Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model for serious complications after emergency laparotomy.

PURPOSE: Emergency laparotomy (EL) is a common operation with high risk for postoperative complications, thereby requiring accurate risk stratification to manage vulnerable patients optimally. We developed and internally validated a predictive model of serious complications after EL. METHODS: Data for eleven carefully selected candidate predictors of 30-day postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo grade > = 3) were extracted from the HELAS cohort of EL patients in 11 centres in Greece and Cyprus. Logistic regression with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) was applied for model development. Discrimination and calibration measures were estimated and clinical utility was explored with decision curve analysis (DCA). Reproducibility and heterogeneity were examined with Bootstrap-based internal validation and Internal-External Cross-Validation. The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (ACS-NSQIP) model was applied to the same cohort to establish a benchmark for the new model. RESULTS: From data on 633 eligible patients (175 complication events), the SErious complications After Laparotomy (SEAL) model was developed with 6 predictors (preoperative albumin, blood urea nitrogen, American Society of Anaesthesiology score, sepsis or septic shock, dependent functional status, and ascites). SEAL had good discriminative ability (optimism-corrected c-statistic: 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.81), calibration (optimism-corrected calibration slope: 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.03) and overall fit (scaled Brier score: 25.1%, 95% CI 24.1-26.1%). SEAL compared favourably with ACS-NSQIP in all metrics, including DCA across multiple risk thresholds. CONCLUSION: SEAL is a simple and promising model for individualized risk predictions of serious complications after EL. Future external validations should appraise SEAL's transportability across diverse settings.

Open Management of an Asymptomatic 4.2 Cm Middle Colic Artery Aneurysm and Liteture Review.

BACKGROUND: Aneurysms of the middle colic artery (MCAA) and its branches are exceedingly rare accounting for <3% of total visceral aneurysms. Very few MCAA cases have been reported in the literature with only three cases accounting for a diameter >4 cm. METHOD: We describe the successful open repair with ligation of a 4.2 cm asymptomatic MCAA in a female patient through the gastrohepatic ligament taking meticulous caution to avoid injury of the pancreas. The postoperative period was uneventful and the patient was discharged from the hospital on the fifth postoperative day. At 1 month follow-up the postoperative computed tomographic angiography documented complete exclusion of the MCAA and absence of contrast agent in the sac both in the arterial and the venous phase. CONCLUSION: While the endovascular treatment is the first-line option for visceral aneurysms, the open approach is still reserved for certain cases of hostile anatomy, challenging location and large size. Our case highlights the irreplaceable role of open surgery and underlines the collaboration between surgical specialties.

Gangrenous Cystitis: A Rare Case Report.

Gangrenous cystitis is a rare condition of the urinary bladder with bladder wall ischemia as the main etiopathogenic factor and constitutes a surgical emergency. The risk factors for this condition include diabetes mellitus, prolonged labor, and topical chemotherapy, and the condition must be immediately treated because of its high mortality rate. This report describes a rare case of a patient with gangrenous cystitis who underwent radical surgical treatment; the incidence, etiology, diagnosis, management, and outcomes are also discussed.

Prospective multicenter external validation of postoperative mortality prediction tools in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy.

BACKGROUND: Accurate preoperative risk assessment in emergency laparotomy (EL) is valuable for informed decision making and rational use of resources. Available risk prediction tools have not been validated adequately across diverse health care settings. Herein, we report a comparative external validation of four widely cited prognostic models. METHODS: A multicenter cohort was prospectively composed of consecutive patients undergoing EL in 11 Greek hospitals from January 2020 to May 2021 using the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) inclusion criteria. Thirty-day mortality risk predictions were calculated using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP), NELA, Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the Enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity (P-POSSUM), and Predictive Optimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk tools. Surgeons' assessment of postoperative mortality using predefined cutoffs was recorded, and a surgeon-adjusted ACS-NSQIP prediction was calculated when the original model's prediction was relatively low. Predictive performances were compared using scaled Brier scores, discrimination and calibration measures and plots, and decision curve analysis. Heterogeneity across hospitals was assessed by random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 631 patients were included, and 30-day mortality was 16.3%. The ACS-NSQIP and its surgeon-adjusted version had the highest scaled Brier scores. All models presented high discriminative ability, with concordance statistics ranging from 0.79 for P-POSSUM to 0.85 for NELA. However, except the surgeon-adjusted ACS-NSQIP (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p = 0.742), all other models were poorly calibrated ( p < 0.001). Decision curve analysis revealed superior clinical utility of the ACS-NSQIP. Following recalibrations, predictive accuracy improved for all models, but ACS-NSQIP retained the lead. Between-hospital heterogeneity was minimum for the ACS-NSQIP model and maximum for P-POSSUM. CONCLUSION: The ACS-NSQIP tool was most accurate for mortality predictions after EL in a broad external validation cohort, demonstrating utility for facilitating preoperative risk management in the Greek health care system. Subjective surgeon assessments of patient prognosis may optimize ACS-NSQIP predictions. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Test/Criteria; Level II.

Obstruction of the right stem bronchus due to ovarian local metastasis: a 5-year follow-up.

Currently interventional bronchoscopy is used for debulking, desobstruction and airway patency stabilization. The interventional techniques are being used for both benign and malignant cases. There are two types of stents that are currently being used, silicon and self-expandable metallic. The method of application and stent remains for the treating physician to choose. In the current case we will present a case of metastatic disease from ovarian cancer in the airway lumen and a long term follow-up.

Pancreatic Cancer from Molecular Pathways to Treatment Opinion.

Pancreatic cancer is considered one of the most lethal malignances. It has been observed that the five year survival rate is less than 5%. Early diagnosis, understanding the risk factors and investigation of the molecular pathways with targeted therapy are the keys for efficient treatment. Moreover; there are several local treatments for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. There are several combined therapies with chemotherapy and radiotherapy, however; a local therapy approach for many patients with poor performance status are in need. For those patients with good performance status new polychemotherapy regimens are used with success and increased survival improvement. Polychemotherapy has been observed to increase the rate of radical resections in some cases. Second line therapy is used for patients with good performance status and metastatic disease. Oxaliplatin-based regimens are mostly used, however; there are several other drugs that are being developed. Unfortunately, targeted therapy has not presented the expected efficiency. Moreover; immunotherapy; another treatment approach for several cancers types has again failed to present positive results for pancreatic cancer. In the current mini review, we will present information from the diagnosis to molecular pathways and targeted treatment.

Biliary tract injuries after lap cholecystectomy-types, surgical intervention and timing.

Bile duct lesions, including leaks and strictures, are immanent complications of open or laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC). Endoscopic procedures have gained increasing potential as the treatment of choice in the management of postoperative bile duct injuries. Bile duct injury (BDI) is a severe and potentially life-threatening complication of LC. Several series have described a 0.5% to 0.6% incidence of BDI during LC. Early recognition and an adequate multidisciplinary approach are the cornerstones for the optimal final outcome. Suboptimal management of injuries often leads to more extensive damage to the biliary tree and its vasculature. Early referral to a tertiary care center with experienced hepatobiliary surgeons and skilled interventional radiologists would appear to be necessary to assure optimal results.

Increasing incidence of colon cancer in patients <50 years old: a new entity?

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer type in humans, the fourth most common cause of death because of cancer, and the second most common cancer type in terms of the number of individuals living with cancer 5 years after diagnosis worldwide, almost 694,000 people die from CRC annually. As it is expected is more frequent in older patients (patients older than 70 years old than in young patients (patients younger than 40 years old). The incidence of CRC in young adults is rising the last years and this fact arises the question; is this coincidence or is young adult CRC a real epidemy. In our current commentary we try and elucidate based on current data whether disease on young individuals is a new entity.

Prediction of Lumbar Disc Herniation Patients' Satisfaction with the Aid of an Artificial Neural Network.

AIM: To identify key determinants of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) patients' satisfaction and to evaluate the efficiency of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to prognosticate satisfaction derived from the hospital stay in this specific patient group. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A single item question was used to assess patient satisfaction. Principal component analysis evaluated several aspects of care (15 items). An ANN encompassed all variables and its prediction ability was tested. The ANN performance was correlated to a binary logistic regression (BLR) model. RESULTS: Higher levels of satisfaction were reported by females, older patients, Greeks, and patients with elementary education staying in not rural areas. A history of a single previous hospitalisation was correlated with more satisfaction. The accuracy of ANN was 96% for satisfaction prediction outperforming the BLR model. CONCLUSION: Satisfactory health services are influenced by sex, age, nationality, and number of prior admissions. The self-perceived health state plays also a crucial role. The current study is the first one reporting on the capability of an ANN to accurately predict the satisfaction levels of LDH patients.

Myocarditis, pancreatitis, polyarthritis, mononeuritis multiplex and vasculitis with symmetrical peripheral gangrene of the lower extremities as a rare presentation of leptospirosis: a case report and review of the literature.

INTRODUCTION: Leptospirosis is a zoonosis caused by the spirochete, Leptospira interrogans. While most cases of leptospirosis are mild to moderate, the course may be complicated by multiorgan dysfunction. We present a rare case of leptospirosis with acute myocarditis, pancreatitis, polyarthritis, mononeuritis multiplex and severe vasculitis with necrosis of the extremities. CASE PRESENTATION: A 32-year-old man from Congo presented with high-grade fever, confusion and headache. He developed tachycardia and hypotension followed by electrocardiogram changes and elevation of troponin I levels suggesting myocarditis. A physical examination revealed conjunctival suffusion, polyarthritis of his lower extremities and cutaneous necrosis of his feet due to vasculitis. Laboratory findings included amylase levels 10-fold the upper normal serum levels and thrombocytopenia. The diagnosis was confirmed by a positive leptospira immunoglobulin M, negative immunoglobulin G and a positive rapid agglutination test. Our patient recovered progressively with antimicrobials and supportive care. CONCLUSIONS: Because the clinical features and diagnostic findings of leptospirosis are not specific, a high index of suspicion must be maintained for the diagnosis. Serology is the most important tool for accurate and quick diagnosis in order to administer the appropriate therapy.

Virtual reality implementation in neurosurgical practice: the "can't take my eyes off you" effect.

During the last few years, virtual reality (VR) has been increasingly implemented in the neurosurgical practice. The scope of this paper is to briefly outline the educational role of this novel technology in training surgeons. At the same time, the ability of VR workstations such as the Dextroscope® to consistently simulate the surgical trajectory to the lesion-target is highlighted. The authors shed light to the current applications of VR systems in the neurosurgical field by describing not only the advantages of those systems, but their principal drawbacks as well. It seems that VR has come to stay and it is already the new best friend of residents due to its "Can't take my eyes off you effect".

Giuseppe Gradenigo: Much more than a syndrome! Historical vignette.

BACKGROUND: Giuseppe Gradenigo (1859-1926), a legendary figure of Otology, was born in Venice, Italy. He soon became a pupil to Adam Politzer and Samuel Leopold Schenk in Vienna, demonstrating genuine interest in the embryology, morphology, physiopathology, as well as the clinical manifestations of ear diseases. In this paper, the authors attempt to highlight the major landmarks during Gradenigo's career and outline his contributions to neurosciences, which have been viewed as looking forward to the 20(th) century rather than awkward missteps at the end of the 19(th). METHODS: Several rare photographs along with many non-English, more than a century old articles have been meticulously selected to enrich this historical journey in time. RESULTS: It was after Gradenigo that the well-known syndrome consisting of diplopia and facial pain due to a middle ear infection was named. However, Gradenigo was much more than a syndrome. Surprisingly, despite the fact that he is considered a pioneer of the Italian Otology of the late 19(th) and early 20(th) century, little is written of his life and his notable achievements in the English literature. CONCLUSIONS: Even though his name lives on nowadays only in the eponym "Gradenigo's syndrome," his accomplishments are much wider and cast him among the emblematic figures of science. His inherent tendency for discovering the underlying mechanisms of diseases and his vision of guaranteeing quality of services, professional proficiency, respect, and dedication toward the patients is in fact what constitutes his true legacy to the next generations.