RESUMO
ImportanceUnbiased assessment of risks associated with acquisition of SARS-CoV-2 is critical to informing mitigation efforts during pandemics. ObjectiveUnderstand risk factors for acquiring COVID-19 in a large, prospective cohort of adult residents recruited to be representative of a large US metropolitan area. DesignFully remote longitudinal cohort study launched in October 2020 and ongoing; Study data reported through June 15, 2021. SettingBrigham and Womens Hospital, Boston MA. ParticipantsAdults within 45 miles of Boston, MA. InterventionMonthly at-home SARS-CoV-2 viral and antibody testing. Main OutcomesBetween October 2020 and January 2021, we enrolled 10,289 adults reflective of Massachusetts census data. At study entry, 567 (5.5%) participants had evidence of current or prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. This increased to 13.4% by June 15, 2021. Compared to whites, Black non-Hispanic participants had a 2.2 fold greater risk of acquiring COVID-19 (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.91-2.50; p=<0.001) and Hispanics had a 1.5 fold greater risk (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.32-1.71; p=<0.016). Individuals aged 18-29, those who worked outside the home, and those living with other adults and children were at an increased risk. Individuals in the second and third lowest disadvantaged neighborhood communities, as measured by the area deprivation index as a marker for socioeconomic status by census block group, were associated with an increased risk in developing COVID-19. Individuals with medical risk factors for severe COVID-19 disease were at a decreased risk of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition. ConclusionsThese results demonstrate that race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status are not only risk factors for severity of disease but are also the biggest determinants of acquisition of infection. Importantly, this disparity is significantly underestimated if based on PCR data alone as noted by the discrepancy in serology vs. PCR detection for non-white participants, and points to persistent disparity in access to testing. Meanwhile, medical conditions and advanced age that increase the risk for severity of SARS-CoV-2 disease were associated with a lower risk of acquisition of COVID-19 suggesting the importance of behavior modifications. These findings highlight the need for mitigation programs that overcome challenges of structural racism in current and future pandemics. Trial RegistrationN/A KEY POINTS QuestionWhat population and occupational groups in the United States are at increased risk for acquiring COVID-19? FindingsIn this remote, longitudinal cohort study involving monthly PCR and serology self-testing of 10,289 adult residents of the Boston metropolitan area, 9257 (90.0%) of TestBoston participants acquired evidence of immunity to SARS-CoV-2 through vaccination, infection, or both as of June 15, 2021. Residents identifying as Black, Hispanic/Latinx had an increased risk of acquisition of COVID-19. Healthcare workers were not at increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition. Individuals with medical risk factors for severe COVID-19 disease were at a decreased risk of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition. MeaningThese results demonstrate that race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status are not only risk factors for severity of disease but also are the biggest determinants of acquisition of infection. These findings highlight the need to address the consequences of structural racism during the development of mitigation programs for current and future pandemics.
