calculated. RESULTS: The mean age at recurrence was 64.4 years (36-90) and the mean cost for treating a recurrence was $21,104. In the SweDCIS cohort (n = 504), 59 women developed DCIS, and 31 invasive recurrence. Ten-year absolute local recurrence risk (invasive and DCIS) according to different strategies varied between 18.6% (12.5-23.6%) and 7.8% (5.0-12.6%) for RT-to-none or to-all, with an additional cost of $2614 US dollars per women and $24,201 per prevented recurrence for RT-to-all. The risk differences between other strategies were not statistically significant, but the larger proportion receiving RT, the fewer recurrences. DCISionRT spared 48% from RT with 8.1% less recurrences compared to RT-to-none, and a cost of $10,534 per prevented recurrence with additional cost depending on the price of the test. RTOG 9804 spared 39% from RT, with 9.7% less recurrences, $9525 per prevented recurrence and Swedish Guidelines spared 13% from RT, with 10.0% less recurrences, and $21,521 per prevented recurrence. CONCLUSION: It seems reasonable to omit RT in pre-specified low-risk groups with minimal effect on recurrence risk. Costs per prevented recurrence varied more than two-fold but which strategy that could be considered most cost-effective needs to be further evaluated, including the DCISionRT-test price.

Squamous cell carcinoma of the mobile tongue in young adults: A Swedish head & neck cancer register (SweHNCR) population-based analysis of prognosis in relation to age and stage.

Increased incidence of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the tongue has been reported in young adults (YA) in several countries since the 1980s and confirmed in later studies. The etiology is unclear, the prognosis has been debated, and conflicting results have been published. Some studies show better survival in young adults than in older patients, some worse, and others no difference. Most studies are based on selected series or include other sites in the oral cavity. The definition of "YA" is arbitrary and varies between studies. It is thus difficult to use in general conclusions. This work uses data from the population-based Swedish Head and Neck Cancer register (SweHNCR), which has > 98% coverage. SweHNCR data includes age, gender, TNM, treatment intention, treatment given, lead times, performance status, and to a lesser degree, smoking habits. The current Swedish population is around 10 million. We analyzed outcomes for 1416 patients diagnosed with SCC of the oral tongue from 2008 to 2017 using 18-39 years to define YA age because it is the range most commonly used. We found no significant difference in relative survival (a proxy for diagnosis-specific survival) between age groups of patients treated with curative intent for SCC of the oral tongue. The stage at time of diagnosis was equally distributed among the age groups. Excess mortality rate correlated mainly with stage, subsite of the tongue, performance status, and lead time to treatment.

Combining histological grade, TILs, and the PD-1/PD-L1 pathway to identify immunogenic tumors and de-escalate radiotherapy in early breast cancer: a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: The implementation of immunological biomarkers for radiotherapy (RT) individualization in breast cancer requires consideration of tumor-intrinsic factors. This study aimed to investigate whether the integration of histological grade, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1), and programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) can identify tumors with aggressive characteristics that can be downgraded regarding the need for RT. METHODS: The SweBCG91RT trial included 1178 patients with stage I-IIA breast cancer, randomized to breast-conserving surgery with or without adjuvant RT, and followed for a median time of 15.2 years. Immunohistochemical analyses of TILs, PD-1, and PD-L1 were performed. An activated immune response was defined as stromal TILs ≥10% and PD-1 and/or PD-L1 expression in ≥1% of lymphocytes. Tumors were categorized as high-risk or low-risk using assessments of histological grade and proliferation as measured by gene expression. The risk of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR) and benefit of RT were then analyzed with 10 years follow-up based on the integration of immune activation and tumor-intrinsic risk group. RESULTS: Among high-risk tumors, an activated immune infiltrate was associated with a reduced risk of IBTR (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.73, p=0.006). The incidence of IBTR in this group was 12.1% (5.6-25.0) without RT and 4.4% (1.1-16.3) with RT. In contrast, the incidence of IBTR in the high-risk group without an activated immune infiltrate was 29.6% (21.4-40.2) without RT and 12.8% (6.6-23.9) with RT. Among low-risk tumors, no evidence of a favorable prognostic effect of an activated immune infiltrate was seen (HR 2.0, 95% CI 0.87 to 4.6, p=0.100). CONCLUSIONS: Integrating histological grade and immunological biomarkers can identify tumors with aggressive characteristics but a low risk of IBTR despite a lack of RT boost and systemic therapy. Among high-risk tumors, the risk reduction of IBTR conferred by an activated immune infiltrate is comparable to treatment with RT. These findings may apply to cohorts dominated by estrogen receptor-positive tumors.

Risk Factors for Postoperative Complications Following Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases and the Impact on Long-Term Survival: A Population-Based National Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative complications (POCs) following resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are common. The objective of this study was to evaluate risk factors for developing complications and their impact on survival considering prognostic factors of the primary tumor, metastatic pattern and treatment in a well-defined national cohort. METHODS: Patients treated with resection for CRLM that was also radically resected for their primary colorectal cancer (diagnosed in 2009-2013) were identified in Swedish national registers. Liver resections were categorized according to extent of surgery (Category I-IV). Risk factors for developing POCs as well as prognostic impact of POCs were evaluated in multivariable analyses. A subgroup analysis of minor resections was performed to evaluate POCs after laparoscopic surgery. RESULTS: POCs were registered for 24% (276/1144) of all patients after CRLM resection. Major resection was a risk factor for POCs in multivariable analysis (IRR 1.76; P = 0.001). Comparing laparoscopic and open resections in the subgroup analysis of small resections, 6% (4/68) in the laparoscopic group developed POCs compared to 18% (51/289) after open resection (IRR 0.32; P = 0.024). POCs were associated with a 27% increased excess mortality rate (EMRR 1.27; P = 0.044). However, primary tumor characteristics, tumor burden in the liver, extrahepatic spread, extent of liver resection and radicality had higher impact on survival. CONCLUSION: Minimal invasive resections were associated with a decreased risk of POCs following resection of CRLM which should be considered in surgical strategy. Postoperative complications were associated with a moderate risk for inferior survival.

Effect of docetaxel added to bicalutamide in Hormone-Naïve non-metastatic prostate cancer with rising PSA, a randomized clinical trial (SPCG-14).

BACKGROUND: Historically, endocrine therapy was used in a range of scenarios in patients with rising PSA, both as a treatment for locally advanced non-metastatic prostate cancer and PSA recurrence following curative intended therapy. In the present study the objective was to investigate if chemotherapy added to endocrine therapy could improve progression-free survival (PFS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with hormone-naïve, non-metastatic prostate cancer and rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA), enrolled from Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Finland, were randomized to long-term bicalutamide (150 mg daily) or plus docetaxel (75 mg/m2, q3w, 8-10 cycles) without prednisone, after stratification for the site, prior local therapy or not, and PSA doubling time. The primary endpoint was 5-year PFS analyzed with a stratified Cox proportional hazards regression model on intention to treat basis. RESULTS: Between 2009 and 2018, a total of 348 patients were randomized; 315 patients had PSA relapse after radical treatment, 33 patients had no prior local therapy. Median follow-up was 4.9 years (IQR 4.0-5.1). Adding docetaxel improved PFS (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50-0.93; p = 0.015). Docetaxel showed an advantage for patients with PSA relapse after prior local therapy (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.49-0.94; p = 0.019). One event of neutropenic infection/fever occurred in 27% of the patients receiving docetaxel. Limitations were slow recruitment, lack of enrolling patients without radical local treatment, and too short follow-up for evaluation of overall survival in patients with PSA relapse. CONCLUSION: Docetaxel improved PFS in patients starting bicalutamide due to PSA relapse after local therapy or localized disease without local therapy. Confirmatory studies of the efficacy of docetaxel in the setting of PSA-only relapse in addition to endocrine therapies may be justified if longer follow-up will show increased metastatic-free survival.

Integrating Tumor-Intrinsic and Immunologic Factors to Identify Immunogenic Breast Cancers from a Low-Risk Cohort: Results from the Randomized SweBCG91RT Trial.

PURPOSE: The local immune infiltrate's influence on tumor progression may be closely linked to tumor-intrinsic factors. The study aimed to investigate whether integrating immunologic and tumor-intrinsic factors can identify patients from a low-risk cohort who may be candidates for radiotherapy (RT) de-escalation. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: The SweBCG91RT trial included 1,178 patients with stage I to IIA breast cancer, randomized to breast-conserving surgery with or without adjuvant RT, and followed for a median of 15.2 years. We trained two models designed to capture immunologic activity and immunomodulatory tumor-intrinsic qualities, respectively. We then analyzed if combining these two variables could further stratify tumors, allowing for identifying a subgroup where RT de-escalation is feasible, despite clinical indicators of a high risk of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR). RESULTS: The prognostic effect of the immunologic model could be predicted by the tumor-intrinsic model (Pinteraction = 0.01). By integrating measurements of the immunologic- and tumor-intrinsic models, patients who benefited from an active immune infiltrate could be identified. These patients benefited from standard RT (HR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.09-0.85; P = 0.025) and had a 5.4% 10-year incidence of IBTR after irradiation despite high-risk genomic indicators and a low frequency of systemic therapy. In contrast, high-risk tumors without an immune infiltrate had a high 10-year incidence of IBTR despite RT treatment (19.5%; 95% CI, 12.2-30.3). CONCLUSIONS: Integrating tumor-intrinsic and immunologic factors may identify immunogenic tumors in early-stage breast cancer populations dominated by ER-positive tumors. Patients who benefit from an activated immune infiltrate may be candidates for RT de-escalation.

High resection rates of colorectal liver metastases after standardized follow-up and multimodal management: an outcome study within the COLOFOL trial.

BACKGROUND: Outcome after colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) resection has improved over time, despite increased resection rates. Hence, it's crucial to identify all patients possible to treat with curative intent. The objectives of this study were to map recurrence pattern, treatment strategy and survival depending on treatment and follow-up strategy. METHODS: In the COLOFOL-trial, patients with radically resected stage II-III colorectal cancer were randomized to high-frequency (6, 12, 18, 24 and 36 months; HF) or low-frequency (12 and 36 months; LF) follow-up. In this study, all CRLM within 5 years were identified and medical files scrutinized. Overall survival (OS) was analysed in uni- and multivariable analyses. Primary endpoint was 5-year OS. RESULTS: Of 2442 patients, 235 (9.6%) developed metachronous CRLM of which 123 (52.3%) underwent treatment with curative intent, resulting in 5-year OS of 58%. Five-year OS for patients with CRLM was 43% after HF versus 24% after LF. The survival benefit was confirmed for HF 8 years from resection of the primary tumour, HR 0.63 (CI 0.46-0.85). CONCLUSION: A high proportion of metachronous CRLM was possible to treat with curative intent, yielding high survival rates. More intense follow-up after colorectal cancer resection might be of value in high-risk patients.

Low levels of WRAP53 predict decreased efficacy of radiotherapy and are prognostic for local recurrence and death from breast cancer: a long-term follow-up of the SweBCG91RT randomized trial.

Downregulation of the DNA repair protein WD40-encoding RNA antisense to p53 (WRAP53) has been associated with radiotherapy resistance and reduced cancer survival. The aim of this study was to evaluate WRAP53 protein and RNA levels as prognostic and predictive markers in the SweBCG91RT trial, in which breast cancer patients were randomized for postoperative radiotherapy. Using tissue microarray and microarray-based gene expression, 965 and 759 tumors were assessed for WRAP53 protein and RNA levels, respectively. Correlation with local recurrence and breast cancer-related death was assessed for prognosis, and the interaction between WRAP53 and radiotherapy in relation to local recurrence was assessed for radioresistance prediction. Tumors with low WRAP53 protein levels had a higher subhazard ratio (SHR) for local recurrence [1.76 (95% CI 1.10-2.79)] and breast cancer-related death [1.55 (1.02-2.38)]. Low WRAP53 RNA levels were associated with almost a three-fold decreased effect of radiotherapy in relation to ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence [IBTR; SHR 0.87 (95% CI 0.44-1.72)] compared with high RNA levels [0.33 (0.19-0.55)], with a significant interaction (P = 0.024). In conclusion, low WRAP53 protein is prognostic for local recurrence and breast cancer-related death. Low WRAP53 RNA is a potential marker for radioresistance.

Treatment and survival of patients with metachronous colorectal lung metastases.

INTRODUCTION: The lungs are the second most common site for metachronous metastases in colorectal cancer. No treatment algorithm is established, and the role of adjuvant chemotherapy is unclear. This study aimed to map pulmonary recurrences in a modern multimodal treated population, and to evaluate survival depending on management. METHODS: Retrospective study based on the COLOFOL-trial population of 2442 patients, radically resected for colorectal cancer stage II-III. All recurrences within 5 years were identified and medical records were scrutinized. RESULTS: Of 165 (6.8%) patients developing lung metastases as first recurrence, 89 (54%) were confined to the lungs. Potentially curative treatment was possible in 62 (37%) cases, of which 33 with surgery only and 29 with surgery and chemotherapy combined. The 5-year overall survival (5-year OS) for all lung recurrences was 28%. In patients treated with chemotherapy only the 5-year OS was 7.5%, compared with 55% in patients treated with surgery, and 72% when surgery was combined with chemotherapy. Hazard ratio for mortality was 2.9 (95% confidence interval 1.40-6.10) for chemotherapy only compared to surgery. CONCLUSION: A high proportion of metachronous lung metastases after colorectal surgery were possible to resect, yielding good survival. The combination of surgery and chemotherapy might be advantageous for survival.

Development and Validation of a Genomic Profile for the Omission of Local Adjuvant Radiation in Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) is used for women with early-stage invasive breast cancer treated with breast-conserving surgery. However, some women with low risk of recurrence may safely be spared RT. This study aimed to identify these women using a molecular-based approach. METHODS: We analyzed two randomized trials of women with node-negative invasive breast cancer to ± RT following breast-conserving surgery: SweBCG91-RT (stage I-II, no adjuvant systemic therapy) and Princess Margaret (age 50 years or older, T1-T2, adjuvant tamoxifen). Transcriptome-wide profiling was performed (Affymetrix Human Exon 1.0 ST microarray). Patients with estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative tumors and with gene expression data were included. The SweBCG91-RT cohort was divided into training (N = 243) and validation (N = 354) cohorts. A 16-gene signature named Profile for the Omission of Local Adjuvant Radiation (POLAR) was trained to predict locoregional recurrence (LRR) using elastic net regression. POLAR was then validated in the SweBCG91-RT validation cohort and the Princess Margaret cohort (N = 132). RESULTS: Patients categorized as POLAR low-risk without RT had a 10-year LRR of 6% (95% CI, 2 to 16) and 7% (0 to 27) in SweBCG91-RT and Princess Margaret cohorts, respectively. There was no significant benefit from RT in POLAR low-risk patients (hazard ratio [HR], 1.1 [0.39 to 3.4], P = .81, and HR, 1.5 [0.14 to 16], P = .74, respectively). Patients categorized as POLAR high-risk had a significant decreased risk of LRR with RT (HR, 0.43 [0.24 to 0.78], P = .0055, and HR, 0.25 [0.07 to 0.92], P = .038, respectively). An exploratory analysis testing for interaction between RT and POLAR in the combined validation cohort was performed (P = .066). CONCLUSION: The novel POLAR genomic signature on the basis of LRR biology may identify patients with a low risk of LRR despite not receiving RT, and thus may be candidates for RT omission.

Estimating the Risk for Secondary Cancer After Targeted α-Therapy with 211At Intraperitoneal Radioimmunotherapy.

Intraperitoneal 211At-based targeted α-therapy (TAT) may hold great promise as an adjuvant therapy after surgery and chemotherapy in epithelial ovarian cancer to eradicate any remaining undetectable disease. This implies that it will also be delivered to patients possibly already cured by the primary treatment. An estimate of long-term risks is therefore sought to determine whether the treatment is justified. Methods: Baseline data for risk estimates of α-particle irradiation were collected from published studies on excess cancer induction and mortality for subjects exposed to either 224Ra treatments or Thorotrast contrast agent (25% ThO2 colloid, containing 232Th). Organ dosimetry for 224Ra and Thorotrast irradiation were taken from the literature. These organ-specific risks were then applied to our previously reported dosimetry for intraperitoneal 211At-TAT patients. Results: Risk could be estimated for 10 different organ or organ groups. The calculated excess relative risk per gray (ERR/Gy) could be sorted into 2 groups. The lower-ERR/Gy group, ranging up to a value of approximately 5, included trachea, bronchus, and lung, at 0.52 (95% CI, 0.21-0.82); stomach, at 1.4 (95% CI, -5.0-7.9); lymphoid and hematopoietic system, at 2.17 (95% CI, 1.7-2.7); bone and articular cartilage, at 2.6 (95% CI, 2.0-3.3); breast, at 3.45 (95% CI, -10-17); and colon, at 4.5 (95% CI, -3.5-13). The higher-ERR/Gy group, ranging from approximately 10 to 15, included urinary bladder, at 10.1 (95% CI, 1.4-23); liver, at 14.2 (95% CI, 13-16); kidney, at 14.9 (95% CI, 3.9-26); and lip, oral cavity, and pharynx, at 15.20 (95% CI, 2.73-27.63). Applying a typical candidate patient (female, age 65 y) and correcting for the reference population mortality rate, the total estimated excess mortality for an intraperitoneal 211At-monoclonal antibody treatment amounted to 1.13 per 100 treated. More than half this excess originated from urinary bladder and kidney, 0.29 and 0.34, respectively. Depending on various adjustments in calculation and assumptions on competing risks, excess mortality could range from 0.11 to 1.84 per 100 treated. Conclusion: Published epidemiologic data on lifelong detriment after α-particle irradiation and its dosimetry allowed calculations to estimate the risk for secondary cancer after 211At-based intraperitoneal TAT. Measures to reduce dose to the urinary organs may further decrease the estimated relative low risk for secondary cancer from 211At-monoclonal antibody-based intraperitoneal TAT.