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1.
J Infect ; : 106206, 2024 Jun 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38897239

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The risk of Post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) under hybrid immunity remains unclear. METHODS: Using data from the German National Cohort (NAKO Gesundheitsstudie), we investigated risk factors for self-reported post-infection symptoms (any PCC is defined as having at least one symptom, and high symptom burden PCC as having nine or more symptoms). RESULTS: Sixty percent of 109,707 participants reported at least one previous SARS-CoV-2 infection; 35% reported having had any symptoms 4-12 months after infection; among them 23% reported nine or more symptoms. Individuals, who did not develop PCC after their first infection, had a strongly reduced risk for PCC after their second infection (50%) and a temporary risk reduction, which waned over nine months after the preceding infection. The risk of developing PCC strongly depended on the virus variant. Within variants, there was no effect of the number of preceding vaccinations, apart from a strong protection by the fourth vaccination compared to three vaccinations for the Omicron variant (odds ratio=0.52; 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.61). CONCLUSIONS: Previous infections without PCC and a fourth vaccination were associated with a lower risk of PCC after a new infection, indicating diminished risk under hybrid immunity. The two components of risk reduction after a preceding infection suggest different immunological mechanisms.

2.
J Hosp Infect ; 2024 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38885930

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Emergency departments (EDs) are a critical entry gate for infectious agents into hospitals. In this interdisciplinary study, we explore how infection prevention and control (IPC) architectural interventions mitigate the spread of emerging respiratory pathogens using the example of SARS-CoV-2 in a prototypical ED. METHODS: Using an agent-based approach, we integrate data on patients' and healthcare workers' (HCWs) routines and the architectural characteristics of key ED areas. We estimate the number of transmissions in the ED by modelling the interactions between and among patients and HCWs. Architectural interventions are guided towards the gradual separation of pathogen carriers, compliance with a minimum interpersonal distance, and deconcentrating airborne pathogens (higher air exchange rates (AERs)). Interventions are epidemiologically evaluated for their mitigation effects on diverse endpoints. RESULTS: Simulation results indicate that higher AERs in the ED (compared to baseline) may provide a moderate level of infection mitigation (incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.95 (95% CI 0.93 - 0.98)) while the overall burden decreases more when separating rooms in examination areas (IRR of 0.78 (95% CI 0.76 - 0.81)) or when increasing the size of the ED base (IRR of 0.79 (95% CI 0.78 - 0.81)). The reduction in SARS-CoV-2-associated nosocomial transmissions is largest when combining architectural interventions (IRR of 0.61 (95% CI 0.59 - 0.63)). CONCLUSIONS: These modelling results highlight the importance of IPC architectural interventions; they can be devised independently of profound knowledge of an emerging pathogen, focusing on technical, constructive, and functional components. These results may inform public health decision-makers and hospital architects on how IPC architectural interventions can be optimally used in healthcare premises.

3.
Head Face Med ; 20(1): 29, 2024 May 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38730394

RESUMO

Forensic age assessment in the living can provide legal certainty when an individual's chronological age is unknown or when age-related information is questionable. An established method involves assessing the eruption of mandibular third molars through dental panoramic radiographs (PAN). In age assessment procedures, the respective findings are compared to reference data. The objective of this study was to generate new reference data in line with the required standards for mandibular third molar eruption within a German population. For this purpose, 605 PANs from 302 females and 303 males aged 15.04 to 25.99 years were examined. The PANs were acquired between 2013 and 2020, and the development of the mandibular third molars was rated independently by two experienced examiners using the Olze et al. staging scale from 2012. In case of disagreement in the assigned ratings, a consensus was reached through arbitration. While the mean, median and minimum ages were observed to increase with each stage of mandibular third molar eruption according to the Olze method, there was considerable overlap in the distribution of age between the stages. The minimum age for stage D, which corresponds to complete tooth eruption, was 16.1 years for females and 17.1 years for males. Thus, the completion of mandibular third molar eruption was found in both sexes before reaching the age of 18. In all individuals who had at least one tooth with completed eruption and who were younger than 17.4 years of age (n = 10), mineralization of the teeth in question was not complete. Based on our findings, the feature of assessing mandibular third molar eruption in PAN cannot be relied upon for determining age of majority.


Assuntos
Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes , Dente Serotino , Radiografia Panorâmica , Erupção Dentária , Humanos , Radiografia Panorâmica/métodos , Dente Serotino/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Feminino , Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes/métodos , Adolescente , Erupção Dentária/fisiologia , Alemanha , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Valores de Referência
4.
Eur J Health Econ ; 2024 May 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727776

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Insufficient physical activity (PA) is a leading risk factor for non-communicable diseases posing a significant economic burden to healthcare systems and societies. The study aimed to examine the differences in healthcare and indirect costs between sufficient and insufficient PA and the cost differences between PA intensity groups. METHODS: The cross-sectional analysis was based on data from 157,648 participants in the baseline examination of the German National Cohort (NAKO) study. Healthcare and indirect costs were calculated based on self-reported information on health-related resource use and productivity losses. PA in the domains leisure, transport, and work was assessed by the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire and categorized into sufficient/insufficient and intensity levels (very low/low/medium/high) based on PA recommendations of the World Health Organization. Two-part models adjusted for relevant covariates were used to estimate mean costs for PA groups. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Insufficiently active people had higher average annual healthcare costs (Δ €188, 95% CI [64, 311]) and healthcare plus indirect costs (Δ €482, 95% CI [262, 702]) compared to sufficiently active people. The difference was especially evident in the population aged 60 + years and when considering only leisure PA. An inverse association was observed between leisure PA and costs, whereas a direct association was found between PA at work and costs. Adjusting for the number of comorbidities reduced the differences between activity groups, but the trend persisted. The association between PA and costs differed in direction between PA domains. Future research may provide further insight into the temporal relationship between PA and costs.

5.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727861

RESUMO

Valid reference data are essential for reliable forensic age assessment procedures in the living, a fact that extends to the trait of mandibular third molar eruption in dental panoramic radiographs (PAN). The objective of this study was to acquire valid reference data for a northern Chinese population. The study was guided by the criteria for reference studies in age assessment.To this end, a study population from China comprising 917 panoramic radiographs obtained from 430 females and 487 males aged between 15.00 and 25.99 years was analysed. Of the 917 PANs, a total of 1230 mandibular third molars were evaluated.The PANs, retrospectively evaluated, were performed for medical indication during the period from 2016 to 2021. The assessment of mandibular third molars was conducted using the staging scale presented by Olze et al. in 2012. Two independent examiners, trained in assessing PANs for forensic age estimation, evaluated the images. In instances where the two examiners diverged in their assessments these were subsequently deliberated, and a consensus stage was assigned.The mean age increased with higher stages for both teeth and both sexes. The minimum age recorded for stage D, indicating complete tooth eruption, was 15.6 years in females and 16.1 years in males. Consequently, the completion of mandibular third molar eruption was observed in both sexes well before reaching the age of 18. In light of our results, it is evident that relying solely on the assessment of mandibular third molar eruption may not be sufficient for accurately determining the age of majority. Contrary to previous literature, this finding of a completed eruption of the mandibular third molars in northern Chinese individuals is only suitable for detecting the completion of the 16th year of life in males according to our results. However, as the results are inconsistent compared to other studies in the literature, the trait should not be used as the only decisive marker to prove this age threshold in males from northern China.

6.
Int J Legal Med ; 2024 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38730060

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Evaluation of the eruption of mandibular third molars in orthopantomograms (OPGs) is a method of forensic age assessment. The objective of our study was to provide valid reference data for this trait within a population of black South Africans. The study was guided by the criteria for reference studies in age assessment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A study population from Pretoria, South Africa comprising 670 OPGs obtained from 338 black females and 332 black males aged between 15.00 and 25.97 years was analysed. All OPGs were performed for medical indication during the period from 2011 to 2022 and were retrospectively evaluated. From the 670 OPGs, a total of 1021 mandibular third molars were evaluated. The assessment of mandibular third molars was conducted using the staging scale presented by Olze et al. in 2012. Two experienced dentists evaluated the OPGs independently of each other. If the two examiners diverged in their assessments, a consensus stage was assigned. RESULTS: As expected, the mean, median and minimal age increased with higher stages for both teeth and both sexes. The minimum age recorded for stage D, indicating complete tooth eruption, was 15.79 years in females and 16.62 years in males. CONCLUSION: As it is the case for previous reference studies in other countries, placing exclusive reliance on the evaluation of mandibular third molar eruption is inadequate for ascertaining the age of majority among Black South Africans. Future studies need to examine if our results are transferable to other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.

7.
J Hepatol ; 2024 May 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38821361

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: After pediatric liver transplantation (pLT), children undergo life-long immunosuppression since reliable biomarkers for the assessment of rejection probability are scarce. In the multicentre (n=7) prospective clinical cohort "ChilSFree" study, we aimed to characterize longitudinal dynamics of soluble and cellular immune mediators during the first year after pLT and identify early biomarkers associated with outcome. METHODS: Using paired Luminex-based multiplex technique and flow cytometry, we characterized longitudinal dynamics of soluble immune mediators (SIM, n=50) and immune cells in the blood of 244 patients at 8 visits over one year: before, 7/14/21/28 days, 3/6/12 months after pLT. RESULTS: The unsupervised clustering of patients based on SIM profiles revealed 6 unique SIM signatures associated with clinical outcome. From 3 signatures linked to improved outcome, one was associated with one-year-long rejection-free survival and stable graft function and was characterized by low levels of pro-inflammatory (CXCL8/9/10/12, CCL7, SCGF-ß, sICAM-1), high levels of regenerative (SCF, TNF-ß), and pro-apoptotic (TRAIL) SIM (all, p<0.001, fold change >100). Of note, this SIM signature appeared two weeks after pLT and remained stable over the entire year, pointing towards its potential as a novel early biomarker for minimizing or weaning immunosuppression. In the blood of these patients, a higher frequency of CD56bright NK cells (p<0.01), a known hallmark also associated with operationally tolerant pLT patients, was detected. The concordance of the model for prediction of rejection based on identified SIM signatures was 0.715, and 0.795, in combination with living-related transplantation as co-variate, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: SIM blood signatures may enable the non-invasive and early assessment of rejection risks in the first year after pLT, paving the way to improved therapeutic options.

9.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 169: 111314, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38432525

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: In this study, we evaluate how to estimate diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) correctly in the presence of longitudinal patient data (ie, repeated test applications per patient). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We used a nonparametric approach to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of three tests for different target conditions with varying characteristics (ie, episode length and disease-free intervals between episodes): 1) systemic inflammatory response syndrome (n = 36), 2) depression (n = 33), and 3) epilepsy (n = 30). DTA was estimated on the levels 'time', 'block', and 'patient-time' for each diagnosis, representing different research questions. The estimation was conducted for the time units per minute, per hour, and per day. RESULTS: A comparison of DTA per and across use cases showed variations in the estimates, which resulted from the used level, the time unit, the resulting number of observations per patient, and the diagnosis-specific characteristics. Intra- and inter-use-case comparisons showed that the time-level had the highest DTA, particularly the larger the time unit, and that the patient-time-level approximated 50% sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSION: Researchers need to predefine their choices (ie, estimation levels and time units) based on their individual research aims, estimands, and diagnosis-specific characteristics of the target outcomes to make sure that unbiased and clinically relevant measures are communicated. In cases of uncertainty, researchers could report the DTA of the test using more than one estimation level and/or time unit.


Assuntos
Epilepsia , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Epilepsia/diagnóstico , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/estatística & dados numéricos , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/normas , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica/diagnóstico , Depressão/diagnóstico , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto
10.
Prev Med Rep ; 41: 102677, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38533391

RESUMO

Objective: To determine the association between personality characteristics and use of different cancer screenings. Methods: We used data from the German National Cohort (NAKO; mean age was 53.0 years (SD: 9.2 years)) - a population-based cohort study. A total of 132,298 individuals were included in the analyses. As outcome measures, we used (self-reported): stool examination for blood (haemoccult test, early detection of bowel cancer), colonoscopy (screening for colorectal cancer), skin examination for moles (early detection of skin cancer), breast palpation by a doctor (early detection of breast cancer), x-ray examination of the breast ("mammography", early detection of breast cancer), cervical smear test, finger examination of the rectum (early detection of prostate cancer), and blood test for prostate cancer (determination of Prostate-Specific Antigen level). The established Big Five Inventory-SOEP was used to quantify personality factors. It was adjusted for several covariates based on the Andersen model. Unadjusted and adjusted multiple logistic regressions were computed. Results: A higher probability of having a skin examination for moles, for example, was associated with a higher conscientiousness (OR: 1.07, p < 0.001), higher extraversion (OR: 1.03, p < 0.001), higher agreeableness (OR: 1.02, p < 0.001), lower openness to experience (OR: 0.98, p < 0.001) and higher neuroticism (OR: 1.07, p < 0.001) among the total sample. Depending on the outcome used, the associations slightly varied. Conclusions: Particularly higher levels of extraversion, neuroticism and conscientiousness are associated with the use of different cancer screenings. Such knowledge may help to better understand non-participation in cancer screening examinations from a psychological perspective.

11.
Int J Legal Med ; 138(4): 1523-1531, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38367027

RESUMO

Various staging scales have been proposed for the assessment of the visibility of the periodontal ligament space of mandibular third molars on dental panoramic radiographs (PANs) for forensic age assessment in living individuals. However, up to now, there has been no systematic comparison between these staging scales available. We directly compared the 2010 staging scale proposed by Olze et al. with the 2017 staging by Lucas et al. and the 2020 staging by Guo et al. in a German study population. We evaluated 233 PANs from 115 females and 118 males aged 20.0 to 40.9 years using three independent examiners, with one examiner conducting two assessments. We examined the correlation between age and stage, as well as the inter- and intra-rater reliabilities. While the point estimates for the correlation coefficient and the reliability measures were lowest for the Guo scale and highest for the Olze scale, confidence intervals showed a large overlap, particularly for the scales of Olze et al. and Lucas et al. The correlation coefficients between stage and age were consistently lower in females than in males across all methods. In summary, we showed that the staging scales of Olze et al. and Lucas et al. were very similar. The Olze method showed higher point estimates across all analyses, and because there are more reference data available for this method, we argue that it should be preferred as the method of choice for further studies in the field. However, Guo method could be considered for instances, in which the inter-radicular periodontal ligament is not evaluable.


Assuntos
Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes , Dente Serotino , Ligamento Periodontal , Radiografia Panorâmica , Humanos , Dente Serotino/diagnóstico por imagem , Dente Serotino/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Masculino , Feminino , Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes/métodos , Ligamento Periodontal/diagnóstico por imagem , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Mandíbula/diagnóstico por imagem , Mandíbula/anatomia & histologia
12.
Dtsch Arztebl Int ; 121(7): 207-213, 2024 Apr 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38377337

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a worldwide health problem. We conducted detailed analyses of anthropometric measures in a comprehensive, population-based, current cohort in Germany. METHODS: In the German National Cohort (NAKO), we analyzed cross-sectional data on body mass index (BMI), waist and hip circumference, subcutaneous (SAT) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) as measured by ultrasound, and body fat percentage. The data were stratified by sex, age, and self-reported physicians' diagnoses of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), metabolic diseases (MetD), cardiometabolic diseases (CMD), and cancer. RESULTS: Data were available from 204 751 participants (age, 49.9 ± 12.8 years; 50.5% women). Body size measures generally increased with age. Men had a higher BMI, larger waist circumference, and more VAT than women, while women had a larger hip circumference, more SAT, and a higher body fat percentage than men. For example, the mean BMI of participants over age 60 was 28.3 kg/m2 in men and 27.6 kg/m2 in women. CVD, MetD, and CMD were associated with higher anthropometric values, while cancer was not. For example, the mean BMI was 25.3 kg/m2 in healthy women, 29.4 kg/m2 in women with CMD, and 25.4 kg/m2 in women with cancer. CONCLUSION: Obesity is widespread in Germany, with notable differences between the sexes in anthro - pometric values. Obesity was more common in older participants and those with chronic diseases other than cancer. Elevated values were especially common in multimorbid individuals.


Assuntos
Antropometria , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Antropometria/métodos , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , Nível de Saúde , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Sexo , Distribuição por Idade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Idoso
13.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 433, 2024 Feb 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38347566

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic restrictions posed challenges to maintaining healthy lifestyles and physical well-being. During the first mobility restrictions from March to mid-July 2020, the German population was advised to stay home, except for work, exercise, and essential shopping. Our objective was to comprehensively assess the impact of these restrictions on changes in physical activity and sedentary behavior to identify the most affected groups. METHODS: Between April 30, 2020, and May 12, 2020, we distributed a COVID-19-specific questionnaire to participants of the German National Cohort (NAKO). This questionnaire gathered information about participants' physical activity and sedentary behavior currently compared to the time before the restrictions. We integrated this new data with existing information on anxiety, depressive symptoms, and physical activity. The analyses focused on sociodemographic factors, social relationships, physical health, and working conditions. RESULTS: Out of 152,421 respondents, a significant proportion reported altered physical activity and sedentary behavioral patterns due to COVID-19 restrictions. Over a third of the participants initially meeting the WHO's physical activity recommendation could no longer meet the guidelines during the restrictions. Participants reported substantial declines in sports activities (mean change (M) = -0.38; 95% CI: -.390; -.378; range from -2 to + 2) and reduced active transportation (M = -0.12; 95% CI: -.126; -.117). However, they also increased recreational physical activities (M = 0.12; 95% CI: .117; .126) while engaging in more sedentary behavior (M = 0.24; 95% CI: .240; .247) compared to pre-restriction levels. Multivariable linear and log-binomial regression models indicated that younger adults were more affected by the restrictions than older adults. The shift to remote work, self-rated health, and depressive symptoms were the factors most strongly associated with changes in all physical activity domains, including sedentary behavior, and the likelihood to continue following the physical activity guidelines. CONCLUSIONS: Mobility patterns shifted towards inactivity or low-intensity activities during the nationwide restrictions in the spring of 2020, potentially leading to considerable and lasting health risks.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Corrida , Humanos , Idoso , Comportamento Sedentário , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Exercício Físico , Alemanha/epidemiologia
14.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 43, 2024 01 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38287392

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Mammography screening programmes (MSP) aim to reduce breast cancer mortality by shifting diagnoses to earlier stages. However, it is difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of current MSP because analyses can only rely on observational data, comparing women who participate in screening with women who do not. These comparisons are subject to several biases: one of the most important is self-selection into the MSP, which introduces confounding and is difficult to control for. Here, we propose an approach to quantify confounding based on breast cancer survival analyses using readily available routine data sources. METHODS: Using data from the Cancer Registry of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, we estimate the relative contribution of confounding to the observed survival benefit of participants of the German MSP. This is accomplished by comparing non-participants, participants with screen-detected and participants with interval breast cancers for the endpoints "death from breast cancer" and "death from all causes other than breast cancer" - the latter being assumed to be unrelated to any MSP effect. By using different contrasts, we eliminate the effects of stage shift, lead and length time bias. The association of breast cancer detection mode with survival is analysed using Cox models in 68,230 women, aged 50-69 years, with breast cancer diagnosed in 2006-2014 and followed up until 2018. RESULTS: The hazard of dying from breast cancer was lower in participants with screen-detected cancer than in non-participants (HR = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.20-0.22), but biased by lead and length time bias, and confounding. When comparing participants with interval cancers and non-participants, the survival advantage was considerably smaller (HR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.58-0.66), due to the elimination of stage shift and lead time bias. Finally, considering only mortality from causes other than breast cancer in the latter comparison, length time bias was minimised, but a survival advantage was still present (HR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.56-0.70), which we attribute to confounding. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that, in addition to stage shift, lead and length time bias, confounding is an essential component when comparing the survival of MSP participants and non-participants. We further show that the confounding effect can be quantified without explicit knowledge of potential confounders by using a negative control outcome.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Mamografia , Feminino , Humanos , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Causalidade , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Programas de Rastreamento , Análise de Sobrevida , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
15.
Epidemics ; 46: 100741, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38217937

RESUMO

The parametrisation of infectious disease models is often done based on epidemiological studies that use diagnostic and serology tests to establish disease prevalence or seroprevalence in the population being modelled. During outbreaks of an emerging infectious disease, tests are often used, both for disease control and epidemiological studies, before studies evaluating their accuracy in the population have concluded, with assumptions made about accuracy parameters like sensitivity and specificity. In this simulation study, we simulated such an outbreak, based on the case study of COVID-19, and found that inaccurate parametrisation of infectious disease models due to assumptions about antibody test accuracy in a seroprevalence study can cause modelling results that inform public health decisions to be inaccurate; for example, in our simulation setup, assuming that antibody test specificity was 0.99 instead of 0.90 when it was in fact 0.90 led to an average relative difference of 0.78 in model-projected peak hospitalisations, even when test sensitivity and all other parameters were accurately characterised. We therefore suggest that methods to speed up test evaluation studies are vitally important in the public health response to an emerging outbreak.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Epidemias , Humanos , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/diagnóstico , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Teste para COVID-19
16.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 929, 2024 01 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38195669

RESUMO

Pathogens typically responsible for hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) constitute a major threat to healthcare systems worldwide. They spread via hospital (or hospital-community) networks by readmissions or patient transfers. Therefore, knowledge of these networks is essential to develop and test strategies to mitigate and control the HAI spread. Until now, no methods for comparing healthcare networks across different systems were proposed. Based on healthcare insurance data from four German federal states (Bavaria, Lower Saxony, Saxony and Thuringia), we constructed hospital networks and compared them in a systematic approach regarding population, hospital characteristics, and patient transfer patterns. Direct patient transfers between hospitals had only a limited impact on HAI spread. Whereas, with low colonization clearance rates, readmissions to the same hospitals posed the biggest transmission risk of all inter-hospital transfers. We then generated hospital-community networks, in which patients either stay in communities or in hospitals. We found that network characteristics affect the final prevalence and the time to reach it. However, depending on the characteristics of the pathogen (colonization clearance rate and transmission rate or even the relationship between transmission rate in hospitals and in the community), the studied networks performed differently. The differences were not large, but justify further studies.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar , Transferência de Pacientes , Humanos , Instalações de Saúde , Hospitais Comunitários , Redes Comunitárias , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia
17.
Liver Transpl ; 30(3): 288-301, 2024 03 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37678230

RESUMO

Steroid-free immunosuppression protocols gained popularity in pediatric liver transplantation (pLT) after the introduction of IL-2-receptor blockade for induction therapy. We analyzed the clinical and immunologic outcome data of the multicenter prospective observational ChilSFree study to compare the impact of steroid-free versus steroid-containing immunosuppressive therapy following pLT in a real-life scenario. Two hundred forty-six children [55.3% male, age at pLT median: 2.4 (range: 0.2-17.9) y] transplanted for biliary atresia (43%), metabolic liver disease (9%), acute liver failure (4%), hepatoblastoma (9%), and other chronic end-stage liver diseases (39%) underwent immune monitoring and clinical data documentation over the first year after pLT. Patient and graft survival at 1 year was 98.0% and 92.7%, respectively. Primary immunosuppression was basiliximab induction followed by tacrolimus (Tac) monotherapy (55%), Tac plus steroid tapering over 3 months (29%), or cyclosporine and steroid tapering (7%). One center used intraoperative steroids instead of basiliximab followed by Tac plus mycophenolate mofetil (7% of patients). N = 124 biopsy-proven T-cell-mediated rejections were documented in n = 82 (33.3%) patients. T-cell-mediated rejection occurred early (median: 41 d, range: 3-366 d) after pLT. Patients initially treated with Tac plus steroids experienced significantly fewer episodes of rejection than patients treated with Tac alone (chi-square p <0.01). The use of steroids was associated with earlier downregulation of proinflammatory cytokines interferon (IFN)-γ, Interleukin (IL)-6, CX motif chemokin ligand (CXCL)8, IL-7, and IL-12p70. Both primary immunosuppression with Tac plus steroids and living donor liver transplantation were independent predictors of rejection-free survival 1 year after pLT on logistic regression analysis. Adjunctive steroid therapy after pLT leads to earlier suppression of the post-pLT proinflammatory response and significantly reduced rejection rates during the first year after pLT (15.9%). Fifty-one percent of patients initially treated without steroids remain steroid-free over the first 12 months without rejection.


Assuntos
Imunossupressores , Transplante de Fígado , Humanos , Masculino , Criança , Feminino , Imunossupressores/efeitos adversos , Basiliximab , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Doadores Vivos , Tacrolimo/uso terapêutico , Esteroides/uso terapêutico , Ácido Micofenólico/uso terapêutico , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Rejeição de Enxerto
18.
Neuroepidemiology ; 58(1): 64-69, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38086343

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recent case studies and media outlets have hypothesised an effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection and immunisation on the development or progression of neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease or sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (sCJD). OBJECTIVES: This study aims to identify potential associations of SARS-CoV-2 infections and SARS-CoV-2 immunisation with sCJD incidence, disease duration, and age of onset. METHOD: We used data from a prospective sCJD surveillance study in Germany (2016-2022) and publicly available datasets of SARS-CoV-2 cases and vaccination numbers in Germany for the years 2020-2022. Associations of SARS-CoV-2 incidence and immunisation rates with sCJD incidence were assessed by comparing quarterly and annual cumulative sCJD incidences in the periods before (2016-2019) and during the pandemic (2020-2022). RESULTS: We could not identify any time-related effect of SARS-CoV-2 incidence or immunisation rate on the sCJD incidence. Moreover, we did not find any sCJD incidence alterations before and during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on a federal or state level. The overall sCJD incidence was within expected ranges in the years 2020-2022. There were no changes in age of onset and clinical disease duration in these years. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence supporting a short-term effect of the pandemic on sCJD incidence. However, considering the extended pre-clinical phase of sCJD, continued surveillance is needed to identify potential future incidence alterations.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome de Creutzfeldt-Jakob , Humanos , Síndrome de Creutzfeldt-Jakob/epidemiologia , Síndrome de Creutzfeldt-Jakob/prevenção & controle , Incidência , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Prospectivos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Imunização , Vacinação
19.
Int J Legal Med ; 138(2): 499-507, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37952073

RESUMO

After dentition is complete, degenerative tooth characteristics can be used for dental age assessment. Radiological assessment of the visibility of the root canals of the mandibular third molars in dental panoramic radiographs (DPRs) is known to be one such suitable feature. Essentially, two different stage classifications are available for evaluating the visibility of the root canals of mandibular third molars in the DPR. The aim of this study was to determine if one method outperforms the other. Therefore, the 2010 method of Olze et al. was directly compared to the 2017 method of Lucas et al. in the 2020 modification of Al Qattan et al. To this end, 233 DPRs from 116 females and 117 males aged 20.0 to 40.9 years were evaluated by three independent experienced examiners. In addition, one examiner ran two independent evaluations. Correlation between age and stage was investigated, and the inter- and intra-rater reliability was estimated for both methods. Correlation between age and stage was higher with the Olze method (Spearman rho 0.388 [95% CI 0.309, 0.462], males and 0.283 [95% CI 0.216, 0.357], females) than the Lucas method (0.212 [95% CI 0.141, 0.284], males and 0.265 [95% CI 0.193, 0.340], females). The intra-rater repeatability of the Olze method (Krippendorff's α = 0.576 [95% CI 0.508, 0.644], males and α = 0.592 [95% CI 0.523, 0.661], females) was greater than that for the Lucas method (intra-rater α = 0.422 [95% CI 0.382, 0.502], males and α = 0.516 [95% CI 0.523, 0.661], females). Inter-rater reproducibility was also greater for the Olze method (α = 0.542 [95% CI 0.463, 0.620], males and α = 0.533 [95% CI 0.451, 0.615], females) compared to the Lucas method (α = 0.374 [95% CI 0.304, 0.443], males and α = 0.432 [95% CI 0.359, 0.505], females). The method of Olze et al. was found to present marginal advantages to the Lucas et al. method across all examinations and may be a more appropriate method for application in future studies.


Assuntos
Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes , Dente Serotino , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Dente Serotino/diagnóstico por imagem , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Determinação da Idade pelos Dentes/métodos , Cavidade Pulpar/diagnóstico por imagem , Radiografia Panorâmica , Raiz Dentária/diagnóstico por imagem , Mandíbula/diagnóstico por imagem
20.
Dtsch Arztebl Int ; 121(1): 1-8, 2024 Jan 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37876295

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Childhood trauma is associated with somatic and mental illness in adulthood. The strength of the association varies as a function of age, sex, and type of trauma. Pertinent studies to date have mainly focused on individual diseases. In this study, we investigate the association between childhood trauma and a multiplicity of somatic and mental illnesses in adulthood. METHODS: Data from 156 807 NAKO Health Study participants were analyzed by means of logistic regressions, with adjustment for age, sex, years of education, and study site. The Childhood Trauma Screener differentiated between no/minor (n = 115 891) and moderate/severe childhood trauma (n = 40 916). The outcome variables were medical diagnoses of five somatic and two mental health conditions as stated in the clinical history. RESULTS: Persons with childhood trauma were more likely to bear a diagnosis of all of the studied conditions: cancer (odds ratio [OR] = 1.10; 95% confidence interval: [1.05; 1.15]), myocardial infarction (OR = 1.13 [1.03; 1.24]), diabetes (OR = 1.16, [1.10; 1.23]), stroke (OR = 1.35 [1.23; 1.48]), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 1.45 [1.38; 1.52]), depression (OR = 2.36 [2.29; 2.43]), and anxiety disorders (OR = 2.08 [2.00; 2.17]). All of these associations were stronger in younger persons, regardless of the nature of childhood trauma. Differences between the sexes were observed only for some of these associations. CONCLUSION: Childhood trauma was associated with a higher probability of developing mental as well as somatic illness in adulthood. As childhood trauma is an element of individual history that the victim has little to no control over, and because the illnesses that can arise in adulthood in association with it are a heavy burden on the affected persons and on society, there is a need for research on these associations and for the development of preventive measures.


Assuntos
Experiências Adversas da Infância , Diabetes Mellitus , Transtornos Mentais , Humanos , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Transtornos de Ansiedade
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