Analysing Deviation-From-Target Data: Applying the Correct Force in Sellick's Maneuver.

The problem of comparing the deviation from a target of two or more treatments or procedures arises now and again in medicine. Practitioners usually carry out a t-test on a loss function such as absolute error. We have adapted and developed statistical methods to give a normative methodology for deviation-from-target problems and exemplify them by evaluating the performance of a tactile feedback device. Parametric and nonparametric analyses are compared and contrasted. We recommend nonparametric methods for inference about loss functions such as absolute error, with a permutation test for testing the hypothesis that the two methods perform identically, and the nonparametric bootstrap for deriving standard errors and confidence intervals on loss function ratios. We develop a new permutation test that can be used when the practitioner is unwilling to decide which loss function should be used. We recommend parametric analysis when more insight into how one method is superior is desired, or there are covariates, and discuss the complications. The results for our example are that the tactile sensing device reduces an upward bias in applied force, and more importantly reduces the spread (variance) of the applied force. It performs significantly better than manual force application.

A cricoid cartilage compression device for the accurate and reproducible application of cricoid pressure.

We describe the development and laboratory assessment of a refined prototype tactile feedback device for the safe and accurate application of cricoid pressure. We recruited 20 operating department practitioners and compared their performance of cricoid pressure on a training simulator using both the device and a manual unaided technique. The device significantly reduced the spread of the applied force: average (SE) root mean squared error decreased from 8.23 (0.48) N to 5.23 (0.32) N (p < 0.001). The average (SE) upwards bias in applied force also decreased, from 2.30 (0.74) N to 0.88 (0.48) N (p < 0.01). Most importantly, the percentage of force applications that deviated from target by more than 10 N decreased from 18% to 7% (p < 0.01). The device requires no prior training, is cheap to manufacture, is single-use and requires no power to operate, whilst ensuring that the correct force is always consistently applied.

The association between personality disorder and an act of deliberate self harm in the older person.

BACKGROUND: Suicide rates are higher in the over 65s than in younger adults and there is a strong link between deliberate self harm (DSH) and suicide in older people. The association between personality disorder (PD) and DSH in older adults remains uncertain. Our objective was to describe this association. METHODS: A case control study was conducted in which participants were: (i) those who had undertaken an act of DSH and (ii) a hospital-based control group drawn from a geographical contiguous population. PD was assessed using the Standardised Assessment of Personality (SAP). RESULTS: Seventy-seven cases of DSH were identified; 61 (79.2%) of these participants were interviewed. There were 171 potential controls identified of whom 140 (81.9%) were included. An SAP was completed in 45/61 (73.8%) of cases and 100/140 (71.4%) of controls. The mean age was 79.8 years (SD = 9, range 65-103). The crude odds ratio for the association between PD and DSH was 5.91 [(95% CI 2.3, 14.9) p<0.0001]. There was a strong interaction with age stratified at 80 years. There was no association between PD and DSH after age 80. The adjusted odds ratio for PD in the group <80 years was 20.5 [(95% CI 3, 141) p = 0.002]. Borderline and impulsive PD traits tended to be associated with an episode of DSH more than other personality types. CONCLUSIONS: PD appears to be a strong and independent risk for an act of DSH in people aged between 65 and 80 years and should be looked for as part of any risk assessment in this population. Access to specialist services may be required to optimally manage this problem and reduce the subsequent risk of suicide.

Caregivers' experience of risk in dementia: the LASER-AD study.

The objective was to explore caregivers' experience of and concerns about the safety of care recipients (CRs) with Alzheimer's disease (AD) living at home. We interviewed family caregivers about their concerns regarding CR's safety, occurrence of risk over the last year and safety measures taken to manage risk. A total of 89 family caregiver/CR dyads participated. All had been recruited as part of a larger longitudinal study based in London and South East Region (LASER) of the UK. Caregivers spent a substantial proportion of the day supervising the CR (mean = 15.5 hours). Most caregivers (39; 81.2%) of the 48/89 CRs left alone worried about their safety. Sixty-one (68.5%) caregivers reported at least one incident in which the CR had been at risk within the past year. A majority (71; 79.8%) had taken measures to prevent risk behaviours. Greater impairment in activities of daily living and the caregiver not being the CR's spouse were associated with more measures being taken. Caregivers themselves provide supervision most of the time for the CR, and are worried when they are left alone. This is realistic as despite caregiver's attempts at managing their CR's risks, including direct supervision, dangerous incidents still frequently occur in people with AD.

A qualitative study of the experiences of long-term care for residents with dementia, their relatives and staff.

Most older people living in 24-hour care settings have dementia. We employed qualitative interviews to explore positive and negative aspects of the experience of family carers, staff and people with dementia living in 10 homes in London and West Essex, selected to cover the full range of 24-hour long-term care settings. The interview used open semi-structured questions. We interviewed 21 residents, 17 relatives and 30 staff and five main themes were identified: Privacy and choice; relationships (abuse and vulnerability); activities; physical environment; and expectations of a care environment by carers, should they one day live in long-term care themselves. Despite being no longer responsible for the day-to-day care of the residents there was a continuing level of psychological distress among some relatives. We found that residents with a range of severity of dementia were able to participate. The most striking theme from their interviews was the need for choice. All groups talked about improving lines of communication amongst residents, relatives and staff and about the importance of activities. We recommend that homes should set up formal structures for engaging with user and carer views at all levels. This would mean relatives on the board, and regular meetings for residents, relatives, advocates and staff. This should lead to cultural changes where residents are perceived as individuals and care is provided in a more flexible way. There should be a programme of activities in each 24-hour care setting, which all care staff are given time to implement. These activities need to be tailored to the individual resident rather than the whole group.

Accessibility of health and social services to immigrant elders: the Islington Study.

BACKGROUND: Numbers of immigrant elders are increasing and it is unclear whether they can access services. AIMS: To examine service utilisation of older immigrants compared with their UK-born counterparts and relate it to health difficulties. Method Cross-sectional study in inner London measuring service use, mental health and disability. RESULTS: A total of 1085 people aged > or = 65 years were interviewed. Independent predictors of contact with a general practitioner included being born in Cyprus. Cypriots were the only immigrant population to report significantly more somatic symptoms than those born in the UK (P=0.005). Africans and Caribbeans used day care and other social services most frequently. CONCLUSIONS: Immigrants could access services. Africans and Caribbeans appear to have poorer physical health and thus have greater contact with services. Cypriots who experience depression may present with prominent somatic symptoms. This is likely to be due to a different idiom of distress.

Validation and normative data of health status measures in older people: the Islington study.

BACKGROUND: Health related quality of life scales have been developed to measure a global picture of health and well-being from the patient's perspective. Separate validation of these measures in older people is important, as different areas of life are prioritized as important in older people and population norms for health status measures can differ with age. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this paper were to examine the validity and acceptability of two health status measures the 12-item Health Status Questionnaire (HSQ-12) and 12-item Short Form Health Survey SF-12, and to present population norms in older people. SETTING: A door-to-door survey in Islington, a borough of inner London. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The subjects were allocated to complete either the SF-12 (n = 541) or the HSQ-12 (n = 544) by alternating the questionnaires with each household visited. The first 135 people who completed the HSQ-12 were visited approximately 18 months later. Acceptability was measured examining the completion rate of the scales, and on a three-point scale. The short-CARE was used to elicit psychiatric symptoms and diagnoses. We collected data on health and social care, and subjective health problems. RESULTS: Both scales distinguished between subjects with and without a variety of health states, including self-defined health problems, health problems diagnosed by valid scales, problems with vision and hearing, and receipt of health or social services. The HSQ-12, but not the SF-12, could distinguish between people with and without dementia, and had high completion rates for those living in the community but not in 24-hour care. Linear regression models demonstrated sensitivity to change in health status for the HSQ-12. CONCLUSION: The SF-12 and HSQ-12 are acceptable and valid as health status instruments in large community-based studies of older people. The HSQ-12, but not the SF-12, is acceptable and valid for people with dementia.

Mental health of migrant elders--the Islington study.

BACKGROUND: In the UK, 6% of those aged 65 years and over were born abroad, most of whom now live in inner-city areas. It has been suggested that ethnic elders are particularly vulnerable to mental illness. AIMS: To compare the prevalence of dementia and depression in older migrants with those born in the UK. METHOD: A cross-sectional community study of 1085 people aged 65 years or older in an inner-London borough. RESULTS: Compared with those born in the UK, the prevalence of dementia was raised in African-Caribbeans (17.3%, relative risk=1.72, Cl=1.06-2.81) and lower for the Irish-born (3.6%, relative risk=0.36, Cl=0.17-0.87). All those of African-Caribbean country of birth were significantly younger (P=0.000) but no more likely to be taking antihypertensive drugs. They were no more likely to report having cardiovascular problems but had increased rates of diabetes (P<0.0000). The overall prevalence of depression was 18.3% (95% Cl=16.1-20.7). The highest prevalence rate was found among those born in Greece and Turkey (27.2%, Cl=17.9-39.6). Migration per se does not appear to be a risk for depression and dementia in this population. CONCLUSIONS: The excess of dementia may be of vascular aetiology. There is the potential for primary or secondary prevention.

Persecutory symptoms and perceptual disturbance in a community sample of older people: the Islington study.

BACKGROUND: While there are extensive studies of paranoid symptoms and perceptual disturbance (PPD) in younger adults, relatively little is known about older adults with similar symptoms. METHOD: This study took place in Islington, an inner London borough. Enumeration Districts were randomised to provide a sampling frame. Residents aged 65 or over were interviewed at home. The Short-CARE was used to elicit psychiatric symptoms and diagnosis. Sociodemographic particulars were elicited using the Client Sociodemographic and Service Receipt Inventory. Questions were asked regarding sight and hearing. We used subsections of the geriatric mental scale to identify people who had PPD symptoms. Medications taken were recorded. We asked 'Do you have any health problems?' as a screening question for subjective health problems. RESULTS: We interviewed 720 people. Twenty-eight (3.9%) participants scored positively on the PPD sub-scales of the GMS. A forward logistic regression analysis for independent predictors of PPD found the significant independent predictors were dementia (p = 0.0000; odds ratio 6.8), drinking alcohol in last 6 months (p < 0.03; odds ratio 0.3), drinking alcohol to help sleep (p < 0.005; odds ratio 9.6), subjective memory loss (p < 0.007; odds ratio 3.3) and uncorrected visual impairment (p < 0.02; odds ratio 2.8). CONCLUSION: There is a relatively high prevalence of PPD in older people living in the community. This is not associated with higher use of services despite the increased needs. Further studies should consider interventions to meet this unmet need.

Auger injuries in the Wimmera region 1987-95.

BACKGROUND: Eighteen cases of auger injuries in the Wimmera region of Victoria were treated over 8 years. METHODS: The records of auger related injuries presenting to Wimmera Base Hospital from March 1987 to March 1995 were reviewed. RESULTS: Five of these were severe injuries. Sixteen were male farmers. Their fingers were most commonly injured by being caught in the auger flight. CONCLUSIONS: Augers have numerous mechanical features which make them one of the most potentially dangerous pieces of farm equipment. This, combined with human error and fatigue, results in significant but preventable morbidity in a hardworking population.

Forest ecological classification and mapping: Their application for ecosystem management in Newfoundland.

A prerequisite to sustaining ecosystems is the inventory and classification of landscape structure and composition. Ecological classification and mapping involves the delineation of landscapes into easily recognizable units. Topography, soils, vegetation, physical landscape form, and successional pathways are delineation criteria commonly used.Damman (1967) developed a forest type classification system for Newfoundland using vegetation, soil and landforms as the defining criteria. Damman's forest types were used in combination with mensurational data to assign forest types to timber volume productivity classes. Since each of the Damman forest types is associated with characteristic soils, parent materials, moisture regime and topographic position, the mapping units are similar to Canada Land Inventory (CLI) mapping units. Field work to confirm the correlation between Damman forest types and CLI capability classes was initiated in 1993. CLI maps were recoded in 1994 and Damman forest types were determined; resulting ecosystem-based maps provide a common framework to assess forestry/wildlife interactions in an ecosystem planning process.

Stereotactic linac radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations.

Stereotactic linear accelerator (linac) radiosurgery has been in operation in the West Midlands since 1987, the first of its kind in the United Kingdom. Forty two patients with high-flow cerebral arteriovenous malformations have been treated, 26 of whom have been followed up. Angiography one year after treatment showed that five lesions were obliterated, 11 were reduced in size and/or flow rate and 10 were unchanged. Overall results show that nine out of 10 patients reviewed at 24 months had total obliteration. Three patients had complications; one has fully recovered, one died of an unrelated cause at 36 months and the other died from recurrent haemorrhage at nine months. Two patients had recurrent non-fatal haemorrhage within 24 months of treatment; both recovered without further deficit. All patients are fit to work but eight are unemployed. Although the follow up period is short, the early results indicate a success rate similar to those published by others using linac radiosurgery.

Stereotactic LINAC radiosurgery.

A system of stereotactic radiosurgery using a linear accelerator is described and the experience with a variety of neurosurgical lesions including gliomas, acoustic neurinomas and arteriovenous malformations is recorded. The system is simple, inexpensive and effective and can be used with any CT scanner and linear accelerator.

Adjuvant chemotherapy in the treatment of breast cancer: results of a multicentre study.

248 patients with locally radically treated early breast cancer (196 node-positive) were randomized post-operatively between 6 courses of a 'CMF like' chemotherapy and no further treatment. Results (with a minimum of 5 years follow-up on every patient) favour chemotherapy with a significant increase in the median time to recurrence from 31 to 50 months for all patients (P = 0.04) and from 26 to 49 months for node-positive patients (P = 0.023). No significant effect on survival is seen although there is a trend towards longer survival in the treated group. The regimen used was relatively non-toxic when compared to the traditional CMF with 34% of patients experiencing mild nausea and vomiting immediately post-injection and only 11% complaining of more severe nausea and vomiting. Because of this lower toxicity the treatment was found to be amenable to administration in both regional hospitals and specialized centres.