High-Need Phenotypes in Medicare Beneficiaries: Drivers of Variation in Utilization and Outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: High-need (HN) Medicare beneficiaries heavily use healthcare services at a high cost. This population is heterogeneous, composed of individuals with varying degrees of medical complexity and healthcare needs. To improve healthcare delivery and decrease costs, it is critical to identify the subpopulations present within this population. We aimed to (1) identify distinct clinical phenotypes present within HN Medicare beneficiaries, and (2) examine differences in outcomes between phenotypes. DESIGN: Latent class analysis was used to identify phenotypes within a sample of HN fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older using Medicare claims and post-acute assessment data. SETTING: Not applicable. PARTICIPANTS: Two cross-sectional cohorts were used to identify phenotypes. Cohorts included FFS Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 and older who survived through 2014 (n = 415 659) and 2015 (n = 416 643). MEASUREMENTS: The following variables were used to identify phenotypes: acute and post-acute care use, functional dependency in one or more activities of daily living, presence of six or more chronic conditions, and complex chronic conditions. Mortality, hospitalizations, healthcare expenditures, and days in the community were compared between phenotypes. RESULTS: Five phenotypes were identified: (1) comorbid ischemic heart disease with hospitalization and skilled nursing facility use (22% of the HN sample), (2) comorbid ischemic heart disease with home care use (23%), (3) home care use (12%), (4) high comorbidity with hospitalization (32%), and (5) Alzheimer's disease/related dementias with functional dependency and nursing home use (11%). Mortality was highest in phenotypes 1 and 2; hospitalizations and expenditures were highest in phenotypes 1, 3, and 4. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings represent a first step toward classifying the heterogeneity among HN Medicare beneficiaries. Further work is needed to identify modifiable utilization patterns between phenotypes to improve the value of healthcare provided to these subpopulations. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:70-77, 2019.

Reserve and Alzheimer's disease genetic risk: Effects on hospitalization and mortality.

INTRODUCTION: Cognitive reserve predicts delayed diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and faster postdiagnosis decline. The net impact of cognitive reserve, combining both prediagnosis and postdiagnosis risk, on adverse AD-related outcomes is unknown. We adopted a novel approach, using AD genetic risk scores (AD-GRS), to evaluate this. METHODS: Using 242,959 UK Biobank participants age 56+ years, we evaluated whether cognitive reserve (operationalized as education) modified associations between AD-GRS and mortality or hospitalization (total count, fall-related, and urinary tract infection-related). RESULTS: AD-GRS predicted mortality and hospitalization outcomes. Education did not modify AD-GRS effects on mortality, but had a nonsignificantly (interaction P = .10) worse effect on hospitalizations due to urinary tract infection or falls among low education (OR = 1.07 [95% CI: 1.02, 1.12]) than high education (OR = 1.01 [0.95, 1.07]) individuals. DISCUSSION: Education did not convey differential survival advantages to individuals with higher genetic risk of AD, but may reduce hospitalization risk associated with AD genetic risk.

Pain characteristics associated with the onset of disability in older adults: the maintenance of balance, independent living, intellect, and zest in the Elderly Boston Study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the effects of chronic pain on the development of disability and decline in physical performance over time in older adults. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study with 18 months of follow-up. SETTING: Urban and suburban communities. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling older adults aged 65 and older (N = 634). MEASUREMENTS: Chronic pain assessment consisted of musculoskeletal pain locations and pain severity and pain interference according to the subscales of the Brief Pain Inventory. Disability was self-reported as any difficulty in mobility and basic and instrumental activities of daily living (ADLs, IADLs). Mobility performance was measured using the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB). Relationships between baseline pain and incident disability in 18 months were determined using risk ratios (RRs) from multivariable Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Almost 65% of participants reported chronic musculoskeletal pain at baseline. New onset of mobility difficulty at 18 months was strongly associated with baseline pain distribution: 7% (no sites), 18% (1 site), 24% (multisite), and 39% (widespread pain, P-value for trend < .001). Similar graded effects were found for other disability measures. Elderly adults with multisite or widespread pain had at a risk of onset of mobility difficulty at least three times as great as that of their peers without pain after adjusting for disability risk factors (multisite pain: risk ratio (RR) = 2.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.58-5.50; widespread pain: RR = 3.57, 95% CI = 1.71-7.48). Widespread pain contributed to decline in mobility performance (1-point decline in SPPB, RR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.08-2.01). Similar associations were found for baseline pain interference predicting subsequent mobility decline and ADL and IADL disability. Weaker and less-consistent associations were observed with pain severity. CONCLUSION: Older community-dwelling adults living with chronic pain in multiple musculoskeletal locations have a substantially greater risk for developing disability over time and for clinically meaningful decline in mobility performance than those without pain.

Depressive symptoms, chronic pain, and falls in older community-dwelling adults: the MOBILIZE Boston Study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine whether overall depressive symptoms and symptom clusters are associated with fall risk and to determine whether chronic pain mediates the relationship between depression and fall risk in aging. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Boston, Massachusetts, and surrounding communities. PARTICIPANTS: Older community-dwelling adults (N = 722, mean age 78.3). MEASUREMENTS: Depressive symptomatology was assessed at baseline using the 20-item Hopkins Revision of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CESDR) as overall depression and two separate domains: cognitive and somatic symptoms. Chronic pain was examined at baseline as number of pain sites (none, single site, or multisite), pain severity, and pain interference with activities of daily living. Participants recorded falls on monthly postcards during a subsequent 18-month period. RESULTS: According to negative binomial regression, the rate of incident falls was highest in those with the highest burden of depressive symptoms (according to total CESDR and the cognitive and somatic CESDR domains). After adjustment for multiple confounders and fall risk factors, fall rate ratios comparing the highest three CESDR quartiles with the lowest quartile were 1.91, 1.26, and 1.11, respectively. Similarly graded associations were observed according to the CESDR domains. Although pain location and interference were mediators of the relationship between depression and falls, adjustment for pain reduced fall risk estimates only modestly. There was no interaction between depression and pain in relation to fall risk. CONCLUSION: Depressive symptoms are associated with fall risk in older adults and are mediated in part by chronic pain. Research is needed to determine effective strategies for reducing fall risk and related injuries in older people with pain and depressive symptoms.

Mental health and exposure to patient distress among families of nursing home residents with advanced dementia.

CONTEXT: The effect of suffering among patients with advanced dementia on their family members' mental health has not been investigated. OBJECTIVES: To describe family members' exposure to distressing symptoms among nursing home (NH) residents with advanced dementia and associations between such exposure and family members' mental health. METHODS: Data were obtained from an 18-month prospective cohort study of NH residents with advanced dementia and their family member health care proxies (HCPs). Exposure to resident symptoms and associated fear and helplessness was measured quarterly using the Stressful Caregiving Adult Reactions to Experiences of Dying (SCARED) scale (range 0-120). HCP mental health was assessed quarterly using the Composite International Diagnostic Interview Short Form (CIDI-SF) (depression), K6 (psychological distress, range 0-24), and SF-12(®) mental health subscale. RESULTS: Seven hundred seventy-nine SCARED scale assessments were completed by 225 HCPs. The most frequent distressing symptoms were the following: feeling the resident had had enough (33.2%), choking (21.1%), and pain (18.9%). The symptoms eliciting the greatest fear were thinking the resident was dead and seeing them choke. A sense of helplessness was highest when the resident was observed to be in pain or choking. Family members with SCARED scores >0 were more likely to meet criteria for depression on the CIDI-SF (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 2.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14, 5.85), have a K6 score >0 (AOR 2.31, 95% CI 1.55, 3.43), and have lower SF-12 scores (adjusted parameter estimate -1.51, 95% CI -2.56, -0.47). CONCLUSION: Family member exposure to distressing symptoms experienced by their loved ones with advanced dementia is not uncommon and is associated with worse mental health.