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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22280739

RESUMO

BackgroundHouseholds are specific transmission settings, as they involve close and repeated contacts between individuals of different generations. Household surveys provide a unique opportunity to better understand SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the role of individual characteristics. Here, we assessed the risk of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition from household and community exposure according to age, family ties, and socioeconomic and living conditions using data from the nationwide population-based EpiCov cohort/ORCHESTRA collaboration in November-December 2020. MethodsA history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined by a positive Euroimmun Anti-SARS-CoV-2 ELISA IgG result in November-December 2020. We applied stochastic chain binomial models fitted to the final distribution of infections in households to data from 17,983 individuals [≥]5 years enrolled from 8,165 households. Models estimated the competing risks of being infected from community and household exposure. ResultsYoung adults aged 18-24 years had the highest risk of extra-household infection (8.9%, [95% credible interval, Crl]: 7.5 - 10.4), whereas the oldest (>75) and the youngest (6-10) had the lowest risk, 2.6% (1.8 - 3.5) and 3.4% (1.9 - 5.2), respectively. Extra-household infection was also independently associated with socioeconomic conditions. Within households, the probability of person-to-person transmission increased with age: 10.6% (5.0 - 17.9) among 6-10-year-olds to 43.1% (32.6 - 53.2) among 65-74-year-olds. It was higher between partners 29.9% (25.6 - 34.3) and from mother to child 29.1% (21.4 - 37.3) than between individuals related by other family ties. ConclusionIn 2020 in France, the main factors identified for extra-household infection were age and socioeconomic conditions. Intra-household infection mainly depended on age and family ties. Key MessagesO_LIYoung adults aged 18-24 years had the highest probability of extra-household SARS-Cov-2 acquisition over the year 2020: 8.9%, 95% credible interval (95%Crl) 7.5 - 10.4. C_LIO_LIThe probability of extra-household infection increased with family income and population density in the municipality of residence and was higher in the French regions most affected by the waves of SARS-CoV-2. C_LIO_LIWhen estimating the probability of person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the 65-74 year-olds had the highest susceptibility, i.e. the highest probability of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition when exposed to an infected household member (22.1%, 16.4 - 28.2) C_LIO_LIThe probability of transmission was the highest between partners (29.9%, 25.6 - 34.3). The probability of transmission was higher from mother to child than from father to child: 29.1%, (21.4 - 37.3) and 14.0% (5.9 - 22.8), respectively. The probability of transmission from child to parent was higher from children <12 years than for older children: 11.8% (2.5 - 25.1) and 4.1% (0.9 - 9.0), respectively. C_LI

2.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22278311

RESUMO

Symptomatic COVID-19 appears to be associated with suicidal ideation but longitudinal evidence is still scarce. SARS-CoV2-induced neurological damages might underline this association, but findings are inconsistent. We therefore investigated the association between COVID-19 disease and subsequent suicidal ideation in the general population, using both self-reported symptoms and serology as well as inverse probability weighting to draw as near as possible to the direct association. Using data from the nationwide French EpiCov cohort, COVID-19 disease was assessed through 1) COVID-19 illness (self-reported symptoms of sudden loss of taste/smell or fever alongside cough, shortness of breath or chest oppression, between February and November 2020), and 2) SARS-CoV2 infection (Spike protein ELISA test screening in dried-blood-spot samples). Suicidal ideation was self-reported between December 2020 and July 2021. Inverse probability weighting with propensity scores was used as an adjustment strategy, leading to balanced sociodemographic and health-related factors between the exposed and non-exposed groups of both COVID-19 disease measures. Then, modified Poisson regression models were used to investigate the association of COVID-19 illness and SARS-CoV2 infection with subsequent suicidal ideation. Among 52,050 participants from the EpiCov cohort, 1.68% [1.54% - 1.82%] reported suicidal ideation in the first half of 2021, 9.57% [9.24% - 9.90%] had a SARS-CoV2 infection in 2020 and 13.23% [12.86% - 13.61%] reported COVID-19 symptoms in 2020. COVID-19 illness in 2020 was associated with higher risks of subsequent suicidal ideation in the first half of 2021 (Relative Riskipw [CI95%]= 1.43 [1.20 - 1.69]) while SARS-CoV2 infection in 2020 was not (RRipw = 0.88 [0.69 - 1.12]). If COVID-19 illness was associated with subsequent suicidal ideation, the exact role of SARS-CoV2 infection with respect to suicide risk has yet to be clarified. Psychological support should be offered to persons recovering from symptomatic COVID-19 in order to minimize suicidal ideation risk. Moreover, if such psychological support is to be implemented, serology status alone does not seem a relevant criterion to define persons who suffered from COVID-19 to prioritize.

3.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22272948

RESUMO

ObjectiveTo examine the relationship between young adults labor force participation and depression in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Design, Setting, ParticipantsData come from the nationally-representative EPICOV cohort study set up in France, and were collected in 2020 and 2021 (3 waves of online or telephone interviews) among 2217 participants aged 18-30 years. Participants with prior mental health disorder (n=50) were excluded from the statistical analyses. ResultsUsing Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE) models controlled for participants socio-demographic and health characteristics and weighted to be nationally-representative, we found that compared to young adults who were employed, those who were studying or unemployed were significantly more likely to experience depression assessed using the PHQ-9 (multivariate ORs respectively: OR: 1.29, 95% CI 1.05-1.60 and OR: 1.50, 1.13-1.99). Stratifying the analyses by age, we observed than unemployment was more strongly associated with depression among participants 25-30 years than among those who were 18-24 years (multivariate ORs respectively 1.78, 95% CI 1.17-2.71 and 1.41, 95% CI 0.96-2.09). Being out of the labor force was, to the contrary, more significantly associated with depression among participants 18-24 years (multivariate OR: 1.71, 95% CI 1.04-2.82, vs. 1.00, 95% CI 0.53-1.87 among participants 25-30 years). Stratifying the analyses by sex, we found no significant differences in the relationships between labor market characteristics and depression (compared to participants who were employed, multivariate ORs associated with being a student: men: 1.33, 95% CI 1.01-1.76; women: 1.19, 95% CI 0.85-1.67, multivariate ORs associated with being unemployed: men: 1.60, 95% CI 1.04-2.45; women: 1.47, 95% CI 1.01-2.15). Conclusions and relevanceOur study shows that in addition to students, young adults who are unemployed also experience elevated levels of depression in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. These two groups should be the focus of specific attention in terms of prevention and mental health treatment. Supporting employment could also be a propitious way of reducing the burden of the Covid-19 pandemic on the mental health of young adults. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSIs labor force participation associated with young adults likelihood of depression during the COVID-19 pandemic? FindingsIn a nationally-representative cohort study in France, compared to young adults who are employed, those who are studying or experience unemployment had elevated odds of depression in 2020 and 2021. MeaningYoung people are experiencing the highest burden of mental health problems in the context of the COVID-19 epidemic - our study implies that those who are studying or are unemployed are at especially high risk and should be the focus of attention in terms of prevention and treatment.

4.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22271397

RESUMO

ObjectiveTo assess whether mistrust in the government and scientists reinforces social and racial inequalities in vaccination practises DesignA follow-up of a random population-based cohort survey. SettingIn July 2021, in France. Participants80,971 participants aged 18 years and more. Main outcome measuresAdjusted odds ratios of Covid-19 vaccination status (received at least one dose/ intends to get vaccinated/ does not know whether to get vaccinated/refuses vaccination) were assessed using multinomial regressions to test associations with social and mistrust factors and to study how these two factors interacted with each other. ResultsIn all, 72.2% were vaccinated at the time of the survey. The population of unvaccinated people was younger, less educated, had lower incomes, and more often belonged to racialised minorities, as compared to vaccinated people. Mistrust of government and scientists to curb the spread of the epidemic were the factors most associated with refusing to be vaccinated: OR=8.86 (7.13 to 11.00) for the government and OR=9.07 (7.71 to 10.07) for scientists, compared to vaccinated people. Mistrust was more prevalent among the poorer which consequently reinforced social inequalities in vaccination. The 10% poorest who did not trust the government reached an OR of 16.2 (11.9 to 22) for refusing to be vaccinated compared to the 10% richest who did. ConclusionThere is a need to develop depoliticised outreach programmes targeted at the most socially disadvantaged groups, and to design vaccination strategies conceived with people from different social and racial backgrounds to enable them to make fully informed choices.

5.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21265456

RESUMO

BackgroundWe aimed to study whether social patterns of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection changed in France throughout the year 2020, in light to the easing of social contact restrictions. MethodsA population-based cohort of individuals aged 15 years or over was randomly selected from the national tax register to collect socio-economic data, migration history, and living conditions in May and November 2020. Home self-sampling on dried blood was proposed to a 10% random subsample in May and to all in November. A positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 ELISA IgG result against the virus spike protein (ELISA-S) was the primary outcome. The design, including sampling and post-stratification weights, was taken into account in univariate and multivariate analyses. ResultsOf the 134,391 participants in May, 107,759 completed the second questionnaire in November, and respectively 12,114 and 63,524 were tested. The national ELISA-S seroprevalence was 4.5% [95%CI: 4.0%-5.1%] in May and 6.2% [5.9%-6.6%] in November. It increased markedly in 18-24-year-old population from 4.8% to 10.0%, and among second-generation immigrants from outside Europe from 5.9% to 14.4%. This group remained strongly associated with seropositivity in November, after controlling for any contextual or individual variables, with an adjusted OR of 2.1 [1.7-2.7], compared to the majority population. In both periods, seroprevalence remained higher in healthcare professions than in other occupations. ConclusionThe risk of Covid-19 infection increased among young people and second-generation migrants between the first and second epidemic waves, in a context of less strict social restrictions, which seems to have reinforced territorialized socialization among peers.

6.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21252316

RESUMO

Backgroundthe EpiCov study, initiated at the end of the first national lockdown in France, aimed to provide national and regional estimates of the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and to analyze relations between living conditions and the dynamics of the epidemic. We present and discuss here the survey methodology, and describe the first-round fieldwork. Method371,000 individuals aged 15 years or more were randomly selected from the national tax register, stratified by departments, including three overseas departments, and by poverty level with over-representation of people living below the poverty line. Health, socio-economics, migration history, and living conditions were collected through self-computed-assisted web interviews or via computer-assisted telephone interviews. The first-round survey was conducted in May. A random subsample was eligible to receive material for home blood self-sample on dried blood spot (DBS), in order to detect IgG antibodies against the spike protein (Euroimmun ELISA-S), and neutralizing antibodies for non-negative ELISA-S. For the second-round conducted in November, all respondents were eligible for the antibodies detection from home DBS sample, as well as the other household members aged 6 years or more for 20% of them. Participation and adjustment for nonresponse134,391 respondents completed the first-round questionnaire from May 2 to June 1, 2020, including 16,970 (12.6%) respondents under the poverty line. Multimodal web/tel interviews was randomly assigned to 20% of the sample. The other were assigned to exclusive CAWI. Overall 17,441 respondents were eligible for home blood sample, among them 12,114 returned the DBS (interquartile date: May 25-June 5). The response probability was first estimated from logit models adjusted on a wide range of auxiliary demographic and socio-economic variables available from the sampling frame, and final weights calibrated to the margins of the population census permitted to correct for a large part of the non-response bias. ConclusionThe Epicov study is one of the largest national random population-based seroprevalence cohort, with both an epidemiological and sociological approaches to evaluate the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic, and the impact on health and living conditions. One of the major interests of this study is the broad coverage of the socio-economic and territorial diversity of the population.

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