A risk-prediction model using parameters of maternal body composition to identify gestational diabetes mellitus in early pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Accurate early risk-prediction for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) would target intervention and prevention in women at the highest risk. We evaluated maternal risk-factors and parameters of body-composition to develop a prediction model for GDM in early gestation. METHODS: A prospective observational study was undertaken. Pregnant women aged between 18 and 50 y of age with gestational age between 10 and 16 weeks were included in the study. Women aged ≤18 y, twin-pregnancies, known foetal anomaly or pre-existing condition affecting oedema status were excluded. 8-point-skinfold thickness (SFT), mid-upper-arm-circumference (MUAC), waist, hip, weight and ultrasound measurements of subcutaneous (SAT) and visceral abdominal-adipose (VAT) were measured. Oral-glucose-tolerance-test (OGTT) for GDM diagnosis was undertaken at 28 weeks gestation. Binomial logistic-regression models were used to predict GDM. ROC-analysis determined discrimination and concordance of model and individual variables. RESULTS: 188 women underwent OGTT at ~28 weeks gestation. 20 women developed GDM. BMI (24.7 kg m-2 (±6.1), 29.9 kg m-2 (±7.8), p = 0.022), abdominal SAT(1.32 cm (CI 1.31, 1.53), 1.99 cm (CI 1.64, 2.31), p = 0.027), abdominal VAT(0.78 cm (CI 0.8, 0.96), 1.41 cm (CI 1.11, 1.65), p = 0.002), truncal SFT (84.8 mm (CI 88.2, 101.6), 130.4 mm (CI 105.1, 140.1), p = 0.010), waist (79.8 cm (CI 80.3, 84.1), 90.3 cm (CI 85.9, 96.2), p = 0.006) and gluteal hip (94.3 cm (CI 93.9, 98.0), 108.6 cm (CI 99.9, 111.6), p = 0.023) were higher in GDM vs. non-GDM. After screening variables for inclusion into the multivariate model, family history of diabetes, previous perinatal death, overall insulin resistant condition, abdominal SAT and VAT, 8-point SFT, MUAC and weight were included. The combined multivariate prediction model achieved an excellent level of discrimination, with an AUC of 0.860 (CI 0.774, 0.945) for GDM. CONCLUSIONS: An early gestation risk prediction model, incorporating known risk-factors, and parameters of body-composition, accurately identify pregnant women in their first-trimester who developed GDM later on in gestation. This methodology could be used clinically to identify at-risk pregnancies, and target specific treatment through referred services to those mothers who would most benefit.

The prediction of morbidity related to vaginal delivery in nulliparous women - A secondary analysis from the genesis multicenter trial.

OBJECTIVE: In the prospective multicenter Genesis study, we developed a prediction model for Cesarean delivery (CD) in term nulliparous women. The objective of this secondary analysis was to determine whether the Genesis model has the potential to predict maternal and neonatal morbidity associated with vaginal delivery. STUDY DESIGN: The national prospective Genesis trial recruited 2,336 nulliparous women with a vertex presentation between 39 + 0- and 40 + 6-weeks' gestation from seven tertiary centers. The prediction model used five parameters to assess the risk of CD: maternal age, maternal height, body mass index, fetal head circumference and fetal abdominal circumference. Simple and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to develop the Genesis model. The risk score calculated using this model were correlated with maternal and neonatal morbidity in women who delivered vaginally: postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), obstetric anal sphincter injury (OASI), shoulder dystocia, one- and five-minute Apgar score ≤ 7, neonatal intensive care (NICU) admission, cephalohematoma, fetal laceration, nerve palsy and fractures. The morbidities associated with spontaneous vaginal delivery were compared with those associated with operative vaginal delivery (OVD). The likelihood ratios for composite morbidity and the morbidity associated with OVD based on the Genesis risk scores were also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 1,845 (79%) nulliparous women had a vaginal delivery. A trend of increasing intervention and morbidity was observed with increasing Genesis risk score, including OVD (p < 0.001), PPH (p < 0.008), NICU admission (p < 0.001), low Apgar score at one-minute (p < 0.001) and OASI (p = 0.009). The morbidity associated with OVD was significantly higher compared to spontaneous vaginal delivery, including NICU admission (p < 0.001), PPH (p = 0.022), birth injury (p < 0.001), shoulder dystocia (p = 0.002) and Apgar score of<7 at one-minute (p < 0.001). The positive likelihood ratios for composite outcomes (where the OVD was excluded) increases with increasing risk score from 1.005 at risk score of 5% to 2.507 for risk score of>50%. CONCLUSION: In women who ultimately achieved a vaginal birth, we have shown more maternal and neonatal morbidity in the setting of a Genesis nomogram-determined high-risk score for intrapartum CD. Therefore, the Genesis prediction tool also has the potential to predict a more morbid vaginal delivery.

Small for gestational age infants and the association with placental and umbilical cord morphometry: a digital imaging study.

Introduction: Individual placental and umbilical cord morphometry have been previously identified to have an association with fetal growth. This study aims to identify which of the morphometric measurements in combination are associated with pregnancies with small for gestational age (SGA) infants using digital imaging of the delivered placenta.Material and methods: This study examined 1005 placentas from consecutively delivered singleton pregnancies in a tertiary center. Standardized images of each placenta were taken. Placental weight and thickness; umbilical cord length and diameter were measured on gross examination. Distance from the placental cord insertion site to placental margin, length and breadth of the placenta and placental chorionic surface area were measured digitally using ImageJ software. Logistic regression models and area under the curve (AUC) were used to identify the best subset of morphometric measurements to classify infants as SGA (<10th centile).Results: Overall, 141 (14%) infants were SGA. The morphometric measurements at delivery most strongly associated with the classification of infants as SGA were placental weight (AUC = 0.806) and placental surface area (AUC = 0.749). Of the potential antenatal morphometric measurements, umbilical cord diameters, both placental (AUC = 0.644) and fetal end (AUC = 0.629) were most strongly associated with SGA. A logistic regression model with maternal age, smoking status, current history of preeclampsia, umbilical cord length, placental weight, birthweight-to-placental weight ratio and umbilical cord diameter (placental end) had a sensitivity of 53% and a false-positive rate of 2% (AUC = 0.945) for the classification of infants as SGA.Conclusion: Placental and umbilical cord morphometry measured at delivery are different between SGA and non-SGA infants. Further studies are warranted to investigate the feasibility and accuracy of ultrasound to measure placental and umbilical cord morphometry during pregnancy.

Antenatal Detection of Abnormal Placental Cord Insertion across Different Trimesters: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: This article prospectively examines the use of ultrasound for antenatal detection of abnormal placental cord insertion (PCI) and compares the antenatal classification with delivered placental classification. STUDY DESIGN: This prospective cohort study examined 277 singleton pregnancies in a tertiary center. Scans were performed between 10 and 14, 18 and 22, and 32 and 34 weeks where PCI site was identified and its shortest distance to margin measured. Standardized images of delivered placentas were taken and digitally measured. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of antenatal classification compared with delivered placental classification were calculated. RESULTS: Abnormal PCI (distance < 2 cm from margin) was confirmed in 30/277 (11%) placentas at delivery. Note that 102/277 (37%) of PCI sites were classified as abnormal in the first trimester (T1), 43/277 (16%) in the second trimester (T2), and 28/277 (10%) in the third trimester (T3). Sensitivity (73%) and specificity (91%) were highest at T2. The PPVs were low (22% in T1, 51% in T2, and 64% in T3) and the NPVs were high (96% in T1 and 97% in both T2 and T3) for all scans. CONCLUSION: Abnormal PCI can be detected antenatally with optimal agreement with postnatal classification in T2. However, the incidence is overestimated at early scans with low PPVs.

Inter and intra-reliability of ultrasonography for the measurement of abdominal subcutaneous & visceral adipose tissue thickness at 12 weeks gestation.

BACKGROUND: Excess abdominal adiposity cause metabolic disturbances, particularly in pregnancy. Methods of accurate measurement are limited in pregnancy due to risks associated with these procedures. This study outlines a non-invasive methodology for the measurement of adipose tissue in pregnancy and determines the intra- and inter-observer reliability of ultrasound (US) measurements of the two components of adipose tissue (subcutaneous (SAT) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT)) within a pregnant population. METHODS: Thirty pregnant women were recruited at the end of their first trimester, from routine antenatal clinic at the University Maternity Hospital Limerick, Ireland. Measurements of adipose tissue thickness were obtained using a GE Voluson E8 employing a 1-5 MHz curvilinear array transducer. Two observers, employing methodological rigour in US technique, measured thickness of adipose tissue three times, and segmented the US image systematically in order to define measurements of SAT and VAT using specifically pre-defined anatomical landmarks. RESULTS: Intra-observer and inter-observer precision was assessed using Coefficient of Variation (CV). Measurements of SAT and total adipose for both observers were < 5% CV and < 10% CV for VAT in measures by both observers. Inter-observer reliability was assessed by Limits of Agreement (LoA). LoA were determined to be - 0.45 to 0.46 cm for SAT and - 0.34 to 0.53 cm for VAT values. Systematic bias of SAT measurement was 0.01 cm and 0.10 cm for VAT. Inter-observer precision was also assessed by coefficient of variation (CV: SAT, 3.1%; VAT, 7.2%; Total adipose, 3.0%). CONCLUSION: Intra-observer precision was found to be acceptable for measures of SAT, VAT and total adipose according to anthropometric criterion, with higher precision reported in SAT values than in VAT. Inter-observer reliability assessed by Limits-Of-Agreement (LoA) confirm anthropometrically reliable to 0.5 cm. Systematic bias was minimal for both measures, falling within 95% confidence intervals. These results suggest that US can produce reliable, repeatable and accurate measures of SAT and VAT during pregnancy.

Role of 2-Dimensional Ultrasound Imaging in Placental and Umbilical Cord Morphometry: Literature and Pictorial Review.

Abnormalities of the placenta and umbilical cord have been associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Antenatal detection of placental and umbilical cord abnormalities using ultrasound (US) imaging is now gaining popularity with the advancements in obstetric US. This article reviews the use of 2-dimensional obstetric US as a tool to measure and assess placental and umbilical cord morphometry. It highlights the potential role of placental and umbilical cord morphometry as a valuable component of the screening tool for high risk pregnancies and identifies the need for further research to examine its feasibility.

Intrapartum caesarean rates differ significantly between ethnic groups--relationship to induction.

OBJECTIVE: Given international variation in obstetric practices and outcomes, comparison of labour outcomes in different ethnic groups could provide important information regarding the underlying reasons for rising caesarean delivery rates. Increasing numbers of women from Eastern European countries are now delivering in Irish maternity hospitals. We compared labour outcomes between Irish and Eastern European (EE) women in a large tertiary referral center. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective consecutive cohort study encompassing a single calendar year. The cohort comprised 5550 Irish and 867 EE women delivered in a single institution in 2009. Women who had multiple pregnancies, breech presentation, and elective or pre-labour caesarean sections (CS) were excluded. Data obtained from birth registers included maternal age, nationality, parity, gestation, onset of labour, mode of delivery and birth weight. RESULTS: The overall intrapartum CS rate was 11.4% and was significantly higher in Irish compared to EE women (11.8% vs. 8.8%; p=0.008). The proportion of primiparas was lower in Irish compared to EE women (44.8% vs. 63.6%; p<0.0001). The intrapartum CS rate was almost doubled in Irish compared to EE primiparas (20.7% vs. 11.0%; p<0.0001). Analysis of primiparas according to labour onset revealed a higher intrapartum CS rate in Irish primiparas in both spontaneous (13.5% vs. 7.2%; p<0.0001) and induced labour (29.5% vs. 19.3%; p=0.005). Irish women were older with 19.7% of primiparas aged more than 35, compared to 1.6% of EE women (p<0.0001). The primigravid CS rate in Irish women was significantly higher in women aged 35 years or older compared women aged less than 35 (30.6% vs. 18.3%; p<0.0001) consistent in both spontaneous and induced labour. The primiparous induction rate was 45.4% in Irish women compared to 32% in EE women, and more Irish women were induced before 41 weeks gestation. CONCLUSION: The results highlight that primigravid intrapartum CS rates were significantly lower in EE compared to Irish women. This could potentially be explained by the younger age and lower induction rates in EE primiparas. Further studies are required to determine the factors for this significant difference in labour outcomes for these two Caucasian groups.