Predicting mortality, thrombus recurrence and persistence in patients with post-acute myocardial infarction left ventricular thrombus.

Left ventricular thrombus (LVT) is a common complication of acute myocardial infarction and is associated with morbidity from embolic complications. Predicting which patients will develop death or persistent LVT despite anticoagulation may help clinicians identify high-risk patients. We developed a random forest (RF) model that predicts death or persistent LVT and evaluated its performance. This was a single-center retrospective cohort study in an academic tertiary center. We included 244 patients with LVT in our study. Patients who did not receive anticoagulation (n = 8) or had unknown (n = 31) outcomes were excluded. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death, recurrent LVT and persistent LVT. We selected a total of 31 predictors collected at the point of LVT diagnosis based on clinical relevance. We compared conventional regularized logistic regression with the RF algorithm. There were 156 patients who had resolution of LVT and 88 patients who experienced the composite outcome. The RF model achieved better performance and had an AUROC of 0.700 (95% CI 0.553-0.863) on a validation dataset. The most important predictors for the composite outcome were receiving a revascularization procedure, lower visual ejection fraction (EF), higher creatinine, global wall motion abnormality, higher prothrombin time, higher body mass index, higher activated partial thromboplastin time, older age, lower lymphocyte count and higher neutrophil count. The RF model accurately identified patients with post-AMI LVT who developed the composite outcome. Further studies are needed to validate its use in clinical practice.

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio predict left ventricular thrombus resolution in acute myocardial infarction without percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular thrombosis (LVT) is a potentially devastating complication in post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. Previous studies have demonstrated that inflammation may contribute to thrombus formation, but its role on thrombus resolution is uncertain. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are easily accessible haematological markers of inflammation. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify differences between post-AMI LVT patients with and without LVT resolution, and to evaluate the utility of NLR and PLR in predicting LVT resolution. METHODS: We included 289 consecutive post-AMI patients with LVT. Acute LVT was diagnosed based on echocardiogram. Patients were stratified based on LVT resolution. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate for independent predictors of thrombus resolution. RESULTS: Compared to post-AMI patients with eventual LVT resolution, those with unresolved LVT had more co-morbidities such as hypertension (p = 0.003) and ischaemic heart disease (p < 0.001), fewer underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (p < 0.001) or were treated with triple therapy (p < 0.001). NLR (p = 0.064) and PLR (p = 0.028) were higher in unresolved LVT patients. In non-PCI patients, NLR (OR 0.818, 95% CI 0.674-0.994, p = 0.043) and PLR (OR 0.989, 95% CI 0.979-0.999, p = 0.026) were independent predictors of thrombus resolution after adjustment for age and anticoagulation use. CONCLUSIONS: Post-AMI patients not receiving PCI may have a greater inflammatory response and a higher NLR and PLR, which is associated with less LVT resolution despite anticoagulation. Further studies are required to study this association.

Characterisation of acute ischemic stroke in patients with left ventricular thrombi after myocardial infarction.

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a feared complication in post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients who develop left ventricular (LV) thrombus. There is limited data available on the incidence of stroke in this population, and characterisation of stroke subtypes has not been previously reported. Our study aims to evaluate the incidence of AIS in post-AMI patients with LV thrombus and to characterise the pattern of stroke subtypes. We screened 5829 patients with echocardiogram reports containing the "thrombus" keyword from August 2006 to September 2017. AIS that occurred after LV thrombosis was captured and relevant clinical data was collected. We identified 289 post-AMI patients with acute LV thrombus formation. Mean age was 59.3 ± 13.4 years. AIS occurred in 34 patients (11.8%), median duration of 20.5 days (IQR = 5.5-671.8) after LV thrombosis. Despite initial thrombus resolution, nine (5.2%) encountered AIS subsequently. Cardioembolic stroke subtype was identified in 76.5% of AIS, whilst 14.7% was small vessel disease and 8.8% was of large artery atherosclerosis subtype. Presence of thrombus protrusion (HR 3.04, 95% CI 1.25-7.41, p = 0.01), failure of initial thrombus resolution (HR 3.03, 95% CI 1.23-7.45, p = 0.02) and thrombus recurrence (HR 4.20, 95% CI 1.46-12.11, p < 0.01) were significant independent predictors for stroke. Incidence of AIS in this Asian population of post-AMI patients with LV thrombus was 11.8%. Duration of anticoagulation may need to be individualised for patients with higher risk for stroke occurrence after LV thrombosis.