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BACKGROUND: Mycobacterium w (Mw), an immunomodulator, resulted in better clinical status in severe coronavirus infectious disease 19 (COVID-19) but no survival benefit in a previous study. Herein, we investigate whether Mw could improve clinical outcomes and survival in COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a multicentric, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled trial, we randomized hospitalized subjects with severe COVID-19 to receive either 0.3 mL/day of Mw intradermally or a matching placebo for three consecutive days. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. The co-primary outcome was the distribution of clinical status assessed on a seven-point ordinal scale ranging from discharged (category 1) to death (category 7) on study days 14, 21, and 28. The key secondary outcomes were the change in sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score on days 7 and 14 compared to the baseline, treatment-emergent adverse events, and others. RESULTS: We included 273 subjects (136 Mw, 137 placebo). The use of Mw did not improve 28-day survival (Mw vs. placebo, 18 [13.2%] vs. 12 [8.8%], P = 0.259) or the clinical status on days 14 (odds ratio [OR], 1.33; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 0.79-2.3), 21 (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.83-2.7) or 28 (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.79-2.8) between the two study arms. There was no difference in the delta SOFA score or other secondary outcomes between the two groups. We observed higher injection site reactions with Mw. CONCLUSION: Mw did not reduce 28-day mortality or improve clinical status on days 14, 21 and 28 compared to placebo in patients with severe COVID-19. [Trial identifier: CTRI/2020/04/024846].
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Acute liver failure (ALF) is a life-threatening condition characterized by rapid liver function deterioration, necessitating a multidisciplinary approach for optimal perioperative care. This comprehensive review focuses on the critical role of the anaesthesiologist throughout the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative phases, addressing the unique challenges posed by ALF. The article begins with an exploration of ALF, underlining the urgency of timely referral to specialized hepatology centres. Liver transplantation emerges as a life-saving intervention, and the complex decision-making process is discussed, emphasizing the need for a multidisciplinary team to assess transplantation candidacy based on established prognostic criteria. In the preoperative phase, the review stresses the importance of early engagement with tertiary liver centres for timely referrals and identifies patients suitable for transplantation. Safe transport protocols are detailed, highlighting the meticulous planning required for the secure transfer of ALF patients between healthcare facilities. The intraoperative management section delves into the anaesthesiologist's key concerns, including neurological status, sepsis, acute kidney injury, body mass index, and preoperative fasting. Hemodynamic stability, fluid management, and coagulation balance during surgery are emphasized, with insights into anaesthesia techniques, vascular access, monitoring, and hemodynamic management tailored to the challenges posed by ALF patients. The postoperative care is thoroughly examined covering neurological, hemodynamic, metabolic, renal, and nutritional aspects. Management of ALF involves multidisciplinary team, including nephrology for continuous renal replacement therapy, transfusion medicine for plasma exchange, critical care for overall patient care, nutritionists for ensuring adequate nutrition, and hepatologists as the primary guides. In conclusion, the review recognizes the anaesthesiologist as a linchpin in the perioperative care of ALF patients. The integration of safe transport protocols and multidisciplinary approach is deemed crucial for navigating complexities of ALF, contributing to improved patient outcomes. This article serves as an invaluable resource for gastroenterologist and intensivists, enhancing their understanding of the anaesthesiologist's indispensable role in the holistic care of ALF patients in an ever-evolving healthcare landscape.
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Anestesiologistas , Falência Hepática Aguda , Transplante de Fígado , Assistência Perioperatória , Humanos , Assistência Perioperatória/métodos , Falência Hepática Aguda/terapia , Falência Hepática Aguda/cirurgia , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente , Salas CirúrgicasAssuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda , Síndrome Hepatorrenal , Lipressina , Terlipressina , Vasoconstritores , Humanos , Terlipressina/uso terapêutico , Síndrome Hepatorrenal/tratamento farmacológico , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Lipressina/análogos & derivados , Lipressina/uso terapêutico , Lipressina/efeitos adversos , Vasoconstritores/uso terapêutico , Vasoconstritores/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: efficacy of therapeutic cholecalciferol supplementation for severe COVID-19 is sparingly studied. OBJECTIVE: effect of single high-dose cholecalciferol supplementation on sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in moderate-to-severe COVID-19. METHODS: participants with moderate to severe COVID-19 with PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 200 were randomized to 0.6 million IU cholecalciferol oral (intervention) or placebo. OUTCOMES: primary outcome was change in Day 7 SOFA score and pre-specified secondary outcomes were SOFA and 28-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: in all, 90 patients (45 each group) were included for intention-to-treat analysis. 25(OH)D3 levels were 12 (10-16) and 13 (12-18) ng/ml (P = 0.06) at baseline; and 60 (55-65) ng/ml and 4 (1-7) ng/ml by Day 7 in vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively. The SOFA score on Day 7 was better in the vitamin D group [3 (95% CI, 2-5) versus 5 (95% CI, 3-7), P = 0.01, intergroup difference - 2 (95% CI, -4 to -0.01); r = 0.4]. A lower all-cause 28-day mortality [24% compared to 44% (P = 0.046)] was observed with vitamin D. CONCLUSIONS: single high-dose oral cholecalciferol supplementation on ICU admission can improve SOFA score at Day 7 and reduce in-hospital mortality in vitamin D-deficient COVID-19. ClinicalTrials.gov id: NCT04952857 registered dated 7 July 2021. What is already known on this topic-vitamin D has immunomodulatory role. Observational and isolated intervention studies show some benefit in COVID-19. Targeted therapeutic vitamin D supplementation improve outcomes in severe COVID-19 is not studied in RCTs. What this study adds-high-dose vitamin D supplementation (0.6 Million IU) to increase 25(OH)D > 50 ng/ml is safe and reduces sequential organ failure assessment score, in-hospital mortality in moderate to severe COVID-19. How this study might affect research, practice or policy-vitamin D supplementation in vitamin D-deficient patients with severe COVID-19 is useful may be practiced.
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COVID-19 , Colecalciferol , SARS-CoV-2 , Deficiência de Vitamina D , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Método Duplo-Cego , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/complicações , Deficiência de Vitamina D/tratamento farmacológico , Deficiência de Vitamina D/complicações , Colecalciferol/administração & dosagem , Colecalciferol/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Vitamina D/sangue , Vitaminas/uso terapêutico , Vitaminas/administração & dosagem , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Suplementos Nutricionais , Infecções por Coronavirus/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Coronavirus/mortalidade , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Pandemias , Adulto , Resultado do Tratamento , Pneumonia Viral/tratamento farmacológico , Pneumonia Viral/mortalidade , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , BetacoronavirusRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Treatment of hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI), with terlipressin and albumin, provides survival benefits, but may be associated with cardiopulmonary complications. We analyzed the predictors of terlipressin response and mortality using point-of-care echocardiography (POC-Echo) and cardiac and renal biomarkers. APPROACH: Between December 2021 and January 2023, patients with HRS-AKI were assessed with POC-Echo and lung ultrasound within 6 hours of admission, at the time of starting terlipressin (48 h), and at 72 hours. Volume expansion was done with 20% albumin, followed by terlipressin infusion. Clinical data, POC-Echo data, and serum biomarkers were prospectively collected. Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) was defined per 2020 criteria. RESULTS: One hundred and forty patients were enrolled (84% men, 59% alcohol-associated disease, mean MELD-Na 25±SD 5.6). A median daily dose of infused terlipressin was 4.3 (interquartile range: 3.9-4.6) mg/day; mean duration 6.4 ± SD 1.9 days; the complete response was in 62% and partial response in 11%. Overall mortality was 14% and 16% at 30 and 90 days, respectively. Cutoffs for prediction of terlipressin nonresponse were cardiac variables [ratio of early mitral inflow velocity and mitral annular early diastolic tissue doppler velocity > 12.5 (indicating increased left filling pressures, C-statistic: 0.774), tissue doppler mitral velocity < 7 cm/s (indicating impaired relaxation; C-statistic: 0.791), > 20.5% reduction in cardiac index at 72 hours (C-statistic: 0.885); p < 0.001] and pretreatment biomarkers (CysC > 2.2 mg/l, C-statistic: 0.640 and N-terminal proBNP > 350 pg/mL, C-statistic: 0.655; p <0.050). About 6% of all patients with HRS-AKI and 26% of patients with CCM had pulmonary edema. The presence of CCM (adjusted HR 1.9; CI: 1.8-4.5, p = 0.009) and terlipressin nonresponse (adjusted HR 5.2; CI: 2.2-12.2, p <0.001) were predictors of mortality independent of age, sex, obesity, DM-2, etiology, and baseline creatinine. CONCLUSIONS: CCM and reduction in cardiac index, reliably predict terlipressin nonresponse. CCM is independently associated with poor survival in HRS-AKI.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Síndrome Hepatorrenal , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Terlipressina/uso terapêutico , Vasoconstritores/uso terapêutico , Síndrome Hepatorrenal/diagnóstico por imagem , Síndrome Hepatorrenal/tratamento farmacológico , Lipressina/uso terapêutico , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Injúria Renal Aguda/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Albuminas/uso terapêutico , Ecocardiografia , Biomarcadores , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Background: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We conducted a prospective, randomized controlled clinical trial to study the efficacy of intravenous branched chain amino acids (IV-BCAA) with lactulose versus lactulose alone for improvement in HE at 24 h, day 3, and day 7. The primary outcome was an improvement in encephalopathy by ≥ 1 grade at 72 h. Patients and methods: European association for study of liver (EASL) defined ACLF patients with overt HE were assessed and randomized into the experimental arm (IV-BCAA - 500 mL/day for 3 days + Lactulose; n = 39) and the comparator arm (Lactulose alone; n = 37). Six patients developed COVID-19 after randomization and were excluded (4-experimental arm and 2-comparator arm). Results: Of 222 screened patients, 70 (35 in each arm) were included in the analysis. Baseline characteristics, including HE grade (2.9 ± 0.7 vs 2.8 ± 0.7; P = 0.86) and (chronic liver failure) CLIF-C ACLF score (54.2 ± 5.6 vs 54.8 ± 5.7; P = 0.65), were similar. Overall survival was 40% at 28 days (48.5% vs 31.4%; P = 0.14). Improvement in hepatic encephalopathy scoring algorithm (HESA) by ≥ 1 grade at 24 h occurred in 14 patients (40%) in the BCAA arm and 6 patients (17.1%) in the control group (P = 0.03) which translated to a shorter intensive care unit (ICU) stay. The median change in HESA at 24 h was greater in the BCAA arm than the control arm (P = 0.006), which was not sustained at days 3 or 7. Ammonia levels did not correlate with the grade of HE (Spearman's correlation coefficient (ρ) = - 0.0843; P = 0.29). Conclusion: Intravenous BCAA does not lead to a sustained improvement in HE grade in ACLF. Trial registration no: NCT04238416 (clinicaltrials.gov).
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BACKGROUND: Point-of-care echocardiography (POC-Echo) is an essential intensive care hemodynamic monitoring tool. AIMS: To assess POC-Echo parameters [i.e., cardiac index (CI), systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI) and cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) markers] and serum biomarkers in predicting circulatory failure (need for vasopressors) and mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) having sepsis-induced hypotension. METHODS: We performed serial POC-Echo within 6 hours (h) of presentation and subsequently at 24, 48 and 72 h in patients with ACLF and sepsis-induced hypotension admitted to our liver intensive care unit. Clinical data, POC-Echo data and serum biomarkers were collected prospectively. RESULTS: We enrolled 120 patients [59% men, aged 49 ± 12 years, 56% alcohol-related disease and median MELDNa of 30 (27-32)], of whom 68 (56.6%) had circulatory failure, with overall mortality of 60%. CCM was present in 52.5%. The predictors of circulatory failure were CI (aHR -1.5; p = 0.021), N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (aHR -1.1; p = 0.007) and CCM markers; e' septal mitral velocity (aHR -0.5; p = 0.039) and E/e' ratio (aHR -1.2; p = 0.045). Reduction in CI by 20% and SVRI by 15% at 72 h predicted mortality with a sensitivity of 84% and 72%, and specificity 76% and 65%, respectively (p < 0.001). The MELD-CCM model and CLIF-CCM model were computed as MELDNa + 1.815 × E/e' (septal) + 0.402 × e' (septal) and CLIF-C ACLF + 1.815 × E/e' (septal) + 0.402 × e' (septal), respectively, based on multivariable logistic regression. Both scores outperformed MELDNa (z-score = -2.073, p = 0.038) and CLIF-C ACLF score (z score = -2.683, p-value = 0.007), respectively, in predicting 90-day mortality. CONCLUSION: POC-Echo measurements such as CCM markers (E/e' and e' velocity) and change in CI reliably predict circulatory failure and mortality in ACLF with severe sepsis. CCM markers significantly enhanced the CLIF-C ACLF and MELDNa predictive performance.
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Insuficiência Hepática Crônica Agudizada , Sepse , Choque , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Insuficiência Hepática Crônica Agudizada/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores , Sepse/complicações , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Here we have described the anesthetic management of a 10-year-old patient having uremia-induced dilated cardiomyopathy for a living-related adult to pediatric renal transplant. Maintaining optimal hemodynamics, especially during the reperfusion phase, is crucial for maintaining graft perfusion. However, dilated cardiomyopathy limits indiscriminate fluid administration as it may cause congestive heart failure and pulmonary edema. We have described the fluid therapy algorithm based on the plethysmography variability index and velocity time integral at the left ventricular outflow tract, which was able to limit excessive fluid administration and maintain adequate perfusion pressures.
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Cardiomiopatia Dilatada , Transplante de Rim , Adulto , Humanos , Criança , Cardiomiopatia Dilatada/cirurgia , Algoritmos , Hidratação , HemodinâmicaRESUMO
Background: Patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) with severe coronavirus disease (COVID-19) are associated with high mortality. The present retrospective, multicenter study describes the predictors and outcomes of COVID-19 patients requiring ICU admission from COVID-19 Registry of Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), India. Materials and methods: Prospectively collected data from participating institutions were entered into the electronic National Clinical Registry of COVID-19. We enrolled patients aged >18 years with COVID-19 pneumonia requiring ICU admission between March 2020 and August 2021. Exclusion criteria were negative in RT-PCR report, death within 24 hours of ICU admission, or incomplete data. Their demographic and laboratory variables, ICU severity indices, treatment strategies, and outcomes were analyzed. Results: A total of 5,865 patients were enrolled. Overall mortality was 43.2%. Non-survivors were older (58.2 ± 15.4 vs 53.6 ± 14.7 years; p = 0.001), had multiple comorbidities (33.2% vs 29.5%, p = 0.001), had higher median D-dimer (1.56 vs 1.37, p = 0.015), higher CT severity index (16.8 ± 5.2 vs 13.5 ± 5.47, p = 0.001) and longer median hospital stay (10 vs 8 days, p = 0.001) and ICU stay (5 vs 4 days, p = 0.001), compared with survivors.On multivariate analysis, high CRP (HR 1.008, 95% CI: 1.006-1.010, p = 0.001) and high D-dimer (HR 1.089, 95% CI: 1.065-1.113, p < 0.001) were associated with invasive mechanical ventilation while older age (HR 1.19, CI: 1.001-1.038, p = 0.039) and high D-dimer (HR-1.121, CI: 1.072-1.172, p = 0.001) were independently associated with mortality and while the use of prophylactic low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) (HR 0.647, CI: 0.527-0.794, p = 0.001) lowered mortality. Conclusion: Among 5,865 COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU, mortality was 43.5%. High CRP and D-dimers were independently associated with the need for invasive mechanical ventilation while older age and high D-dimer were associated with higher mortality. The use of prophylactic LMWH independently reduced mortality. How to cite this article: Kajal K, Singla K, Puri GD, Bhalla A, Mukherjee A, Kumar G, et al. Analysis of Predictors and Outcomes of COVID-19 Patients Requiring ICU Admission from COVID-19 Registry, India. Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(8):552-562.
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Lutembacher's syndrome is a rare congenital cardiac syndrome comprising of a combination of an atrial septal defect complicated by congenital or acquired mitral stenosis. The applied physiology of the patient depends upon the severity and the interactions of the lesions. They pose certain difficulties to the administration of both general or neuraxial anesthesia. A preference of one form of anesthesia over the other should be based on the understanding of the physiology of the patient. There should not be an orthodox avoidance of neuraxial anesthesia in complex cardiac pathologies as general anesthesia can be associated with certain complications of its own. Here, we report our successful experience of neuraxial anesthesia being administered in a patient with Lutembacher's syndrome.
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PURPOSE: Fungaemia due to yeast is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in critically ill patients. Although, automated blood cultures have improved the time to diagnosis, very few studies have systematically evaluated the utility of blood culture time to positivity (TTP) of fungaemia in the clinical scenario. In this study, we evaluated the TTP for different yeast species to determine its clinical utility. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A prospective study including 244 consecutive patients admitted to the adult (n â= â76) and paediatric (n â= â168) intensive care units (ICUs) was conducted between December 2017 through March 2019. The clinical and demographic characteristics, BACTEC blood culture results and TTP for yeast positive blood cultures were recorded for analysis. RESULTS: A total of 244 patients with 357 episodes of candidaemia were enrolled during the study period. The TTP (mean â± âSD) for all yeast species was 26.8 â± â23.6 âh while it was significantly longer in paediatric than adult patients (30.5 ± 24.7 vs. 25.2 â± â22.9 âh; p â= â<0.0001). Wickerhamomyces anomalus and Cyberlindnera jadinii (previously C. utilis) were exclusively isolated from paediatric population where W. anomalus demonstrated significantly longer TTP than C. jadinii. Among adult cases, C. albicans exhibited significantly longer TTP than C. tropicalis. In paediatric cases, >80% of C. tropicalis and C. utilis flagged positive in blood culture before 24 âh while majority (65.9%) of W. anomalus isolates flagged positive later than 24 âh. Similarly in adult samples, 63% of C. tropicalis isolates beeped positive before 24 âh. CONCLUSION: TTP for yeast may provide insight regarding the responsible yeast species before final identification among critical patients with candidaemia. Larger studies are warranted for evaluating clinical utility of TTP considering other complex factors like yeast burden, generation time, virulence and host factors, which may affect TTP.
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Hemocultura , Candidemia , Adulto , Humanos , Criança , Estudos Prospectivos , Candida , Candidemia/diagnóstico , Candida albicansRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hyperfibrinolysis and coagulation dysfunction may occur in cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleed (AVB) despite successful endotherapy. AIMS: To prospectively study the association of endogenous heparinoids and coagulation dysfunction with variceal rebleeding and outcome in cirrhosis. METHODS: Consecutive patients were assessed with conventional coagulation tests, SONOCLOT™ [(global(gb) and heparinase(h) treated] and factors VII, VIII, XIII, X, tissue plasminogen activator, and plasminogen activator inhibitor ELISA assays in a university hospital. Heparin-like-effect (HLE) was defined as ≥ 20% difference in paired gb/h-SONOCLOT™ traces for activated clotting time (ACT). RESULTS: Of 143 patients screened, 90 (46.4 ± 11.7 years, males 82.2%, ethanol-related 58.8%) were recruited, who bled from esophageal varices (81,90.0%), gastric varices (6,6.6%), or esophageal varices with portal hypertensive gastropathy (3,3.3%). Twenty (21.7%) had early rebleeding, mainly post-variceal ligation ulcer related (70%). Patients who rebled had low Factor XIII [1.6 (1.2-2.1) vs 2.4 ng/ml (2.0-2.8) P = 0.035] and Factor VII (94.1 ± 46.9 vs. 124.0 ± 50.4, P = 0.023). On receiver operating curve analysis, the gbACT > 252 s (sensitivity 86.8%, specificity 76.9%, P < 0.001), hACT > 215 s (sensitivity 71.1%, specificity 70.3%, P < 0.001), and HLE > 50% (sensitivity 69.5%, specificity 70.3%, P = 0.006) predicted rebleeding. Baseline Factor VIII (HR 1.26; 95% CI 1.17-1.34, P < 0.001), low factor VII (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.76-0.98, P = 0.035), and lysis (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.17-1.33, P < 0.001) predicted mortality. Endogenous heparinoids at baseline predicted sepsis (HR 1.8; 95% CI 1.4-6.5; P = 0.022), rebleeding events (HR 1.2; 95% CI 1.1-6.3; P = 0.030), and mortality (HR 1.1; 95% CI 1.0-4.6; P = 0.030). CONCLUSIONS: Hyperfibrinolysis, Factor VII/XIII deficiency, and HLE are associated with rebleeding after AVB. Trial Registration NCT04111120 available from https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04111120 .
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Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Heparinoides , Masculino , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Fator VII , Ativador de Plasminogênio Tecidual , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Heparina , Fibrinólise , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Ligadura/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Non-invasive oxygen therapy (NIT) consists of high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) and continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP). NIT is routinely being used for the management of acute respiratory failure secondary to coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) with variable outcomes. However, previously published studies show that NIT failure might delay endotracheal intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation and results in worse outcomes in patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure. Early prediction of failure of NIT, will help in early decision-making in initiating invasive mechanical ventilation. We retrospectively studied the predictors for NIT failure in patients with moderate to severe COVID-19. METHODS: Adult patients (>18 years) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with moderate to severe COVID-19 ARDS and received NIT [HFNO and CPAP non-invasive ventilation (NIV)] were included in this study. Baseline clinical and laboratory data were collected retrospectively from the electronic hospital information system. NIT failure was defined as the need for invasive mechanical ventilation after the initiation of NIT in the ICU. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to find out the possible predictors of NIT failure. RESULTS: Out of 254 patients admitted to ICU, 127 patients were initiated NIT at admission to ICU. During the course of the ICU stay, 33 (26%) patients subsequently required invasive mechanical ventilation (NIT failure). Respiratory rate-oxygenation index (ROX index) of <2.97 at two hours and <3.63 at six hours of ICU admission predicted NIT failure in our cohort of patients with a high positive predictive value. CONCLUSION: Patient selection is crucial for successful NIT in COVID-19. Application of ROX index measured in the first six hours of ICU admission helps in the identification of patients at risk of NIT failure with moderate to severe COVID-19 ARDS.
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ProSealTM Laryngeal Mask Airway (PLMA) (Teleflex Medical, Westmeath, Ireland) is a versatile and popular reusable supraglottic airway device. The manufacturer advises maximum reuse of up to 40 times. However, excessive reuse of the device can cause rare complications. Here, we report a rather uncommon complication of intraoperative cuff rupture of a PLMA probably due to the combination of a forceful metal introducer tip insertion and nitrous oxide-based anaesthesia.
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BACKGROUND: Tocilizumab is used in severe COVID-19 yet has significant rates of treatment failure. OBJECTIVES: This retrospective study aimed to identify early predictors of the response to tocilizumab therapy. METHODS: Biochemical and clinical characteristics of adult patients who received tocilizumab for severe COVID-19 pneumonia were retrospectively examined. A multivariable logistic regression model was constructed to identify factors that could predict the failure of tocilizumab therapy. A predictive nomogram was also created using the selected model. RESULTS: Out of 101 eligible patients, 30 had treatment failure, and 71 survived on a 28-day follow-up. The partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (PFR) on the day of tocilizumab administration (100 vs 80.5), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; 668 vs 507 U/L), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NL ratio; 24.7 vs 10), and creatine kinase myocardial band (CKMB; 30.9 vs 22.7 U/L) were significantly different among the non-survivors and survivors, respectively. A logistic regression model was created, identifying LDH, NL ratio, pro-brain natriuretic peptide (ProBNP), and PFR on the day of tocilizumab administration as best predictors of mortality with an optimism-corrected area under the receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curve of 0.82. The model-implied odds ratios for mortality were 1.89 (95% CI 1.13-3.15) for every 100 U/L rise in serum LDH, 2.29 (95% CI 2.2-4.39) for every 10 unit rise in NL ratio, 1.23 (95% CI 0.95-1.58) for every 100 pg/ml increase in ProBNP, and 0.36 (95% CI 0.13-0.95) for every mmHg rise in PFR at intervention. CONCLUSION: This study identified NL ratio, LDH, CKMB, and PFR at intervention as important markers of risk of treatment failure following the tocilizumab therapy. A multivariable logistic regression model including LDH, NL ratio, ProBNP, and PFR at intervention best predicted the risk of mortality in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia treated with tocilizumab.