Can Lung Imaging Scores and Clinical Variables Predict Severe Course and Fatal Outcome in COVID-19 Pneumonia Patients? A Single-Center Observational Study.

COVID-19 prediction models mostly consist of combined clinical features, laboratory parameters, and, less often, chest X-ray (CXR) findings. Our main goal was to propose a prediction model involving imaging methods, specifically ultrasound. This was a single-center, retrospective cohort observational study of patients admitted to the University Hospital Split from November 2020 to May 2021. Imaging protocols were based on the assessment of 14 lung zones for both lung ultrasound (LUS) and computed tomography (CT), correlated to a CXR score assessing 6 lung zones. Prediction models for the necessity of mechanical ventilation (MV) or a lethal outcome were developed by combining imaging, biometric, and biochemical parameters. A total of 255 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were included in the study. Four independent predictors were added to the regression model for the necessity of MV: LUS score, day of the illness, leukocyte count, and cardiovascular disease (χ2 = 29.16, p < 0.001). The model accurately classified 89.9% of cases. For the lethal outcome, only two independent predictors contributed to the regression model: LUS score and patient's age (χ2 = 48.56, p < 0.001, 93.2% correctly classified). The predictive model identified four key parameters at patient admission which could predict an adverse outcome.

Acute Arterial Thrombosis of Lower Extremities in COVID-19 Patients.

Clinical signs and symptoms of COVID-19 varied from asymptomatic forms to severe, life-threatening conditions that required treatment in intensive care units. These severe forms of illness are connected with a hypercoagulable state due to excessive inflammation, hypoxia, immobilisation, and altered angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2). In total, 17 COVID-19 positive patients were diagnosed with peripheral arterial thrombosis (AT), 13 of them had COVID-19 pneumonia. Laboratory findings in patients with X-ray confirmed pneumonia showed a four times higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP) and three times higher lactate dehydrogenase level (LDH) than patients without confirmed pneumonia. Patients with pneumonia had significantly more bilateral occlusions of the lower extremities and a significantly higher percentage with complete occlusion of the arteries than patients without pneumonia. The rate of limb loss was 35.3%. They were all from the group with COVID-19 pneumonia. Ten out of thirteen patients with pneumonia died due to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). All patients without pneumonia were discharged from the hospital. The aim of this retrospective study was to report the incidence of arterial thrombosis of lower extremities and their complications in the acute phase of the infection among COVID-19 patients admitted to the hospital for treatment.