Booster protection against Omicron infection in a highly vaccinated cohort

BackgroundEvaluation of COVID-19 vaccine booster effectiveness is essential as new variants of SARS-CoV-2 emerge. Data support the effectiveness of boosters in preventing severe disease and hospitalization; however, the real-world impact on reducing incident SARS-CoV-2 infections across specific variants is not yet clear. ObjectivesAssess the impact of COVID-19 boosters on protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection in a real-world setting from a highly vaccinated (99%) population curated from a linked database with test results, vaccination history, patient demographics, and genomic sequencing information from the National Basketball Association (NBA). MethodsIn this population, 1,613 fully vaccinated staff and players (median age 34.5 years, 88% male) who tested at least once between 1 December 2021 and 5 January 2022, were analyzed. Individuals were tested at the time of reporting any symptom, regardless of severity, after known exposure per self-report or contact tracing and/or during enhanced surveillance. Boosted individuals (n=1260) were compared to fully vaccinated and booster eligible individuals (n=162), defined as 2 months post-JNJ-78436735 or 5-months post-second dose of mRNA vaccine. Individuals not yet eligible for a booster and those who recovered from COVID-19 between 1 November and 30 November, 2021 (n=25) were examined in secondary analyses but excluded from the primary comparison. Individuals who were not fully vaccinated (n=27) or who received a booster within 14 days during or prior to the observation period (n=916) were excluded. ResultsIn this closely monitored population, fully vaccinated booster-eligible individuals were 2.6 times more likely (RR = 2.6, 95% CI: 2.2 to 3.0, p<0.0001) to have a confirmed COVID-19 infection than boosted individuals. Secondary analysis including non-boosted individuals with recent vaccination or recent SARS-CoV-2 infection found that non-boosted individuals were at greater risk of infection compared with boosted individuals (RR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.8 to 2.4, p<0.001). Results were similar when stratified by primary vaccination type with overlapping confidence intervals. No hospitalizations or deaths were observed in this cohort. Genetic sequencing confirmed 93% of infections to be Omicron (among n=330 sequenced). ConclusionsThese results highlight the protective benefit of boosters against incident SARS-CoV-19 infection, not only for severe symptoms and death. Assessment of booster effectiveness remains vital for COVID-19 vaccines as new variants of SARS-CoV-2 emerge, as there is still uncertainty around performance in real-world settings. These data are needed to convince the general public that boosters remain effective at preventing in the spread of COVID-19.

Viral dynamics and duration of PCR positivity of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant

BackgroundThe combined impact of immunity and SARS-CoV-2 variants on viral kinetics during infections has been unclear. MethodsWe characterized 2,875 infections from the National Basketball Association occupational health cohort identified between June 2020 and January 2022 using serial RT-qPCR testing. Logistic regression and semi-mechanistic viral RNA kinetics models were used to quantify the effect of variant, symptom status, age, infection history, vaccination and antibody titer to founder SARS-CoV-2 strain on the duration of potential infectiousness and overall viral kinetics. The frequency of viral rebounds was quantified under multiple cycle threshold (Ct) value-based definitions. ResultsAmong individuals detected partway through their infection, 51.0% (95% credible interval [CrI]: 48.2-53.6%) remained potentially infectious (Ct<30) five days post detection, with small differences across variants and vaccination history. Only seven viral rebounds (0.7%; N=999) were observed, with rebound defined as 3+ days with Ct<30 following an initial clearance of 3+ days with Ct[≥]30. High antibody titers against the founder SARS-CoV-2 strain predicted lower peak viral loads and shorter durations of infection. Among Omicron BA.1 infections, boosted individuals had lower pre-booster antibody titers and longer clearance times than non-boosted individuals. ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 viral kinetics are partly determined by immunity and variant but dominated by individual-level variation. Since booster vaccination protects against infection, longer clearance times for BA.1-infected, boosted individuals may reflect a less effective immune response, more common in older individuals, that increases infection risk and reduces viral RNA clearance rate. The shifting landscape of viral kinetics underscores the need for continued monitoring to optimize isolation policies and to contextualize the health impacts of therapeutics and vaccines. FundingSupported in part by CDC contract 200-2016-91779, Emergent Ventures at the Mercatus Center, the Huffman Family Donor Advised Fund, the MorrisSinger Fund, the National Basketball Association, and the National Basketball Players Association.

Viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the predictive value of repeat testing

BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 infections are characterized by viral proliferation and clearance phases and can be followed by low-level persistent viral RNA shedding. The dynamics of viral RNA concentration, particularly in the early stages of infection, can inform clinical measures and interventions such as test-based screening. MethodsWe used prospective longitudinal RT-qPCR testing to measure the viral RNA trajectories for 68 individuals during the resumption of the 2019-20 National Basketball Association season. For 46 individuals with acute infections, we inferred the peak viral concentration and the duration of the viral proliferation and clearance phases. FindingsAccording to our mathematical model, we found that viral RNA concentrations peaked an average of 3.3 days (95% credible interval [2.5, 4.2]) after first possible detectability at a cycle threshold value of 22.3 [20.5, 23.9]. The viral clearance phase lasted longer for symptomatic individuals (10.9 days [7.9, 14.4]) than for asymptomatic individuals (7.8 days [6.1, 9.7]). A second test within 2 days after an initial positive PCR substantially improves certainty about a patients infection phase. The effective sensitivity of a test intended to identify infectious individuals declines substantially with test turnaround time. ConclusionsSARS-CoV-2 viral concentrations peak rapidly regardless of symptoms. Sequential tests can help reveal a patients progress through infection stages. Frequent rapid-turnaround testing is needed to effectively screen individuals before they become infectious.