Determining the Effect of Drying Time on Phosphorus Solubilization from Three Agricultural Soils under Climate Change Scenarios.

Climate projections for the future indicate that the United Kingdom will experience hotter, drier summers and warmer, wetter winters, bringing longer dry periods followed by rewetting. This will result in changes in phosphorus (P) mobilization patterns that will influence the transfer of P from land to water. We tested the hypothesis that changes in the future patterns of drying-rewetting will affect the amount of soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) solubilized from soil. Estimations of dry period characteristics (duration and temperature) under current and predicted climate were determined using data from the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) Weather Generator tool. Three soils (sieved <2 mm), collected from two regions of the United Kingdom with different soils and farm systems, were dried at 25°C for periods of 0, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 60, and 90 d, then subsequently rewetted (50 mL over 2 h). The solubilized leachate was collected and analyzed for SRP. In the 2050s, warm period temperature extremes >25°C are predicted in some places and dry periods of 30 to 90 d extremes are predicted. Combining the frequency of projected dry periods with the SRP concentration in leachate suggests that this may result overall in increased mobilization of P; however, critical breakpoints of 6.9 to 14.5 d dry occur wherein up to 28% more SRP can be solubilized following a rapid rewetting event. The precise cause of this increase could not be identified and warrants further investigation as the process is not currently included in P transfer models.

Major agricultural changes required to mitigate phosphorus losses under climate change.

Phosphorus losses from land to water will be impacted by climate change and land management for food production, with detrimental impacts on aquatic ecosystems. Here we use a unique combination of methods to evaluate the impact of projected climate change on future phosphorus transfers, and to assess what scale of agricultural change would be needed to mitigate these transfers. We combine novel high-frequency phosphorus flux data from three representative catchments across the UK, a new high-spatial resolution climate model, uncertainty estimates from an ensemble of future climate simulations, two phosphorus transfer models of contrasting complexity and a simplified representation of the potential intensification of agriculture based on expert elicitation from land managers. We show that the effect of climate change on average winter phosphorus loads (predicted increase up to 30% by 2050s) will be limited only by large-scale agricultural changes (e.g., 20-80% reduction in phosphorus inputs).The impact of climate change on phosphorus (P) loss from land to water is unclear. Here, the authors use P flux data, climate simulations and P transfer models to show that only large scale agricultural change will limit the effect of climate change on average winter P loads in three catchments across the UK.

Lattice Boltzmann method for the fractional advection-diffusion equation.

Mass transport, such as movement of phosphorus in soils and solutes in rivers, is a natural phenomenon and its study plays an important role in science and engineering. It is found that there are numerous practical diffusion phenomena that do not obey the classical advection-diffusion equation (ADE). Such diffusion is called abnormal or superdiffusion, and it is well described using a fractional advection-diffusion equation (FADE). The FADE finds a wide range of applications in various areas with great potential for studying complex mass transport in real hydrological systems. However, solution to the FADE is difficult, and the existing numerical methods are complicated and inefficient. In this study, a fresh lattice Boltzmann method is developed for solving the fractional advection-diffusion equation (LabFADE). The FADE is transformed into an equation similar to an advection-diffusion equation and solved using the lattice Boltzmann method. The LabFADE has all the advantages of the conventional lattice Boltzmann method and avoids a complex solution procedure, unlike other existing numerical methods. The method has been validated through simulations of several benchmark tests: a point-source diffusion, a boundary-value problem of steady diffusion, and an initial-boundary-value problem of unsteady diffusion with the coexistence of source and sink terms. In addition, by including the effects of the skewness ß, the fractional order α, and the single relaxation time τ, the accuracy and convergence of the method have been assessed. The numerical predictions are compared with the analytical solutions, and they indicate that the method is second-order accurate. The method presented will allow the FADE to be more widely applied to complex mass transport problems in science and engineering.

Changing climate and nutrient transfers: Evidence from high temporal resolution concentration-flow dynamics in headwater catchments.

We hypothesise that climate change, together with intensive agricultural systems, will increase the transfer of pollutants from land to water and impact on stream health. This study builds, for the first time, an integrated assessment of nutrient transfers, bringing together a) high-frequency data from the outlets of two surface water-dominated, headwater (~10km(2)) agricultural catchments, b) event-by-event analysis of nutrient transfers, c) concentration duration curves for comparison with EU Water Framework Directive water quality targets, d) event analysis of location-specific, sub-daily rainfall projections (UKCP, 2009), and e) a linear model relating storm rainfall to phosphorus load. These components, in combination, bring innovation and new insight into the estimation of future phosphorus transfers, which was not available from individual components. The data demonstrated two features of particular concern for climate change impacts. Firstly, the bulk of the suspended sediment and total phosphorus (TP) load (greater than 90% and 80% respectively) was transferred during the highest discharge events. The linear model of rainfall-driven TP transfers estimated that, with the projected increase in winter rainfall (+8% to +17% in the catchments by 2050s), annual event loads might increase by around 9% on average, if agricultural practices remain unchanged. Secondly, events following dry periods of several weeks, particularly in summer, were responsible for high concentrations of phosphorus, but relatively low loads. The high concentrations, associated with low flow, could become more frequent or last longer in the future, with a corresponding increase in the length of time that threshold concentrations (e.g. for water quality status) are exceeded. The results suggest that in order to build resilience in stream health and help mitigate potential increases in diffuse agricultural water pollution due to climate change, land management practices should target controllable risk factors, such as soil nutrient status, soil condition and crop cover.

The aging survivor of the holocaust. Discussion: reconciliation between the generations: a last chance.

Reconciliation of conflicts between aged parents and their adult offspring is a criterion of successful aging. It requires inner psychological changes in those involved. Dr. Herzog's case history illustrates such inner change in the son of an aged father who was a survivor of the Holocaust. The patient had suffered a form of transmitted traumatization affecting his psychological development. Studies of posttraumatic reactions of survivors and of traumatization in the second generation have been reviewed briefly. Persistent aftereffects of trauma may aggravate problems of aging. As the example given in this paper illustrates, knowledge of the impact of the Holocaust experience can help us to recognize transmitted traumatization in individuals whose experiences were not related to the Holocaust.

Strategies of dynamic psychotherapy with the wide range of older individuals.

Until recently contributions to geriatric psychotherapy tended to be limited to the consideration of the special problems of the most debilitated of the elderly, neglecting the vigorous majority of aging persons. The reluctance of psychoanalysts to treat individuals past 45 or 50 years of age by classical technique may have impeded the application of psychodynamic principles to the psychotherapy of older people. Gradually, a number of analysts and dynamic therapists reported favorable responses of the middle aged and elderly to such treatment and established some of its technical parameters. In this paper, distinguishing characteristics of the aging and of the debilitated aged are examined in order to clarify the techniques of geriatric psychotherapy. Six case vignettes illustrate the treatment aims of structural change, reinstatement of optimum functioning, and basic support in these two categories and in an intermediate group of those experiencing an emotional crisis. The application of psycho-therapeutic principles (promotion of insight, adaptive intervention, general supportive methods) is described. Psychological management is compared with psychotherapy in the debilitated aged. Treatment of emotional crises in older persons is illustrated. A sample of patients treated by means of psychotherapy--aging, in crisis, or debilitated--is examined with regard to diagnoses, precipitating stresses, the aims of therapy, and the involvement of their families in the treatment.

Mutants of Escherichia coli K-12 "cryptic," or deficient in 5'-nucleotidase (uridine diphosphate-sugar hydrolase) and 3'-nucleotidase (cyclic phosphodiesterase) activity.

Mutants of Escherichia coli have been selected for the absence of 5'-nucleotidase (uridine diphosphate-sugar hydrolase) and 3'-nucleotidase (2',3'-cyclic phophodiesterase). Mutants selected for the absence of 5'-nucleotidase are of two kinds: those that lack detectable activity for the enzyme (Ush(-)), and those that possess activity when cell extracts are assayed, but not when intact cells are assayed (cryptic; Crp(-)). The latter class is probably identical to a type of mutant previously reported by Ward and Glaser. When mutants are selected for the absence of 3'-nucleotidase, Crp(-)mutants are also obtained. Thus far, however, mutants totally lacking this enzyme have not been found. The location on the genetic map of one ush mutation is at position 11 min and that of one crp mutation at approximately 67 min. In the crp mutant, 5'-nucleotidase and 3'-nucleotidase remain located in the periplasm. This mutant is also cryptic for alkaline phosphatase but not for acid hexose phosphatase. Treatment of cells with ethylenediamine-tetraacetate substantially alleviated crypticity. These data are discussed in terms of the organization of periplasmic enzymes and of the outer membrane as a permeability barrier.