Predicting distant metastatic disease in differentiated thyroid cancer: a matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of distant metastasis (DM) is the most important prognostic factor influencing survival outcomes in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Identifying patients who are likely to develop DM and offering these cases more aggressive surgical approaches and I-131 therapy, is paramount to achieving the best possible outcomes. DM on presentation in DTC are uncommon, with an incidence of 1-9%. However, the incidence of DTC is rising and the disease affects a relatively young cohort of patients. The aims of this study were to investigate predictive factors in the development of DM by comparing a homogenous group of DTC patients with and without DM, and to illustrate the overall and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates of DTC patients presenting with DM. METHODS: A matched case-control study of patients with DTC and DM was undertaken. The study group comprised a consecutive series of cases with DM treated in the period 1968-2014. Patients with DM at initial presentation were identified (DTC-DM group). A control group of patients without DM were matched based on age, gender, tumour size and histological subtype. The primary outcome measures were overall and disease-free survival. Secondary outcome measures were lymph node involvement (LNI), extra-thyroidal extension (ETE) of tumour and presence of BRAFV600E mutation identified on immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: A total of 2547 patients with DTC were reviewed and of these 83 (3.26%) had DM at initial presentation. At 5 and 10 years, the overall survival rates for DTC-DM patients were 89.6% and 64%, respectively. The 5 and 10 year DSS rates for DTC-DM cases were 90.2% and 67.3%, respectively. When compared to the DTC group, the DTC-DM group had significantly higher rates of ETE (63% vs. 29.5%, P < 0.0001) and LNI (32.5% vs. 18.8%, P = 0.044). Among patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), the presence of BRAFV600E mutation was significantly associated with DM (62.2% vs. 36.8%, P = 0.028). CONCLUSION: ETE, LNI and BRAFV600E mutation in PTC are significant predictors for the development of distant metastatic disease.

Early postoperative stimulated serum thyroglobulin quantifies risk of recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative follow-up of papillary thyroid cancer includes serial serum thyroglobulin levels. This study aimed to determine whether stimulated thyroglobulin levels measured in the early postoperative period can accurately quantify the risk of recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer. METHODS: We undertook a cohort study of patients who underwent total thyroidectomy for papillary thyroid cancer ≥10 mm in the period 2000 to 2016 with complete biochemical data. All patients had a postoperative stimulated thyroglobulin measured within 3 months after total thyroidectomy. Structural recurrence was defined as disease detected on imaging and confirmed on histology. Biochemical disease was defined as patients with stimulated serum thyroglobulin ≥1 ng/mL with no evidence of structural disease. RESULTS: This study included 502 patients with a mean age of 50 years and median tumor diameter of 20 mm. Median follow-up was 18 months. Stimulated postoperative thyroglobulin was measured before radioiodine-ablation and was categorized into 3 groups: (1) 219 (44%) patients had thyroglobulin <1 ng/mL; (2) 55 (11%) had 1ng/mL ≤ thyroglobulin <2 ng/mL; and (3) 228 (45%) had thyroglobulin ≥2 ng/mL. The structural recurrence rate for each group was 5%, 2%, and 30%, respectively (P < .0001). CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing total thyroidectomy for papillary thyroid cancer, early postoperative stimulated thyroglobulin accurately quantifies the risk of structural disease recurrence.