Poliomyelitis-related case-fatality ratio in India, 2002-2006.

BACKGROUND: On the basis of studies from developed countries, the case-fatality ratio (CFR) of poliomyelitis generally ranges from 2%-5% among children <5 years of age to 10%-30% among adults. However, little information is available for poliomyelitis-related CFR in developing countries. We conducted a study to determine the CFR in India, 1 of the 4 remaining countries with endemic wild poliovirus (WPV) circulation, during outbreaks of WPV infection during 2002 and 2006 and during the inter-epidemic years of 2003-2005. METHODS: We conducted a descriptive analysis with use of data from the acute flaccid paralysis surveillance system in India. Variables analyzed included age, caregiver-reported vaccination status, date of paralysis onset, laboratory results, final case classification, and survival outcome. Our analysis also accounted for surveillance changes that occurred in 2005, impacting case definitions and final classification. RESULTS: In 2006, 45 deaths occurred among 676 WPV cases in India, yielding a CFR of 6.7%. By comparison, in 2002, there were 66 deaths among 1600 reported WPV cases (CFR, 4.2%) and during 2002-2005, CFR was 1.5%-5.2%. All 45 deaths were among 644 (95%) WPV cases in children aged <5 years (CFR, 7.0%). Among those who died, 33 (73%) were children aged <2 years (CFR, 7.1%). CONCLUSIONS: The CFR among children aged <2 years in India is high compared with previously published CFRs for young children, in part because of improved case finding through enhanced surveillance techniques. Fatal cases emphasize the lethal nature of the disease and the importance of achieving polio eradication in India.

Vaccine wastage in Bangladesh.

The Government of Bangladesh and WHO collaborated in a retrospective vaccine wastage study to estimate overall vaccine wastage rates from January to December 2004 for BCG, measles, DTP and TT. Researchers looked at vaccine distribution and usage patterns in randomly selected districts at both fixed (Upazila) and outreach (Ward) service delivery levels. Wastage was similar at both delivery levels but ranged widely among the sites. Average rates were highest for BCG (84.9%, range 55-93%) and measles (69.7%, range 28-86%) and lower for TT (35.5%, range 10-73%) and DTP (44.4%, range 16-77%). Wastage resulted primarily from opened vials at the ward level but this was reduced at fixed sites where the multi-dose vial policy is followed. A large proportion (30-38%) of records were excluded from the analytic vaccine-specific databases due to data recording errors, mismatches between Ward and Upazila databases, or missing data. The study's results may provide methodological and programmatic guidance for other countries in addressing vaccine wastage issues.

Tracking the Prevalence of FAS.

Surveillance programs allow the tracking of the prevalence of a condition over time. Tracking the prevalence of FAS poses particular problems, however, as there is no "gold standard" of diagnosis. To evaluate the effectiveness of prevention efforts, surveillance techniques must be refined.