The potential of targeted antibody prophylaxis in SARS outbreak control: a mathematic analysis.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus-like viruses continue to circulate in animal reservoirs. If new mutants of SARS coronavirus do initiate another epidemic, administration of prophylactic antibodies to risk groups may supplement the stringent isolation procedures that contained the first SARS outbreak. METHOD: We developed a mathematical model to investigate the effects of hospital admission and targeted antibody prophylaxis on the reproduction number R, defined as the number of secondary cases generated by an index case, during different SARS outbreak scenarios. RESULTS: Assuming a basic reproduction number R(0)=3, admission of patients to hospital within 4.3 days of symptom onset is necessary to achieve outbreak control without the need to further reduce community-based transmission. Control may be enhanced by providing pre-exposure prophylaxis to contacts of hospitalized patients, and through contact tracing and provision of post-exposure prophylaxis. Antibody prophylaxis may also be employed to reduce R below one and thereby restrict outbreak size and duration. CONCLUSIONS: Patient isolation alone can be sufficient to control SARS outbreaks provided that the time from onset to admission is short. Antibody prophylaxis as supplemental measure generally allows for containment of higher R(0) values and restricts both the size and duration of an outbreak.

Cytomegalovirus and human herpesvirus 8 DNA detection in peripheral blood monocytic cells of AIDS patients: correlations with the presence of Kaposi's sarcoma and CMV disease.

To establish the effect of the presence in blood cells of cytomegalovirus (CMV) and human herpesvirus 8 (HHV8) DNA, two herpesviruses that are activated frequently in AIDS patients, were selected from the Amsterdam Cohort Studies on HIV/AIDS 181 PBMC samples from patients with and without Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), and with and without CMV-related disease. The viral loads of both HHV8 and CMV were determined by real-time PCR at the time of diagnosis of AIDS. There was no significant difference in prevalence and load for CMV between the KS and non-KS patients. The variable related most strongly to KS was the presence of HHV8 DNA in PBMCs, whilst CMV DNA was related to the development of CMV disease and shortened survival. The frequency of detection of HHV8 increased when the patient presented with more severe KS symptoms at diagnosis, but detection of HHV8 DNA did not influence survival. Therefore, HHV8 and CMV DNA measured in the blood of AIDS patients, are each related mainly to the associated disease, and have no additional predictive value in these patients.