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AIM: In patients with chronic hepatitis C, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs at a certain frequency, even if a sustained virologic response (SVR) is achieved by antiviral treatment. Old age, liver fibrosis, and high post-treatment α-fetoprotein (AFP) level are typical risk factors of post-SVR HCC. We examined whether the frequencies and factors of HCC in patients with an SVR achieved from interferon treatment changed. Methods Among patients prospectively registered for pegylated interferon and ribavirin treatment, 2021 with an SVR without HCC development during the treatment period were followed up. The mean observation period was 49.5 ± 26.2 months. RESULTS: The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that older age, diabetes mellitus, advanced liver disease, and higher post-treatment AFP level were the independent risk factors throughout the observation period. The annual occurrence rate of HCC was 0.74% in the third year, 0.54% in the fourth year, and 0.40% in the fifth year; it gradually decreased from the third year. Because the time course hazards for HCC changed at 48 months, we separately analyzed its risk factors before and after this change point. The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that the four above-mentioned factors were significantly related to HCC development within 4 years. Conversely, the univariable Cox regression analysis only identified diabetes mellitus as a significant factor for HCC development after 4 years. CONCLUSION: The frequency of HCC in hepatitis C patients who achieved an SVR from interferon treatment decreased during the observation period, and its risk factors changed between the early and late periods.
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BACKGROUND: We prospectively compared the efficacy of gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with that of dynamic multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) for detection of recurrent hypervascular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA). METHODS: Institutional review board approval and written informed consent were obtained for this multicenter study. Ninety-seven HCC patients treated with curative RFA underwent both Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI and dynamic MDCT every 3-4 months. HCC diagnosis was made based on the typical enhancement pattern of HCC on MRI and/or CT by on-site consensus reading. Two blinded observers independently assessed image datasets to compare diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Recurrence was observed in 48 of 97 patients. Among these, 22 were diagnosed by both Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI and MDCT; the remainder were diagnosed by only one of these 2 modalities. Recurrence was diagnosed in more patients by Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI than by MDCT (44 vs. 26 patients, p < 0.001). Patient-based analysis revealed that the accuracy, sensitivity, and AUROC of Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI were significantly higher than those of MDCT for both observers (p < 0.005). The AUROC of Gd-EOB-DTPA- enhanced MRI and MDCT was 0.95 and 0.76 for observer 1 and 0.90 and 0.74 for observer 2, respectively. The κ values for MRI and MDCT were 0.83 and 0.70, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with dynamic MDCT, Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI had higher diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity for detection of recurrent hypervascular HCC and may be a better tool for following patients after RFA.
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BACKGROUND: Entecavir (ETV) is one of the first-line nucleoside analogs for treating patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk for ETV-treated patients remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 496 Japanese patients with chronic HBV infection undergoing ETV treatment were enrolled in this study. The baseline characteristics were as follows: age 52.6 ± 12.0 years, males 58%, positive for hepatitis B e antigen 45 %, cirrhosis 19%, and median HBV DNA level 6.9 log copies (LC) per milliliter. The mean treatment duration was 49.9 ± 17.5 months. RESULTS: The proportions of HBV DNA negativity (below 2.6 LC/mL) were 68% at 24 weeks and 86% at 1 year, and the rates of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level normalization were 62 and 72%, respectively. The mean serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels decreased significantly at 24 weeks after ETV treatment initiation (from 29.0 ± 137.1 to 5.7 ± 27.9 ng/mL, p < 0.001). The cumulative incidence of HCC at 3, 5, and 7 years was 6.0, 9.6, and 17.2%, respectively, among all enrolled patients. In a multivariate analysis, advanced age [55 years or older, hazard ratio (HR) 2.84; p = 0.018], cirrhosis (HR 5.59, p < 0.001), and a higher AFP level (10 ng/mL or greater) at 24 weeks (HR 2.38, p = 0.034) were independent risk factors for HCC incidence. HCC incidence was not affected by HBV DNA negativity or by ALT level normalization at 24 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: The AFP level at 24 weeks after ETV treatment initiation can be the on-treatment predictive factor for HCC incidence among patients with chronic HBV infection.
