Deep learning for bias correction of MJO prediction.

Producing accurate weather prediction beyond two weeks is an urgent challenge due to its ever-increasing socioeconomic value. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a planetary-scale tropical convective system, serves as a primary source of global subseasonal (i.e., targeting three to four weeks) predictability. During the past decades, operational forecasting systems have improved substantially, while the MJO prediction skill has not yet reached its potential predictability, partly due to the systematic errors caused by imperfect numerical models. Here, to improve the MJO prediction skill, we blend the state-of-the-art dynamical forecasts and observations with a Deep Learning bias correction method. With Deep Learning bias correction, multi-model forecast errors in MJO amplitude and phase averaged over four weeks are significantly reduced by about 90% and 77%, respectively. Most models show the greatest improvement for MJO events starting from the Indian Ocean and crossing the Maritime Continent.

Device and method for nonlinear ultrasonic measurements on highly irradiated 304 stainless steel specimens in a hot cell environment.

This paper reports on the first successful nonlinear ultrasonic measurement on highly irradiated specimens in a hot cell environment. The specimens are ANSI 304 stainless steel specimens for which the microstructure characterization and ultrasonic velocity measurement have been previously conducted. The critical part of this research is the development of an automatic fixture device that can facilitate repeatable loading and unloading to place the contact ultrasonic transducers on and off of the specimen. The key step to achieve high measurement repeatability is a careful adjustment of the support-spring constants such that the contact force at the interface between the transducer face and specimen surface is as uniform and constant as possible. The longitudinal ultrasonic velocities, which are obtained as a by-product of the nonlinear ultrasonic measurements, show a level of random variation in terms of (max-min)/average (%) below 0.2%, and the velocity distributions and magnitudes are in good agreement with those from the previous work. The ultrasonic nonlinearity parameters show the level of random variation below 4.7%, which is extremely low, considering that the measurements are conducted in a hot cell environment. The nonlinearity parameters also show a strong dependence on the measurement location in a particular specimen with respect to the radiation source, demonstrating a possible inhomogeneous microstructure evolution in these 12.7 mm thick specimens. This research demonstrates the feasibility of making nonlinear ultrasonic measurement on highly radioactive materials and/or in a highly radioactive environment using the device and procedure developed.

Post-exposure prophylaxis for Middle East respiratory syndrome in healthcare workers.

An effective post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) strategy may limit the spread of infection. However, there is no consensus regarding PEP for Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infection. This study assessed the efficacy of ribavirin and lopinavir/ritonavir as PEP for healthcare workers (HCWs) exposed to patients with severe MERS-CoV pre-isolation pneumonia. The safety of the PEP regimen was assessed. HCWs with high-risk exposure to MERS-CoV pre-isolation pneumonia were retrospectively enrolled. HCWs who received PEP therapy were classified into the PEP group. PEP therapy was associated with a 40% decrease in the risk of infection. There were no severe adverse events during PEP therapy.

Epidemiology of the Foot-and-Mouth Disease Serotype O Epidemic of November 2010 to April 2011 in the Republic Of Korea.

The largest epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Korea since the first record in 1911 occurred between November 2010 and April 2011. The outbreak was confirmed in 153 farms, and more than three million animals were destroyed. This study presents the temporal and spatial distribution patterns, epidemiological investigation and the control measures for the 2010/2011 epidemic in Korea. The index case of this 2010/2011 FMD epidemic was reported in a pig-farming complex with five piggeries in Andong, GyeongBuk Province, on 28 November 2010, and the outbreak lasted 145 days. The largest number of new detection of the infected farms per day was recorded in mid-January. Epidemiological investigation revealed that the FMD virus had spread from farm to farm through routine movements associated with animal husbandry operations. In contrast to FMD epidemics in other countries in which movement of the infected animals largely contributed to the spread of the disease, human behaviours were major factors in the spread of the FMD virus in the Korean epidemic. The 2010/2011 epidemic was first confirmed in a local small and medium city where share of smallholder producers is higher than that of other provinces. Although Korea had a well-developed emergent response system with the experience of controlling infection and re-obtaining FMD-free status after the previous epidemics, Korea was prompted to revise their contingency plan by tailoring it to its unique livestock environment. Practical contingency plans tailored to Korea for control of FMD can be fully effective when farmers, livestock-related agencies, veterinary service providers and the general public work together.

Bovine spongiform encephalopathy surveillance in the Republic of Korea.

National surveillance for bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) began in the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 1996. Surveillance programmes changed overtime to comply with the guidelines of the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE). Bovine spongiform encephalopathy was designated as a notifiable disease in 1997. From July 2008, the BSE surveillance programme was intensified to test cattle in designated high-risk populations more effectively. New measures included the compulsory testing of all non-ambulatory cattle at abattoirs, and encouraging the testing of all dead cattle examined and recorded under the Mutual Aid Insurance Scheme (fallen stock). In addition, there was a vigorous search for animals suspected of being clinically infected. As a result, a total of 426,919 OIE points were achieved over a period of seven consecutive years to the end of October 2009. This enabled the submission of a successful application to the OIE in 2010 for recognition of the ROK's BSE disease status as being one of controlled risk, in accordance with Chapter 11.5. of the OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code.

Comparative histopathological characteristics of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in chickens and domestic ducks in 2008 Korea.

We compared characteristic lesions occurring in chickens and domestic ducks naturally infected with H5N1 HPAI virus in April and May 2008. Infected chickens generally exhibited pale-green, watery diarrhoea, depression, neurological signs and cyanosis of wattles and combs, and infected ducks generally exhibited neurological signs and watery diarrhoea. Gross petechial or ecchymotic haemorrhage affected the heart, proventriculus, liver, muscle, fat, and pancreas in chickens, and muscle in ducks. Necrotic foci were primarily present in the pancreas of both species and in the heart of domestic ducks. Histopathologically, chickens exhibited multifocal encephalomalacia, multifocal lymphohistiocytic myocarditis, multifocal necrotic pancreatitis and haemorrhage of several organs and tissues; ducks exhibited lymphohistiocytic meningoencephalitis with multifocal haemorrhages, multifocal necrotic pancreatitis, and severe necrotic myocarditis with mineralisation. The characteristic histopathologic findings of 2008 HPAI were multifocal encephalomalacia and necrotic pancreatitis accompanied by lymphohistiocytic myocarditis, and haemorrhage in various organs and tissues in chickens, whereas in ducks, they were severe necrotic myocarditis with mineralisation and necrotic pancreatitis, accompanied with lymphohistiocytic meningoencephalitis. The high mortality of domestic ducks may be intimately associated with heart failure resulting from increased H5N1 HPAI viral cardiotropism.

Antimicrobial susceptibility of coagulase-negative staphylococci isolated from bovine mastitis between 2003 and 2008 in Korea.

A total of 1,444 coagulase-negative staphylococci (CNS) isolates from bovine mastitic milk samples collected during 2003-2008 in Korea were identified to the species level. Of 14 species identified, S. simulans, S. haemolyticus, and S. sciuri accounted for over 60% of the isolates. All the CNS isolates were tested for susceptibility to eight antimicrobials commonly used in dairy cattle. With a few exceptions, similar resistance patterns were observed among the CNS species: penicillin and ampicillin showed the lowest activity while amikacin, cephalothin, and gentamycin were highly effective. About 39% (557/1,444) of the CNS isolates were pan-susceptible, while 12% (175/1,444) showed resistance to four or more antimicrobials tested.

Antimicrobial resistance of enterococci isolated from mastitic bovine milk samples in Korea.

The aim of this study was to determine the antimicrobial resistance of various species of enterococci isolated from mastitic bovine milk samples. A total of 105 enterococci isolates were examined: Enterococcus faecalis (n = 47), Enterococcus faecium (n = 39), Enterococcus gallinarum (n = 6), Enterococcus avium (n = 6), Enterococcus hirae (n = 5) and Enterococcus durans (n = 2). All the isolates were susceptible to ampicillin, gentamicin and vancomycin, and only a single E. hirae isolate was resistant to ampicillin. In general, the most frequently observed resistance among the enterococcal isolates was to tetracycline (69.5%), followed by penicillin (64.7%), erythromycin (57.1%) and cephalothin (44.7%). A similar antimicrobial resistance pattern was observed among individual species except E. durans, which exhibited only tetracycline resistance. Resistance observed among isolates of E. hirae and E. gallinarum was almost as high as E. faecium and E. faecalis. Of 105 isolates, only six (5.7%) strains of E. faecium were susceptible to all the antimicrobials tested and about 52% (55/105) showed resistance to more than three antimicrobials. The most common multiple resistance pattern was penicillin, tetracycline and erythromycin, which was observed in 32 of 105 (30.4%) isolates. This study demonstrates that enterococcal isolates belonging to minor species showed antimicrobial resistance rates as high as those of E. faecium and E. faecalis, and that monitoring of antimicrobial resistance should not be restricted only to those two major species.

Prevalence and antimicrobial susceptibility of gram-negative bacteria isolated from bovine mastitis between 2003 and 2008 in Korea.

The objective of this study was to assess trends in the prevalence and distribution of gram-negative bacteria isolated from bovine mastitis and their antimicrobial susceptibilities during a 6-yr period between 2003 and 2008 in Korea. Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas fluorescens, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Enterobacter cloacae, Acinetobacter lwoffi/junii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Serratia marcescens were the most commonly observed pathogens during this period. Generally, gram-negative bacteria showed low susceptibilities to most of the antimicrobials tested in this study, except amikacin and gentamicin. Although these 2 aminoglycosides were broadly active against gram-negative bacteria, less than half of those bacteria showed susceptibilities to streptomycin. The beta-lactams, except piperacillin, had the lowest activity among antimicrobials tested in this study. Susceptibilities to chloramphenicol and trimethoprim were fairy high in all genera of gram-negative bacteria, except Acinetobacter spp. and Pseudomonas spp., whereas relatively high resistance to tetracycline was observed uniformly among gram-negative bacteria. There was no significant change in the prevalence of bacterial and the proportion of antimicrobial resistance among gram-negative bacteria isolates during a 6-yr period.

Climate change impacts and risks for animal health in Asia.

The threat of climate change and global warming is now recognised worldwide and some alarming manifestations of change have occurred. The Asian continent, because of its size and diversity, may be affected significantly by the consequences of climate change, and its new status as a 'hub' of livestock production gives it an important role in mitigating possible impacts of climate variability on animal health. Animal health may be affected by climate change in four ways: heat-related diseases and stress, extreme weather events, adaptation of animal production systems to new environments, and emergence or re-emergence of infectious diseases, especially vector-borne diseases critically dependent on environmental and climatic conditions. To face these new menaces, the need for strong and efficient Veterinary Services is irrefutable, combined with good coordination of public health services, as many emerging human diseases are zoonoses. Asian developing countries have acute weaknesses in their Veterinary Services, which jeopardises the global surveillance network essential for early detection of hazards. Indeed, international cooperation within and outside Asia is vital to mitigating the risks of climate change to animal health in Asia.

Pathogenic characteristics of the Korean 2002 isolate of foot-and-mouth disease virus serotype O in pigs and cattle.

Experimental infection of susceptible cattle and pigs showed that the O/SKR/AS/2002 pig strain of foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) causes an infection that is highly virulent and contagious in pigs but very limited in cattle. Pigs directly inoculated with, or exposed to swine infected with, strain O/SKR/AS/2002 showed typical clinical signs, including gross vesicular lesions in mouth and pedal sites. In addition, FMDV was isolated from, and FMDV genomic RNA was detected in, blood, serum, nasal swabs and oesophageal-pharyngeal (OP) fluid early in the course of infection. Antibodies against the non-structural protein (NSP) 3ABC were detected in both directly inoculated and contact pigs, indicating active virus replication. In contrast, the disease in cattle was atypical. After inoculation, lesions were confined to the infection site. A transient viraemia occurred 1 and 2 days after inoculation, and this was followed by the production of antibodies to NSP 3ABC, indicating subclinical infection. No clinical disease was seen, and no antibodies to NSP 3ABC were present in contact cattle. Additionally, no virus or viral nucleic acid was detected in blood, nasal swab and OP fluid samples from contact cattle. Thus, the virus appeared not to be transmitted from infected cattle to contact cattle. In its behaviour in pigs and cattle, strain O/SKR/AS/2002 resembled the porcinophilic FMDV strain of Cathay origin, O/TAW/97. However, the latter, unlike O/SKR/AS/2002, has reduced ability to grow in bovine-derived cells. The porcinophilic character of O/TAW/97 has been attributed to a deletion in the 3A coding region of the viral genome. However, O/SKR/AS/2002 has an intact 3A coding region.

Application of a new portable microscopic somatic cell counter with disposable plastic chip for milk analysis.

The somatic cell count (SCC) is one of the international standards for monitoring milk quality, and it is a useful indicator of mastitis. The current reference method for determining the SCC in raw milk is direct microscopic analysis, but this method requires well-trained staff to maintain its accuracy and reproducibility. To overcome these inconveniences, we developed a portable system (the C-reader system) that utilizes the capillary flow of a microfluidic chamber by surface modification of the hydrophilicity. The microfluidic technology of disposable microchips allows for low consumption of reagents, and a combination of ready-to-use reagents makes the daily work easier. The repeatability test of the C-reader using 10 composite bovine milk samples satisfied the recommended values for SCC equipment. In addition, an acceptable accuracy level of the natural logarithmic-transformed SCC [ln(SCC/1,000): +/- 0.059 to 0.112] was achieved using composite raw milk samples and various somatic cell standard solutions from the American Eastern Laboratory and the Korean National Veterinary Research and Quarantine Service. After testing 875 composite milk samples, the C-reader showed a high correlation coefficient (R2 = 0.935 to 0.964) and a low mean difference value in log-transformed SCC (-0.088 to 0.004) compared with 3 automatic commercialized somatic cell counters (Fossomatic 4000, Somacount 150, and Somascope). In conclusion, the C-reader system is a new, easy-to-use automatic on-farm method with acceptable repeatability and accuracy for measuring SCC in large dairies and smaller laboratories.

Antibiogram and coagulase diversity in staphylococcal enterotoxin-producing Staphylococcus aureus from bovine mastitis.

We investigated antibiogram and coagulase gene diversity in staphylococcal enterotoxin (StE)-producing Staphylococcus aureus isolated from raw milk samples of cows infected with mastitis from 140 dairy farms in Korea between 1997 and 2004. Of the 696 Staph. aureus isolates collected in this study, 164 isolates (23.6%) produced one or more staphylococcal enterotoxins (A to D), and 19 isolates (2.7%) were methicillin-resistant. The percentage of StE-producing Staph. aureus (SES) isolates resistant to methicillin, kanamycin, neomycin, amikacin, and tetracycline was greater than that of non-SES. Ten coagulase genotype patterns were observed, including 4 main types comprising I (25.4%), II (13.9%), VII (13.2%), and VIII (17.8%). More than 4 Staph. aureus types were isolated from each of 82 dairy farms in different geographic locations, and only 1 coagulase genotype pattern was observed in 39 of the herds (47.6%). There was no significant correlation between coagulase genotypes harbored by Staph. aureus and their specific StE type. The percentage of isolates producing major StE types (A, B, AC, and ABCD) and being resistant to cephalothin and methicillin was greater among the Staph. aureus isolates with the 4 predominant coagulase genotypes (I, II, VII, and VIII) than among the isolates harboring the 6 rare coagulase types (III, IV, V, VI, IX, and X). Based on coagulase gene polymorphisms, our data indicate that a broad distribution of identical or closely related enterotoxin-producing Staph. aureus strains seem to contribute to bovine mastitis in the Republic of Korea.

Phenotypic and genetic antibiogram of methicillin-resistant staphylococci isolated from bovine mastitis in Korea.

Staphylococcus aureus belongs to the group of major contagious mastitis pathogens, whereas the coagulase-negative staphylococci (CNS) are also capable of causing opportunistic bovine mastitis. Many of these strains are resistant to penicillin or ampicillin because of the long-term use of beta-lactam antibiotics in agricultural and healthcare settings. Based on the simple and highly specific coagulase genotyping by PCR-RFLP used for discriminating among Staph. aureus strains, the relationship between phenotypic antibiogram and the polymorphism of coagulase gene was determined in this study. The staphylococci strains (835 Staph. aureus and 763 CNS) were isolated from 3,047 bovine mastitic milk samples from 153 dairy farms in 8 provinces from 1997 to 2004 in the Republic of Korea. Twenty-one (2.5%) Staph. aureus and 19 (2.4%) CNS strains were resistant to methicillin [oxacillin minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) > or = 4 microg/mL]. The mecA gene was also found in 13 methicillin-resistant Staph. aureus (MRSA) and 12 methicillin-resistant CNS (MRCNS) isolates with a significantly higher detection rate of the mecA gene in MRSA with high MIC (> or = 16 microg/mL) compared with those with MIC < or = 8 microg/mL. Methicillin-resistant Staph. aureus and MRCNS were also more resistant to other antibiotics (ampicillin, cephalothin, kanamycin, and gentamicin) than methicillin-susceptible staphylococci. Among 10 different coa PCR-RFLP patterns (A to J) in 706 Staph. aureus strains, the main types were A (26.9%), B (17.0%), G (10.5%), and H (15.4%), with the frequent observation of the A and H types (6 and 10 isolates) in MRSA. This study indicates that major epidemic Staph. aureus clones may be spread between different dairy farms, and the profile of coa genotype can be applied for epidemiological investigations and control of bovine mastitis, particularly one caused by MRSA with specific prevalent coa types.

Vaccination as a control measure during the outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in 2000 in Korea.

The Republic of Korea had been free from foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) for 66 years until 15 cases were confirmed between 24 March and 15 April in 2000. The FMD virus isolated in Korea was an O Pan Asia type, which was also responsible for the recent outbreaks in Japan and the U.K. Control measures including the stamping-out of infected animals on neighbouring farms, movement restrictions and emergency vaccination were implemented. The decision to vaccinate was made because the cattle affected were showing severe FMD lesions, there was significant possibility that a large amount of virus had already been shed and conditions at the time seemed to favour wind-borne spread. Also, because the spread was limited to cattle, it was assumed that the use of vaccinations would be more effective than if pigs had been affected. All susceptible animals within 10 km radius of the infected farms were vaccinated with inactivated, double-oil emulsion vaccines. Totals of 860,700 and 661,770 animals were vaccinated during the first and second round of booster vaccinations, and were completed within five months of the first outbreak. The government decided to adopt a let-live policy so that the vaccinated animals were not slaughtered. However, they were placed under movement restrictions and had to be identified and registered. Although there were concerns about the vaccinated animals becoming carriers, extensive serological surveillance using NSP ELISA found no evidence of FMD in the remaining vaccinated population. The use of emergency vaccinations in 2000 is regarded as being a major factor in limiting the spread of FMD and containing the outbreak within a month.

Vascular endothelial growth factor levels in the serum and synovial fluid of patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) concentrations in serum and synovial fluid (SF) from patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to search for relationships between VEGF levels and clinical and laboratory variables. METHODS: We measured VEGF levels using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Serum samples were obtained from 99 RA patients, 49 osteoarthritis (OA) patients, and 80 normal controls. Paired samples of serum and SF were collected from 32 patients with RA and 15 with OA. RESULTS: The mean serum VEGF concentration was 590.1 pg/ml for RA patients, 286.7 pg/ml for OA patients, and 265.8 pg/ml in controls. The serum VEGF concentration was significantly higher in the RA patients than in the OA patients or the controls (both p < 0.001). Furthermore, the VEGF levels in SF from RA patients were significantly higher than in SF from OA patients (p = 0.017). However, there was no correlation between VEGF levels in serum and SF from the same RA patients. The serum VEGF concentration was correlated with the ESR, serum CRP concentration, serum rheumatoid factor, number of tender and swollen joints, Modified Health Assessment Questionnaire, and patient and physician global assessments of disease activity in RA patients. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that VEGF level is related to RA disease activity, suggesting that VEGF may play some role in the pathogenesis of RA.

Isotypes of anti-beta2-glycoprotein I antibodies: association with thrombosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between isotypes of anti-beta2-glycoprotein I antibodies (anti-beta2-GPI) and thrombosis and to identify antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) that are most associated with thrombosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: IgG anticardiolipin antibody (aCL) and isotypes of anti-beta2-GPI were measured by ELISA, and clinical evidence of thrombosis was analyzed in 270 patients with SLE. RESULTS: IgG, IgM, and IgA anti-beta2-GPI were positive in 38.1, 13.7, and 34.8% of patients, respectively. Patients with a history of thrombosis were significantly more likely to have lupus anticoagulant (LAC), IgG aCL, and the 3 anti-beta2-GPI isotypes. Arterial thrombosis was associated with the presence of IgG aCL and the 3 anti-beta2-GPI isotypes, whereas venous thrombosis was associated with LAC, IgG aCL, and IgA anti-beta2-GPI. In stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis, the variable that was associated with thrombosis was IgA anti-beta2-GPI. The occurrence of arterial thrombosis was associated with IgG aCL and that of venous thrombosis was related to IgA anti-beta2-GPI in stepwise multivariate analysis. The IgG, IgM, and IgA anti-beta2-GPI titers were closely correlated with IgG aCL titers. The IgA anti-beta2-GPI titers were also significantly correlated with those of IgG and IgM anti-beta2-GPI. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that anti-beta2-GPI isotypes are related to the occurrence of thrombosis, and measurements of IgA anti-beta2-GPI may be useful for predicting thrombotic episodes in patients with SLE.

Staphylococcus aureus associated with mammary glands of cows: genotyping to distinguish different strains among herds.

The hypothesis that strains of Staphylococcus aureus are more likely to be unique to a herd than common to several herds was tested. Herds (n=28) from nine geographic areas of Korea, with elevated milk somatic cell counts (>500000 cells/ml) were enrolled in this study. Mammary quarter milk samples were aseptically collected from all lactating cows (n=616) with at least three functional quarters. Milk was cultured and S. aureus isolates were typed using pulse field gel electrophoresis of DNA SmaI digests. A total of 181 cows were identified as having S. aureus intramammary infections. A total of 52 different types of S. aureus were identified and 34 (65.4%) were associated with a single herd. A total of 18 types of S. aureus were found in multiple herds; 14 types were found in two herds, and four types were found in three herds. Herds with 1, 2, 3, and more than 3 types, were: four (14.3%); eight (28.6%); nine (32.1%); and seven (25.0%). The data indicate that the majority of strains were found in one herd only, and more than 90% were found in two or less herds, suggesting that strains of S. aureus are more likely to be restricted to a single herd, than found in multiple herds.