National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to identify inpatient COVID-19 deterioration: a retrospective analysis.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to provide the first report of the use of NEWS2 monitoring to pre-emptively identify clinical deterioration within hospitalised COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Consecutive adult admissions with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 were included in this single-centre retrospective UK cohort study. We analysed all electronic clinical observations recorded within 28 days of admission until discharge or occurrence of a serious event, defined as any of the following: initiation of respiratory support, admission to intensive care, initiation of end of life care, or in-hospital death. RESULTS: 133/296 (44.9%) patients experienced at least one serious event. NEWS2 ≥ 5 heralded the first occurrence of a serious event with sensitivity 0.98 (95% CI 0.96-1.00), specificity 0.28 (0.21-0.35), positive predictive value (PPV) 0.53 (0.47-0.59), and negative predictive value (NPV) 0.96 (0.90-1.00). The NPV (but not PPV) of NEWS2 monitoring exceeded that of other early warning scores including the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) (0.59 [0.52-0.66], p<0.001) and quick Sepsis Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score (0.58 [0.51-0.65], p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Our results support the use of NEWS2 monitoring as a sensitive method to identify deterioration of hospitalised COVID-19 patients, albeit at the expense of a relatively high false-trigger rate.

Rheumatology and rheumatoid arthritis in the twenty-first century.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has historically been a disabling and life-threatening disease. Features include joint pain, stiffness and swelling, joint damage, fatigue, loss of function, and loss of employment. Recent advances in treatment, particularly the use of conventional disease-modifying therapies earlier and in combination, and the advent of biological therapies, ensures that modern rheumatologists expect to help patient attain remission, with advantages of early presentation and effective therapies used in a "treatment to target" strategy. Adherence to UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence guidance for RA, including early identification of disease, early and aggressive use of disease-modifying antirheumatic therapies, in combination or with biological agents, allows for much better disease control and perhaps remission. Delays to diagnosis will therefore become increasingly important, and the necessity for accurate diagnosis becomes crucial. The strategy of tight disease control may be more important than the contribution of individual drugs, even biological agents. Future prospects include the use of better outcome measures to define remission, better prediction of outcome, and thus better targeting of therapies. There is an urgent need for better individualized prognostic predictors. We must not forget the management of patients with pain owing to damage from advanced disease. Rheumatologists and radiologists must work together to appreciate the opportunities for patients from a greater understanding of disease measurement.