Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble.

Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.

Corticosteroid is not beneficial in multiple-drug combination chemotherapy for multiple myeloma. Finnish Leukaemia Group.

In a randomised multicentre trial a combination of methylprednisolone, vincristine, lomustine, cyclophosphamide and melphalan (MOCCA) was compared with the same regimen omitting methylprednisolone after the first course (COLA) in previously untreated patients with multiple myeloma. The MOCCA arm showed a response rate of 72% among 79 patients and the COLA arm a response rate of 60% among 59 patients. This difference was not statistically significant. The median survival time was 56 months in the MOCCA arm and 61 months in the COLA arm. There was a slight increase of early deaths (within the first 6 months) in the MOCCA arm as compared with the COLA arm. We conclude that, in multidrug therapies, the continuation of corticosteroid at conventional dosage beyond the first course does not improve response rate or survival time in multiple myeloma.

Intensive chemotherapy with combinations containing anthracyclines for refractory and relapsing multiple myeloma. Finnish Leukaemia Group.

94 patients with refractory multiple myeloma were treated in a multicentre trial with combinations of cytotoxic drugs including anthracyclines. All were refractory to a 5-drug combination containing 3 alkylating agents, vincristine and methylprednisolone (MOCCA). With a combination of epirubicin and iphosphamide a 50% response was achieved in 9% of 22 patients. The response rate after schedule VAP (vincristine, doxorubicin and prednisolone) was 8% of 13 patients and that after schedule VAD (vincristine, doxorubicin and dexamethasone) 20% of 59 patients. The previous chemotherapy had lasted for less than 12 months in 13 cases from among all these patients, and 5 of these (38%) responded. In contrast, there were only 10 responders (12%) among the 81 patients with longer previous chemotherapy.

Effect of the Choice of Primary Chemotherapy on the Cumulative Length of Stay in Hospital for Multiple Myeloma.

The actual use of hospital beds for patients with multiple myeloma was calculated from a randomised trial of primary treatment with either melphalan and prednisone (MP, 66 patients) or intensive combination chemotherapy with vincristine, cyclophosphamide, lomustine, melphalan and methylprednisolone (MOCCA, 64 patients). The survival of the patients was similar in both arms, and the samples, 20 and 32 patients, respectively, were well representative for the whole arms. The average numbers of hospital days were similar fur both arms. For the first year MP 33.2 (SD 27.6) vs. MOCCA 32.1 (SD 19.0), and during the first to 4th years 78.5 (SD 45.9) vs. 67.8 (SD 34.1). For the year of death it was 50.4 (SD 33.1) vii. 36.3 (SD 27.0), respectivelly. Thus the choice of primary chemotherapy whether conventional or more aggressive had no influence on the actual number of in-patient hospital days concerned. When the combination chemotherapy schedule is well tolerated it can be administered just as well on an ambulatory basis or by using it with very short admissions. It seems that the need for inpatient care for patients with multiple myeloma is mostly related to the complications of the disease itself and to intercurrent disorders including infections.

Treatment of multiple myeloma in old patients. Finnish Leukaemia Group.

Patients aged 70 yr or older with multiple myeloma were treated, when suitable, according to concurrent trial protocols for younger patients, with the exception that the cytostatic regimen was not allocated at random. Intermittent melphalan and prednisone (MP) was given as the primary treatment to 42 patients and 5-drug combination MOCCA to 68 patients. The groups were comparable with each other, and the distribution of the clinical stages of the patients was similar to the younger patients in concurrent trials. An at least 50% response was achieved in 33% (SE 7.3) with MP and in 75% (SE 5.3) with MOCCA. The median survival times were 39 and 32 months, the relative age-adjusted survival times 45 and 41 months, respectively. Advanced age as such is thus no contraindication for active treatment of myeloma, and in suitable patients the results compare well with those achieved in younger patients.

Treatment of multiple myeloma with an intensive 5-drug combination or intermittent melphalan and prednisone; a randomised multicentre trial. Finnish Leukaemia Group.

In a randomised multicentre trial a combination of methylprednisolone, vincristine, CCNU, cyclophosphamide and melphalan (MOCCA) was compared with intermittent melphalan and prednisone (MP) as primary treatment in multiple myeloma. In the MP arm the refractory or relapsed patients were treated with regimen MOCCA. The MOCCA arm produced a response rate of 75% among 64 patients and the MP arm a response rate of 54% among 66 patients. The median survival was 41 months in the MOCCA arm and 45 months in the patients primarily randomised to the MP arm. The initial response to MOCCA improved the survival, while this effect was not statistically significant in the MP arm. The results show that the median survival does not increase if aggressive chemotherapy is employed as the first line treatment in multiple myeloma.

Acute myelogenous leukaemia with c-myc amplification and double minute chromosomes.

Cytogenetic analysis of bone-marrow cells from a woman with preleukaemia showed numerous mitoses with trisomy 4 and double minute chromosomes. These abnormalities were later seen in blood cells during subsequent acute myeloid leukaemia (AML). Complete remission was achieved with three courses of doxorubicin, cytosine arabinoside, and prednisone. A further clonal abnormality, trisomy 6, was seen in leukaemic cells after the first relapse. Analyses of total DNA from the peripheral-blood cells during relapse showed that the c-myc oncogene was amplified about 30-fold in the leukaemic cells. The N-myc, c-mos, and c-myb oncogenes showed only single-copy signals. On average about two copies of c-myc resided on each dmin chromosome. The finding of amplification of a cellular oncogene (c-myc) in fresh AML cells containing double minute chromosomes suggests that clonal evolution of some leukaemia cell populations may involve selection for increased dosage of oncogenes.

Contact with hospital, drugs, and chemicals as aetiological factors in leukaemia.

45 adults with acute leukaemia or chronic myeloid leukaemia and a control group of patients from the same hospital were asked about the people they had close social contact with before their illness, and about their use of drugs and chemicals. 18 (40%) leukaemia and 6 (13%) control patients had close social contact with hospital personnel or leukaemia patients. 8 (18%) leukaemia patients, but no control patients, had been in close contact with haemotological ward personnel. These differences were statistically significant. 9 (20%) leukaemia and 4 (9%) control patients lived in the same house as healthy persons working in a hospital. No conclusion could be drawn from differences between the two groups in their use of drugs, since the possibility that they were used to treat initial symptoms of leukaemia could not be excluded. Exposure to chemicals, including weed-killers and agricultural insecticides containing a benzene-ring known to be leukaemogenic, was about the same in the two groups.