Investigating the Obesity Paradox in Colorectal Cancer: An Analysis of Prospectively Collected Data in a Diverse Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies are inconclusive regarding the effect of obesity on mortality in persons with colorectal cancer (CRC). We sought to determine the association of pre-diagnosis body mass index (BMI) trajectories on mortality after CRC diagnosis. METHODS: Utilizing the Multiethnic Cohort, we included adults aged 18-75 between 1 January 1993 and 1 January 2019 with a diagnosis of CRC and at least three available BMIs. The primary exposure, BMI, was subjected to group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM). We evaluated all-cause and CRC-specific mortality, using Cox proportional hazard (PH) models. RESULTS: Of 924 persons, the median age was 60 years, and 54% were female. There was no statistically significant association between pre-cancer BMI trajectory and either all-cause or cancer-specific mortality. In competing risk analysis, the risk of CRC-specific mortality was higher for African Americans (HR = 1.56, 95% CI [1.00-2.43], p = 0.048) and smokers (HR = 1.59, 95% CI [1.10-2.32], p = 0.015). Risk of all-cause mortality was higher for Hawaiian persons (HR = 2.85, 95% CI [1.31-6.21], p = 0.009) and persons with diabetes (HR = 1.83, 95% CI [1.08-3.10], p = 0.026). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-diagnosis BMI trajectories were not associated with mortality after CRC diagnosis, whereas race/ethnicity, diabetes, and smoking were associated with an increased risk of death. Our findings suggest the obesity paradox alone does not account for mortality after CRC diagnosis.

Integrated imaging probe and bispecific antibody development enables in vivo targeting of glypican-3-expressing hepatocellular carcinoma.

Glypican-3 (GPC3) is a proteoglycan with high sensitivity and specificity for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We describe the integrated development and validation of a GPC3-targeting optical imaging probe and T-cell redirecting antibody (TRAB) as a theranostic strategy for the detection and treatment of HCC. A novel TRAB targeting GPC3 on HCC tumor cells and the CD3 T-cell receptor as well as a distinct GPC3-specific optical imaging probe were developed from a short peptide. The efficacy of GPC3/CD3 TRAB was evaluated in vitro using interferon-γ release and calcein-AM assays. Patient-derived xenografts (PDX) were used to assess the in vivo efficacy of GPC3/CD3 TRAB and the GPC3 imaging probe for the detection of GPC3+ HCC. GPC3/CD3 TRAB caused a dose-dependent escalation in interferon-γ release from inactive peripheral blood T-cells (P = 0.001) and higher tumor-cell lysis (P = 0.01) compared to controls in vitro. Intratumorally injected GPC3/CD3 TRAB resulted in significant prolongation of tumor doubling time in the GPC3+ PDX mice, with an associated reduction of tumor fluorescent signal from the HiLyte 488- conjugated GPC3 specific peptide on optical imaging. HCC cell targeting using a GPC3/CD3 TRAB derived from a small peptide resulted in effective T-cell activation and induction of a cytotoxic response toward GPC3+ HCC tumor cells both in vitro and in vivo. GPC3-specific optical imaging enabled the detection of the GPC3+ HCC cells and noninvasive monitoring of tumor response to adoptive immunotherapy. The integrated development of a targeted therapeutic and molecular imaging probe provides a novel paradigm for developing cancer theranostics.

Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Survival in Patients With Cirrhosis After Hepatitis C Virus Cure.

Importance: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) declines over time after hepatitis C virus (HCV) cure by direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies. Liver society guidelines recommend continuing HCC screening for these patients, but data on screening outcomes are lacking. Objective: To evaluate the association of HCC screening after HCV cure with overall survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study evaluated patients with HCV cirrhosis who achieved DAA-induced HCV cure in the Veterans Affairs health care system between January 2014 and December 2022. Data analysis occurred from October 2023 to January 2024. Exposures: The percentage of time spent up to date with recommended HCC screening was calculated by year of follow-up and during the 4 years preceding HCC diagnosis (the detectable asymptomatic phase). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was overall survival after HCC diagnosis and was compared by percentage of time spent up to date with screening using Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional hazards regression. Early-stage HCC at diagnosis and curative treatment were secondary outcomes assessed using logistic regression. Results: A total of 16 902 individuals were included (median [IQR] age, 64.0 [60.5-67.4] years; 16 426 male [97.2%]), of whom 1622 developed HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC declined from 2.4% (409 of 16 902 individuals) to 1.0% (27 of 2833 individuals) from year 1 to year 7 of follow-up. Being up to date with screening for at least 50% of time during the 4 years preceding HCC diagnosis was associated with improved overall survival (log-rank test of equality over strata P = .002). In multivariate analysis, each 10% increase in follow-up spent up to date with screening was associated with a 3.2% decrease in the hazard of death (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99). There was a statistically significant interaction between time since HCV cure and screening, with no association observed among those who received a diagnosis of HCC more than 5 years after HCV cure. Each 10% of time spent up to date with screening was associated with a 10.1% increased likelihood of diagnosis with early-stage HCC (95% CI, 6.3%-14.0%) and a 6.8% increased likelihood of curative treatment (95% CI, 2.8%-11.0%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of persons with HCV-related cirrhosis who achieved HCV cure and subsequently developed HCC, remaining up to date with screening was associated with improved overall survival, supporting the screening of eligible individuals.

Clinical and genetic risk factors for progressive fibrosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Fibrosis-4 (FIB4) is a recommended noninvasive test to assess hepatic fibrosis among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Here, we used FIB4 trajectory over time (ie, "slope" of FIB4) as a surrogate marker of liver fibrosis progression and examined if FIB4 slope is associated with clinical and genetic factors among individuals with clinically defined MASLD within the Million Veteran Program Cohort. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, FIB4 slopes were estimated through linear regression for participants with clinically defined MASLD and FIB4 <2.67 at baseline. FIB4 slope was correlated with demographic parameters and clinical outcomes using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models. FIB4 slope as a quantitative phenotype was used in a genome-wide association analysis in ancestry-specific analysis and multiancestry meta-analysis using METAL. RESULTS: FIB4 slopes, generated from 98,361 subjects with MASLD (16,045 African, 74,320 European, and 7996 Hispanic), showed significant associations with sex, ancestry, and cardiometabolic risk factors (p < 0.05). FIB4 slopes also correlated strongly with hepatic outcomes and were independently associated with time to cirrhosis. Five genetic loci showed genome-wide significant associations (p < 5 × 10-8) with FIB4 slope among European ancestry subjects, including 2 known (PNPLA3 and TM6SF2) and 3 novel loci (TERT 5.1 × 10-11; LINC01088, 3.9 × 10-8; and MRC1, 2.9 × 10-9). CONCLUSIONS: Linear trajectories of FIB4 correlated significantly with time to progression to cirrhosis, with liver-related outcomes among individuals with MASLD and with known and novel genetic loci. FIB4 slope may be useful as a surrogate measure of fibrosis progression.

The Association Between Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor or Angiotensin Receptor Blocker Exposure and Key Cirrhosis-Related Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-I) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) may have hepatic benefits in patients with primarily chronic liver disease. ACE-I/ARB have not been evaluated in broad cohorts inclusive of those with decompensated cirrhosis. We analyzed the real-world association between ACE-I/ARB exposure and cirrhosis-related outcomes in a national cohort. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, active comparator new user study of patients with cirrhosis in the Veterans Health Administration. We identified new initiators of ACE-I/ARB or calcium channel blockers (comparator). Inverse probability treatment weighting balanced key confounders and Cox regression evaluated the association between ACE-I/ARB and outcomes of mortality, cirrhosis decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In exploratory analysis, cause-specific competing risk models evaluated liver-related vs cardiovascular (CV)-related vs nonliver/non-CV-related mortality. RESULTS: There were 904 ACE-I/ARB and 352 calcium channel blocker new initiators. In inverse probability treatment weighting Cox regression, ACE-I/ARB exposure was associated with reduced mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.81, P < 0.001). In patients with compensated cirrhosis, ACE-I/ARB were not associated with hepatic decompensation or HCC. Cause-specific hazard models showed ACE-I/ARB exposure was associated with reduction in nonliver/non-CV-related mortality (cause-specific HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.38-0.62, P < 0.001) but not liver-related or CV-related mortality. In Child-Turcotte-Pugh A patients, ACE-I/ARB were associated with decreased CV-related mortality (cause-specific HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.26-0.65, P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: ACE-I/ARB exposure was associated with reduced mortality, potentially through CV and other (renal, malignancy-related) mechanisms. In patients with compensated disease, ACE-I/ARB were not associated with hepatic decompensation or HCC. Future research should identify subsets of patients who benefit from ACE-I/ARB exposure.

Preoperative Hepatology and Primary Care Visits Improve Postoperative Outcomes in Patients with Cirrhosis Undergoing Surgery.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cirrhosis patients are at increased risk for postoperative complications. It remains unclear whether preoperative nonsurgical clinician visits improve postoperative outcomes. We assessed the impact of preoperative primary care physician (PCP) and/or gastroenterologist/hepatologist (GI/Hep) visits on postoperative mortality in cirrhosis patients undergoing surgery and explored differences in medication changes and paracentesis rates as potential mediators. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of cirrhosis patients in the Veterans Health Administration who underwent surgery between 2008 and 2016. We compared 1982 patients with preoperative PCP and/or GI/Hep visits with 1846 propensity-matched patients without preoperative visits. We used Cox regression and Fine and Gray competing risk regression to evaluate the association between preoperative visit type and postoperative mortality at 6 months. RESULTS: Patients with preoperative GI/Hep and PCP visits had a 45% lower hazard of postoperative mortality compared with those without preoperative visits (hazard ratio [HR], 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35-0.87). A smaller effect size was noted with GI/Hep preoperative visit alone (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.48-0.99) or PCP visit alone (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.53-0.93). Patients with preoperative PCP/GI/Hep visits were more likely to have diuretics, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis prophylaxis, and hepatic encephalopathy medications newly initiated and/or dose adjusted and more likely to receive preoperative paracentesis as compared with those without preoperative visits. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative PCP/GI/Hep visits are associated with a reduced risk of postoperative mortality with the greatest risk reduction observed in those with both PCP and GI/Hep visits. This synergistic effect highlights the importance of a multidisciplinary approach in the preoperative care of cirrhosis patients.

Phenotyping Hepatic Immune-Related Adverse Events in the Setting of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy.

PURPOSE: We present and validate a rule-based algorithm for the detection of moderate to severe liver-related immune-related adverse events (irAEs) in a real-world patient cohort. The algorithm can be applied to studies of irAEs in large data sets. METHODS: We developed a set of criteria to define hepatic irAEs. The criteria include: the temporality of elevated laboratory measurements in the first 2-14 weeks of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment, steroid intervention within 2 weeks of the onset of elevated laboratory measurements, and intervention with a duration of at least 2 weeks. These criteria are based on the kinetics of patients who experienced moderate to severe hepatotoxicity (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events grades 2-4). We applied these criteria to a retrospective cohort of 682 patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma and treated with ICI. All patients were required to have baseline laboratory measurements before and after the initiation of ICI. RESULTS: A set of 63 equally sampled patients were reviewed by two blinded, clinical adjudicators. Disagreements were reviewed and consensus was taken to be the ground truth. Of these, 25 patients with irAEs were identified, 16 were determined to be hepatic irAEs, 36 patients were nonadverse events, and two patients were of indeterminant status. Reviewers agreed in 44 of 63 patients, including 19 patients with irAEs (0.70 concordance, Fleiss' kappa: 0.43). By comparison, the algorithm achieved a sensitivity and specificity of identifying hepatic irAEs of 0.63 and 0.81, respectively, with a test efficiency (percent correctly classified) of 0.78 and outcome-weighted F1 score of 0.74. CONCLUSION: The algorithm achieves greater concordance with the ground truth than either individual clinical adjudicator for the detection of irAEs.

Integrative common and rare variant analyses provide insights into the genetic architecture of liver cirrhosis.

We report a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study on liver cirrhosis and its associated endophenotypes, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and γ-glutamyl transferase. Using data from 12 cohorts, including 18,265 cases with cirrhosis, 1,782,047 controls, up to 1 million individuals with liver function tests and a validation cohort of 21,689 cases and 617,729 controls, we identify and validate 14 risk associations for cirrhosis. Many variants are located near genes involved in hepatic lipid metabolism. One of these, PNPLA3 p.Ile148Met, interacts with alcohol intake, obesity and diabetes on the risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We develop a polygenic risk score that associates with the progression from cirrhosis to HCC. By focusing on prioritized genes from common variant analyses, we find that rare coding variants in GPAM associate with lower ALT, supporting GPAM as a potential target for therapeutic inhibition. In conclusion, this study provides insights into the genetic underpinnings of cirrhosis.

GALILEO: Galactic Axion Laser Interferometer Leveraging Electro-Optics.

We propose a novel experimental method for probing light dark matter candidates. We show that an electro-optical material's refractive index is modified in the presence of a coherently oscillating dark matter background. A high-precision resonant Michelson interferometer can be used to read out this signal. The proposed detection scheme allows for the exploration of an uncharted parameter space of dark matter candidates over a wide range of masses-including masses exceeding a few tens of microelectronvolts, which is a challenging parameter space for microwave cavity haloscopes.

The Impact of Weight Loss Programs on BMI Trajectory in Patients with Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Veterans Health Administration Study.

BACKGROUND: Weight loss is the mainstay of management for patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. We studied the impact of referral to MOVE!, a nationally-implemented behavioral weight loss program, on weight in MASLD patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 102,294 MASLD patients from 125 Veterans Health Administration centers from 2008-2022. RESULTS: Most patients lost no significant weight or gained weight. Increased engagement with MOVE! was associated with greater hazard of significant weight loss compared to no engagement. CONCLUSION: A minority of patients experienced significant weight loss through 5 years using lifestyle interventions alone.

A Clinical Prediction Model to Assess Risk for Pancreatic Cancer Among Patients With Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model as the first step in a sequential screening strategy to identify acute pancreatitis (AP) individuals at risk for pancreatic cancer (PC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study among individuals 40 years or older with a hospitalization for AP in the US Veterans Health Administration. For variable selection, we used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with 10-fold cross-validation to identify a parsimonious logistic regression model for predicting the outcome, PC diagnosed within 2 years after AP. We evaluated model discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: Among 51,613 eligible study patients with AP, 801 individuals were diagnosed with PC within 2 years. The final model (area under the receiver operating curve, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.73) included histories of gallstones, pancreatic cyst, alcohol use, smoking, and levels of bilirubin, triglycerides, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and albumin. If the predicted risk threshold was set at 2% over 2 years, 20.3% of the AP population would undergo definitive screening, identifying nearly 50% of PC associated with AP. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a prediction model using widely available clinical factors to identify high-risk patients with PC-associated AP, the first step in a sequential screening strategy.

The Association Between Homelessness and Key Liver-Related Outcomes in Veterans With Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Homelessness adversely affects patient outcomes in broad cohort studies; however, its impact on key liver-related outcomes in patients with cirrhosis is understudied. We aimed to address this knowledge gap using data from the Veterans Health Administration, a cohort disproportionately affected by homelessness. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of the Veterans Health Administration patients with incident cirrhosis diagnosis between January 2008 and February 2022. Homeless status was classified at baseline and as time-updating variable during follow-up. Inverse probability treatment weighted Cox regression was performed to evaluate the association between homelessness and outcomes of all-cause mortality, cirrhosis decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma. RESULTS: A total of 117,698 patients were included in the cohort, of whom 14,243 (12.1%) were homeless at baseline. In inverse probability treatment weighted Cox regression, homelessness was associated with a 24% higher hazard of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-1.26, P < 0.001). However, in competing risk regression models, homelessness was associated with a reduced subhazard of decompensation (subhazard ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.84-0.88, P < 0.001) and hepatocellular carcinoma (subhazard ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.83-0.89, P < 0.001). In cause-specific mortality analysis, homeless patients had significantly increased non-liver-related and liver-related mortality; however, the magnitude of effect size was greater for non-liver-related mortality (csHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.35-1.40, P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: Homelessness in veterans with cirrhosis is associated with increased all-cause mortality; however, this is likely mediated primarily through non-liver-related factors. Future studies are needed to explore drivers of mortality and improve mitigation strategies in these patients.

Refractory hepatic hydrothorax is associated with increased mortality with death occurring at lower MELD-Na compared to cirrhosis and refractory ascites.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although refractory hepatic hydrothorax (RH) is a serious complication of cirrhosis, waitlisted patients do not receive standardized Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) exemption because of inadequate evidence suggesting mortality above biochemical MELD. This study aimed to examine liver-related death (LRD) associated with RH compared to refractory ascites (RA). APPROACH AND RESULTS: This was a retrospective cohort study of Veterans with cirrhosis. Eligibility criteria included participants with RH or RA, followed from their first therapeutic thoracentesis/second paracentesis until death or transplantation. The primary outcome was LRD with non-LRD or transplantation as competing risk. Of 2552 patients with cirrhosis who underwent therapeutic thoracentesis/paracentesis, 177 met criteria for RH and 422 for RA. RH was associated with a significantly higher risk of LRD (adjusted HR [aHR] 4.63, 95% CI 3.31-6.48) than RA overall and within all MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) strata (<10 aHR 4.08, 95% CI 2.30-7.24, 10-14.9 aHR 5.68, 95% CI 2.63-12.28, 15-24.9 aHR 4.14, 95% CI 2.34-7.34, ≥25 aHR 7.75, 95% CI 2.99-20.12). LRD was higher among participants requiring 1 (aHR 3.54, 95% CI 2.29-5.48), 2-3 (aHR 4.39, 95% CI 2.91-6.63), and ≥4 (aHR 7.89, 95% CI 4.82-12.93) thoracenteses relative to RA. Although participants with RH and RA had similar baseline MELD-Na, LRD occurred in RH versus RA at a lower MELD-Na (16.5 vs. 21.82, p =0.002) but higher MELD 3.0 (27.85 vs. 22.48, p <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: RH was associated with higher risk of LRD than RA at equivalent MELD-Na. By contrast, MELD 3.0 may better predict risk of LRD in RH.

Liver Stiffness Measurement and Risk Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After HCV Eradication in Veterans With Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with cirrhosis secondary to chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) are at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) despite a sustained virological response (SVR). We examined whether post-SVR liver stiffness measurement (LSM) could be used to stratify HCC risk. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 1850 participants identified from the Veterans Health Administration, with HCV cirrhosis and SVR, followed up over 5099 person-years, from the time of post-SVR elastography until death, HCC, or the end of the study. RESULTS: The risk of HCC increased by 3% with every 1-kPa increase in LSM (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.04; P < .001) and decreased with the number of years from SVR (aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.90; P = .0003). The adjusted annual risk of HCC was 2.03% among participants with post-SVR LSM <10 kPa, 2.48% in LSM 10-14.9 kPa (aHR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.01-2.88; P = .046), 3.22% for LSM 15-19.9 kPa (aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 0.78-3.20; P = .20), 5.07% among LSM 20-24.9 kPa (aHR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.30-5.01; P = .01), and 5.44% in LSM ≥25 kPa (aHR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.74-5.26; P < .0001). The adjusted annual risk of HCC was < 0.4% in participants with LSM <5 kPa and without diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: LSM predicts rates of HCC in patients with HCV cirrhosis after SVR at multiple cutoff levels and offers a single test to predict portal hypertension-related complications and HCC. Patients with LSM <5 kPa in the absence of diabetes mellitus had a low risk of HCC in which surveillance could be discontinued.