Time series forecasting for tuberculosis incidence employing neural network models.

Every effort aimed at stopping the expansion of Tuberculosis is important to national programs' struggle to combat this disease. Different computational tools have been proposed in order to design new strategies that allow managing potential patients and thus providing the correct treatment. In this work, artificial neural networks were used for time series forecasting, which were trained with information on reported cases obtained from the national vigilance institution in Colombia. Three neural models were proposed in order to determine the best one according to their forecasting performance. The first approach employed a nonlinear autoregressive model, the second proposal used a recurrent neural network, and the third proposal was based on radial basis functions. The results are presented in terms of the mean average percentage error, which indicates that the models based on traditional methods show better performance compared to connectionist ones. These models contribute to obtaining dynamic information about incidence, thus providing extra-help for health authorities to propose more strategies to control the disease's spread.

Sleep physiological network analysis in children.

Objective: Physiological networks have recently been employed as an alternative to analyze the interaction of the human body. Within this option, different systems are analyzed as nodes inside a communication network as well how information fows. Several studies have been proposed to study sleep subjects with the help of the Granger causality computation over electroencephalographic and heart rate variability signals. However, following this methodology, novel approximations for children subjects are presented here, where comparison between adult and children sleep is followed through the obtained connectivities. Methods: Data from ten adults and children were retrospectively extracted from polysomnography records. Database was extracted from people suspected of having sleep disorders who participated in a previous study. Connectivity was computed based on Granger causality, according to preprocessing of similar studies in this feld. A comparison for adults and children groups with a chi-square test was followed, employing the results of the Granger causality measures. Results: Results show that differences were mainly established for nodes inside the brain network connectivity. Additionally, for interactions between brain and heart networks, it was brought to light that children physiology sends more information from heart to brain nodes compared to the adults group. Discussion: This study represents a frst sight to children sleep analysis, employing the Granger causality computation. It contributes to understand sleep in children employing measurements from physiological signals. Preliminary fndings suggest more interactions inside the brain network for children group compared to adults group.