Baseline 10-2 Visual Field Loss as a Predictor for Future Glaucoma Progression.

PRCIS: Presence of baseline 10-2 visual field (VF) loss was the strongest predictor of future rate of 24-2 VF loss and development of new 24-2 progression events, suggesting a role for 10-2 VF testing in baseline glaucoma risk analysis. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between baseline 10-2 VF loss and future 24-2 VF loss. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Subjects were participating in a prospective longitudinal study within a VA Medical Center outpatient eye clinic. Eligibility required 2 good quality baseline 10-2 VF tests followed by a minimum of 5 good quality 24-2 VF tests over at least 3 years. Longitudinal 24-2 VF testing was completed every 4-6 months after baseline 10-2 testing. Mixed model regression analyses and Cox Proportional Hazard regression analyses were completed to identify predictors of 24-2 mean deviation change rate and new VF loss events. RESULTS: We studied 394 eyes of 202 subjects (119 primary open angle glaucoma and 83 glaucoma suspect). Over 6.7 (±1.5) years, 9.9 (±2.3) good quality 24-2 VF tests were completed. In mixed model regression analyses, baseline variables that predicted faster rate of 24-2 VF loss in order of strength of association were presence of baseline 10-2 VF defect, lower 24-2 mean deviation, and higher age. When analyses were completed without 10-2 variables, predictive capability of the model was reduced compared with when 10-2 variables were included. In Cox Proportional Regression analyses evaluating progression events, baseline 10-2 VF defect demonstrated the largest hazard ratio (22 times greater risk for developing future VF loss event in eyes with vs. without baseline 10-2 VF loss). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline 10-2 VF defect was the most effective predictor of subsequent 24-2 VF progression in this study. These findings imply that presence of baseline 10-2 VF loss may provide unique value for predicting future glaucoma progression.

Prediction of 10-2 Visual Field Loss Using Optical Coherence Tomography and 24-2 Visual Field Data.

PRECIS: Using standard glaucoma structural and functional tests, clinicians accurately predicted the presence/absence of 10-2 glaucomatous visual field (VF) loss in 90% of the eyes in this study. PURPOSE: To investigate how well clinicians with variable experience can predict the presence and location of 10-2 VF loss using structural and functional data that are routinely obtained for glaucoma assessment. METHODS: Within a test set of 416 eyes (210 subjects) who were diagnosed glaucoma suspect or primary open-angle glaucoma (with most eyes having mild disease), 6 clinicians were asked to predict the presence and hemispheric location of 10-2 VF loss using 24-2 VF and spectral-domain optical coherence tomography structural data. Prediction accuracies were calculated for each clinician and compared using the weighted κ-statistic. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were used to evaluate models for predicting 10-2 VF loss. RESULTS: Among the 6 clinicians, mean (range) accuracy, false negatives, and false positives for predicting presence/absence of 10-2 VF loss were 90% (87% to 92%), 4.7% (2.4% to 7.0%), and 5.4% (1.7% to 7.5%) respectively. The mean (range) weighted κ-statistic was 0.75 (0.64 to 0.83), suggesting good or very good inter-rater agreement between examiners. Mean accuracy for correctly predicting hemispheric location was 73% (range, 65% to 82%) with the most common error occurring in eyes with both superior and inferior 10-2 VF defects in which one hemisphere was correctly identified but the other missed. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the presence/absence of 10-2 glaucomatous VF loss was highly predictable using standard functional and structural clinical metrics. These findings suggest that 10-2 VF testing is not needed to reliably recognize and confirm central VF involvement in most eyes with glaucoma. Whether error related to identifying second hemisphere involvement in 10-2 VF loss is important requires further study.