COPD in Never-Smokers: BOLD Australia Study.

Purpose: Tobacco smoking is the major risk factor for COPD, and it is common for other risk factors in never-smokers to be overlooked. We examined the prevalence of COPD among never-smokers in Australia and identified associated risk factors. Methods: We used data from the Australia Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease (BOLD) study, a cross-section of people aged ≥40 years from six sites. Participants completed interviews and post-bronchodilator spirometry. COPD was primarily defined as an FEV1/FVC ratio <0.70 and secondarily as the ratio less than the lower limit of normal (LLN). Results: The prevalence of COPD in the 1656 never-smokers who completed the study was 10.5% (95% CI: 9.1-12.1%) [ratio

A new polygenic score for refractive error improves detection of children at risk of high myopia but not the prediction of those at risk of myopic macular degeneration.

BACKGROUND: High myopia (HM), defined as a spherical equivalent refractive error (SER) ≤ -6.00 diopters (D), is a leading cause of sight impairment, through myopic macular degeneration (MMD). We aimed to derive an improved polygenic score (PGS) for predicting children at risk of HM and to test if a PGS is predictive of MMD after accounting for SER. METHODS: The PGS was derived from genome-wide association studies in participants of UK Biobank, CREAM Consortium, and Genetic Epidemiology Research on Adult Health and Aging. MMD severity was quantified by a deep learning algorithm. Prediction of HM was quantified as the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). Prediction of severe MMD was assessed by logistic regression. FINDINGS: In independent samples of European, African, South Asian and East Asian ancestry, the PGS explained 19% (95% confidence interval 17-21%), 2% (1-3%), 8% (7-10%) and 6% (3-9%) of the variation in SER, respectively. The AUROC for HM in these samples was 0.78 (0.75-0.81), 0.58 (0.53-0.64), 0.71 (0.69-0.74) and 0.67 (0.62-0.72), respectively. The PGS was not associated with the risk of MMD after accounting for SER: OR = 1.07 (0.92-1.24). INTERPRETATION: Performance of the PGS approached the level required for clinical utility in Europeans but not in other ancestries. A PGS for refractive error was not predictive of MMD risk once SER was accounted for. FUNDING: Supported by the Welsh Government and Fight for Sight (24WG201).

Association between dietary niacin and retinal nerve fibre layer thickness in healthy eyes of different ages.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the relationship between dietary intake of niacin (water-soluble form of vitamin B3 ) and retinal nerve fibre layer (RNFL) thickness in healthy eyes. METHODS: This cross-sectional study examined the association between daily niacin intake and RNFL thickness in three large population-based cohorts with varied age differences. RNFL thickness was extracted from optical coherence tomography data; energy-adjusted niacin intake was estimated from food frequency questionnaires. Linear mixed-effects models were utilised to examine the association between RNFL thickness and energy-adjusted niacin intake. Three separate analyses were conducted, with niacin treated as a continuous, a categorical (quartiles) or a dichotomous (above/below Australian recommended daily intake) variable. RESULTS: In total, 4937 subjects were included in the study [Raine Study Gen2, n = 1204, median age 20; Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS), n = 1791, median age 64; TwinsUK, n = 1942, median age 64). When analysed as a continuous variable, there was no association between RNFL thickness and niacin intake in any of the three cohorts (95% CI ß: Raine Study Gen 2, -0.174 to 0.074; BHAS, -0.066 to 0.078; TwinsUK -0.435 to 0.350). Similar findings were observed with quartiles of niacin intake and for niacin intakes above or below Australian recommended daily intake levels in all three cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary intake of niacin from a standard diet does not appear to be associated with age-related RNFL thinning in healthy eyes. Supraphysiological doses of niacin may be required for therapeutic effect in the retina.

Prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity in Australian baby boomers: the Busselton healthy ageing study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Chronic medical conditions accumulate within individuals with age. However, knowledge concerning the trends, patterns and determinants of multimorbidity remains limited. This study assessed the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity using extensive individual phenotyping in a general population of Australian middle-aged adults. METHODS: Participants (n = 5029, 55% female), born between 1946 and 1964 and attending the cross-sectional phase of the Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS) between 2010 and 2015, were studied. Prevalence of 21 chronic conditions was estimated using clinical measurement, validated instrument scores and/or self-reported doctor-diagnosis. Non-random patterns of multimorbidity were explored using observed/expected (O/E) prevalence ratios and latent class analysis (LCA). Variables associated with numbers of conditions and class of multimorbidity were investigated. RESULTS: The individual prevalence of 21 chronic conditions ranged from 2 to 54% and multimorbidity was common with 73% of the cohort having 2 or more chronic conditions. (mean ± SD 2.75 ± 1.84, median = 2.00, range 0-13). The prevalence of multimorbidity increased with age, obesity, physical inactivity, tobacco smoking and family history of asthma, diabetes, myocardial infarct or cancer. There were 13 pairs and 27 triplets of conditions identified with a prevalence > 1.5% and O/E > 1.5. Of the triplets, arthritis (> 50%), bowel disease (> 33%) and depression-anxiety (> 33%) were observed most commonly. LCA modelling identified 4 statistically and clinically distinct classes of multimorbidity labelled as: 1) "Healthy" (70%) with average of 1.95 conditions; 2) "Respiratory and Atopy" (11%, 3.65 conditions); 3) "Non-cardiometabolic" (14%, 4.77 conditions), and 4) "Cardiometabolic" (5%, 6.32 conditions). Predictors of multimorbidity class membership differed between classes and differed from predictors of number of co-occurring conditions. CONCLUSION: Multimorbidity is common among middle-aged adults from a general population. Some conditions associated with ageing such as arthritis, bowel disease and depression-anxiety co-occur in clinically distinct patterns and at higher prevalence than expected by chance. These findings may inform further studies into shared biological and environmental causes of co-occurring conditions of ageing. Recognition of distinct patterns of multimorbidity may aid in a holistic approach to care management in individuals presenting with multiple chronic conditions, while also guiding health resource allocation in ageing populations.

Contemporary Cardiovascular Risk Assessment for Type 2 Diabetes Including Heart Failure as an Outcome: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II.

Background: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment has limitations. The aim of this study was to develop a risk equation adding heart failure (HF) to conventional major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, myocardial infarction, stroke, and CVD death) and allowing for non-CVD death. Methods: 1551 community-based people with T2D (mean age 66 years, 52% males) were followed from baseline in 2008-2011 for five years to the first CVD event/death. Cox and competing risk regression identified predictors of three-point MACE and four-point MACE (including HF). Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were determined for a 10% five-year CVD risk cut-off. Results: 143 participants (9.2%) experienced a three-point MACE during 7,111 person-years of follow-up and 245 (15.8%) a four-point MACE during 6,896 person-years. The best model was the competing risk four-point MACE (221 predicted events (14.3%), AUC 0.82 (95% CI: 0.79-0.85), Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p = 0.17, sensitivity 79.2%, specificity 68.1%, PPV 31.8%, NPV 94.6%) with validation in 177 adults with T2D from an independent population (AUC 0.81 (0.74-0.89). Conclusions: A validated four-point MACE competing risk model reliably predicts key T2D CVD outcomes.

Subjective memory complaints are not increased in type 2 diabetes: A matched cohort study.

Type 2 diabetes is associated with several cognitive syndromes but whether this generates subjective complaints remains unclear. In an age- and sex-matched study, subjective memory complaints were neither more prevalent nor more severe in those with type 2 diabetes, despite them having lower Mini-Mental State Examination scores.

No association between sleep apnoea and macular telangiectasia type 2 and its markers of severity and progression: a case-control study and retrospective cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Idiopathic Macular Telangiectasia Type 2 (MacTel) is an uncommon, progressive retinal disease usually affecting both eyes. Currently there is no know treatment however with similar comorbidities to Obstructive Sleep Apnoea (OSA) there is plausibility of an association which may accelerate disease progression. BACKGROUND: To identify an association between MacTel and OSA and whether OSA may result in increased disease progression. DESIGN: Matched case-control study and retrospective cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-seven patients with MacTel and 165 matched controls from the Busselton Health Study. METHODS: MacTel participants were matched based on age, gender and body mass index (BMI) (and where possible hypertension and diabetes) on a 3:1 ratio with controls from the Busselton Health Study. Participants undertook a sleep questionnaire using a previously validated questionnaire. In a subset sleep apnoea severity was objectively measured via overnight ambulatory polygraphy (30 cases and 83 matched controls; ApneaLink device; ResMed, Sydney, Australia). In a retrospective analysis of the suspected MacTel cases we assessed whether major markers of OSA severity and MacTel progression were associated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Apnoea Hypopnea Index along with key markers of MacTel progression. RESULTS: MacTel patients did not have a higher risk of sleep apnoea when compared to age, sex and BMI -matched controls (mean ± SD Apnoea hypopnea index [AHI] cases 9.6 ± 14.7 vs. controls 9.7 ± 10.8, P = 0.95). No markers of disease progression in the cases were associated with any marker of OSA severity. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Sleep apnoea does not increase the risk or accelerate the progression of MacTel.

Lifetime depression history and depression risk in type 2 diabetes: A case-control study.

AIMS: To assess whether a personal history of depression assists in risk prediction for depression in type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Age- and sex-matched participants with and without diabetes from the Busselton Health Survey were assessed for current and previous depression using the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire and the Brief Lifetime Depression Scale (BLDS). In the diabetic participants, the temporal relationship between first depression episode and diabetes onset was also explored. RESULTS: In 184 paired participants (age 70.2±10.1years, 50% female), those with diabetes had a higher prevalence of any current depression (12.5% vs 4.3%, P<0.01) and lifetime history of major depression (30.6% vs 21.1%, P=0.06) compared to those without diabetes. After adjustment, lifetime major depression history was independently associated with any current depression in the combined sample (odds ratio (95% CI): 5.55 (3.09-9.98), P<0.001), in those with diabetes (4.17 (2.00-8.71), P<0.001), in those without diabetes (8.29 (3.24-21.23), P<0.001) and in diabetes whether sub-divided by depression first occurring before or after diabetes onset (before: 3.16 (1.38-7.24), P=0.007; after: 2.77 (1.00-7.70), P=0.051). CONCLUSIONS: Obtaining a lifetime history of major depression using the BLDS assists in depression risk prediction in type 2 diabetes regardless of whether depression preceded diabetes onset or not.

Self-reported hearing loss in baby boomers from the Busselton Healthy Ageing Study: audiometric correspondence and predictive value.

BACKGROUND: The baby boomer population will become high users of the health-care system in coming years. Self-report of hearing loss at a primary health-care visit may offer timely referrals to audiological services, but there has been no population-based study of self-reported hearing loss in the baby boomer generation. PURPOSE: To determine the clinical value and audiometric correspondence of self-reported hearing loss as a screening tool for the baby boomer population. RESEARCH DESIGN: A population-based study, Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS), surveying baby boomers born between 1946 and 1964 from the shire of Busselton, Western Australia. STUDY SAMPLE: A randomized sample of noninstitutionalized baby-boomers listed on the electoral roll (n = 6690) and resident in the shire are eligible to participate. This study reports on data from the first 1004 attendees (53.5% female) with a mean age of 56.23 (SD = 5.43). DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Data from a self-report question on hearing loss and diagnostic pure tone audiometry was utilized for this study. Analysis included screening performance measures of self-report compared to audiometric cut-offs, receiver operator curve (ROC) to determine optimal level, analysis of variance to compare hearing status to self-report, and binary logistic regression to determine best audiometric predictors. RESULTS: Of the sample, 16% self-reported hearing loss (72.1% males). Logistic regression indicated 4000 Hz as the most important individual frequency related to self-report while the four-frequency average (500, 1000, 2000, and 4000 Hz) >25 dB in the worse ear was the most significant averaged cutoff with 68% sensitivity and 87% specificity. Of those who self-reported a hearing loss, 80% had either a four-frequency average hearing loss >25 dB in the worse ear or a high-frequency average (4000 and 8000 Hz) hearing loss greater than 35 dB in the worse ear. CONCLUSIONS: Baby boomer adults who self-report hearing impairment on direct inquiry are most likely to have a hearing loss. A simple question at a primary health care visit may facilitate a timely referral for audiological services in a baby boomer adult, who may be more amenable to rehabilitation.

Risk factors for respiratory symptoms in adults: the Busselton Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The prevalence of reported doctor-diagnosed 'asthma' increased between 1990 and 2005-2007 in Busselton, Western Australia, accompanied by increased reported cough and phlegm but not recent wheeze. Possible reasons for the increase in diagnosed asthma include environmental exposures and diagnostic transfer. The aim of this study was to relate subject characteristics and exposures to the presence of wheeze and/or current cough/phlegm in the 2005-2007 survey. METHODS: A gender- and age-stratified random sample of 2862 adults from the Busselton shire completed questionnaires regarding doctor-diagnosed asthma, respiratory symptoms and environmental exposures; and measures of anthropometry, spirometry, exhaled nitric oxide (eNO), airway hyperresponsiveness (AHR) and atopy. Associations between respiratory symptoms and subject characteristics were assessed in 2656 subjects. RESULTS: Wheeze was reported by 23% of subjects, cough/phlegm by 22% and both by 9%. The significant and independent correlates of wheeze were reflux symptoms, lung function, AHR, eNO, atopy, body mass index and smoking. The significant and independent correlates of cough/phlegm were reflux symptoms, lung function, smoking and dusty job. Subjects more likely to report only wheeze than only cough/phlegm were female, aged <40 years, atopic, had lower percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) or higher percentage predicted force vital capacity. CONCLUSIONS: A variety of risk factors was associated with wheeze or cough/phlegm or both. Increased non-allergic exposures may account for increased prevalence of reported cough and phlegm and may contribute to increased reported asthma in adults.

Respiratory symptoms and illness in older Australians: the Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease (BOLD) study.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) among people aged 40 years or older in Australia. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A cross-sectional study of people in the community aged ≥ 40 years, selected at random using electoral rolls, in six sites chosen to reflect the sociodemographic and geographic diversity of Australia, conducted between 2006 and 2010. Standardised questionnaires were administered by interview. Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), and the FEV1/FVC ratio were measured by spirometry, before and after bronchodilator administration. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Prevalence of COPD, classified according to Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2006 criteria. RESULTS: Complete data were available for 1620 men (participation rate, 26%) and 1737 women (participation rate, 28%). The prevalence of GOLD Stage II or higher COPD (defined as post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC ratio < 0.70 and FEV1 < 80% predicted) was 7.5% (95% CI, 5.7%-9.4%) among people aged ≥ 40 years, and 29.2% (95% CI, 18.1%-40.2%) among those aged ≥ 75 years. Among people aged ≥ 40 years, the prevalence of wheeze in the past 12 months was 30.0% (95% CI, 27.5%-32.5%), and prevalence of shortness of breath when hurrying on the level or climbing a slight hill was 25.2% (95% CI, 22.7%-27.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Symptoms and spirometric evidence of COPD are common among people aged 40 years or older and increase with age. Further research is needed to better understand the diagnosis and management of COPD in Australia, along with continuing efforts to prevent the disease.

Gastro-oesophageal reflux symptoms are related to the presence and severity of obstructive sleep apnoea.

Repetitive airway occlusion during sleep in patients with obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) results in the generation of negative intrathoracic pressures and ends in arousal, both of which may predispose to reflux during sleep (nocturnal reflux). We aimed to determine and compare the prevalence of nocturnal reflux symptoms and their sleep-associated risk factors in untreated OSA patients, OSA patients using continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy, and the general population. Gastro-oesophageal reflux and sleep questionnaires were completed by 1116 patients with polysomnography diagnosed OSA and by 1999 participants of the 2007 Busselton population health survey. Of the OSA patients, 137 completed the reflux questionnaire before and after treatment. Risk of OSA in the general population was assessed using the Berlin score. The prevalence of frequent (>weekly) nocturnal reflux symptoms was increased (P<0.001) in OSA patients (10.2%) versus the general population (5.5%), in individuals from the general population at high (8.7%) versus low risk (4.3%) of OSA and in patients with severe (13.9%) versus mild OSA (5.1%). Frequent nocturnal reflux symptoms were associated with high risk (general population) (OR 1.9, P<0.01) and severity of OSA (OSA population) OR 3.0, severe versus mild OSA, P<0.001) after correcting for age, gender and body mass index. Treatment with CPAP decreased the prevalence of reflux symptoms significantly. In conclusion, the prevalence of nocturnal reflux symptoms is increased in those with or suspected of having OSA. This association is independent of other risk factors including age, gender and body mass index, suggesting a causal relationship between OSA and nocturnal reflux.

Reference equations for respiratory system resistance and reactance in adults.

AIM: To determine reference equations for respiratory system resistance and reactance in a large randomly selected sample from a general, predominantly Caucasian population. METHODS: A prospective respiratory health survey of the general population in Busselton, Western Australia, was conducted between 2005 and 2007. Subjects had measures of spirometry, and resistance and reactance at 6, 11, 19 Hz. Eligible subjects were never smokers, with no history of respiratory disease, no symptoms of cough, shortness of breath or chest tightness in the previous 12 months, and no respiratory tract infections in the previous 4 weeks. RESULTS: 904 Eligible subjects (341 male) aged 18-92 years had technically satisfactory measurements. Reference equations were established for males and females separately. Both resistance and reactance were predicted by height and weight. Age was a predictor of reactance only. CONCLUSIONS: These data provide reference equations for forced oscillatory parameters, in well-characterized Caucasian subjects, with no respiratory symptoms, from a large general population.