Risk factors of early disease progression and decreased survival for multiple myeloma patients after upfront autologous stem cell transplantation.

Multiple myeloma (MM) stands as the second most prevalent hematological malignancy, constituting approximately 10% of all hematological malignancies. Current guidelines recommend upfront autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) for transplant-eligible MM patients. This study seeks to delineate factors influencing post-ASCT outcomes in MM patients. Our cohort comprised 150 MM patients from Taipei Veterans General Hospital, with progression-free survival (PFS) as the primary endpoint and overall survival (OS) as the secondary endpoint. A Cox proportional hazards model was employed to discern potential predictive factors for survival. ASCT age ≥ 65 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-3.47) and the presence of extramedullary disease (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.53-4.19) negatively impacted PFS. Conversely, treatment response ≥ VGPR before ASCT (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.31-0.87) and total CD34+ cells collected ≥ 4 × 106 cells/kg on the first stem cell harvesting (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.32-0.87) were positively associated with PFS. For OS, patients with ISS stage III (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.05-4.04), the presence of extramedullary disease (HR 3.92, 95% CI 2.03-7.58), light chain ratio ≥ 100 before ASCT (HR 7.08, 95% CI 1.45-34.59), post-ASCT cytomegalovirus infection (HR 9.43, 95% CI 3.09-28.84), and a lower conditioning melphalan dose (< 140 mg/m2; HR 2.75, 95% CI 1.23-6.17) experienced shorter OS. In contrast, post-ASCT day + 15 absolute monocyte counts (D15 AMC) > 500/µl (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.17-0.79) and post-ASCT day + 15 platelet counts (D15 PLT) > 80,000/µl (HR 0.48, 95% CI 0.24-0.94) were correlated with improved OS. Significantly, early PLT and AMC recovery on day + 15 predicting longer OS represents a novel finding not previously reported. Other factors also align with previous studies. Our study provides real-world insights for post-ASCT outcome prediction beyond clinical trials.

Risk Factors and Outcomes of Stem Cell Mobilization Failure in Multiple Myeloma Patients.

Introduction: Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is a well-established treatment for patients with multiple myeloma (MM), and adequate stem cell collection must be assured before ASCT. However, prediction of poor mobilizers (PMs) is still difficult despite several risk factors for mobilization failure having been identified. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed MM patients at Taipei Veterans General Hospital in Taiwan who underwent stem cell collection between October 2006 and August 2020. A CD34+ cell collection of <1 × 106 cells/kg was defined as a mobilization failure. The primary endpoint was mobilization failure. The secondary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mobilization failure were calculated using a logistic regression model. The cumulative incidence of mortality was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: In the multivariate analysis, absolute monocyte count <500/µL (adjusted OR 10.75, 95% CI: 1.82-63.57, p = 0.009), platelet count <150,000/µL (adjusted OR 12.49, 95% CI: 2.65-58.89, p = 0.001) before mobilization, and time interval from diagnosis to stem cell harvest ≥180 days (adjusted OR 7.69, 95% CI: 1.61-36.87, p = 0.011) were risk factors for PMs. PM patients had poorer OS compared to patients with successful stem cell collection in the univariate analysis (log-rank test p = 0.027). The predicted probability of PMs was estimated by the multiple logistic regression model with a sensitivity of 84.6% and a specificity of 84.0%. Conclusion: Absolute monocyte count <500/µL, platelet count <150,000/µL, and treatment duration more than 180 days before stem cell mobilization are risk factors for unsuccessful stem cell collection. Our prediction models have high sensitivity and specificity for mobilization failure prediction and allow for early interventions for possible PMs.

Underweight as a risk factor of mortality in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma.

PURPOSE: Multiple myeloma (MM), a clonal plasma cell malignancy, composes around 10% of hematologic malignancies. Though recent advances in treatment have dramatically improved MM survival, some aggressive courses of disease and dismal outcomes still exist. Low body weight, undernutrition, and cachexia are noted at MM diagnosis. We aim to evaluate the impact of low body mass index (BMI) and undernutrition in MM patients. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed MM patients at Taipei Veterans General Hospital in Taiwan between January 1, 2006 and October 31, 2018. Being underweight is defined as having a BMI of under 18.5 kg/m2. The patient's baseline characteristics, including BMI, serum albumin level, and comorbidities, etc., were recorded. The primary endpoint of the study was all-cause mortality. A Cox regression model was used to estimate the risk factors of mortality. RESULTS: A total of 378 newly diagnosed MM patients were enrolled in this study. The median age of the patients was 69. Thirty patients (7.9%) were underweight at diagnosis. The median overall survival was 1.3 years (95% CI 0.3-5.7) and 5.0 years (95% CI 3.1-5.9) for patients with low BMI and for patients with normal or higher BMI, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, low BMI (95% CI 1.07-4.44), ECOG ≥2 (95% CI 1.02-2.89), hypoalbuminemia (95% CI 1.21-4.01), high LDH (95% CI 1.22-3.49), and light chain ratio > 100 (95% CI 1.06-2.77) were independent risk factors of mortality. CONCLUSION: MM patients who were underweight, with hypoalbuminemia, poor performance status, higher LDH, and light chain ratio > 100 were associated with poor overall survival.