Detecting paroxysmal atrial fibrillation from normal sinus rhythm in equine athletes using Symmetric Projection Attractor Reconstruction and machine learning.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia in both human and equine populations. It is associated with adverse outcomes in humans and decreased athletic performance in both populations. Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) presents with intermittent, self-terminating AF episodes, and is difficult to diagnose once sinus rhythm resumes. Objective: We aimed to detect PAF subjects from normal sinus rhythm equine electrocardiograms (ECGs) using the Symmetric Projection Attractor Reconstruction (SPAR) method to encapsulate the waveform morphology and variability as the basis of a machine learning classification. Methods: We obtained ECG signals from 139 active equine athletes (120 control, 19 with a PAF diagnosis). The SPAR method was applied to 9 short (20-second) ECG strips for each subject. An optimal SPAR feature set was determined by forward feature selection for input to a machine learning model ensemble of 3 different classifiers (k-nearest neighbors, linear support vector machine, and radial basis function kernel support vector machine). Imbalanced data were handled by upsampling the minority (PAF) class. A final subject classification was made by taking a majority vote over results from the 9 ECG strips. Results: Our final cross-validated classification for a subject gave an accuracy of 89.0%, sensitivity of 94.8%, specificity of 87.1%, and receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.98, taking PAF as the positive class. Conclusion: The SPAR method and machine learning generated a final model with high sensitivity, suggesting that PAF can be discriminated from short equine ECG strips. This preliminary study indicated that SPAR analysis of human ECG could support patient monitoring, risk stratification, and clinical decision-making.

ECG Restitution Analysis and Machine Learning to Detect Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: Insight from the Equine Athlete as a Model for Human Athletes.

Atrial fibrillation is the most frequent arrhythmia in both equine and human athletes. Currently, this condition is diagnosed via electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring which lacks sensitivity in about half of cases when it presents in paroxysmal form. We investigated whether the arrhythmogenic substrate present between the episodes of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) can be detected using restitution analysis of normal sinus-rhythm ECGs. In this work, ECG recordings were obtained during routine clinical work from control and horses with PAF. The extracted QT, TQ, and RR intervals were used for ECG restitution analysis. The restitution data were trained and tested using k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) algorithm with various values of neighbors k to derive a discrimination tool. A combination of QT, RR, and TQ intervals was used to analyze the relationship between these intervals and their effects on PAF. A simple majority vote on individual record (one beat) classifications was used to determine the final classification. The k-NN classifiers using two-interval measures were able to predict the diagnosis of PAF with area under the receiving operating characteristic curve close to 0.8 (RR, TQ with k ≥ 9) and 0.9 (RR, QT with k ≥ 21 or TQ, QT with k ≥ 25). By simultaneously using all three intervals for each beat and a majority vote, mean area under the curves of 0.9 were obtained for all tested k-values (3-41). We concluded that 3D ECG restitution analysis can potentially be used as a metric of an automated method for screening of PAF.

Beyond HRV: attractor reconstruction using the entire cardiovascular waveform data for novel feature extraction.

Advances in monitoring technology allow blood pressure waveforms to be collected at sampling frequencies of 250-1000 Hz for long time periods. However, much of the raw data are under-analysed. Heart rate variability (HRV) methods, in which beat-to-beat interval lengths are extracted and analysed, have been extensively studied. However, this approach discards the majority of the raw data. OBJECTIVE: Our aim is to detect changes in the shape of the waveform in long streams of blood pressure data. APPROACH: Our approach involves extracting key features from large complex data sets by generating a reconstructed attractor in a three-dimensional phase space using delay coordinates from a window of the entire raw waveform data. The naturally occurring baseline variation is removed by projecting the attractor onto a plane from which new quantitative measures are obtained. The time window is moved through the data to give a collection of signals which relate to various aspects of the waveform shape. MAIN RESULTS: This approach enables visualisation and quantification of changes in the waveform shape and has been applied to blood pressure data collected from conscious unrestrained mice and to human blood pressure data. The interpretation of the attractor measures is aided by the analysis of simple artificial waveforms. SIGNIFICANCE: We have developed and analysed a new method for analysing blood pressure data that uses all of the waveform data and hence can detect changes in the waveform shape that HRV methods cannot, which is confirmed with an example, and hence our method goes 'beyond HRV'.