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Nature ; 445(7128): E12; discussion E12-3, 2007 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17287765

RESUMO

When foot-and-mouth disease struck the United Kingdom in 2001, the traditional 'stamping out' policy of 1967-68 was supplemented by the pre-emptive culling of animals in premises contiguous to infected premises. A model proposed by Tildesley et al. indicates that the introduction of vaccination should at least halve the number of premises that would need to be subjected to culling in the event of another outbreak. We contest, however, that the overlapping confidence intervals of the outputs of their model, and the inconsistency of their results compared with those from previous models, call into question the model's value as a decision tool, while adding little to the recognized tenet of ring vaccination.


Assuntos
Febre Aftosa/epidemiologia , Febre Aftosa/prevenção & controle , Modelos Biológicos , Vacinação/veterinária , Animais , Bovinos , Simulação por Computador , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Febre Aftosa/imunologia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Vacinação/métodos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
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