On the inclusion of forest exposure pathways into a stylized lake-farm scenario in a geological repository safety analysis.

Geological disposal of radioactive waste has been recognized as the 'reference solution' to ensure the safety required for the present and future society and environment. To study the possible exposure pathways from groundwater to humans, radioactive transport modelling is used. One of the ecosystems that may play a significant role when assessing the dose conversion factor (i.e. the dose resulting from a nominal release of 1 Bq/year of each radionuclide) for humans is forest. In this paper we have developed a model of a lake-farm system with a forest component. The biosphere system used in this study represents a typical agricultural scenario in Finland, amended with a typical forest. A lake is assumed to form due to post-glacial land uplift. The main features of this future lake have been obtained from our probabilistic shoreline displacement model. Both deterministic calculations and sensitivity analysis were carried out to simulate the model. The deterministic simulation demonstrates the behaviour of the studied radionuclides (36Cl, 135Cs, 129I, 237Np, 90Sr, 99Tc and 238U) and the proportions of different exposure pathways to humans. Particularly for 135Cs and 129I, forest pathways make a notable contribution to the dose conversion factor. The sensitivity analysis was done using two methods: EFAST and Sobol'. With both methods, the parameters related to the farm contribute the most to the variance of the dose conversion factor for humans. The study demonstrates that the exposure pathways related to forest products may make a considerable contribution to the dose conversion factor in a lake-farm-forest system. It is also confirmed that an advanced sensitivity analysis for a radionuclide transport and dose assessment model on such a landscape scale is feasible even with moderate computational efforts.

Safety assessments undertaken using the BIOMASS methodology: lessons learnt and methodological enhancements.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has coordinated an international project addressing enhancements of methods for modelling in post-closure safety assessments of solid radioactive waste disposal. The project used earlier published work from the IAEA biosphere modelling and assessment (BIOMASS) project to further develop methods and techniques. The task was supported by a parallel on-going project within the BIOPROTA forum. The output from the project is described in detail in a forthcoming IAEA report. Here an overview of the work is given to provide researchers in the broader fields of radioecology and radioactive waste disposal with a summarised review of the enhanced BIOMASS methodology and the work that has been undertaken during the project. It is hoped that such dissemination will support and promote integrated understanding and coherent treatment of the biosphere component within the overall assessment process. The key activities undertaken in the project were: review and identification of those parts of the original BIOMASS methodology that needed enhancement, discussions on lessons learned from applying the BIOMASS method, using real examples to assess the methodology and its usefulness, and writing of those parts of the methodology that were considered could benefit from refinement or for which new guidance was required to take account of scientific developments. The work has shown that the overall approach in the original BIOMASS methodology has proven sound. However, the enhanced version clarifies the need for an iterative and holistic approach with system understanding central to the approach. Specifically, experience, especially in site-specific contexts, has emphasised that adequate system understanding is essential in underpinning safety assessments for radioactive waste disposal. The integral role of the biosphere within safety assessment is also emphasised in the enhanced methodology.

System understanding as a scientific foundation in radioactive waste disposal, legacy site and decommissioning programmes.

Ongoing national programmes and International forums have in recent decades developed and enhanced methods and strategies in how to address the characterisation of potentially suitable sites for radioactive waste repositories. Siting processes, site selection and site investigation programmes have been conducted for near surface and geological repositories and plans for construction are in progress or have already been implemented. Lessons learned from these national and international programmes are available and results are published. In this paper we synthesise the methods and our lessons learned in how to plan, conduct, and achieve site understanding. Effective site understanding should incorporate a multi-disciplinary and integrated view of geosphere and biosphere information for a site, together with the designed parts of a repository or installation that constitute the total system. We argue that this integrated approach, following a staged program of repository development and adopting a graded approach to assessment at each stage, is to be recommended. The recommendation is supported by the results of international cooperation and progress with national programmes (e.g. the Swedish SKB). Further, we argue that this strategy is valid as a foundation for planning and execution of other types of radioactive waste management programmes such as decommissioning, legacy site management and remediation projects.

Does the use of reference organisms in radiological impact assessments provide adequate protection of all the species within an environment?

Non-human biota in radiological risk assessment is typically evaluated using Reference Organisms (ROs) or Reference Animals and Plants (RAPs), for all exposure situations. However, it still remains open whether the use of an increased number of species would improve the ability to demonstrate protectiveness of the environment. In this paper, the representativeness of a broader list of fauna is tested in terms of the geometrical characteristics and habits for radiological risk assessments in the case of routine discharges from a nuclear installation: the Cadarache centre. A list of terrestrial animal species, compiled from ecological inventories carried out around it was evaluated. A first survey around the centre inventoried >400 terrestrial fauna species, which were then filtered to reduce the number to 28 species for which dose assessments were carried out. Despite the differences between geometries for those site-specific species and the ROs (including RAPs), the absorbed dose rates calculated for both were very close (within a factor of two). Regardless of the studied organism, the absorbed dose rates calculated for the discharge scenario were mainly related to internal exposure, particularly for tritium (3H) and carbon 14 (14C), showing that there would be an acceptable dose rates difference between species from the same organism group. Additionally, sensitivity analyses were conducted to determine if the use of generic, predefined ROs was enough to assure an adequate protection of endangered species. It was observed that for every radionuclide the difference between assessments for site-specific species and ROs are unlikely to exceed a factor of 3. Hence, the result of this evaluation indicates that the use of generic ROs for non-human biota radiological risk assessment covers sufficiently other species, including endangered ones.

Probabilistic assessment of the influence of lake properties in long-term radiation doses to humans.

The assessment processes concerning the safety of nuclear waste repositories include the modelling of radionuclide transport in biosphere and the evaluation of the doses to the most affected humans. In this paper, a scenario, in which a contaminated lake is the water source for drinking water, irrigation water and watering of livestock, is presented. The objective of the paper is to probabilistically study the influence of lake properties as parameters in the assessment scenario. The properties of the lake are a result of previously conducted probabilistic studies, where the land uplift of the terrain surrounding the repositories and the formation of water bodies were studied in a 10,000-year time span using Monte Carlo simulation. The lake is formed at 3000 years from present day and the changing properties of the lake have been used in the study. The studied radionuclides 36Cl, 135Cs, 129I, 237Np, 90Sr, 99Tc and 238U enter the lake with a rate of 1 Bq/year. The transport process from the lake water to humans is described and the doses (dose conversion factors) to adult humans are evaluated based on a study on average food consumption. Sensitivity analysis is used for identifying the parameters having the most influence on the outcome of the dose. Based on the results from the sensitivity analysis, the volumetric outflow rate of the lake and the volume of the lake were taken into closer consideration. The results show the influence of probabilistically derived geomorphic lake input parameters on the dose.