Body mass index and incidence of thyroid cancer in Korea: the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II.

PURPOSE: The prevalence of thyroid cancer and obesity has increased worldwide. However, their association has remained controversial and few studies have been performed in Asia. Our study evaluated the correlation between the incidence of thyroid cancer and body mass index (BMI) in Korea. METHODS: This is a multi-centered, prospective cohort study from the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II. A total of 141,157 individuals between 1994 and 2012, including 1546 newly developed thyroid cancer patients, were enrolled. Subjects were divided into four groups on the BMI. Person-years, incidence rate, and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The increasing trends of HRs of thyroid cancer in men and women younger than 50 years of age were observed as BMI increased (P trend <0.001 in both groups). However, in women older than 50 years of age, there was no association between thyroid cancer incidence and BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that positive association between thyroid cancer incidence and high BMI in men and women under 50 years old. Based on these results, we suggest that obese men and women under 50 years old are better to be considered for the higher possibility of thyroid cancer development, and more efforts are needed to control weight gain.

Age-period-cohort analysis of smoking prevalence among young adults in Korea.

OBJECTIVES: Smoking prevalence among Korean men in their thirties is substantially high (approximately 50%). An in-depth analysis of smoking trends among young adults in their twenties is necessary to devise antismoking policies for the next 10 years. This study aimed to identify the contributions of age, period, and birth cohort effects on smoking prevalence in young adults. METHODS: Subjects comprised 181,136 adults (83,947 men: 46.3%; 97,189 women: 53.7%) aged 19 to 30 years from the 2008-2013 Korea Community Health Survey. Smoking prevalence adjusted with reference to the 2008 population was applied to the age-period-cohort (APC) model to identify the independent effects of each factor. RESULTS: For men, smoking prevalence rapidly escalated among subjects aged 19 to 22 years and slowed down among those aged 23 to 30 years, declined during 2008 to 2010 but stabilized during 2011 to 2013, and declined in birth cohorts prior to 1988 but stabilized in subjects born after 1988. However, in APC models, smoking prevalence increased with age in the 1988 to 1991 birth cohort. In this birth cohort, smoking prevalence at age 19 to 20 years was approximately 24% but increased to 40% when the subjects turned 23 to 24 years. For women, smoking prevalence was too low to generate consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past six years and in recent birth cohorts, smoking prevalence in adults aged 19 to 30 years has declined and is stable. Smoking prevalence should be more closely followed as it remains susceptible to an increase depending on antismoking policies or social conditions.