How close are we to a success stratification tool for improving biological therapy in ulcerative colitis?

INTRODUCTION: Biological therapies have become the standard treatment for ulcerative colitis (UC). However, clinical remission rates post-induction therapy remain modest at 40-50%, with many initial responders losing response over time. Current treatment strategies frequently rely on a 'trial and error' approach, leading to prolonged periods of ineffective and costly therapies for patients, accompanied by associated treatment complications. AREA COVERED: This review discusses current evidence on risk stratification tools for predicting therapeutic efficacy and minimizing adverse events in UC management. Recent studies have identified predictive factors for biologic therapy response. In the context of personalized medicine, the goal is to identify patients at high risk of progression and complications, as well as those likely to respond to specific therapies. Essential risk stratification tools include clinical decision-making aids, biomarkers, genomics, multi-omics factors, endoscopic, imaging, and histological assessments. EXPERT OPINION: Employing risk stratification tools to predict therapeutic response and prevent treatment-related complications is essential for precision medicine in the biological management of UC. These tools are necessary to select the most suitable treatment for each individual patient, thereby enhancing efficacy and safety.

Right Ventricular Systolic Pressure Trajectory as a Predictor of Hospitalization and Mortality in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure.

Background: Pulmonary hypertension is common among patients with heart failure (HF). Right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) is frequently used to assess its presence and severity. Although RVSP has been associated with adverse outcomes, the importance of serial measurements has not been studied. We evaluated associations between serial RVSP measurements and cardiovascular events in patients with HF. Methods: Patients with HF and 2 echocardiograms performed ≥ 6 months apart were included. RVSP was categorized, using the second echocardiogram, as follows: normal (< 40 mm Hg); severely elevated (≥ 60 mm Hg); moderately elevated (50-59 mm Hg); or mildly elevated (40-49 mm Hg). Patients also were classified according to change in RVSP categories between echocardiograms. The primary outcome was time to HF hospitalization (HFH) or all-cause mortality (ACM) after the second echocardiogram. Results: In total, 4319 patients were included (median age: 78 years; 52.1% female). During a median follow-up period of 19.4 months, HFH/ACM occurred in 2714 patients (62.8%). In multivariable analysis, baseline RSVP that was mildly elevated (1069 patients, hazard ratio [HR] 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-1.54), moderately elevated (797 patients, HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.30-1.82), or severely elevated (837 patients, HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.60-2.31) was independently associated with HFH/ACM. Additionally, improving RVSP was associated with increased HFH/ACM in both categorical (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.01-1.33) and continuous analyses. Conclusions: RVSP measurements identify patients at increased risk who may require more-aggressive monitoring and medical therapy. Our study raises the hypothesis that, in addition to the absolute value of RVSP, improving RVSP category may identify higher-risk patients, but further study is needed to elucidate the underlying reasons.

Contexte: L'hypertension pulmonaire est fréquente chez les patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque. La pression systolique ventriculaire droite (PSVD) est souvent utilisée pour évaluer la présence et la gravité de l'hypertension pulmonaire. Bien que la PSVD ait été associée à des complications, l'importance de mesures répétitives n'a pas été étudiée. Nous avons évalué les liens entre des mesures répétitives de la PSVD et des événements cardiovasculaires chez des patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque. Méthodologie: Ont été inclus des patients atteints d'insuffisance cardiaque pour lesquels on disposait de deux échocardiogrammes réalisés dans un intervalle ≥ 6 mois. La PSVD a été catégorisée comme suit, au moyen du deuxième échocardiogramme : normale (< 40 mmHg); gravement élevée (≥ 60 mmHg); modérément élevée (50 à 59 mmHg) ou légèrement élevée (40 à 49 mmHg). Les patients ont également été classés dans des catégories en fonction de la variation de la PSVD d'un échocardiogramme à l'autre. Le paramètre d'évaluation principal était le temps écoulé avant une hospitalisation pour insuffisance cardiaque ou un décès, toutes causes confondues, après le second échocardiogramme. Résultats: Au total, 4 319 patients ont été inclus (âge médian de 78 ans; 52,1 % de sexe féminin). Pendant une période de suivi médian de 19,4 mois, une hospitalisation pour insuffisance cardiaque ou un décès, toutes causes confondues, se sont produits chez 2 714 patients (62,8 %). Une analyse multivariée a déterminé qu'une PSVD initiale légèrement élevée (1 069 patients, rapport de risques instantanés [RRI] de 1,31, intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 % de 1,12 à 1,54), modérément élevée (797 patients, RRI de 1,54, IC à 95 % de 1,30 à 1,82) ou gravement élevée (837 patients, RRI de 1,92, IC à 95 % de 1,60 à 2,31) était indépendamment associée à une hospitalisation pour insuffisance cardiaque ou à un décès, toutes causes confondues. En outre, l'amélioration de la PSVD était associée à une hausse des hospitalisations pour insuffisance cardiaque ou des décès, toutes causes confondues, dans les analyses des catégories (RRI de 1,16, IC à 95 % de 1,01 à 1,33) et continues. Conclusions: Les mesures de la PSVD ont permis de repérer les patients présentant un risque accru qui pourraient nécessiter une surveillance et un traitement médical plus intenses. Notre étude incite à poser l'hypothèse voulant qu'en plus de la valeur absolue de la PSVD, l'amélioration des catégories de PSVD puisse permettre de repérer les patients présentant un risque accru, mais des études plus approfondies sont nécessaires pour élucider les raisons sous-jacentes.

Clinical Outcomes in Younger Women Hospitalized With an Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Contemporary Population-Level Analysis.

BACKGROUND: For younger women with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), little is known regarding their contemporary care pathways and clinical outcomes. METHODS: We studied AMI patients aged 18-55 years, hospitalized from April 1, 2009, to March 31, 2019, in Ontario, Canada. We compared trends in comorbidities, angiographic findings, and revascularisation rates in men and women. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality or readmission for unstable angina, AMI, heart failure, or stroke. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to account for differences in baseline clinical characteristics between men and women. RESULTS: Among the 38,071 AMI patients included, 8,077 (21.2%) were women. Over the study period, women had increasing rates of diabetes (24.8% to 34.9%; Ptrend < 0.001), and declining rates of smoking (53.2% to 41.7%; Ptrend < 0.005). Although most patients received coronary angiography (96%), coronary revascularisation was less frequent among women than men (percutaneous coronary intervention: 61.9% vs 78.8% [P < 0.001]; surgery: 4.1% vs 6.0% [P < 0.001]). Women had more normal coronary anatomy (5.8% vs 1.7%; P < 0.001) and nonobstructive disease (22.8% vs 9.3%; P < 0.001) than men. Compared with men, the primary composite end point was significantly increased among women (10.0% vs 7.9%, adjusted HR 1.11; P = 0.02) and related to increased readmission rates for cardiovascular events. All-cause readmission was significantly increased among women (25.8% vs 21.1%, adjusted HR 1.34; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Coronary angiography is performed almost universally in younger women with AMI; however, coronary revascularisation is less frequent, perhaps reflecting less obstructive disease. Although mortality rates after AMI were similar between sexes, cardiovascular readmission rates and all-cause readmissions were significantly increased among women.

Heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction: retrospective study of ejection fraction trajectory risk.

AIMS: Heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) is associated with a favourable prognosis compared with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (EF). We assessed whether left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) trajectory can be used to identify groups of patients with HFmrEF who have different clinical outcomes in a large retrospective study of patients with serial imaging. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with HF and ≥2 echocardiograms performed ≥6 months apart were included if the LVEF measured 40-49% on the second study. Patients were classified as HFmrEF-Increasing if LVEF had increased ≥10% (n = 450), HFmrEF-Decreasing if LVEF had decreased ≥10% (n = 512), or HFmrEF-Stable if they did not meet other criteria (n = 389). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization after the second echocardiogram. Associations with time to first event were assessed with multivariable Cox analyses adjusted for age, co-morbidities, and medications. In total, 1351 patients with HFmrEF (median age 74, 64.2% male) were included with 28.8% exhibiting stable LVEF. During median follow-up of 15.3 months, the composite outcome occurred in 811 patients. During follow-up, patients with HFmrEF-Increasing were less likely to experience the primary outcome [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.60-0.88, P < 0.001] compared with HFmrEF-Stable. Patients with HFmrEF-Decreasing were more likely to experience the composite outcome in unadjusted analyses (unadjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.01-1.40, P = 0.040) but not adjusted analyses (adjusted HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.98-1.37, P = 0.092). Associations with death or HF hospitalizations were similar (HFmrEF-Increasing: adjusted HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.88, P = 0.005; HFmrEF-Decreasing: adjusted HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01-1.44, P = 0.044). Patients with HFmrEF-Decreasing had a similar risk of the composite outcome as patients with HF with reduced EF (adjusted HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.89-1.20, P = 0.670). Patients with HFmrEF-Increasing were less likely to experience the composite outcome compared with patients with HF with preserved EF (adjusted HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.62-0.87, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Amongst patients with HFmrEF, those exhibiting positive LVEF trajectory were less likely to experience adverse outcomes after correcting for important confounders including medical therapy. Categorizing HFmrEF patients based on LVEF trajectory provides meaningful clinical information and may assist clinicians with management decisions.

Calibration and discrimination of the Framingham Risk Score and the Pooled Cohort Equations.

BACKGROUND: Although accurate risk prediction is essential in guiding treatment decisions in primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the accuracy of the Framingham Risk Score (recommended by a Canadian guideline) and the Pooled Cohort Equations (recommended by US guidelines) has not been assessed in a large contemporary Canadian population. Our primary objective was to assess the calibration and discrimination of the Framingham Risk Score and Pooled Cohort Equations in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted an observational study involving Ontario residents aged 40 to 79 years, without a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, who underwent cholesterol testing and blood pressure measurement from Jan. 1, 2010, to Dec. 31, 2014. We compared predicted event rates generated by the Framingham Risk Score and the Pooled Cohort Equations with observed event rates at 5 years using linkages from validated administrative databases. RESULTS: Our study cohort included 84 617 individuals (mean age 56.3 yr, 56.9% female). Over a maximum follow-up period of 5 years, we observed 2162 (2.6%) events according to the outcome definition of the Framingham Risk Score, and 1224 (1.4%) events according to the outcome definition of the Pooled Cohort Equations. The predicted event rate of 5.78% by the Framingham Risk Score and 3.51% by the Pooled Cohort Equations at 5 years overestimated observed event rates by 101% and 115%, respectively. The degree of overestimation differed by age and ethnicity. The C statistics for the Framingham Risk Score (0.74) and Pooled Cohort Equations (0.73) were similar. INTERPRETATION: The Framingham Risk Score and Pooled Cohort Equations significantly overpredicted the actual risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in a large population from Ontario. Our finding suggests the need for further refinement of cardiovascular disease risk prediction scores to suit the characteristics of a multiethnic Canadian population.

Real-world risk of cardiovascular outcomes associated with hypertriglyceridaemia among individuals with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and potential eligibility for emerging therapies.

AIMS: Hypertriglyceridaemia in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) has been in focus following the REDUCE-IT trial showing benefit with icosapent ethyl. Among individuals with prevalent ASCVD, we sought to quantify the contemporary, real-world risk of ASCVD events associated with hypertriglyceridaemia, as well as estimate icosapent ethyl eligibility and compare trial participants with REDUCE-IT-like individuals in the population. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined data from 2 424 865 adults with lipid panels in the Ontario population. Among those with prevalent ASCVD, we examined adjusted associations between triglyceride (TG) and ASCVD events (first occurrence of myocardial infarction, unstable angina, stroke or transient ischaemic attack, coronary revascularization, or cardiovascular death). The proportion of patients with ASCVD potentially eligible for icosapent ethyl was estimated as those with TG 135-499 mg/dL (1.52-5.63 mmol/L) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLc) 41-100 mg/dL (1.06-2.59 mmol/L), similar to the lipid cut-offs in REDUCE-IT, and their demographics and event rates examined. Among 196 717 individuals with ASCVD, median age was 69 years and 30% were female. A total of 24 097 composite ASCVD events occurred over a mean (standard deviation) 2.9 (0.5) years of follow-up. Increasing TG was associated with a graded, progressively higher hazard of ASCVD events. Twenty-five percent (49 886) of individuals with ASCVD had hypertriglyceridaemia and controlled LDLc; these patients were demographically similar to those in REDUCE-IT with comparable event rates. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ASCVD, hypertriglyceridaemia is common, and is associated with higher ASCVD risk across a range of TG. It is possible that as many as one in four patients with ASCVD may be candidates for emerging therapies.

Eligibility, Clinical Outcomes, and Budget Impact of PCSK9 Inhibitor Adoption: The CANHEART PCSK9 Study.

Background The FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9i [Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin-Kexin Type 9 Inhibitors] in Subjects With Elevated Risk) trial found a reduction in cardiovascular events in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease ( ASCVD ). Our objective was to estimate the eligibility, clinical outcomes, and budget impact of adopting PCSK 9i in a large healthcare system. Methods and Results Ontario, Canada, residents alive in 2011, aged 40 to 85 years, were eligible for inclusion. PCSK 9i eligibility was determined on the basis of FOURIER trial definition. Hazard ratios observed in the FOURIER trial were applied to assess the number of events that could be avoided. Budget impact was calculated as the difference between projected costs of treatment adoption and events avoided if PCSK 9i were used. Of the 2.4 million included individuals, 5.3% had a history of ASCVD . We estimated that 2.7% of the general population and 51.9% of the patients with ASCVD would be eligible for PCSK 9i. Adoption of PCSK 9i in all eligible patients with ASCVD was projected to reduce primary events rates by 1.8% after 3 years. Despite cost reduction of $44 million in events, PCSK 9i adoption would have a net budget impact of $1.5 billion over 3 years. Potential benefits of PCSK 9i varied widely across subgroups, with the largest absolute risk reduction estimated to be 4.3% at 3 years in peripheral artery disease. In this subgroup of 5601 patients, the budget impact of treatment adoption was $116 million. Conclusions We estimated that ≈1 in 2 patients with ASCVD would be eligible for PCSK 9i. The budget impact of adopting PCSK 9i for all patients with ASCVD is substantial. Selective adoption to high-risk patients will lessen the overall budgetary impact of PCSK 9i treatment.

"Bed Side" Human Milk Analysis in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit: A Systematic Review.

Human milk analyzers can measure macronutrient content in native breast milk to tailor adequate supplementation with fortifiers. This article reviews all studies using milk analyzers, including (i) evaluation of devices, (ii) the impact of different conditions on the macronutrient analysis of human milk, and (iii) clinical trials to improve growth. Results lack consistency, potentially due to systematic errors in the validation of the device, or pre-analytical sample preparation errors like homogenization. It is crucial to introduce good laboratory and clinical practice when using these devices; otherwise a non-validated clinical usage can severely affect growth outcomes of infants.

Validation of Correction Algorithms for Near-IR Analysis of Human Milk in an Independent Sample Set-Effect of Pasteurization.

Commercial infrared (IR) milk analyzers are being increasingly used in research settings for the macronutrient measurement of breast milk (BM) prior to its target fortification. These devices, however, may not provide reliable measurement if not properly calibrated. In the current study, we tested a correction algorithm for a Near-IR milk analyzer (Unity SpectraStar, Brookfield, CT, USA) for fat and protein measurements, and examined the effect of pasteurization on the IR matrix and the stability of fat, protein, and lactose. Measurement values generated through Near-IR analysis were compared against those obtained through chemical reference methods to test the correction algorithm for the Near-IR milk analyzer. Macronutrient levels were compared between unpasteurized and pasteurized milk samples to determine the effect of pasteurization on macronutrient stability. The correction algorithm generated for our device was found to be valid for unpasteurized and pasteurized BM. Pasteurization had no effect on the macronutrient levels and the IR matrix of BM. These results show that fat and protein content can be accurately measured and monitored for unpasteurized and pasteurized BM. Of additional importance is the implication that donated human milk, generally low in protein content, has the potential to be target fortified.