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1.
PLoS One ; 19(6): e0282451, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38843159

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: The frequency and characteristics of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) may vary by SARS-CoV-2 variant. OBJECTIVE: To characterize PASC-related conditions among individuals likely infected by the ancestral strain in 2020 and individuals likely infected by the Delta variant in 2021. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of electronic medical record data for approximately 27 million patients from March 1, 2020-November 30, 2021. SETTING: Healthcare facilities in New York and Florida. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who were at least 20 years old and had diagnosis codes that included at least one SARS-CoV-2 viral test during the study period. EXPOSURE: Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection, classified by the most common variant prevalent in those regions at the time. MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): Relative risk (estimated by adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]) and absolute risk difference (estimated by adjusted excess burden) of new conditions, defined as new documentation of symptoms or diagnoses, in persons between 31-180 days after a positive COVID-19 test compared to persons without a COVID-19 test or diagnosis during the 31-180 days after the last negative test. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 560,752 patients. The median age was 57 years; 60.3% were female, 20.0% non-Hispanic Black, and 19.6% Hispanic. During the study period, 57,616 patients had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test; 503,136 did not. For infections during the ancestral strain period, pulmonary fibrosis, edema (excess fluid), and inflammation had the largest aHR, comparing those with a positive test to those without a COVID-19 test or diagnosis (aHR 2.32 [95% CI 2.09 2.57]), and dyspnea (shortness of breath) carried the largest excess burden (47.6 more cases per 1,000 persons). For infections during the Delta period, pulmonary embolism had the largest aHR comparing those with a positive test to a negative test (aHR 2.18 [95% CI 1.57, 3.01]), and abdominal pain carried the largest excess burden (85.3 more cases per 1,000 persons). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We documented a substantial relative risk of pulmonary embolism and a large absolute risk difference of abdomen-related symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Delta variant period. As new SARS-CoV-2 variants emerge, researchers and clinicians should monitor patients for changing symptoms and conditions that develop after infection.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto , Idoso , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Florida/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes
2.
Cancer Immunol Res ; 2024 Jun 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38842383

RESUMO

IL-17 is required for the initiation and progression of pancreatic cancer, particularly in the context of inflammation, as previously shown by genetic and pharmacological approaches. The cellular compartment and downstream molecular mediators of IL-17-mediated pancreatic tumorigenesis have not been fully identified. We interrogated the cellular compartment required by generating transgenic animals with Interleukin 17 receptor A (IL-17RA) genetically deleted from the pancreatic epithelial compartment vs. the hematopoietic compartment via generation of IL-17RA-deficient (IL17-RA-/-) bone marrow chimeras, in the context of embryonically activated or inducible Kras. Deletion of IL-17RA from the pancreatic epithelial compartment, but not from hematopoietic, resulted in delayed premalignant lesions initiation and progression and increased CD8+ cytotoxic T cells infiltration to the tumor microenvironment. Absence of IL-17RA in the pancreatic compartment affected transcriptional profiles of epithelial cells, modulating stemness and immunological pathways. Interestingly, B7-H4, a known inhibitor of T cell activation encoded by the gene Vtcn1, was the most upregulated checkpoint molecule via IL17 early during pancreatic tumorigenesis, and its genetic deletion delayed pancreatic premalignant lesions development and reduced immunosuppression. We reveal pancreatic epithelial IL-17RA requirement for pancreatic tumorigenesis by reprogramming the immune pancreatic landscape which is partially orchestrated by regulation of B7-H4.

3.
Biochim Biophys Acta Mol Basis Dis ; 1870(7): 167322, 2024 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38942338

RESUMO

Obesity is a risk factor for developing severe COVID-19. However, the mechanism underlying obesity-accelerated COVID-19 remains unclear. Here, we report results from a study in which 2-3-month-old K18-hACE2 (K18) mice were fed a western high-fat diet (WD) or normal chow (NC) over 3 months before intranasal infection with a sublethal dose of SARS-CoV2 WA1 (a strain ancestral to the Wuhan variant). After infection, the WD-fed K18 mice lost significantly more body weight and had more severe lung inflammation than normal chow (NC)-fed mice. Bulk RNA-seq analysis of lungs and adipose tissue revealed a diverse landscape of various immune cells, inflammatory markers, and pathways upregulated in the infected WD-fed K18 mice when compared with the infected NC-fed control mice. The transcript levels of IL-6, an important marker of COVID-19 disease severity, were upregulated in the lung at 6-9 days post-infection in the WD-fed mice when compared to NC-fed mice. Transcriptome analysis of the lung and adipose tissue obtained from deceased COVID-19 patients found that the obese patients had an increase in the expression of genes and the activation of pathways associated with inflammation as compared to normal-weight patients (n = 2). The K18 mouse model and human COVID-19 patient data support a link between inflammation and an obesity-accelerated COVID-19 disease phenotype. These results also indicate that obesity-accelerated severe COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 WA1 infection in the K18 mouse model would be a suitable model for dissecting the cellular and molecular mechanisms underlying pathogenesis.

8.
Ann Biomed Eng ; 2024 May 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38748343

RESUMO

Low back pain (LBP) affects 50-80% of adults at some point in their lifetime, yet the etiology of injury is not well understood. Those exposed to repeated flexion-compression are at a higher risk for LBP, such as helicopter pilots and motor vehicle operators. Animal injury models offer insight into in vivo injury mechanisms, but interspecies scaling is needed to relate animal results to human. Human (n = 16) and porcine (n = 20) lumbar functional spinal units (FSUs) were loaded in repeated flexion-compression (1 Hz) to determine endplate fracture risk over long loading exposures. Flexion oscillated from 0 to 6° and peak applied compressive stress ranged from 0.65 to 2.38 MPa for human and 0.64 to 4.68 MPa for porcine specimens. Five human and twelve porcine injuries were observed. The confidence intervals for human and porcine 50% injury risk curves in terms of stress and cycles overlapped, indicating similar failure behavior for this loading configuration. However, porcine specimens were more tolerant to the applied loading compared to human, demonstrated by a longer time-to-failure for the same applied stress. Optimization revealed that time-to-failure in human specimens was approximately 25% that of porcine specimens at a given applied stress within 0.65-2.38 MPa. This study determined human and porcine lumbar endplate fracture risks in long-duration repeated flexion-compression that can be directly used for future equipment and vehicle design, injury prediction models, and safety standards. The interspecies scale factor produced in this study can be used for previous and future porcine lumbar injury studies to scale results to relevant human injury.

9.
Commun Biol ; 7(1): 433, 2024 Apr 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38594380

RESUMO

Lung tissue resident memory (TRM) cells are thought to play crucial roles in lung host defense. We have recently shown that immunization with the adjuvant LTA1 (derived from the A1 domain of E. coli heat labile toxin) admixed with OmpX from K. pneumoniae can elicit antigen specific lung Th17 TRM cells that provide serotype independent immunity to members of the Enterobacteriaceae family. However, the upstream requirements to generate these cells are unclear. Single-cell RNA-seq showed that vaccine-elicited Th17 TRM cells expressed high levels of IL-1R1, suggesting that IL-1 family members may be critical to generate these cells. Using a combination of genetic and antibody neutralization approaches, we show that Th17 TRM cells can be generated independent of caspase-1 but are compromised when IL-1α is neutralized. Moreover IL-1α could serve as a molecular adjuvant to generate lung Th17 TRM cells independent of LTA1. Taken together, these data suggest that IL-1α plays a major role in vaccine-mediated lung Th17 TRM generation.


Assuntos
Escherichia coli , Vacinas , Memória Imunológica , Imunização , Adjuvantes Imunológicos/farmacologia
10.
J Allergy Clin Immunol Glob ; 3(2): 100236, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38590754

RESUMO

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection causes a spectrum of clinical outcomes that may be complicated by severe asthma. Antiviral immunity is often compromised in patients with asthma; however, whether this is true for SARS-CoV-2 immunity and children is unknown. Objective: We aimed to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 immunity in children with asthma on the basis of infection or vaccination history and compared to respiratory syncytial viral or allergen (eg, cockroach, dust mite)-specific immunity. Methods: Fifty-three children from an urban asthma study were evaluated for medical history, lung function, and virus- or allergen-specific immunity using antibody or T-cell assays. Results: Polyclonal antibody responses to spike were observed in most children from infection and/or vaccination history. Children with atopic asthma or high allergen-specific IgE, particularly to dust mites, exhibited reduced seroconversion, antibody magnitude, and SARS-CoV-2 virus neutralization after SARS-CoV-2 infection or vaccination. TH1 responses to SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory syncytial virus correlated with antigen-respective IgG. Cockroach-specific T-cell activation as well as IL-17A and IL-21 cytokines negatively correlated with SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and effector functions, distinct from total and dust mite IgE. Allergen-specific IgE and lack of vaccination were associated with recent health care utilization. Reduced lung function (forced expiratory volume in 1 second ≤ 80%) was independently associated with (SARS-CoV-2) peptide-induced cytokines, including IL-31, whereas poor asthma control was associated with cockroach-specific cytokine responses. Conclusion: Mechanisms underpinning atopic and nonatopic asthma may complicate the development of memory to SARS-CoV-2 infection or vaccination and lead to a higher risk of repeated infection in these children.

11.
Immunity ; 57(5): 1124-1140.e9, 2024 May 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38636522

RESUMO

Signaling through Notch receptors intrinsically regulates tumor cell development and growth. Here, we studied the role of the Notch ligand Jagged2 on immune evasion in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Higher expression of JAG2 in NSCLC negatively correlated with survival. In NSCLC pre-clinical models, deletion of Jag2, but not Jag1, in cancer cells attenuated tumor growth and activated protective anti-tumor T cell responses. Jag2-/- lung tumors exhibited higher frequencies of macrophages that expressed immunostimulatory mediators and triggered T cell-dependent anti-tumor immunity. Mechanistically, Jag2 ablation promoted Nr4a-mediated induction of Notch ligands DLL1/4 on cancer cells. DLL1/4-initiated Notch1/2 signaling in macrophages induced the expression of transcription factor IRF4 and macrophage immunostimulatory functionality. IRF4 expression was required for the anti-tumor effects of Jag2 deletion in lung tumors. Antibody targeting of Jagged2 inhibited tumor growth and activated IRF4-driven macrophage-mediated anti-tumor immunity. Thus, Jagged2 orchestrates immunosuppressive systems in NSCLC that can be overcome to incite macrophage-mediated anti-tumor immunity.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Fatores Reguladores de Interferon , Proteína Jagged-2 , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Camundongos Knockout , Macrófagos Associados a Tumor , Proteína Jagged-2/metabolismo , Proteína Jagged-2/genética , Proteína Jagged-2/imunologia , Animais , Neoplasias Pulmonares/imunologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/genética , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/imunologia , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/patologia , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/metabolismo , Camundongos , Humanos , Fatores Reguladores de Interferon/metabolismo , Fatores Reguladores de Interferon/genética , Macrófagos Associados a Tumor/imunologia , Macrófagos Associados a Tumor/metabolismo , Transdução de Sinais , Proteínas de Ligação ao Cálcio/metabolismo , Proteínas de Ligação ao Cálcio/genética , Linhagem Celular Tumoral , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Receptores Notch/metabolismo , Receptor Notch1/metabolismo , Receptor Notch1/genética , Macrófagos/imunologia , Macrófagos/metabolismo , Proteína Jagged-1/metabolismo , Proteína Jagged-1/genética , Evasão Tumoral/imunologia
12.
Viruses ; 16(4)2024 04 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38675952

RESUMO

This study investigates the roles of T, B, and Natural Killer (NK) cells in the pathogenesis of severe COVID-19, utilizing mouse-adapted SARS-CoV-2-MA30 (MA30). To evaluate this MA30 mouse model, we characterized MA30-infected C57BL/6 mice (B6) and compared them with SARS-CoV-2-WA1 (an original SARS-CoV-2 strain) infected K18-human ACE2 (K18-hACE2) mice. We found that the infected B6 mice developed severe peribronchial inflammation and rapid severe pulmonary edema, but less lung interstitial inflammation than the infected K18-hACE2 mice. These pathological findings recapitulate some pathological changes seen in severe COVID-19 patients. Using this MA30-infected mouse model, we further demonstrate that T and/or B cells are essential in mounting an effective immune response against SARS-CoV-2. This was evident as Rag2-/- showed heightened vulnerability to infection and inhibited viral clearance. Conversely, the depletion of NK cells did not significantly alter the disease course in Rag2-/- mice, underscoring the minimal role of NK cells in the acute phase of MA30-induced disease. Together, our results indicate that T and/or B cells, but not NK cells, mitigate MA30-induced disease in mice and the infected mouse model can be used for dissecting the pathogenesis and immunology of severe COVID-19.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Células Matadoras Naturais , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , SARS-CoV-2 , Animais , Células Matadoras Naturais/imunologia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/virologia , Camundongos , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA/genética , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA/deficiência , Camundongos Knockout , Humanos , Pulmão/patologia , Pulmão/virologia , Pulmão/imunologia , Enzima de Conversão de Angiotensina 2/genética , Enzima de Conversão de Angiotensina 2/metabolismo , Linfócitos B/imunologia , Feminino , Linfócitos T/imunologia
13.
G3 (Bethesda) ; 14(6)2024 Jun 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38517310

RESUMO

Praying mantids (Mantodea: Mantidae) are iconic insects that have captivated biologists for decades, especially the species with cannibalistic copulatory behavior. This behavior has been cited as evidence that insects lack nociceptive capacities and cannot feel pain; however, this behaviorally driven hypothesis has never been rigorously tested at the genetic or functional level. To enable future studies of nociceptive capabilities in mantids, we sequenced and assembled a draft genome of the Chinese praying mantis (Tenodera sinensis) and identified multiple classes of nociceptive ion channels by comparison to orthologous gene families in Arthropoda. Our assembly-produced using PacBio HiFi reads-is fragmented (total size = 3.03 Gb; N50 = 1.8 Mb; 4,966 contigs), but is highly complete with respect to gene content (BUSCO complete = 98.7% [odb10_insecta]). The size of our assembly is substantially larger than that of most other insects, but is consistent with the size of other mantid genomes. We found that most families of nociceptive ion channels are present in the T. sinensis genome; that they are most closely related to those found in the damp-wood termite (Zootermopsis nevadensis); and that some families have expanded in T. sinensis while others have contracted relative to nearby lineages. Our findings suggest that mantids are likely to possess nociceptive capabilities and provide a foundation for future experimentation regarding ion channel functions and their consequences for insect behavior.


Assuntos
Canais Iônicos , Mantódeos , Animais , Mantódeos/genética , Canais Iônicos/genética , Anotação de Sequência Molecular , Filogenia , Artrópodes/genética , Genoma , Genoma de Inseto , Evolução Molecular , Genômica/métodos , População do Leste Asiático
14.
OTA Int ; 7(1): e322, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38425489

RESUMO

Objectives: To compare mortality rates between patients treated surgically for periprosthetic fractures (PPF) after total hip arthroplasty (THA), total knee arthroplasty (TKA), peri-implant (PI), and interprosthetic (IP) fractures while identifying risk factors associated with mortality following PPF. Design: Retrospective. Setting: Single, Level II Trauma Center. Patients/Participants: A retrospective review was conducted of 129 consecutive patients treated surgically for fractures around a pre-existing prosthesis or implant from 2013 to 2020. Patients were separated into 4 comparison groups: THA, TKA, PI, and IP fractures. Intervention: Revision implant or arthroplasty, open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF), intramedullary nailing (IMN), percutaneous screws, or a combination of techniques. Main Outcome Measurements: Primary outcome measures include mortality rates of different types of PPF, PI, and IP fractures at 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year postoperative. We analyzed risk factors associated with mortality aimed to determine whether treatment type affects mortality. Results: One hundred twenty-nine patients were included for final analysis. Average follow-up was similar between all groups. The overall 1-year mortality rate was 1 month (5%), 3 months (12%), 6 months (13%), 1 year (15%), and 2 years (22%). There were no differences in mortality rates between each group at 30 days, 90 days, 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years (P-value = 0.86). A Kaplan-Meier survival curve demonstrated no difference in survivorship up to 2 years. Older than 65 years, history of hypothyroidism and dementia, and discharge to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) led to increased mortality. There was no survival benefit in treating patients with PPFs with either revision, ORIF, IMN, or a combination of techniques. Conclusion: The overall mortality rates observed were 1 month (5%), 3 months (12%), 6 months (13%), 1 year (15%), and 2 years (22%), and no differences were found between each group at all follow-up time points. Patients aged 65 and older with a history of hypothyroidism and/or dementia discharged to an SNF are at increased risk for mortality. From a mortality perspective, surgeons should not hesitate to choose the surgical treatment they feel most comfortable performing. Level of Evidence: Level III.

15.
Urol Case Rep ; 54: 102694, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38516176

RESUMO

Urothelial carcinoma of the bladder remains a challenging disease to treat. Intravesical instillation of BCG has demonstrated tremendous efficacy in preventing recurrence. BCG related necrotizing granulomatous epididymo-orchitis is rare and has not been previously linked to brachytherapy for adenocarcinoma of the prostate. We hypothesize that prior brachytherapy has a deleterious effect on the verumontanum that can result in retrograde transmission of BCG particles leading to granulomatous epididymo-orchitis. This is the first case report of necrotizing granulomatous epididymo-orchitis related to BCG in a patient status post brachytherapy for adenocarcinoma of the prostate.

16.
Ecol Evol ; 14(3): e10979, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38476697

RESUMO

The assembly of genomes from pooled samples of genetically heterogenous samples of conspecifics remains challenging. In this study, we show that high-quality genome assemblies can be produced from samples of multiple wild-caught individuals. We sequenced DNA extracted from a pooled sample of conspecific herbivorous insects (Hemiptera: Miridae: Tupiocoris notatus) acquired from a greenhouse infestation in Tucson, Arizona (in the range of 30-100 individuals; 0.5 mL tissue by volume) using PacBio highly accurate long reads (HiFi). The initial assembly contained multiple haplotigs (>85% BUSCOs duplicated), but duplicate contigs could be easily purged to reveal a highly complete assembly (95.6% BUSCO, 4.4% duplicated) that is highly contiguous by short-read assembly standards (N 50 = 675 kb; Largest contig = 4.3 Mb). We then used our assembly as the basis for a genome-guided differential expression study of host plant-specific transcriptional responses. We found thousands of genes (N = 4982) to be differentially expressed between our new data from individuals feeding on Datura wrightii (Solanaceae) and existing RNA-seq data from Nicotiana attenuata (Solanaceae)-fed individuals. We identified many of these genes as previously documented detoxification genes such as glutathione-S-transferases, cytochrome P450s, and UDP-glucosyltransferases. Together our results show that long-read sequencing of pooled samples can provide a cost-effective genome assembly option for small insects and can provide insights into the genetic mechanisms underlying interactions between plants and herbivorous pests.

17.
Immunohorizons ; 8(3): 242-253, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38446446

RESUMO

T cell immunity, including CD4+ and CD8+ T cell immunity, is critical to host immune responses to infection. Transcriptomic analyses of both CD4+ and CD8+ T cells of C57BL/6 mice show high expression the gene encoding embigin, Emb, which encodes a transmembrane glycoprotein. Moreover, we found that lung CD4+ Th17 tissue-resident memory T cells of C57BL/6 mice also express high levels of Emb. However, deletion of Emb in αß T cells of C57BL/6 mice revealed that Emb is dispensable for thymic T cell development, generation of lung Th17 tissue-resident memory T cells, tissue-resident memory T cell homing to the lung, experimental autoimmune encephalitis, as well as clearance of pulmonary viral or fungal infection. Thus, based on this study, embigin appears to play a minor role if any in αß T cell development or αß T cell effector functions in C57BL/6 mice.


Assuntos
Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos , Timo , Camundongos , Animais , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Diferenciação Celular , Células Th17
18.
Prog Retin Eye Res ; 101: 101236, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38301969

RESUMO

Central serous chorioretinopathy (CSC) is a relatively common disease that causes vision loss due to macular subretinal fluid leakage and it is often associated with reduced vision-related quality of life. In CSC, the leakage of subretinal fluid through defects in the retinal pigment epithelial layer's outer blood-retina barrier appears to occur secondary to choroidal abnormalities and dysfunction. The treatment of CSC is currently the subject of controversy, although recent data obtained from several large randomized controlled trials provide a wealth of new information that can be used to establish a treatment algorithm. Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of our current understanding regarding the pathogenesis of CSC, current therapeutic strategies, and an evidence-based treatment guideline for CSC. In acute CSC, treatment can often be deferred for up to 3-4 months after diagnosis; however, early treatment with either half-dose or half-fluence photodynamic therapy (PDT) with the photosensitive dye verteporfin may be beneficial in selected cases. In chronic CSC, half-dose or half-fluence PDT, which targets the abnormal choroid, should be considered the preferred treatment. If PDT is unavailable, chronic CSC with focal, non-central leakage on angiography may be treated using conventional laser photocoagulation. CSC with concurrent macular neovascularization should be treated with half-dose/half-fluence PDT and/or intravitreal injections of an anti-vascular endothelial growth factor compound. Given the current shortage of verteporfin and the paucity of evidence supporting the efficacy of other treatment options, future studies-ideally, well-designed randomized controlled trials-are needed in order to evaluate new treatment options for CSC.


Assuntos
Coriorretinopatia Serosa Central , Fotoquimioterapia , Coriorretinopatia Serosa Central/terapia , Coriorretinopatia Serosa Central/diagnóstico , Humanos , Fotoquimioterapia/métodos , Medicina Baseada em Evidências , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Fármacos Fotossensibilizantes/uso terapêutico , Angiofluoresceinografia , Inibidores da Angiogênese/uso terapêutico , Fotocoagulação a Laser/métodos
20.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 414, 2024 Feb 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38331772

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: Contact tracing is the process of identifying people who have recently been in contact with someone diagnosed with an infectious disease. During an outbreak, data collected from contact tracing can inform interventions to reduce the spread of infectious diseases. Understanding factors associated with completion rates of contact tracing surveys can help design improved interview protocols for ongoing and future programs. OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with completion rates of COVID-19 contact tracing surveys in New York City (NYC) and evaluate the utility of a predictive model to improve completion rates, we analyze laboratory-confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases and their self-reported contacts in NYC from October 1st 2020 to May 10th 2021. METHODS: We analyzed 742,807 case investigation calls made during the study period. Using a log-binomial regression model, we examined the impact of age, time of day of phone call, and zip code-level demographic and socioeconomic factors on interview completion rates. We further developed a random forest model to predict the best phone call time and performed a counterfactual analysis to evaluate the change of completion rates if the predicative model were used. RESULTS: The percentage of contact tracing surveys that were completed was 79.4%, with substantial variations across ZIP code areas. Using a log-binomial regression model, we found that the age of index case (an individual who has tested positive through PCR or antigen testing and is thus subjected to a case investigation) had a significant effect on the completion of case investigation - compared with young adults (the reference group,24 years old < age < = 65 years old), the completion rate for seniors (age > 65 years old) were lower by 12.1% (95%CI: 11.1% - 13.3%), and the completion rate for youth group (age < = 24 years old) were lower by 1.6% (95%CI: 0.6% -2.6%). In addition, phone calls made from 6 to 9 pm had a 4.1% (95% CI: 1.8% - 6.3%) higher completion rate compared with the reference group of phone calls attempted from 12 and 3 pm. We further used a random forest algorithm to assess its potential utility for selecting the time of day of phone call. In counterfactual simulations, the overall completion rate in NYC was marginally improved by 1.2%; however, certain ZIP code areas had improvements up to 7.8%. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that age and time of day of phone call were associated with completion rates of case investigations. It is possible to develop predictive models to estimate better phone call time for improving completion rates in certain communities.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Humanos , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Cidade de Nova Iorque/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Surtos de Doenças
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