The rise of artificial intelligence reading of chest X-rays for enhanced TB diagnosis and elimination.

We provide an overview of the latest evidence on computer-aided detection (CAD) software for automated interpretation of chest radiographs (CXRs) for TB detection. CAD is a useful tool that can assist in rapid and consistent CXR interpretation for TB. CAD can achieve high sensitivity TB detection among people seeking care with symptoms of TB and in population-based screening, has accuracy on-par with human readers. However, implementation challenges remain. Due to diagnostic heterogeneity between settings and sub-populations, users need to select threshold scores rather than use pre-specified ones, but some sites may lack the resources and data to do so. Efficient standardisation is further complicated by frequent updates and new CAD versions, which also challenges implementation and comparison. CAD has not been validated for TB diagnosis in children and its accuracy for identifying non-TB abnormalities remains to be evaluated. A number of economic and political issues also remain to be addressed through regulation for CAD to avoid furthering health inequities. Although CAD-based CXR analysis has proven remarkably accurate for TB detection in adults, the above issues need to be addressed to ensure that the technology meets the needs of high-burden settings and vulnerable sub-populations.

Market assessment of tuberculosis diagnostics in China in 2012.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the 2012 served available market for tuberculosis (TB) diagnostics in China in the sector served by the China Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the hospital sector in China, including both designated TB hospitals and general hospitals. DESIGN: Test volumes and unit costs were assessed for tuberculin skin tests, interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs), smear microscopy, serology, cultures, speciation tests, nucleic-acid amplification tests (NAATs), drug susceptibility tests and adenosine-deaminase tests (ADA). Data were obtained from electronic databases (CDC sector) and through surveys (hospital sector), and were estimated for the two sectors and for the country as a whole. Test costs were estimated by staff at China CDC, and using published literature. RESULTS: In 2012, the China CDC and hospital sectors performed a total of 44 million TB diagnostic tests at an overall value of US$294 million. Tests used by the CDC sector were smear microscopy, solid and liquid culture and DST, while the hospital sector also used IGRAs, NAATs, ADA and serology. The hospital sector accounted for 76% of the overall test volume and 94% of the market value. CONCLUSION: China has a very large TB diagnostic market that encompasses a wide range of diagnostic tests, with the majority being performed in Chinese hospitals.

Market assessment of tuberculosis diagnostics in India in 2013.

BACKGROUND: India represents a significant potential market for new tests. We assessed India's market for tuberculosis (TB) diagnostics in 2013. METHODS: Test volumes and unit costs were assessed for tuberculin tests, interferon-gamma release assays, sputum smear microscopy, serology, culture, speciation testing, nucleic-acid amplification tests (i.e., in-house polymerase chain reaction, Xpert(®) MTB/RIF, line-probe assays) and drug susceptibility testing. Data from the public sector were collected from the Revised National TB Control Programme reports. Private sector data were collected through a survey of private laboratories and practitioners. Data were also collected from manufacturers. RESULTS: In 2013, India's public sector performed 19.2 million tests, with a market value of US$22.9 million. The private sector performed 13.6 million tests, with a market value of US$60.4 million when prices charged to the patient were applied. The overall market was US$70.8 million when unit costs from the ingredient approach were used for the 32.8 million TB tests performed in the entire country. Smear microscopy was the most common test performed, accounting for 25% of the overall market value. CONCLUSION: India's estimated market value for TB diagnostics in 2013 was US$70.8 million. These data should be of relevance to test developers, donors and implementers.

Risk of travelling to the country of origin for tuberculosis among immigrants living in a low-incidence country.

SETTING: Two thirds of tuberculosis (TB) patients in the Netherlands are foreign-born. OBJECTIVE: To determine if travelling to the country of origin is a risk factor for TB among two different immigrant groups that have lived in the Netherlands for at least 2 years. DESIGN: In this unmatched case-control study, the frequency and duration of travel to the country of origin in the preceding 12 months were compared between adult Moroccan and Turkish TB patients and community controls. RESULTS: Moroccan patients had travelled more often (26/32 = 81%) in the preceding year than Moroccan controls (472/816 = 58%). The travel-associated odds ratio (OR) for TB among Moroccans was 3.2 (95%CI 1.3-7.7), and increased to 17.2 (95%CI 3.7-79) when the cumulative duration of travel exceeded 3 months. The corresponding population fraction of Moroccan TB cases attributable to recent travel was 56% (95%CI 19-71). Among Turkish immigrants TB was not associated with travel (OR 0.9, 95%CI 0.3-2.4). CONCLUSION: Travel to the country of origin was a risk factor for TB among Moroccans, but not among Turkish people living in the Netherlands. The difference in travel-associated OR between these two immigrant groups is probably related to differences in TB incidence in these countries.

Predictive value for progression to tuberculosis by IGRA and TST in immigrant contacts.

The authors determined the positive predictive value (PPV) for progression to tuberculosis (TB) of two interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs), QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-tube (QFT-GIT) and T-SPOT.TB, and the tuberculin skin test (TST) in immigrants contacts. Immigrant close contacts of sputum smear-positive TB patients were included when aged > or =16 yrs and their TST result was > or =5 mm 0 or 3 months after diagnosis of the index patient. Contacts were followed for the next 2 yrs for development of TB disease. Of 339 immigrant contacts with TST > or =5 mm, 324 and 299 had valid results of QFT-GIT and T-SPOT.TB, respectively. Nine contacts developed active TB. One patient had not been tested with TST, while another patient had not been tested with QFT-GIT and T-SPOT.TB. The PPV for progression to TB during this period was 9/288 = 3.1% (95% CI 1.3-5.0%) for TST > or =10 mm, 7/184 = 3.8% (95% CI 1.7-5.9%) for TST > or =15 mm, 5/178 = 2.8% (95% CI 1.0-4.6%) for QFT-GIT and 6/181 = 3.3% (95% CI 1.3-5.3%) for T-SPOT.TB. Sensitivity was 100%, 88%, 63% and 75%, respectively. The predictive values of QFT-GIT, T-SPOT.TB and TST for progression to TB disease among immigrant close contacts were comparable.

Interferon-gamma release assays in immigrant contacts and effect of remote exposure to Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between remote exposure to tuberculosis (TB) and results of the tuberculin skin test (TST), and two interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs)-QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-GIT) and T-SPOT.TB-in immigrant contacts of sputum smear-positive TB patients. METHODS: Immigrants aged >or=16 years in close contact with smear-positive TB patients were included. QFT-GIT and T-SPOT.TB were performed if the TST induration size was >or=5 mm. Associations between test results and origin from an endemic country were assessed. RESULTS: Of 433 close contacts, 322 (74%) had TST >or=5 mm, of whom, 282 (88%) had valid test results for all assays. Positive QFT-GIT results were obtained for 152/282 (54%) and positive T-SPOT.TB for 168/282 (60%). After adjustment for age, sex and recent contact, positive IGRA results and TST results >/=10 mm were found to be more frequent among immigrants who originated from Africa, in particular sub-Saharan Africa. CONCLUSION: When IGRAs are used to determine latent TB infection in foreign-born individuals, positive findings not only relate to recent TB infection, but also reflect prior TB exposure in the country of origin. This late reactivity will limit their usefulness in contact investigations among immigrants originating from endemic areas.