Population-wide eGFR percentiles in younger adults and clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Identifying meaningful estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reductions in younger adults (<65 years) could guide prevention efforts. To aid in interpretation and identification of young adults at risk, we examined the association of population-level eGFR percentiles relative to the median by age and clinical outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 8.7 million adults from Ontario, Canada from age 18 to 65 from 2008 to 2021 with an eGFR measure (both single outpatient value and repeat measures). We calculated median eGFR values by age and examined the association of reduced eGFR percentiles (≤10th, 5th, 2.5th and 1st) with outcomes using time to event models. Outcomes were a composite of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiac outcomes (MACE) with/without heart failure (MACE+) and kidney failure as well as each component individually. RESULTS: From age 18 to 65, the median eGFR declined with age (range 128 to 90) and across percentiles [eGFR ranges 102 to 68 for ≤10th, 96 to 63 for ≤5th, 90 to 58 for ≤2.5th and 83 to 54 for 1st]. The adjusted rate for any adverse outcome was elevated at ≤ 10th percentile (HR 1.14 95%CI 1.10-1.18) and was consistent for all-cause mortality, MACE, MACE+ and predominant for kidney failure (HR 5.57 95%CI 3.79-8.19) compared to the median eGFR for age. Young adults with an eGFR in the lower percentiles were less likely to be referred to a specialist, have a repeat eGFR or albumin to creatinine ratio measure. CONCLUSIONS: eGFR values at the 10th percentile or lower based on a population-level distribution are associated with adverse clinical outcomes and in younger adults (18 to 39) this corresponds to a higher level of eGFR that may be underrecognized. Application of population-based eGFR percentiles may aid interpretation and improve identification of younger adults at risk.

Sociodemographic Factors and Trends in Bronchiolitis-Related Emergency Department Visit and Hospitalization Rates.

Importance: Bronchiolitis is the most common and most cumulatively expensive condition in pediatric hospital care. Few population-based studies have examined health inequalities in bronchiolitis outcomes over time. Objective: To examine trends in bronchiolitis-related emergency department (ED) visit and hospitalization rates by sociodemographic factors in a universally funded health care system. Design, Setting, and Participants: This repeated cross-sectional cohort study was performed from April 1, 2004, to March 31, 2022, using population-based health administrative data from children younger than 2 years in Ontario, Canada. Main Outcome and Measures: Bronchiolitis ED visit and hospitalization rates per 1000 person-years reported for the equity stratifiers of sex, residence location (rural vs urban), and material resources quintile. Trends in annual rates by equity stratifiers were analyzed using joinpoint regression and estimating the average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% CI and the absolute difference in AAPC with 95% CI from April 1, 2004, to March 31, 2020. Results: Of 2 921 573 children included in the study, 1 422 088 (48.7%) were female and 2 619 139 (89.6%) lived in an urban location. Emergency department visit and hospitalization rates were highest for boys, those with rural residence, and those with least material resources. There were no significant between-group absolute differences in the AAPC in ED visits per 1000 person-years by sex (female vs male; 0.22; 95% CI, -0.92 to 1.35; P = .71), residence (rural vs urban; -0.31; 95% CI -1.70 to 1.09; P = .67), or material resources (quintile 5 vs 1; -1.17; 95% CI, -2.57 to 0.22; P = .10). Similarly, there were no significant between-group absolute differences in the AAPC in hospitalizations per 1000 person-years by sex (female vs male; 0.53; 95% CI, -1.11 to 2.17; P = .53), residence (rural vs urban; -0.62; 95% CI, -2.63 to 1.40; P = .55), or material resources (quintile 5 vs 1; -0.93; 95% CI -3.80 to 1.93; P = .52). Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based cohort study of children in a universally funded health care system, inequalities in bronchiolitis ED visit and hospitalization rates did not improve over time.

Place of Death and Place of Care at the End of Life: Are They Correlated? A Retrospective Cohort Study of Ontario Decedents.

Background: Dying in nonpalliative acute care is generally considered inappropriate and avoidable. Place of death, a commonly reported big-dot indicator of end-of-life care quality, is often used as a proxy for place of care despite no empirical evidence for their correlations. Thus, we examined the correlations between place of death and place of care in the last month of life. We also investigated anecdotal claims that individuals cared in acute care often get discharged to die at home, and vice versa. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Ontario decedents (18+) who died between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2017. We identified individuals who died in nonpalliative acute care, palliative care unit, subacute care, long-term care (LTC), and the community. We calculated the number of days decedents spent in each setting in their last month of life, and used descriptive analyses to investigate their correlations. Results: Decedent's place of death generally correlated with their place of care in the last month of life-individuals who died in a particular setting spent more time in that setting than individuals who died elsewhere. Furthermore, 75.0% of individuals who spent more than two weeks of their last month in acute care died in acute care. Among individuals who died in the community and in LTC, 65.4% and 75.0%, respectively, spent zero days in acute care. Interpretation: We showed that place of death can be a useful high-level performance indicator, by itself and as a proxy for place of care, to gauge end-of-life quality and service provision/implementation.

Impaired Renal Function and Major Cardiovascular Events in Young Adults.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular (CV) disease in young adults (aged 18-39 years) is on the rise. Whether subclinical reductions in kidney function (ie, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] above the current threshold for chronic kidney disease but below age-expected values) are associated with elevated CV risk is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to examine age-specific associations of subclinical eGFR reductions in young adults with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and MACE plus heart failure (MACE+). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of 8.7 million individuals (3.6 million aged 18-39 years) was constructed using linked provincial health care data sets from Ontario, Canada (January 2008-March 2021). Cox models were used to examine the association of categorized eGFR (50-120 mL/min/1.73 m2) with MACE (first of CV mortality, acute coronary syndrome, and ischemic stroke) and MACE+, stratified according to age (18-39, 40-49, and 50-65 years). RESULTS: In the study cohort (mean age 41.3 years; mean eGFR 104.2 mL/min/1.73 m2; median follow-up 9.2 years), a stepwise increase in the relative risk of MACE and MACE+ was observed as early as eGFR <80 mL/min/1.73 m2 in young adults (eg, for MACE, at eGFR 70-79 mL/min/1.73 m2, ages 18-30 years: 2.37 events per 1,000 person years [HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.27-1.40]; ages 40-49 years: 6.26 events per 1,000 person years [HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.06-1.12]; ages 50-65 years: 14.9 events per 1,000 person years [HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.05-1.08]). Results persisted for each MACE component and in additional analyses (stratifying according to past CV disease, accounting for albuminuria at index, and using repeated eGFR measures). CONCLUSIONS: In young adults, eGFR below age-expected values were associated with an elevated risk for MACE and MACE+, warranting age-appropriate risk stratification, proactive monitoring, and timely intervention.

Characteristics and Outcomes of ICU Patients Without COVID-19 Infection-Pandemic Versus Nonpandemic Times: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Outcomes for critically ill COVID-19 are well described; however, the impact of the pandemic on critically ill patients without COVID-19 infection is less clear. OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate the characteristics and outcomes of non-COVID patients admitted to an ICU during the pandemic, compared with the previous year. DESIGN: A population-based study conducted using linked health administrative data comparing a cohort from March 1, 2020, to June 30, 2020 (pandemic) to a cohort from March 1, 2019, to June 30, 2019 (nonpandemic). SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients (18 yr old) admitted to an ICU in Ontario, Canada, without a diagnosis of COVID-19 during the pandemic and nonpandemic periods. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included hospital and ICU length of stay, discharge disposition, and receipt of resource intensive procedures (e.g., extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, bronchoscopy, feeding tube insertion, and cardiac device insertion). We identified 32,486 patients in the pandemic cohort and 41,128 in the nonpandemic cohort. Age, sex, and markers of disease severity were similar. Fewer patients in the pandemic cohort were from long-term care facilities and had fewer cardiovascular comorbidities. There was an increase in all-cause in-hospital mortality among the pandemic cohort (13.5% vs 12.5%; p < 0.001) representing a relative increase of 7.9% (adjusted odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.05-1.56). Patients in the pandemic cohort admitted with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation had an increase in all-cause mortality (17.0% vs 13.2%; p = 0.013), a relative increase of 29%. Mortality among recent immigrants was higher in the pandemic cohort compared with the nonpandemic cohort (13.0% vs 11.4%; p = 0.038), a relative increase of 14%. Length of stay and receipt of intensive procedures were similar. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We found a modest increase in mortality among non-COVID ICU patients during the pandemic compared with a nonpandemic cohort. Future pandemic responses should consider the impact of the pandemic on all patients to preserve quality of care.

Screening for Primary Aldosteronism Among Hypertensive Adults with Obstructive Sleep Apnea: A Retrospective Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension plus obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is recommended in some guidelines as an indication to screen for primary aldosteronism (PA), yet prior data has brought the validity of this recommendation into question. Given this context, it remains unknown whether this screening recommendation is being implemented into clinical practice. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of all adult Ontario (Canada) residents with hypertension plus OSA from 2009 to 2020 with follow-up through 2021 utilizing provincial health administrative data. We measured the proportion of individuals who underwent PA screening via the aldosterone-to-renin ratio by year. We further examined screening rates among patients with hypertension plus OSA by the presence of concurrent hypokalemia and resistant hypertension. Clinical predictors associated with screening were assessed via Cox regression modeling. RESULTS: The study cohort included 53,130 adults with both hypertension and OSA, of which only 634 (1.2%) underwent PA screening. Among patients with hypertension, OSA, and hypokalemia, the proportion of eligible patients screened increased to 2.8%. Among patients ≥65 years with hypertension, OSA, and prescription of ≥4 antihypertensive medications, the proportion of eligible patients screened was 1.8%. Older age was associated with a decreased likelihood of screening while hypokalemia and subspecialty care with internal medicine, cardiology, endocrinology, or nephrology were associated with an increased likelihood of screening. No associations with screening were identified with sex, rural residence, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or respirology subspecialty care. CONCLUSIONS: The population-level uptake of the guideline recommendation to screen all patients with hypertension plus OSA for PA is exceedingly low.

Cognitive Decline in Long-term Care Residents Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ontario, Canada.

This study examines the incidence of cognitive decline among long-term care residents in Ontario before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Screening Rates for Primary Aldosteronism Among Individuals With Hypertension Plus Hypokalemia: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

Primary aldosteronism is a common, yet highly underdiagnosed, cause of hypertension that leads to disproportionately high rates of cardiovascular disease. Hypertension plus hypokalemia is a guideline-recommended indication to screen for primary aldosteronism, yet the uptake of this recommendation at the population level remains unknown. We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study of adults ≥18 years old in Ontario, Canada, with hypertension plus hypokalemia (potassium <3.5 mEq/L) from 2009 to 2015 with follow-up through 2017. We measured the proportion of individuals who underwent primary aldosteronism screening via the aldosterone-to-renin ratio based upon hypokalemia frequency and severity along with concurrent antihypertensive medication use. We assessed clinical predictors associated with screening via Cox regression. The cohort included 26 533 adults of which only 422 (1.6%) underwent primary aldosteronism screening. When assessed by number of instances of hypokalemia over a 2-year time window, the proportion of eligible patients who were screened increased only modestly from 1.0% (158/15 983) with one instance to 4.8% (71/1494) with ≥5 instances. Among individuals with severe hypokalemia (potassium <3.0 mEq/L), only 3.9% (58/1422) were screened. Among older adults prescribed ≥4 antihypertensive medications, only 1.0% were screened. Subspecialty care with endocrinology (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52 [95% CI, 1.10-2.09]), nephrology (HR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.07-1.91]), and cardiology (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.14-1.70]) were associated with an increased likelihood of screening, whereas age (HR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.94-0.96]) and diabetes (HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.50-0.89]) were inversely associated with screening. In conclusion, population-level uptake of guideline recommendations for primary aldosteronism screening is exceedingly low. Increased education and awareness are critical to bridge this gap.

Socioeconomic and Geographic Disparities in Emergency Department Visits due to Alcohol in Ontario: A Retrospective Population-level Study from 2003 to 2017.

OBJECTIVE: While the overall health system burden of alcohol is large and increasing in Canada, little is known about how this burden differs by sociodemographic factors. The objectives of this study were to assess sociodemographic patterns and temporal trends in emergency department (ED) visits due to alcohol to identify emerging and at-risk subgroups. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-level cohort study of all individuals aged 10 to 105 living in Ontario, Canada. We identified ED visits due to alcohol between 2003 and 2017 using defined International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition, codes from a pre-existing indicator. We calculated annual age- and sex-standardized, and age- and sex-specific rates of ED visits and compared overall patterns and changes over time between urban and rural settings and income quintiles. RESULTS: There were 829,662 ED visits due to alcohol over 15 years. Rates of ED visits due to alcohol were greater for individual living in the lowest- compared to the highest-income quintile neighbourhoods, and disparities (rate ratio lowest to highest quintile) increased with age from 1.22 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.25) in 15- to 18-year-olds to 4.17 (95% CI, 4.07 to 4.28) in 55- to 59-year-olds. Rates of ED visits due to alcohol were significantly greater in rural settings (56.0 per 10,000 individuals, 95% CI, 55.7 to 56.4) compared to urban settings (44.8 per 10,000 individuals, 95% CI, 44.7 to 44.9), particularly for young adults. Increases in rates of visits between 2003 and 2017 were greater in rural versus urban settings (82 vs. 68% increase in age- and sex-standardized rates) and varied across sociodemographic subgroups with the largest annual increases in rates of visits in young (15 to 29) low-income women (6.9%, 95%CI, 6.7 to 7.3) and the smallest increase in older (45 to 59) high-income men (2.7, 95%CI, 2.4 to 3.0). CONCLUSION: Alcohol harms display unique patterns with the highest burden in rural and lower-income populations. Rural-urban and income-based disparities differ by age and sex and have increased over time, which offers an imperative and opportunity for further interventions by clinicians and policy makers.

Rates in Bronchiolitis Hospitalization, Intensive Care Unit Use, Mortality, and Costs From 2004 to 2018.

IMPORTANCE: Over the last 2 decades, bronchiolitis guidelines and improvement efforts focused on supportive care and reducing unnecessary tests, treatments, and hospitalization. There have been limited population-based studies examining hospitalization outcomes over time. OBJECTIVE: To describe rates and trends in bronchiolitis hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) use, mortality, and costs. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used population-based health administrative data from April 1, 2004, to March 31, 2018, to identify bronchiolitis encounters using hospital discharge diagnosis codes in Ontario, Canada. Children younger than 2 years with and without bronchiolitis hospitalization were included. Data were analyzed from January 2020 to July 2021. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Bronchiolitis hospitalization per 1000 person-years, ICU use per 1000 hospitalizations, mortality per 100 000 person-years, and costs per 1000 person-years adjusted to 2018 Canadian dollars and reported in 2018 US dollars. RESULTS: Among 2 336 446 included children, 1 199 173 (51.3%) were male. During the study period, 43 993 children (1.9%) younger than 2 years had 48 058 bronchiolitis hospitalizations at 141 hospitals. Bronchiolitis accounted for 48 058 of 360 920 all-cause hospitalizations (13.3%) and 215 654 of 2 566 348 all-cause hospital days (8.4%) in children younger than 2 years. Bronchiolitis hospitalization was stable over time, at 14.0 (95% CI, 13.6-14.4) hospitalizations per 1000 person-years in 2004-2005 and 12.7 (95% CI, 12.2-13.1) hospitalizations per 1000 person-years in 2017-2018 (annual percent change [APC], 0%; 95% CI, -1.6 to 1.6; P = .97). ICU admission increased significantly from 38.1 (95% CI, 32.2-44.8) per 1000 hospitalizations in 2004-2005 to 87.8 (95% CI, 78.3-98.0) per 1000 hospitalizations in 2017-2018 (APC, 7.2%; 95% CI, 5.4-8.9; P < .001). Over the study period, bronchiolitis mortality was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.3-3.4) per 100 000 person-years and remained stable (APC, 1.1%; 95% CI, -8.4 to 11.7; P = .85). Hospitalization costs per 1000 person-years increased from $49 640 (95% CI, $49 617-$49 663) in 2004-2005 to $58 632 (95% CI, $58 608-$58 657) in 2017-2018 (APC, 3.0%; 95% CI, 1.3-4.8; P = .002). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: From 2004 to 2018, bronchiolitis hospitalization and mortality rates remained stable; however, ICU use and costs increased substantially. This represents a major increase in high-intensity hospital care and costs for one of the most common and cumulatively expensive conditions in pediatric hospital care.

Characteristics and resource utilization of high-cost users in the intensive care unit: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare expenditure within the intensive care unit (ICU) is costly. A cost reduction strategy may be to target patients accounting for a disproportionate amount of healthcare spending, or high-cost users. This study aims to describe high-cost users in the ICU, including health outcomes and cost patterns. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of patients with ICU admissions in Ontario from 2011 to 2018. Patients with total healthcare costs in the year following ICU admission (including the admission itself) in the upper 10th percentile were defined as high-cost users. We compared characteristics and outcomes including length of stay, mortality, disposition, and costs between groups. RESULTS: Among 370,061 patients included, 37,006 were high-cost users. High-cost users were 64.2 years old, 58.3% male, and had more comorbidities (41.2% had ≥3) when likened to non-high cost users (66.1 years old, 57.2% male, 27.9% had ≥3 comorbidities). ICU length of stay was four times greater for high-cost users compared to non-high cost users (22.4 days, 95% confidence interval [CI] 22.0-22.7 days vs. 5.56 days, 95% CI 5.54-5.57 days). High-cost users had lower in-hospital mortality (10.0% vs.14.2%), but increased dispositioning outside of home (77.4% vs. 42.2%) compared to non-high-cost users. Total healthcare costs were five-fold higher for high-cost users ($238,231, 95% CI $237,020-$239,442) compared to non-high-cost users ($45,155, 95% CI $45,046-$45,264). High-cost users accounted for 37.0% of total healthcare costs. CONCLUSION: High-cost users have increased length of stay, lower in-hospital mortality, and higher total healthcare costs when compared to non-high-cost users. Further studies into cost patterns and predictors of high-cost users are necessary to identify methods of decreasing healthcare expenditure.

The Impact of Language on Emergency Department Visits, Hospitalizations, and Length of Stay Among Home Care Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Research considering the impact of language on health care utilization is limited. We conducted a population-based study to: (1) investigate the association between residents' preferred language and hospital-based health care utilization; and (2) determine whether this association is modified by dementia, a condition which can exacerbate communication barriers. METHODS: We used administrative databases to establish a retrospective cohort study of home care recipients (2015-2017) in Ontario, Canada, where the predominant language is English. Residents' preferred language (obtained from in-person home care assessments) was coded as English (Anglophones), French (Francophones), or other (Allophones). Diagnoses of dementia were ascertained with a previously validated algorithm. We identified all emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations within 1 year. RESULTS: Compared with Anglophones, Allophones had lower annual rates of ED visits (1.3 vs. 1.8; P<0.01) and hospitalizations (0.6 vs. 0.7; P<0.01), while Francophones had longer hospital stays (9.1 vs. 7.6 d per admission; P<0.01). After adjusting for potential confounders, Francophones and Allophones were less likely to visit the ED or be hospitalized than Anglophones. We found evidence of synergism between language and dementia; the average length of stay for Francophones with dementia was 25% (95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.39) longer when compared with Anglophones without dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Residents whose preferred language was not English were less frequent users of hospital-based health care services, a finding that is likely attributable to cultural factors. Francophones with dementia experienced the longest stays in hospital. This may be related to the geographic distribution of Francophones (predominantly in rural areas) or to suboptimal patient-provider communication.