The mortality patterns of lung cancer between 1990 and 2013 in Xuanwei, China.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the variations in the mortality trends, especially death due to lung cancer, from 1990 to 2013 in Xuanwei City. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Mortality data were collected in Xuanwei during the 2nd and 3rd National Retrospective Sampling Survey on Mortality and Routine Death Registration System (DRS) during 2011-2013. According to the result of the survey on under-reported deaths, mortality data from DRS during 2011-2013 were adjusted. Disease specific mortality rate, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and 45Q15 were calculated in Xuanwei and compared with those in rural areas of China. RESULTS: During three periods, 1990-1992, 2004-2005 and 2011-2013, lung cancer contributed to 56.86%, 58.45% and 63.03% of deaths from all cancers respectively with a much higher proportion than rural areas nationally. The ASMR of lung cancer for males surged from 41.43/10(5) to 88.17/10(5) during 1990-2005 and it surged from 37.70/10(5) to 74.45/10(5) for females. Although they declined slightly during 2011-2013 (82.53/10(5) and 62.62/10(5) for males and females respectively), the ASMR of lung cancer among males in Xuanwei was three times of that in rural areas in China, and it was six times higher among females. The 45Q15 of lung cancer for males in Xuanwei was 3-5 times of that in rural areas of China and for females it was 7-9 times. The high-mortality areas of lung cancer were still located in Laibin, Longchang, Wanshui and Shuanglong Communities. High-mortality areas of lung cancer expanded to their surrounding areas and those in southeast. CONCLUSIONS: Although indoor air pollution caused by smoky coal has been fairly well controlled, patterns of death due to lung cancer have not obviously changed. The mortality rate of lung cancer among females was similar to that among males. Therefore, further studies should be conducted to comprehensively explore the risk factors of lung cancer in Xuanwei.

[Investigation on under-reported deaths in Xuanwei Yunnan province, during 2011-2013].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the completeness of the death registration system, so as to understand the death patterns in Xuanwei. METHODS: The investigation on under-reported deaths was conducted in 30 villages selected with a multi-stage random sampling strategy. Participants were asked about changes of their family members (family members born or dead) during past 3 years with door to door visit. Then, death cases obtained in our investigation were matched with those from routine death registration system and under-reported rate of deaths during 2011-2013 was calculated employing capture-recapture method. RESULTS: Total under-reported rate of deaths was 31.88%. For people aged between 0-14, 15-39, 40-69 and 60 above, under-reported rates of death were 33.35%, 34.93%, 29.10%, and 32.88%, respectively. And they were 31.72% and 32.02% for males and females, respectively. There was no significant difference shown in under-reported rates among deaths in different age groups (χ² = 7.24, P = 0.065) and genders (χ² = 0.06, P = 0.803). The under-reported rates in high-mortality, medium-mortality and low-mortality regions were 17.48%, 38.01%, and 36.22%, respectively with a significant difference (χ² = 213.25, P < 0.001). Death in local regions with mortality rate higher than 600.00/10(5), between 400.00/105 and 600.00/105 and lower than 400.00/105 were adjusted with under-reported rates in three regions above respectively. The total adjusted morality rate in Xuanwei during 2011-2013 was 776.47/105. For males and females, they were 918.73/105 and 617.46/105, respectively. CONCLUSION: Overall under-reported rate of death was high in death registration system in Xuanwei. It was necessary to adjust mortality data reported with under-reported rate of death to estimate death patterns in this area.