Fifty years of epidemiology at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: significant and consequential.

The Epidemic Intelligence Service (EIS) was the vision of Alexander Langmuir, who developed a program with a vital mission to address an unmet need in the United States. The Communicable Disease Center, now the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC; Atlanta, Georgia), and the EIS steadily expanded from focusing on infectious disease to address chronic diseases, health statistics, occupational and environmental health and safety, injury prevention and control, and reproductive health. Langmuir recognized the need for epidemiologists to collaborate with others, initially from the laboratory and later including veterinarians, demographers, statisticians, nutritionists, behavioral and social scientists, industrial hygienists, and sanitarians. These partnerships stimulated the further evolution of the EIS Program to include sophisticated statistical analysis, economics, and the tools of the behavioral and social sciences. A mixture of analytical rigor and practical application characterizes the practice of epidemiology at CDC and in the EIS. Thus, the "significant" in the title of this paper refers to the analytical rigor of the public health approach and the validity of the results, while the "consequential" reflects the practical application of the results, trying to make a difference in health outcomes.

The continuing epidemics of obesity and diabetes in the United States.

CONTEXT: Recent reports show that obesity and diabetes have increased in the United States in the past decade. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of obesity, diabetes, and use of weight control strategies among US adults in 2000. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, a random-digit telephone survey conducted in all states in 2000, with 184 450 adults aged 18 years or older. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Body mass index (BMI), calculated from self-reported weight and height; self-reported diabetes; prevalence of weight loss or maintenance attempts; and weight control strategies used. RESULTS: In 2000, the prevalence of obesity (BMI >/=30 kg/m(2)) was 19.8%, the prevalence of diabetes was 7.3%, and the prevalence of both combined was 2.9%. Mississippi had the highest rates of obesity (24.3%) and of diabetes (8.8%); Colorado had the lowest rate of obesity (13.8%); and Alaska had the lowest rate of diabetes (4.4%). Twenty-seven percent of US adults did not engage in any physical activity, and another 28.2% were not regularly active. Only 24.4% of US adults consumed fruits and vegetables 5 or more times daily. Among obese participants who had had a routine checkup during the past year, 42.8% had been advised by a health care professional to lose weight. Among participants trying to lose or maintain weight, 17.5% were following recommendations to eat fewer calories and increase physical activity to more than 150 min/wk. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of obesity and diabetes continues to increase among US adults. Interventions are needed to improve physical activity and diet in communities nationwide.

Physician incentives and disclosure of payment methods to patients.

OBJECTIVE: There is increasing public discussion of the value of disclosing how physicians are paid. However, little is known about patients' awareness of and interest in physician payment information or its potential impact on patients' evaluation of their care. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey SETTING: Managed care and indemnity plans of a large, national health insurer. PARTICIPANTS: Telephone interviews were conducted with 2,086 adult patients in Atlanta, Ga; Baltimore, Md/Washington DC; and Orlando, Fla (response rate, 54%). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patients were interviewed to assess perceptions of their physicians' payment method, preference for disclosure, and perceived effect of different financial incentives on quality of care. Non-managed fee-for-service patients (44%) were more likely to correctly identify how their physicians were paid than those with salaried (32%) or capitated (16%) physicians. Just over half (54%) wanted to be informed about their physicians' payment METHOD: Patients of capitated and salaried physicians were as likely to want disclosure as patients of fee-for-service physicians. College graduates were more likely to prefer disclosure than other patients. Many patients (76%) thought a bonus paid for ordering fewer than the average number of tests would adversely affect the quality of their care. About half of the patients (53%) thought a particular type of withhold would adversely affect the quality of their care. White patients, college graduates, and those who had higher incomes were more likely to think that these types of bonuses and withholds would have a negative impact on their care. Among patients who believed that these types of bonuses adversely affected care, those with non-managed fee-for-service insurance and college graduates were more willing to pay a higher deductible or co-payment in order to get tests that they thought were necessary. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients were unaware of how their physicians are paid, and only about half wanted to know. Most believed that bonuses or withholds designed to reduce the use of services would adversely affect the quality of their care. Lack of knowledge combined with strong attitudes about various financial incentives suggest that improved patient education could clarify patient understanding of the nature and rationale for different types of incentives. More public discussion of this important topic is warranted.

Barriers to using cost-effectiveness analysis in managed care decision making.

Managed care organizations would appear to be natural advocates for, and users of, cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) as a tool for maximizing health outcomes for their covered populations within fixed budgets. There is, however, little evidence that CEA plays a major role in managed care decision making. The purpose of this paper is to identify barriers to both conducting and using CEA in managed care decision making. Lack of understanding about the value and applicability of CEA, and incentives that do not align with a lifetime perspective on either health outcomes or costs may be at least as important as perceived or real methodological limitations of the methodology. Research focused on ways to overcome these barriers, and thereby improve resource allocations, is recommended.

The spread of the obesity epidemic in the United States, 1991-1998.

CONTEXT: The increasing prevalence of obesity is a major public health concern, since obesity is associated with several chronic diseases. OBJECTIVE: To monitor trends in state-specific data and to examine changes in the prevalence of obesity among adults. DESIGN: Cross-sectional random-digit telephone survey (Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System) of noninstitutionalized adults aged 18 years or older conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and state health departments from 1991 to 1998. SETTING: States that participated in the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Body mass index calculated from self-reported weight and height. RESULTS: The prevalence of obesity (defined as a body mass index > or =30 kg/m2) increased from 12.0% in 1991 to 17.9% in 1998. A steady increase was observed in all states; in both sexes; across age groups, races, educational levels; and occurred regardless of smoking status. The greatest magnitude of increase was found in the following groups: 18- to 29-year-olds (7.1% to 12.1%), those with some college education (10.6% to 17.8%), and those of Hispanic ethnicity (11.6% to 20.8%). The magnitude of the increased prevalence varied by region (ranging from 31.9% for mid Atlantic to 67.2% for South Atlantic, the area with the greatest increases) and by state (ranging from 11.3% for Delaware to 101.8% for Georgia, the state with the greatest increases). CONCLUSIONS: Obesity continues to increase rapidly in the United States. To alter this trend, strategies and programs for weight maintenance as well as weight reduction must become a higher public health priority.

Prenatal care for low-income women enrolled in a managed-care organization.

OBJECTIVE: To determine barriers to prenatal care among managed-care enrollees who receive Medicaid. METHODS: In-person interviews were conducted with women 13-45 years old who were members of the Prudential HealthCare Community Plan in Memphis, Tennessee. Interview data were linked to medical chart reviews for 200 women who were currently pregnant or had delivered a baby since enrollment in Prudential. Factors related to untimely entry to prenatal care and inadequate prenatal visits were examined. RESULTS: More than half of the respondents had either untimely entry to or inadequate prenatal care. Overall, 89% of respondents had favorable attitudes about prenatal care. Several system and personal factors were associated with receipt of early or adequate prenatal care. Multivariate analysis showed that one system and two personal factors remained significantly related to entry to prenatal care. Women who entered Prudential during pregnancy were 2.4 times more likely (95% CI 1.1, 5.0) to receive late care than women who enrolled before pregnancy. Women who felt too tired to go for care were 2.2 times more likely (95% CI 1.0, 4.9) to receive late care. Women who experienced physical violence during pregnancy were 3.5 times more likely (95% CI 1.0, 12.0) to receive late care. Multivariate analysis with adequacy of prenatal care as the outcome showed several personal factors that increased odds of receiving inadequate prenatal care; however, only help from the infant's father was significantly related to adequacy of prenatal care. Women who did not have much help from the infant's father were 1.9 times more likely not to have adequate care (95% CI 1.0, 3.6). CONCLUSION: Even when affordable care was available, many low-income women did not avail themselves of it. Although women knew the importance of prenatal care, there was a gap between attitudes and actually seeking appropriate care. System and personal factors need to be addressed to overcome barriers to prenatal care.

Health literacy among Medicare enrollees in a managed care organization.

CONTEXT: Elderly patients may have limited ability to read and comprehend medical information pertinent to their health. OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of low functional health literacy among community-dwelling Medicare enrollees in a national managed care organization. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. SETTING: Four Prudential HealthCare plans (Cleveland, Ohio; Houston, Tex; south Florida; Tampa, Fla). PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3260 new Medicare enrollees aged 65 years or older were interviewed in person between June and December 1997 (853 in Cleveland, 498 in Houston, 975 in south Florida, 934 in Tampa); 2956 spoke English and 304 spoke Spanish as their native language. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE; Functional health literacy as measured by the Short Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults. RESULTS: Overall, 33.9% of English-speaking and 53.9% of Spanish-speaking respondents had inadequate or marginal health literacy. The prevalence of inadequate or marginal functional health literacy among English speakers ranged from 26.8% to 44.0%. In multivariate analysis, study location, race/language, age, years of school completed, occupation, and cognitive impairment were significantly associated with inadequate or marginal literacy. Reading ability declined dramatically with age, even after adjusting for years of school completed and cognitive impairment. The adjusted odds ratio for having inadequate or marginal health literacy was 8.62 (95% confidence interval, 5.55-13.38) for enrollees aged 85 years or older compared with individuals aged 65 to 69 years. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly managed care enrollees may not have the literacy skills necessary to function adequately in the health care environment. Low health literacy may impair elderly patients' understanding of health messages and limit their ability to care for their medical problems.

Prenatal care in the first trimester: misleading findings from HEDIS. Health Plan Employer Data and Information Set.

OBJECTIVE: To understand factors influencing Health Plan Employer Data and Information Set (HEDIS) rates for the measure 'Prenatal care in the first trimester'. DESIGN: Telephone survey of a retrospective cohort of women with a live birth. Medical record review of a sample of both responders and non-responders to the telephone survey. Detailed review of HEDIS data collection procedures. SETTING: A managed care plan in California. STUDY PARTICIPANTS: Women aged 18-49 years at date of delivery, who delivered a live birth from 1 October 1995 through 31 March 1996, and who were continuously enrolled in a California managed care plan for 12 months prior to delivery (telephone survey, n= 1,185; medical record review, n= 465). RESULTS: Of the women participating in the telephone survey, 95% indicated that their first prenatal visit occurred during the first 3 months of pregnancy. Using HEDIS 3.0 standards, a review of medical records for a sample of these women indicated that 94% of the women initiated care during the first trimester. These results contrasted sharply with 1995 and 1996 HEDIS rates of 64% and 75%, respectively. CONCLUSION: An investigation of the discrepancy between HEDIS rates and rates from both telephone survey and medical record review led to the finding that the low HEDIS rates were due not to a true low rate of early care, but to data collection problems, including difficulty obtaining medical records. Potential solutions involving health plan activities, revisions to the official HEDIS process and revised reporting of results are proposed.

The relationship between method of physician payment and patient trust.

CONTEXT: Trust is the cornerstone of the patient-physician relationship. Payment methods that place physicians at financial risk have raised concerns about patients' trust in physicians to act in patients' best interests. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the extent to which methods of physician payment are related to patient trust. DESIGN: Cross-sectional telephone interview survey done between January and June 1997. SETTING: Health plans of a large national insurer in Atlanta, Ga, the Baltimore, Md-Washington, DC, area, and Orlando, Fla. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2086 adult managed care and indemnity patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: A 10-item scale (alpha = .94) assessing patients' trust in physicians. RESULTS: More fee-for-service (FFS) indemnity patients (94%) completely or mostly trust their physicians to "put their health and well-being above keeping down the health plan's costs" than salary (77%), capitated (83%), or FFS managed care patients (85%) (P<.001 for pairwise comparisons). In multivariate analyses that adjusted for potentially confounding factors, FFS indemnity patients also had higher scores on the 10-item trust scale than salary (P<.001), capitated (P<.001), or FFS managed care patients (P<.01). The effects of payment method on patient trust were reduced when a measure based on patients' reports about physician behavior (eg, Does your physician take enough time to answer your questions?) was included in the regression analyses, but the differences remained statistically significant, except for the comparison between FFS managed care and FFS indemnity patients (P=.08). Patients' perceptions of how their physicians were paid were not independently associated with trust, but the 37.7% who said they did not know how their physicians were paid had higher levels of trust than other patients (P<.01). A total of 30.2% of patients were incorrect about their physicians' method of payment. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients trusted their physicians, but FFS indemnity patients have higher levels of trust than salary, capitated, or FFS managed care patients. Patients' reports of physician behavior accounted for part of the variation in patients' trust in physicians who are paid differently. The impact of payment methods on patient trust may be mediated partly by physician behavior.

Lipid screening in a managed care population.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the proportion of patients in a managed care setting who were screened and followed up for high blood cholesterol in accordance with the guidelines from the second report of the National Cholesterol Education Program-Adult Treatment Panel II. METHODS: The authors conducted a retrospective review of the medical records of 1004 health plan members ages 40-64 who had been continuously enrolled over a period of five years at one of three Prudential Health-Care sites. RESULTS: Eighty-four percent of patients in the study group had at least one total blood cholesterol level recorded in their medical records; a high density lipoprotein level was recorded for 67%. Cholesterol screening was highest among patients with a diagnosis of hypercholesterolemia (98%), hypertension (96%), or diabetes (94%) and among patients ages 60-64 (94%). Cholesterol screening did not vary by smoking status. More than 86% of those with a diagnosis of hypercholesterolemia were given dietary counseling, medication, or both. CONCLUSIONS: Compliance with national guidelines in this setting exceeded the Year 2000 goals for lipid management and was comparable with compliance reported in other settings. Routine surveillance of prevention efforts can be a useful way to assess quality of medical care in managed care organizations.

Patients' trust in their physicians: effects of choice, continuity, and payment method.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the extent to which physician choice, length of patient-physician relationship, and perceived physician payment method predict patients' trust in their physician. DESIGN: Survey of patients of physicians in Atlanta, Georgia. PATIENTS: Subjects were 292 patients aged 18 years and older. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Scale of patients' trust in their physician was the main outcome measure. Most patients completely trusted their physicians "to put their needs above all other considerations" (69%). Patients who reported having enough choice of physician (p < .05), a longer relationship with the physician (p < .001), and who trusted their managed care organization (p < .001) were more likely to trust their physician. Approximately two thirds of all respondents did not know the method by which their physician was paid. The majority of patients believed paying a physician each time a test is done rather than a fixed monthly amount would not affect their care (72.4%). However, 40.5% of all respondents believed paying a physician more for ordering fewer than the average number of tests would make their care worse. Of these patients, 53.3% would accept higher copayments to obtain necessary medical tests. CONCLUSIONS: Patients' trust in their physician is related to having a choice of physicians, having a longer relationship with their physician, and trusting their managed care organization. Most patients are unaware of their physician's payment method, but many are concerned about payment methods that might discourage medical use.